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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 7:35 PM
TORONTO (15-26) AT MIAMI (26-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
703: TORONTO
704: MIAMI
195.5
-10.0
97.4 / 99.3
102.1 / 96.6
15-26
26-12
21-19
19-19
22-19
17-21
44.2%
48.8%
77.1%
76.3%
34.7%
38.7%
45.9%
43.4%
75.7%
76.4%
34.5%
36.3%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TORONTO  
MIAMI-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TORONTO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games21-1993-91638-64322-1987-101638-63715-2660-129546-766
as an underdog14-1572-68409-40318-1272-72415-3887-2336-109241-593
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points1-214-950-431-29-1444-480-34-1917-79
in road games8-1245-45329-31114-744-48324-3094-1720-73215-441
in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points1-34-951-553-18-661-460-40-1433-75
in January games5-421-24125-1066-420-26125-1064-612-34109-128
when playing with 2 days rest2-29-987-772-29-1086-791-34-1584-90
against Southeast division opponents4-120-2079-702-320-2085-664-112-2871-82
after a non-conference game10-1031-35217-2179-1133-34214-2177-1318-50175-274
after 3 or more consecutive overs1-25-870-702-15-866-731-24-961-85
off an upset win as an underdog5-115-18113-1194-220-15113-1205-111-24106-133
after scoring 105 points or more4-413-24139-1665-321-17152-1513-58-30128-185
when playing against a team with a winning record7-845-42309-3169-745-46323-3032-1420-71200-455
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game6-629-34155-1766-628-37165-1673-916-49110-233

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games19-19116-111702-71317-21108-119660-74626-12160-70821-621
as a favorite17-19104-97433-43817-1995-105417-44424-12148-55640-247
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points1-310-1739-583-111-1848-513-124-586-14
in home games11-860-55347-3669-1055-61335-37316-394-23485-242
in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points3-313-1046-403-312-1145-425-120-365-22
in January games4-518-21114-1183-623-17122-1105-426-14126-110
when playing with 3 or more days rest0-210-744-412-010-740-452-013-453-35
against Atlantic division opponents3-232-2984-972-328-3390-893-246-16115-69
after a non-conference game14-539-35232-2187-1234-40224-22516-351-25261-201
off an upset win as an underdog1-08-381-840-15-581-801-010-179-89
after playing 3 consecutive road games4-515-1274-765-414-1575-757-220-988-65
when playing against a team with a losing record9-644-42303-29510-544-41293-29813-272-14429-185
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game7-329-27198-1754-625-30165-2079-146-10265-120
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TORONTO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-26-7.321-1922-1997.448.744.2%48.499.348.845.9%52.1
Road Games4-17-8.38-1214-796.048.343.8%46.8103.251.046.8%53.5
Last 5 Games1-4-32-25-0103.251.247.2%51.8107.649.048.2%47.4
TORONTO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)97.448.736-8244.2%8-2234.7%17-2277.1%481123237135
vs opponents surrendering97.84937-8244.9%7-2035.7%17-2275.6%511122208145
Team Stats (Road Games)96.048.335-8043.8%7-2234.6%18-2379.4%471021236134
Stats Against (All Games)99.348.837-8045.9%6-1834.5%20-2775.7%521122207145
vs opponents averaging97.348.637-8244.7%7-2035.4%17-2275.7%511222208145
Stats Against (Road Games)103.251.038-8146.8%7-1935.7%21-2874.1%531223208126

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games26-12-8.119-1917-21102.151.748.8%46.996.649.443.4%50.4
Home Games16-3+0.111-89-10105.853.250.2%46.095.549.943.4%49.5
Last 5 Games3-2+0.23-22-3101.251.648.5%44.492.045.041.5%54.6
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)102.151.738-7848.8%8-2238.7%17-2376.3%47822198135
vs opponents surrendering97.749.137-8244.7%7-2035.7%17-2275.1%511122208145
Team Stats (Home Games)105.853.239-7850.2%9-2140.8%19-2479.3%46723199125
Stats Against (All Games)96.649.436-8243.4%8-2236.3%17-2276.4%501220208143
vs opponents averaging97.54937-8344.5%7-2035.6%17-2275.1%511222208145
Stats Against (Home Games)95.549.936-8243.4%8-2332.7%16-2276.0%501118207152
Average power rating of opponents played: TORONTO 94.9,  MIAMI 95.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TORONTO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/14/2012DALLAS95-74W5W194U34-8440.5%551027-6939.1%4717
12/16/2012HOUSTON103-96W4.5W200U39-8545.9%49732-7841.0%5312
12/18/2012@ CLEVELAND113-99W5W189O39-7552.0%421436-7051.4%4215
12/19/2012DETROIT97-91W-2.5W186O35-7248.6%39635-8441.7%6410
12/21/2012ORLANDO93-90W-3.5L187U33-8140.7%38935-7050.0%5018
12/26/2012@ SAN ANTONIO80-100L14L200.5U33-7842.3%421534-7147.9%5017
12/28/2012@ NEW ORLEANS104-97W3W182.5O37-8543.5%47737-8245.1%5916
12/29/2012@ ORLANDO123-88W3W187O46-8256.1%52836-8144.4%457
1/2/2013PORTLAND102-79W-4W192U41-7753.2%451131-7044.3%3818
1/4/2013SACRAMENTO96-105L-7L196O30-7938.0%541540-7652.6%5217
1/6/2013OKLAHOMA CITY92-104L6.5L196.5U34-7644.7%421638-7749.4%4616
1/9/2013PHILADELPHIA90-72W-5W189.5U39-8048.7%511129-7439.2%4413
1/11/2013CHARLOTTE99-78W-8W194.5U39-8645.3%511128-7537.3%4813
1/13/2013MILWAUKEE96-107L-3L192.5O36-8542.4%551540-7751.9%4112
1/15/2013@ BROOKLYN106-113L7T189.5O40-8248.8%501340-8149.4%406
1/16/2013CHICAGO105-107L4.5W183O38-8544.7%531239-8645.3%6014
1/18/2013@ PHILADELPHIA101-108L4.5L190O40-8845.5%511847-9151.6%4811
1/20/2013LA LAKERS108-103W4W201.5O46-8454.8%501538-8843.2%4813
1/23/2013@ MIAMI              
1/24/2013@ ORLANDO              
1/26/2013CLEVELAND              
1/28/2013GOLDEN STATE              
1/30/2013@ ATLANTA              
2/1/2013LA CLIPPERS              
2/3/2013MIAMI              
2/6/2013BOSTON              
2/8/2013@ INDIANA              

