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Matchup Reports

BUFFALO (2-4) AT MIAMI (3-2)
Sunday,  Oct 20 2013 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
405: BUFFALO
406: MIAMI
43.5
-6.0
22.7 / 26.2
22.8 / 23.4
2-4
3-2
4-2-0
3-2-0
4-2-0
4-1-0
148.8
69.6
195.3
247.0
344.2
316.6
124.2
105.4
270.8
287.6
395.0
393.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BUFFALO  
MIAMI-5 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points4-18-856-523-211-556-542-35-1133-77
in all games4-217-20172-1694-223-15175-1772-414-24167-187
in all lined games4-217-20172-1694-223-15175-1772-414-24167-187
as an underdog4-211-1492-934-218-892-992-47-1959-133
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-12-434-231-03-330-280-12-425-33
in road games0-25-1282-872-011-785-890-23-1567-108
in road lined games0-25-1282-872-011-785-890-23-1567-108
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-03-216-180-01-415-200-02-313-22
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-09-1243-441-111-1139-502-08-1435-55
against conference opponents3-213-16126-1343-217-12129-1361-410-19120-147
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-213-16133-1373-119-11143-1392-212-18134-148
versus division opponents1-16-869-791-18-668-820-23-1166-85
in games played on a grass field0-13-655-521-05-547-630-12-841-70
in October games1-14-441-422-07-243-420-23-642-44
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-06-541-370-04-738-430-04-736-45
when playing against a team with a winning record2-05-772-731-17-675-771-13-1061-91
in weeks 5 through 91-14-544-442-06-441-500-23-746-46

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-03-241-590-00-543-570-04-171-31
in all games3-219-15167-1764-113-23154-1953-216-21182-173
in all lined games3-219-15167-1764-113-23154-1953-216-21182-173
as a favorite1-16-580-982-03-979-1001-18-4118-65
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-03-221-320-00-521-340-04-136-19
in home games1-18-773-962-07-1176-981-110-8103-73
in home lined games1-18-773-962-07-1176-981-110-8103-73
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-14-318-132-03-414-181-14-321-11
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-210-1057-454-08-1240-622-27-1352-51
against conference opponents2-113-11129-1312-18-18117-1462-112-15139-130
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-01-111-60-00-16-120-01-111-8
versus division opponents0-05-462-810-04-771-760-05-772-79
after a bye week0-01-112-90-00-18-140-01-113-10
in games played on a grass field2-112-11126-1352-18-18117-1532-112-14145-128
in October games0-13-542-391-01-638-430-13-543-40
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-06-434-360-01-932-410-04-634-40
when playing against a team with a losing record0-05-544-630-01-851-550-05-562-46
in weeks 5 through 90-14-548-431-01-742-490-14-548-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-4-1.24-24-222.710.5344.2(5)1.526.213.7395.0(5.6)2.0
Road Games0-2-20-22-022.08.0335.5(4.9)0.532.017.0401.5(6.2)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-0.62-12-123.713.3338.3(4.8)1.728.013.7372.7(5.6)2.0
Grass Games0-1-10-11-024.010.0343.0(4.8)1.037.017.0290.0(4.8)0.0
Division Games0-2-21-11-120.510.0307.0(4.8)1.025.017.0472.0(6)2.5
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.710.519.327:1835-149(4.3)19-3455.4%195(5.8)69-344(5)(15.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.18.98.21829:0626-97(3.7)22-3660.0%225(6.2)63-322(5.1)(17.1)
Offense Road Games22.08.019.026:4228-137(4.9)19-4146.3%198(4.8)69-335(4.9)(15.2)
Defense (All Games)26.213.721.834:0432-124(3.9)22-3955.7%271(6.9)71-395(5.6)(15.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.20.410.719.631:0828-107(3.8)22-3759.3%234(6.4)65-340(5.3)(16.7)
Defense Road Games32.017.019.533:1836-136(3.7)15-2854.4%265(9.3)65-401(6.2)(12.5)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.81.50.516-533.3%1-033.3%1-29(19.4)2-17(9.2)8-66
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.52.115-637.1%1-028.7%1-30(22.1)22-2(8.9)6-56
Stats For (Road Games)0.50.00.50.517-426.5%2-025.0%1-27(18.3)2-19(9.5)7-71
Stats Against (All Games)1.70.32.0 17-739.6%1-050.0%3-65(20.4)4-52(14.3)8-73
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.20.61.8 15-638.4%1-044.6%2-46(23.1)28-3(10.9)6-56
Stats Against (Road Games)1.00.01.0 15-638.7%0-00.0%3-48(16.2)5-98(19.7)13-117

