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Matchup Reports

CINCINNATI (3-2) AT BUFFALO (2-3)
Sunday,  Oct 13 2013 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
217: CINCINNATI
218: BUFFALO
41.0
+6.0
18.8 / 17.4
22.4 / 26.0
3-2
2-3
3-1-1
3-2-0
2-3-0
3-2-0
99.4
152.6
230.8
196.0
330.2
348.6
95.6
116.0
221.2
261.4
316.8
377.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CINCINNATI-3 
BUFFALO  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-16-221-260-24-625-241-19-133-16
in all games3-120-15157-1792-320-18169-1703-222-17134-210
in all lined games3-120-15157-1792-320-18169-1703-222-17134-210
as a favorite1-110-748-530-28-1148-551-113-667-38
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-11-13-40-11-24-40-12-15-3
in road games0-111-681-851-111-880-890-211-953-119
in road lined games0-111-681-851-111-880-890-211-953-119
in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points0-04-227-281-04-428-280-14-517-42
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points1-011-880-891-115-794-761-113-1073-102
against conference opponents2-114-13113-1450-315-13129-1272-115-1494-168
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-116-12132-1461-214-16137-1432-118-13114-172
against AFC East division opponents1-02-118-260-11-223-201-02-110-34
in games played on turf3-010-990-1011-210-1196-953-013-883-111
in October games1-05-331-480-15-344-371-05-324-58
when playing against a team with a losing record0-18-555-630-16-857-600-110-461-59
in weeks 5 through 91-05-438-490-15-347-401-05-428-62

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points3-17-855-522-210-555-542-25-1033-76
in all games3-216-20171-1693-222-15174-1772-314-23167-186
in all lined games3-216-20171-1693-222-15174-1772-314-23167-186
as an underdog3-210-1491-933-217-891-992-37-1859-132
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points2-03-110-121-13-112-112-03-15-18
in home games3-010-788-771-210-787-842-110-799-73
in home lined games3-010-788-771-210-787-842-110-799-73
in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points0-02-134-200-02-126-320-03-037-21
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points0-23-5109-1002-07-1109-1080-24-4112-106
against conference opponents2-212-16125-1342-216-12128-1361-310-18120-146
against AFC North division opponents1-12-222-231-12-221-251-12-224-22
in games played on turf3-113-14116-1172-217-10127-1142-212-15126-116
in October games0-13-440-421-06-242-420-13-542-43
when playing against a team with a winning record1-04-771-730-16-674-771-03-961-90
in weeks 5 through 90-13-543-441-05-440-500-13-646-45
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+0.83-12-318.88.8330.2(5.3)2.217.49.2316.8(5.1)1.8
Road Games0-2-2.60-11-113.58.5303.0(5.2)2.520.58.5329.5(5.1)0.5
Last 3 Games2-1+0.82-11-217.76.7301.3(5)2.717.78.7327.7(5)2.0
Turf Games3-0+3.43-01-222.39.0348.3(5.3)2.015.39.7308.3(5.1)2.7
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)18.88.819.231:0428-99(3.6)23-3565.1%231(6.6)63-330(5.3)(17.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.3111930:1728-104(3.8)22-3561.8%239(6.8)63-343(5.5)(15.4)
Offense Road Games13.58.517.028:4020-63(3.1)24-3765.3%240(6.4)58-303(5.2)(22.4)
Defense (All Games)17.49.218.228:5624-96(3.9)22-3858.2%221(5.9)62-317(5.1)(18.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.912.82030:4324-101(4.2)24-3961.7%264(6.7)63-365(5.8)(15.9)
Defense Road Games20.58.517.531:1929-85(2.9)23-3564.8%244(6.9)64-329(5.1)(16.1)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.01.22.2-0.414-641.2%1-040.0%2-43(21.7)2-14(6.5)6-59
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.71.51.714-640.1%1-043.6%2-49(22.8)13-2(8)6-55
Stats For (Road Games)1.51.02.5-2.012-544.0%1-033.3%2-30(15)1-14(9.3)5-54
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.81.8 14-533.3%1-033.3%2-52(23.5)2-18(9.8)3-45
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.81.8 14-536.5%1-044.7%3-57(22.7)23-2(10.9)5-48
Stats Against (Road Games)0.50.00.5 16-746.9%0-0100.0%1-45(30.3)1-4(2.7)4-69