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
12/15/2012WASHINGTON102-72W-15W196U40-7950.6%511227-7237.5%4421
12/18/2012MINNESOTA103-92W-8W200U36-7746.8%34837-8643.0%6619
12/20/2012@ DALLAS110-95W-5.5W203O42-7853.8%561837-9638.5%449
12/22/2012UTAH105-89W-7.5W198.5U38-7352.1%461630-7341.1%4019
12/25/2012OKLAHOMA CITY103-97W-2.5W204U38-8047.5%391330-7142.3%5016
12/26/2012@ CHARLOTTE105-92W-9W200.5U37-8145.7%501334-7843.6%5316
12/28/2012@ DETROIT99-109L-6L189O39-7750.6%361443-7458.1%4314
12/29/2012@ MILWAUKEE85-104L-4L199.5U33-7643.4%602040-9840.8%515
12/31/2012@ ORLANDO112-110W-9.5L194.5O40-8547.1%47742-8847.7%5716
1/2/2013DALLAS119-109W-10.5L204.5O42-8947.2%53941-9443.6%5613
1/4/2013CHICAGO89-96L-7.5L189.5U30-6546.2%371236-8045.0%5415
1/6/2013WASHINGTON99-71W-14W191.5U38-8246.3%58929-8135.8%468
1/8/2013@ INDIANA77-87L-1.5L187.5U28-6841.2%441433-9136.3%669
1/10/2013@ PORTLAND90-92L-3.5L194.5U35-7745.5%511730-8037.5%5414
1/12/2013@ SACRAMENTO128-99W-7.5W203.5O45-8056.2%411038-8743.7%5117
1/14/2013@ UTAH97-104L-2.5L198O39-7254.2%281436-7647.4%5514
1/16/2013@ GOLDEN STATE92-75W-4.5W200.5U36-9040.0%591129-8036.2%5621
1/17/2013@ LA LAKERS99-90W2.5W207U40-8348.2%43631-7243.1%5720
1/23/2013TORONTO              
1/25/2013DETROIT              
1/27/2013@ BOSTON              
1/30/2013@ BROOKLYN              
2/1/2013@ INDIANA              
2/3/2013@ TORONTO              
2/4/2013CHARLOTTE              
2/6/2013HOUSTON              
2/8/2013LA CLIPPERS              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
TORONTO is 29-25 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 38-20 straight up against TORONTO since 1996
27 of 54 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 14-14 against the spread versus TORONTO since 1996
MIAMI is 23-7 straight up against TORONTO since 1996
15 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
04/18/2012TORONTO72187.5 Under4930-7241.7%1-166.2%11-1573.3%381014
 MIAMI96-9.5SU ATS5140-7652.6%7-1741.2%9-1560.0%501114
03/30/2012MIAMI113-7SU ATS5944-7757.1%5-1435.7%20-2483.3%34118
 TORONTO101191 Over5139-7254.2%5-1435.7%18-1994.7%37916
02/05/2012TORONTO89188.5 ATS4834-7943.0%6-2227.3%15-2171.4%461016
 MIAMI95-16.5SU Under5331-6944.9%4-1233.3%29-3485.3%48414
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TORONTO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 49.1% of the time since 1996. (505-523)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TORONTO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (72-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.2% of the time since 1996. (540-558)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (90-89)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 50.7% of the time since 1996. (565-550)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TORONTO games 46.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (79-91)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.7% of the time since 1996. (644-578)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (106-101)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TORONTO
[F] 12/27/2012 - Andrea Bargnani out indefinitely ( Elbow )
[C] 12/27/2012 - Jonas Valanciunas out indefinitely ( Finger )
[F] 01/12/2013 - Linas Kleiza out indefinitely ( Knee )
MIAMI
[G] 01/21/2013 - Dwyane Wade probable Wednesday vs. Toronto ( Toe )
[F] 01/22/2013 - LeBron James probable Wednesday vs. Toronto ( Illness )
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