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Matchup Reports

BUFFALO (5-9) AT MIAMI (6-8)
Sunday,  Dec 23 2012 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
0: BUFFALO
0: MIAMI
OFF
OFF
21.9 / 28.7
18.9 / 19.9
5-9
6-8
6-8-0
6-6-2
8-6-0
5-8-1
139.9
111.4
201.2
204.9
341.1
316.2
144.1
100.6
225.4
248.3
369.5
348.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BUFFALO  
MIAMI-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-38-952-503-111-653-511-35-1231-73
in all games6-819-24167-1668-626-20171-1735-915-31164-182
in all lined games6-819-24167-1668-626-20171-1735-915-31164-182
as an underdog2-614-1788-905-320-1388-961-78-2557-128
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points1-05-334-210-14-429-271-04-425-31
in road games3-410-1282-843-414-983-882-55-1867-105
in road lined games3-410-1282-843-414-983-882-55-1867-105
in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points0-14-230-251-05-128-270-13-322-34
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points1-16-7108-982-010-4107-1071-16-8111-104
against conference opponents5-516-18122-1316-420-14126-1324-611-23118-142
when playing with 6 or less days rest6-516-19130-1347-422-16140-1365-613-25131-145
versus division opponents2-26-1067-773-110-667-791-33-1365-82
in games played on a grass field1-26-655-501-26-746-621-23-1041-68
in December games1-24-740-442-15-644-431-24-737-50
after 2 or more consecutive losses3-09-640-361-28-938-412-15-1235-44
when playing against a team with a losing record2-35-853-503-28-656-492-36-864-43
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season2-14-534-251-24-633-282-15-534-27
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season0-23-736-431-15-541-410-23-734-48

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-22-540-590-31-643-562-13-470-31
in all games6-623-20163-1735-816-29150-1926-819-27178-170
in all lined games6-623-20163-1735-816-29150-1926-819-27178-170
as a favorite1-37-978-970-44-1377-992-29-8116-64
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-22-520-320-31-621-332-13-435-19
in home games3-28-1271-953-410-1374-974-39-14101-72
in home lined games3-28-1271-953-410-1374-974-39-14101-72
in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points2-03-419-352-14-523-352-13-631-28
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points5-313-1092-1055-39-1591-1115-412-13106-100
against conference opponents4-416-15126-1292-712-21115-1434-614-20136-128
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-517-16120-1334-711-24107-1484-712-23131-127
versus division opponents1-16-761-801-27-871-741-36-1071-78
in games played on a grass field3-414-17123-1344-512-22115-1514-513-21142-127
in December games1-15-536-511-25-641-471-24-743-47
revenging a loss against opponent1-18-350-460-25-736-601-26-747-53
when playing against a team with a losing record2-25-843-630-32-1051-542-25-861-46
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season1-23-625-410-32-733-331-23-641-26
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season1-14-534-451-15-538-421-14-640-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-9-4.56-88-621.912.6341.1(5.7)2.128.712.9369.5(5.9)1.4
Road Games2-6-3.23-54-418.09.9333.7(5.6)2.131.417.0384.5(6.2)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-1.51-22-121.013.3319.3(5.3)2.327.713.7329.0(5.5)1.0
Grass Games1-2-11-21-212.07.7285.3(5.1)1.326.710.3411.7(6.9)1.0
Division Games1-3-22-23-126.514.2397.5(6.4)3.237.716.2373.7(5.8)1.5
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.912.619.130:2427-140(5.1)20-3261.6%201(6.3)60-341(5.7)(15.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.3112031:4328-118(4.2)21-3560.6%230(6.6)63-348(5.6)(15.6)
Offense Road Games18.09.919.629:2925-135(5.4)21-3559.6%199(5.7)60-334(5.6)(18.5)