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-3-0.23-23-222.410.6348.6(5)1.626.013.0377.4(5.5)2.2
Home Games2-1+1.83-01-222.712.3357.3(5.1)2.322.010.3361.3(5)3.0
Last 3 Games1-2-0.61-22-122.312.0340.3(4.7)1.328.013.7382.7(6.1)2.3
Turf Games2-2+0.83-12-222.010.7350.0(5.1)1.723.212.0399.2(5.6)2.7
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.410.619.227:4136-153(4.3)19-3454.7%196(5.8)70-349(5)(15.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.18.58.217.829:0127-94(3.5)22-3659.9%223(6.2)63-317(5)(17.1)
Offense Home Games22.712.319.328:2141-163(4)18-2962.5%195(6.6)70-357(5.1)(15.8)
Defense (All Games)26.013.021.032:1930-116(3.9)21-3953.8%261(6.6)69-377(5.5)(14.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.20.110.819.131:5928-106(3.8)21-3757.5%228(6.2)65-334(5.2)(16.6)
Defense Home Games22.010.322.031:3925-102(4)25-4753.6%259(5.5)72-361(5)(16.4)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.80.81.60.616-530.4%1-025.0%1-15(18.5)2-18(10.1)8-74
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.52.315-536.5%1-023.5%1-25(23.1)23-2(9.3)7-60
Stats For (Home Games)1.01.32.30.715-533.3%0-00.0%0-6(19)2-18(10.6)9-76
Stats Against (All Games)1.80.42.2 17-739.8%1-033.3%3-57(19)4-56(14.7)8-72
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.40.62 15-638.7%1-034.9%2-42(23.3)32-3(12.2)6-56
Stats Against (Home Games)2.30.73.0 17-740.4%1-050.0%3-63(20.9)3-28(9.2)5-42
Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 23.2,  BUFFALO 22.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013@ CHICAGO21-24L3T41O21-6326-33-277328-8121-33-2421
9/16/2013PITTSBURGH20-10W-6.5W40U34-12725-45-280016-4420-37-2342
9/22/2013GREEN BAY34-30W3W48.5O24-8220-28-215430-18226-43-2174
9/29/2013@ CLEVELAND6-17L-3.5L43U20-6323-42-203230-8925-38-2470
10/6/2013NEW ENGLAND13-6W2W45.5U39-16220-27-179218-8218-38-1662
10/13/2013@ BUFFALO            
10/20/2013@ DETROIT            
10/27/2013NY JETS            
10/31/2013@ MIAMI            
11/10/2013@ BALTIMORE            

BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013NEW ENGLAND21-23L10W51U34-13618-27-150235-15829-52-2733
9/15/2013CAROLINA24-23W3.5W43.5O33-14927-39-287232-12521-38-1831
9/22/2013@ NY JETS20-27L2.5L40.5O25-12019-42-208041-18216-29-3312
9/29/2013BALTIMORE23-20W3.5W45U55-20310-22-14739-2425-50-3215
10/3/2013@ CLEVELAND24-37L3.5L41O31-15519-40-188132-9115-28-1990
10/13/2013CINCINNATI            
10/20/2013@ MIAMI            
10/27/2013@ NEW ORLEANS            
11/3/2013KANSAS CITY            
11/10/2013@ PITTSBURGH            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BUFFALO is 7-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
BUFFALO is 8-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BUFFALO since 1992
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
BUFFALO is 4-0 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/2/2011BUFFALO20-3 Over171228:3921-8320-34190004-26
 CINCINNATI2342SU ATS32531:2132-17118-36287023-15
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (133-116)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 65.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (128-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 48.6% of the time since 1992. (137-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 42.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (143-154)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 41.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-18)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[G] 10/11/2013 - Mike Pollak probable Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[CB] 10/06/2013 - Brandon Ghee "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Thigh )
[DE] 10/06/2013 - Michael Johnson "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Concussion )
[CB] 10/06/2013 - Leon Hall "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Hamstring )
[DE] 09/18/2013 - Robert Geathers IR ( Elbow )
[WR] 09/05/2013 - Andrew Hawkins IR ( Ankle )
[RB] 09/02/2013 - Bernard Scott PUP ( Knee )
[LB] 09/02/2013 - Brandon Joiner IR ( Undisclosed )
[FB] 09/02/2013 - Chris Pressley PUP ( Knee )
[LB] 09/02/2013 - Emmanuel Lamur IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 09/02/2013 - Sean Porter IR ( Shoulder )
[T] 09/02/2013 - Tanner Hawkinson out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[QB] 09/02/2013 - Zac Robinson PUP ( Elbow )
[DE] 09/02/2013 - DeQuin Evans expected to miss first 8 games ( Suspension )
BUFFALO
[CB] 10/11/2013 - Stephon Gilmore probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Wrist )
[WR] 10/11/2013 - Marquise Goodwin probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Hand )
[CB] 10/11/2013 - Ron Brooks expected to miss Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Foot )
[RB] 10/11/2013 - C.J. Spiller probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/10/2013 - Stevie Johnson "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Back )
[K] 10/07/2013 - Dustin Hopkins IR ( Groin )
[QB] 10/07/2013 - Thad Lewis expected to start Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( None )
[S] 10/06/2013 - Jairus Byrd probable Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Foot )
[QB] 10/06/2013 - E.J. Manuel out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DT] 09/23/2013 - Alex Carrington out for season ( Quad )
[WR] 09/02/2013 - Kevin Elliott IR ( Knee )
[QB] 09/02/2013 - Kevin Kolb IR ( Concussion )
[TE] 09/02/2013 - Mike Caussin IR ( Hip )
[WR] 08/30/2013 - Brad Smith IR ( Ribs )
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