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Matchup Reports

BALTIMORE (10-5) AT CINCINNATI (9-6)
Sunday,  Dec 30 2012 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
305: BALTIMORE
306: CINCINNATI
43.0
-5.5
25.4 / 21.4
24.5 / 20.2
10-5
9-6
6-8-1
8-6-1
8-6-1
6-9-0
113.0
113.2
239.5
229.1
352.5
342.3
127.4
101.3
234.3
216.3
361.7
317.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BALTIMORE  
CINCINNATI-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-11-129-291-01-130-290-10-214-46
in all games6-824-24148-1288-626-24133-14910-536-15160-127
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-11-121-201-01-117-240-10-211-30
in road games3-314-1073-692-412-1362-814-314-1263-84
in road lined games3-314-1073-692-412-1362-814-314-1263-84
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-01-29-110-12-211-101-01-37-16
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points6-711-1132-337-513-935-319-415-829-40
against conference opponents4-618-18113-986-518-21101-1168-328-11121-100
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-714-21111-1077-421-16110-1147-524-14126-103
versus division opponents2-28-861-552-38-1064-564-114-466-57
in games played on turf0-03-320-210-04-320-220-02-514-28
in December games1-35-739-283-16-632-351-37-540-29
when playing against a team with a winning record1-311-857-543-210-1253-642-314-847-71
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-26-737-342-27-837-382-29-635-41
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season1-25-636-282-16-529-351-28-339-27
in all lined games6-824-24148-1288-626-24133-14910-536-15160-127
as an underdog2-36-567-613-16-560-711-44-845-89

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points2-04-319-252-16-325-213-07-231-15
in all games8-623-22153-1776-926-21167-1659-622-26130-207
after 2 or more consecutive wins3-27-523-270-55-625-253-26-623-28
when playing against a team with a winning record1-17-1159-681-112-669-601-14-1534-95
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-05-734-400-17-636-391-02-1121-53
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season2-16-440-401-24-736-462-16-538-44
in all lined games8-623-22153-1776-926-21167-1659-622-26130-207
as a favorite4-39-946-523-511-948-525-312-865-37
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-02-312-141-05-115-121-04-217-10
in home games2-49-1372-942-513-1088-783-410-1377-91
in home lined games2-49-1372-942-513-1088-783-410-1377-91
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-12-218-180-12-216-210-11-318-19
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points4-58-1056-633-67-1151-704-55-1345-76
against conference opponents5-516-18110-1434-720-15129-1226-515-2191-166
when playing with 6 or less days rest7-419-16129-1444-817-20136-1398-419-19111-170
versus division opponents1-35-1057-863-210-775-702-36-1155-91
off a division game1-26-761-723-110-576-612-26-948-90
in games played on turf2-411-1586-1012-516-1295-923-412-1679-111
in December games3-17-442-411-34-836-493-17-541-44
revenging a loss against opponent1-35-954-652-29-667-541-35-1041-80
off a win against a division rival1-04-129-231-03-231-211-03-226-26
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games10-5+3.76-88-625.412.6352.5(5.7)1.021.411.1361.7(5.4)1.7
Road Games4-3+13-32-418.19.7297.6(4.9)1.120.311.3363.6(5.4)2.0
Last 3 Games1-2-0.71-22-126.015.0390.0(6)1.326.312.7318.7(5.4)0.3
Division Games4-1+1.42-22-325.012.6327.6(5.5)0.615.47.8329.2(5)2.4
BALTIMORE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.412.619.428:1227-113(4.3)21-3559.8%240(6.8)62-353(5.7)(13.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.219.530:4526-109(4.1)21-3560.7%234(6.7)61-342(5.6)(15)
Offense Road Games18.19.716.728:3727-114(4.3)20-3457.1%184(5.4)61-298(4.9)(16.4)
Defense (All Games)21.411.121.132:5831-127(4.1)21-3560.3%234(6.6)67-362(5.4)(16.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2311.120.231:4227-112(4.1)22-3661.9%241(6.7)63-354(5.6)(15.4)