Defense (All Games)28.712.922.329:5228-144(5.1)20-3457.9%225(6.6)62-369(5.9)(12.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.511.12030:2029-121(4.2)20-3459.6%222(6.5)63-343(5.5)(15.3)
Defense Road Games31.417.022.430:5930-154(5.2)20-3261.3%230(7.2)62-384(6.2)(12.3)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.10.92.1-0.712-537.9%0-050.0%3-71(27.7)2-31(17.2)6-54
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.71.71.913-537.1%1-049.7%3-64(23.8)21-2(9.8)6-56
Stats For (Road Games)1.11.02.1-1.112-436.2%0-075.0%3-67(24.3)1-22(14.9)6-51
Stats Against (All Games)0.80.61.4 13-643.8%1-054.5%3-72(23)2-35(14.9)5-44
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.61.6 14-537.0%1-051.1%3-64(23.4)25-2(10.2)6-55
Stats Against (Road Games)0.70.21.0 13-648.0%1-080.0%3-58(21.2)3-43(16.2)6-49

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-8-3.66-65-818.99.1316.2(5.3)1.719.99.9348.9(5.5)0.9
Home Games4-3-0.43-23-419.98.1340.1(5.6)1.319.110.0353.0(5.5)0.7
Last 3 Games1-2-11-11-217.77.7297.7(5.1)1.017.78.7313.7(5.3)0.3
Grass Games4-5-2.43-44-518.07.0320.3(5.4)1.621.211.1347.7(5.6)0.6
Division Games1-3-21-11-220.011.7269.5(4.4)1.718.59.7338.2(4.8)1.2
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)18.99.118.129:1428-111(4)19-3258.6%205(6.5)60-316(5.3)(16.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.111.219.930:2828-121(4.3)21-3460.3%223(6.5)62-344(5.5)(14.9)
Offense Home Games19.98.119.430:1630-142(4.7)19-3160.1%199(6.4)61-340(5.6)(17.1)
Defense (All Games)19.99.919.631:5226-101(3.8)22-3858.8%248(6.6)64-349(5.5)(17.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.11119.730:3028-120(4.3)20-3459.8%220(6.4)62-341(5.5)(15.4)
Defense Home Games19.110.018.931:0027-106(3.9)20-3656.1%247(6.8)64-353(5.5)(18.4)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.90.91.7-0.913-536.7%1-035.7%2-71(28.3)2-22(10.9)5-49
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.61.913-537.8%1-049.1%3-68(24.3)22-2(9.8)6-53
Stats For (Home Games)0.70.61.3-0.613-540.4%1-060.0%2-42(24.2)2-18(9.8)6-49
Stats Against (All Games)0.60.20.9 15-535.1%1-169.2%2-60(24.6)3-31(11.6)7-65
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.71.6 13-536.5%1-052.4%3-64(23.6)23-2(9.9)6-55
Stats Against (Home Games)0.60.10.7 15-536.9%1-157.1%2-49(24.5)3-35(10.6)8-69
Average power rating of opponents played: BUFFALO 20.2,  MIAMI 19.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON9-21L11L48U16-7825-38-230132-11819-27-2560
11/11/2012@ NEW ENGLAND31-37L13.5W54O28-16227-40-319329-11723-38-2300
11/15/2012MIAMI19-14W-3W46U31-12017-27-161024-6014-28-1243
11/25/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS13-20L2L51U23-13517-33-169129-8720-37-2252
12/2/2012JACKSONVILLE34-18W-6W41.5O46-2329-17-112218-5018-41-1862
12/9/2012ST LOUIS12-15L-3L42.5U20-6125-33-220227-7819-39-2071
12/16/2012*SEATTLE17-50L4L44.5O21-11824-43-215332-27014-23-1960
12/23/2012@ MIAMI            
12/30/2012NY JETS            

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/28/2012@ NY JETS30-9W1W39P33-9713-24-139121-10528-54-2582
11/4/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS20-23L-3L43.5U18-8422-38-281026-9730-48-4190
11/11/2012TENNESSEE3-37L-7L44U15-5423-39-201437-1779-22-1160
11/15/2012@ BUFFALO14-19L3L46U24-6014-28-124331-12017-27-1610
11/25/2012SEATTLE24-21W3W37.5O28-18918-26-246127-9621-27-2160
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND16-23L7T51U27-10113-29-176132-10824-40-2131
12/9/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO13-27L11L38.5O22-9417-33-133128-15518-23-1660
12/16/2012JACKSONVILLE24-3W-7W38.5U36-18022-29-209121-8618-34-2130
12/23/2012BUFFALO            
12/30/2012@ NEW ENGLAND            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BUFFALO is 24-20 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
BUFFALO is 23-21 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