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+0.83-24-122.811.2316.6(5.7)1.623.412.8393.0(5.8)1.8
Home Games1-1-0.51-12-025.011.5289.5(5.7)1.024.59.5380.5(5.4)2.0
Last 3 Games1-2-1.51-23-022.311.0303.3(5.9)2.029.013.3408.7(6)1.7
Grass Games2-1+0.72-12-124.39.7284.7(5.3)1.019.78.7350.7(5.1)2.3
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.811.216.826:6019-70(3.7)23-3662.6%247(6.8)55-317(5.7)(13.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.20.59.918.629:0326-108(4.2)21-3560.4%235(6.7)61-343(5.6)(16.7)
Offense Home Games25.011.513.023:1713-56(4.3)22-3760.0%233(6.2)50-289(5.7)(11.6)
Defense (All Games)23.412.822.033:0027-105(4)25-4160.0%288(7)68-393(5.8)(16.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.612.420.331:5724-91(3.8)25-3962.7%269(6.9)64-360(5.7)(15.3)
Defense Home Games24.59.522.036:4235-139(4)21-3560.0%241(6.9)70-380(5.4)(15.5)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.61.60.213-540.3%0-050.0%2-52(26.2)1-5(4.6)4-36
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.51.52.114-539.2%1-036.4%2-38(23.2)17-2(7.4)6-51
Stats For (Home Games)0.50.51.01.014-535.7%0-0100.0%2-48(24.2)0-5(11)3-39
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.61.8 14-536.2%1-040.0%2-59(26.8)3-29(10.4)6-48
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.41.4 14-639.7%1-036.8%2-40(24)27-2(10.9)5-47
Stats Against (Home Games)1.01.02.0 13-540.7%0-00.0%2-64(32)3-27(7.7)6-61
Average power rating of opponents played: BUFFALO 22.5,  MIAMI 23.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013NEW ENGLAND21-23L10W51U34-13618-27-150235-15829-52-2733
9/15/2013CAROLINA24-23W3.5W43.5O33-14927-39-287232-12521-38-1831
9/22/2013@ NY JETS20-27L2.5L40.5O25-12019-42-208041-18216-29-3312
9/29/2013BALTIMORE23-20W3.5W45U55-20310-22-14739-2425-50-3215
10/3/2013@ CLEVELAND24-37L3.5L41O31-15519-40-188132-9115-28-1990
10/13/2013CINCINNATI24-27L5.5W41O32-13019-32-192141-16526-40-3181
10/20/2013@ MIAMI            
10/27/2013@ NEW ORLEANS            
11/3/2013KANSAS CITY            
11/10/2013@ PITTSBURGH            
11/17/2013NY JETS            

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013@ CLEVELAND23-10W2.5W40.5U23-2024-38-255113-4726-53-2443
9/15/2013@ INDIANAPOLIS24-20W1.5W43.5O27-10123-34-297126-13325-43-3151
9/22/2013ATLANTA27-23W-3W45O15-9024-35-195230-14623-38-2312
9/30/2013@ NEW ORLEANS17-38L6.5L48.5O19-11522-35-216424-6830-39-3971
10/6/2013BALTIMORE23-26L-3L43O11-2221-40-272040-13319-32-2512
10/20/2013BUFFALO            
10/27/2013@ NEW ENGLAND            
10/31/2013CINCINNATI            
11/11/2013@ TAMPA BAY            
11/17/2013SAN DIEGO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BUFFALO is 24-21 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
BUFFALO is 23-22 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
26 of 45 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1992
BUFFALO is 12-11 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 13-10 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
14 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/23/2012BUFFALO1043 Under31729:4328-15420-352273111-93
 MIAMI24-5SU ATS141830:1735-18213-25119003-25
11/15/2012MIAMI1446 Under71624:5724-6014-28124126-69
 BUFFALO19-3SU ATS191835:0331-12017-271610011-100
12/18/2011MIAMI3043SU ATS131728:4938-25410-20194305-62
 BUFFALO230 Over72131:1119-11331-472910311-92
11/20/2011BUFFALO844 Under61428:5419-4121-44206023-27
 MIAMI35-3SU ATS281631:0635-9514-20147004-50
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 48.5% of the time since 1992. (129-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 42.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.8% of the time since 1992. (135-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 48% of the time since 1992. (143-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 40.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (158-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BUFFALO
[CB] 10/20/2013 - Justin Rogers expected to miss Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[WR] 10/18/2013 - Stevie Johnson probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Back )
[CB] 10/18/2013 - Ron Brooks probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Foot )
[DB] 10/18/2013 - Jonathan Meeks probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[RB] 10/17/2013 - C.J. Spiller probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[QB] 10/17/2013 - E.J. Manuel out 4-6 weeks ( Knee )
[LB] 10/16/2013 - Manny Lawson probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Hamstring )
[QB] 10/13/2013 - Thad Lewis injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Foot )
[K] 10/07/2013 - Dustin Hopkins IR ( Groin )
[DT] 09/23/2013 - Alex Carrington out for season ( Quad )
[WR] 09/02/2013 - Kevin Elliott IR ( Knee )
[QB] 09/02/2013 - Kevin Kolb IR ( Concussion )
[TE] 09/02/2013 - Mike Caussin IR ( Hip )
[WR] 08/30/2013 - Brad Smith IR ( Ribs )
MIAMI
[LB] 10/20/2013 - Dannell Ellerbe expected to miss Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[CB] 10/18/2013 - Don Jones probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Elbow )
[LB] 10/18/2013 - Jason Trusnik "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Ribs )
[LB] 10/17/2013 - Cameron Wake probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[CB] 10/15/2013 - Dimitri Patterson probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Groin )
[TE] 08/18/2013 - Dustin Keller IR ( Knee )
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