Defense Road Games20.311.320.633:5134-148(4.3)19-3259.9%215(6.6)67-364(5.4)(17.9)
BALTIMORE - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.31.00.713-537.7%1-033.3%4-100(27.7)3-27(9.5)7-68
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.61.913-538.1%1-048.6%3-68(23.1)21-2(9.8)7-55
Stats For (Road Games)0.70.41.10.915-535.6%1-033.3%4-100(26.9)3-31(10.3)6-57
Stats Against (All Games)0.90.81.7 15-536.5%1-050.0%2-54(22.3)3-25(7.9)7-59
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 14-538.2%1-053.2%3-65(23.1)25-2(10.1)6-55
Stats Against (Road Games)1.01.02.0 15-537.3%1-050.0%2-46(21.3)4-33(9.2)6-51

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-6+2.98-66-924.514.0342.3(5.6)1.720.29.1317.7(5.3)1.9
Home Games3-4-1.62-42-524.413.4321.4(5.5)1.120.38.1333.1(5.3)2.0
Last 3 Games2-1+0.82-11-222.011.0284.0(4.8)2.014.310.0263.0(4.4)3.0
Turf Games3-4-1.62-42-524.413.4321.4(5.5)1.120.38.1333.1(5.3)2.0
Division Games2-3-0.91-33-220.213.0317.4(5.4)2.227.811.0381.6(6.3)1.4
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.514.018.930:5127-113(4.2)21-3462.1%229(6.7)62-342(5.6)(14)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.211.419.831:3227-113(4.1)21-3561.1%234(6.7)62-347(5.6)(15)
Offense Home Games24.413.417.729:3225-111(4.5)21-3462.0%211(6.2)58-321(5.5)(13.2)
Defense (All Games)20.29.118.929:0925-101(4)22-3562.0%216(6.2)60-318(5.3)(15.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.39.919.330:0126-108(4.1)22-3560.9%234(6.6)62-342(5.5)(16.1)
Defense Home Games20.38.119.030:2826-101(3.9)24-3765.6%232(6.3)63-333(5.3)(16.4)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.10.71.70.214-534.8%1-168.7%3-58(22.4)3-33(11)6-54
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.61.51.713-538.5%1-054.7%3-63(23.3)23-2(9.9)7-56
Stats For (Home Games)0.90.31.10.913-537.2%1-183.3%3-73(24.5)3-34(13.2)5-48
Stats Against (All Games)0.91.11.9 13-536.8%1-030.0%4-88(24.5)2-14(7.9)5-45
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-537.1%1-046.9%3-69(24)23-2(9.7)6-56
Stats Against (Home Games)1.01.02.0 15-747.6%1-020.0%4-96(25.9)2-12(5.7)5-39
Average power rating of opponents played: BALTIMORE 20.1,  CINCINNATI 18.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/4/2012@ CLEVELAND25-15W-3W44.5U37-13715-24-145027-11620-37-1742
11/11/2012OAKLAND55-20W-7.5W48O28-7821-34-341124-7229-46-3503
11/18/2012@ PITTSBURGH13-10W-3T41U23-4720-32-153027-13418-39-1773
11/25/2012@ SAN DIEGO16-13W-1W47U35-12730-51-316023-9123-36-1890
12/2/2012PITTSBURGH20-23L-6.5L37O21-11116-34-177226-9625-37-2703
12/9/2012@ WASHINGTON28-31L2L48O35-18616-21-173235-17217-28-2481
12/16/2012DENVER17-34L3L47.5O19-5620-40-222245-16317-28-1870
12/23/2012NY GIANTS33-14W3W47.5U45-22425-36-309014-6714-28-1190
12/30/2012@ CINCINNATI            

CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/4/2012DENVER23-31L5L47.5O25-9126-42-275126-6827-35-2912
11/11/2012NY GIANTS31-13W3.5W47U28-7621-30-199120-12929-46-1894
11/18/2012@ KANSAS CITY28-6W-3W42U38-18918-29-220027-11317-30-1711
11/25/2012OAKLAND34-10W-7.5W50U34-22116-30-194023-9919-34-1192
12/2/2012@ SAN DIEGO20-13W-1W46.5U32-12825-39-211311-4626-48-2512
12/9/2012DALLAS19-20L-3L46.5U20-14620-33-190124-4925-43-2391
12/13/2012@ PHILADELPHIA34-13W-4.5W45O41-15713-27-92219-4216-33-1795
12/23/2012@ PITTSBURGH13-10W3W40U16-1424-41-253331-9514-28-1853
12/30/2012BALTIMORE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BALTIMORE is 17-15 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
BALTIMORE is 19-14 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
18 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 9-7 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
CINCINNATI is 9-7 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
9/10/2012CINCINNATI1343 Over102032:2628-12922-37193113-41
