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Matchup Reports

BUFFALO (2-2) AT SAN FRANCISCO (3-1)
Sunday,  Oct 7 2012  at 4:25 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
431: BUFFALO
432: SAN FRANCISCO
45.5
-10.0
28.8 / 32.8
26.0 / 16.3
2-2
3-1
2-2-0
3-1-0
3-1-0
2-2-0
158.0
167.0
229.8
179.3
387.8
346.3
137.0
79.5
269.5
197.8
406.5
277.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BUFFALO  
SAN FRANCISCO-17
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-17-751-481-09-551-500-14-1030-71
in all games2-215-18163-1603-121-15166-1682-212-24161-175
in all lined games2-215-18163-1603-121-15166-1682-212-24161-175
as an underdog0-212-1386-862-017-1085-930-27-2056-123
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-01-19-120-02-08-130-00-22-19
in road games1-18-980-811-112-681-851-14-1466-101
in road lined games1-18-980-811-112-681-851-14-1466-101
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-01-18-40-02-17-60-00-34-9
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-18-939-382-19-1035-442-15-1431-49
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-112-15126-1302-117-13135-1332-110-20128-140
against NFC West division opponents0-00-017-60-00-019-50-00-017-7
off a division game1-03-861-721-08-368-681-02-961-75
in games played on a grass field1-06-455-480-15-645-611-03-841-66
in October games0-04-339-390-06-239-410-02-641-40
in non-conference games0-02-344-320-04-443-390-03-545-37
off a loss against a division rival1-03-635-351-07-236-361-02-733-39
when playing against a team with a winning record0-05-668-690-06-771-730-02-1159-85
in weeks 5 through 90-04-242-400-04-437-480-02-645-41

SAN FRANCISCO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points2-110-355-481-26-754-512-111-279-27
in all games3-122-15164-1672-219-18174-1643-123-15189-154
in all lined games3-122-15164-1672-219-18174-1643-123-15189-154
as a favorite2-115-11104-911-212-13104-952-118-8153-48
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-03-017-100-00-312-160-03-024-4
in home games1-013-489-791-011-790-831-013-5115-58
in home lined games1-013-489-791-011-790-831-013-5115-58
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points1-02-017-131-02-014-161-02-023-7
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-17-278-732-16-372-812-16-391-64
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-114-10111-1241-212-13118-1242-114-11133-112
against AFC East division opponents1-01-013-120-10-111-141-01-015-10
in games played on a grass field2-017-10120-1292-016-11134-1212-017-11146-111
in October games0-07-237-390-04-543-330-06-340-38
in non-conference games1-06-339-410-11-839-431-06-343-39
in weeks 5 through 90-06-239-440-03-545-380-06-243-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-202-23-128.714.0387.7(6.3)2.732.710.2406.5(6.2)2.0
Road Games1-101-11-126.010.5367.0(5.8)2.531.017.0312.0(5.2)1.5
Last 3 Games2-1+12-12-129.016.3387.0(6.1)2.327.74.7414.0(6.3)2.3
Grass Games1-0+11-00-124.014.0344.0(5)1.014.07.0240.0(4.3)2.0
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.714.018.230:0331-158(5.1)18-3157.6%230(7.4)62-388(6.3)(13.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.27.212.820.431:2829-124(4.2)21-3461.9%245(7.2)64-369(5.8)(13.6)
Offense Road Games26.010.519.530:4930-166(5.5)20-3359.7%200(6)63-367(5.8)(14.1)
Defense (All Games)32.710.224.029:5728-137(4.8)23-3761.5%269(7.3)65-406(6.2)(12.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.59.42230:3828-120(4.3)22-3857.1%244(6.4)66-363(5.5)(15.5)
Defense Road Games31.017.019.029:1124-75(3.1)23-3565.7%236(6.8)59-312(5.2)(10.1)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.71.02.7-0.712-646.0%0-0100.0%1-34(22.7)1-44(29.7)6-44
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.61.71.913-641.3%0-062.5%3-65(24)24-2(15.2)7-63
Stats For (Road Games)1.51.02.5-1.011-543.5%0-0100.0%2-52(26.2)1-40(26.7)8-54
Stats Against (All Games)1.01.02.0 12-544.0%0-00.0%2-42(24.1)2-46(20.7)4-33
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.212.2 14-538.9%0-075.0%3-71(24.3)33-2(14.1)6-53
Stats Against (Road Games)1.50.01.5 12-652.0%0-00.0%2-54(27.2)2-55(27.7)5-45

SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-1+1.33-12-226.010.7346.2(5.8)1.016.27.5277.2(4.6)2.0
Home Games1-0+11-01-027.014.0349.0(6)1.019.06.0296.0(5.1)1.0
Last 3 Games2-1-0.62-11-224.79.0336.0(5.6)1.314.37.7261.7(4.3)2.3
Grass Games2-0+2.92-02-028.515.0363.0(6.3)0.520.56.5310.0(5.3)1.0
SAN FRANCISCO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)26.010.722.731:3031-167(5.4)19-2866.7%179(6.3)59-346(5.8)(13.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.510.819.831:5628-118(4.2)20-3361.4%210(6.4)61-328(5.4)(14)
Offense Home Games27.014.024.029:3427-148(5.5)20-3164.5%201(6.5)58-349(6)(12.9)
Defense (All Games)16.27.517.528:2924-79(3.2)21-3559.6%198(5.6)60-277(4.6)(17.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.29.721.230:2826-96(3.6)24-3764.2%242(6.5)63-338(5.3)(15.2)
Defense Home Games19.06.015.030:2626-82(3.2)19-3259.4%214(6.7)58-296(5.1)(15.6)
SAN FRANCISCO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.20.71.01.010-333.3%0-0100.0%3-83(30.4)2-23(11.5)7-64
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.60.61.11.113-641.1%1-061.5%2-70(29.5)25-2(12.5)8-66
Stats For (Home Games)0.01.01.00.011-436.4%0-00.0%5-85(17)1-8(8)5-62
Stats Against (All Games)0.71.22.0 14-538.2%1-066.7%2-71(28.4)1-22(22.5)6-46
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.81.5 13-538.8%1-063.6%2-64(26.9)30-2(14.8)6-65
Stats Against (Home Games)1.00.01.0 15-640.0%1-1100.0%2-64(32)1-10(10)8-67
Average power rating of opponents played: BUFFALO 19.5,  SAN FRANCISCO 20.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012@ NY JETS28-48L3L39O26-19518-32-195436-11819-27-2661
9/16/2012KANSAS CITY35-17W-3W45O36-20110-19-178024-15023-42-2723
9/23/2012@ CLEVELAND24-14W-3W45U34-13822-35-206113-3327-43-2072
9/30/2012NEW ENGLAND28-52L3.5L47.5O27-9822-39-340640-24722-36-3332
10/7/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO            
10/14/2012@ ARIZONA            
10/21/2012TENNESSEE            
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON            

SAN FRANCISCO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012@ GREEN BAY30-22W6W47O32-18620-26-191014-4530-44-2791
9/16/2012DETROIT27-19W-6.5W45.5O27-14820-31-201126-8219-32-2141
9/23/2012@ MINNESOTA13-24L-6.5L43U20-8924-35-191341-14621-35-1982
9/30/2012@ NY JETS34-0W-3.5W41U44-24512-22-134017-4514-30-1004
10/7/2012BUFFALO            
10/14/2012NY GIANTS            
10/18/2012SEATTLE            
10/29/2012@ ARIZONA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BUFFALO is 4-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring SAN FRANCISCO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 49% of the time since 1992. (124-129)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (136-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-11)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (136-147)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 39.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 49.1% of the time since 1992. (139-144)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BUFFALO
[DT] 09/05/2012 - Torell Troup IR ( Rest )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Mike Caussin PUP ( Knee )
[CB] 09/06/2012 - Ron Brooks out indefinitely ( Foot )
[WR] 09/10/2012 - David Nelson IR ( ACL )
[WR] 10/03/2012 - Ruvell Martin probable Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
[G] 10/01/2012 - Kraig Urbik expected to miss Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Leg )
[CB] 10/05/2012 - Stephon Gilmore probable Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Head )
[TE] 10/01/2012 - Scott Chandler probable Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Head )
[T] 10/01/2012 - Cordy Glenn expected to miss Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
[S] 10/03/2012 - Jairus Byrd probable Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Hip )
[DE] 10/03/2012 - Mario Williams probable Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Wrist )
[DE] 10/04/2012 - Spencer Johnson expected to miss Sunday vs. San Francisco ( Ankle )
SAN FRANCISCO
[RB] 10/04/2012 - Brandon Jacobs probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[LB] 09/30/2012 - Clark Haggans expected to miss Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Suspension )
[NT] 09/30/2012 - Isaac Sopoaga "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Leg )
[LB] 10/04/2012 - Navorro Bowman probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Shoulder )
[CB] 10/06/2012 - Carlos Rogers "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Ankle )
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