25 of 44 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1992
BUFFALO is 12-10 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 12-10 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
13 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/15/2012MIAMI1446 Under71624:5724-6014-28124126-69
 BUFFALO19-3SU ATS191835:0331-12017-271610011-100
12/18/2011MIAMI3043SU ATS131728:4938-25410-20194305-62
 BUFFALO230 Over72131:1119-11331-472910311-92
11/20/2011BUFFALO844 Under61428:5419-4121-44206023-27
 MIAMI35-3SU ATS281631:0635-9514-20147004-50
12/19/2010BUFFALO1740SU ATS101528:3727-7116-26211015-44
 MIAMI14-6 Under72231:2319-6533-45261114-35
9/12/2010MIAMI15-3SU ATS101936:5336-13221-34164003-15
 BUFFALO1039 Under3923:0717-5018-34116005-35
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 48.5% of the time since 1992. (127-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 42.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (132-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 62.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-13)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (140-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 41.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-24)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (154-134)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-19)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BUFFALO
[DT] 09/05/2012 - Torell Troup IR ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Mike Caussin PUP ( Knee )
[WR] 09/10/2012 - David Nelson IR ( ACL )
[G] 10/10/2012 - Colin Brown IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 12/02/2012 - Chad Rinehart IR ( Leg )
[CB] 11/07/2012 - Terrence McGee IR ( Knee )
[T] 11/07/2012 - Erik Pears IR ( Hip )
[DE] 12/05/2012 - Chris Kelsay IR ( Neck )
[C] 12/20/2012 - Eric Wood "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[T] 12/03/2012 - Chris Hairston IR ( Foot )
[RB] 12/11/2012 - Fred Jackson IR ( Knee )
[CB] 12/20/2012 - Leodis McKelvin IR ( Groin )
[WR] 12/19/2012 - Donald Jones out for season ( Illness )
[WR] 12/17/2012 - Marcus Easley expected to miss Sunday vs. Miami ( Hamstring )
[LB] 12/17/2012 - Arthur Moats out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 12/22/2012 - Chris White expected to miss Sunday vs. Miami ( Hamstring )
[DT] 12/22/2012 - Kyle Williams probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[DE] 12/20/2012 - Mark Anderson probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[LB] 12/20/2012 - Nick Barnett probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[TE] 12/21/2012 - Scott Chandler probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Foot )
[G] 12/22/2012 - Andy Levitre probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[CB] 12/22/2012 - Justin Rogers probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Foot )
MIAMI
[G] 09/06/2012 - Artis Hicks IR ( Neck )
[CB] 11/14/2012 - Richard Marshall IR ( Back )
[T] 12/02/2012 - Jake Long IR ( Tricep )
[LB] 12/21/2012 - Koa Misi expected to miss Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/21/2012 - Davone Bess expected to miss Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Back )
[S] 12/13/2012 - Kelcie McCray IR ( Foot )
[RB] 12/19/2012 - Daniel Thomas IR ( Knee )
[CB] 12/17/2012 - Nolan Carroll "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[TE] 12/18/2012 - Charles Clay IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/20/2012 - Brian Hartline probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Back )
[K] 12/21/2012 - Dan Carpenter out for season ( Groin )
[TE] 12/22/2012 - Jeron Mastrud "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Hamstring )
[DT] 12/22/2012 - Randy Starks probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Personal )
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