 BALTIMORE44-7SU ATS172627:3423-12223-32308006-50
1/1/2012BALTIMORE24-3SU ATS171529:2632-22115-19126007-59
 CINCINNATI1637.5 Over31930:3424-10522-44231104-35
11/20/2011CINCINNATI2440 72332:5330-11924-46364036-43
 BALTIMORE31-7SU Over141327:0728-10517-27268016-69
1/2/2011CINCINNATI743 ATS02034:4231-9032-45305324-49
 BALTIMORE13-9.5SU Under61025:1827-9814-19101117-45
9/19/2010BALTIMORE10-3 Under01425:4423-10917-39150045-45
 CINCINNATI1539SU ATS61434:1631-9416-35159009-56
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 53.1% of the time since 1992. (112-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 70.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time since 1992. (129-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 60.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-13)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 56.4% of the time since 1992. (132-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 48.2% of the time since 1992. (133-143)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 42.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-23)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[DE] 12/27/2012 - Ryan McBean IR ( Ankle )
[DB] 12/27/2012 - Emanuel Cook IR ( Leg )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Lardarius Webb IR ( Knee )
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Ray Lewis doubtful Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Tricep )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Asa Jackson out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Jameel McClain IR ( Neck )
[RB] 12/27/2012 - Bernard Pierce probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Concussion )
[S] 12/27/2012 - Bernard Pollard probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Chest )
[WR] 12/30/2012 - Tandon Doss probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Jacoby Jones probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/30/2012 - Anquan Boldin expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Shoulder )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - LaQuan Williams IR ( Ankle )
[DE] 12/30/2012 - Haloti Ngata expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[G] 12/30/2012 - Marshal Yanda expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[FB] 12/30/2012 - Vonta Leach probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[RB] 12/30/2012 - Ray Rice is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Rest )
CINCINNATI
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Shaun Prater IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Taveon Rogers IR ( Shoulder )
[T] 12/27/2012 - Travelle Wharton IR ( Knee )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Brandon Ghee IR ( Wrist )
[DB] 12/27/2012 - Robert Sands IR ( Leg )
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Thomas Howard IR ( ACL )
[RB] 12/27/2012 - Bernard Scott IR ( Knee )
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Dontay Moch IR ( Migraine )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Mohamed Sanu IR ( Foot )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Dre Kirkpatrick IR ( Concussion )
[K] 12/28/2012 - Mike Nugent expected to miss Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Calf )
[RB] 12/27/2012 - Chris Pressley IR ( Quad )
[S] 12/28/2012 - Reggie Nelson probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Shoulder )
[DB] 12/30/2012 - Terence Newman expected to miss Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Hamstring )
[CB] 12/28/2012 - Adam Jones probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Hamstring )
[DB] 12/30/2012 - Jason Allen expected to miss Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Hamstring )
[RB] 12/28/2012 - BenJarvus Green-Ellis probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Illness )
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