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Matchup Reports

DENVER (9-8) AT NEW ENGLAND (13-3)
Saturday,  Jan 14 2012 at 8:00 PM
AFC Playoffs - Divisional Round
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
111: DENVER
112: NEW ENGLAND
50.0
-14.0
19.9 / 24.3
32.1 / 21.4
9-8
13-3
8-8-1
9-6-1
9-7-1
11-5-0
162.9
110.3
161.9
317.8
324.8
428.0
128.1
116.4
232.2
295.1
360.3
411.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DENVER  
NEW ENGLAND-19 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10 or more points0-10-14-21-01-05-10-10-12-4
in all games8-823-25157-1659-726-22187-1419-821-28191-144
in all lined games8-823-25157-1659-726-22187-1419-821-28191-144
as an underdog7-418-1562-537-416-1762-566-514-1947-73
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points0-10-12-11-01-02-10-10-11-2
in road games6-213-1076-804-413-1088-755-310-1375-90
in road lined games6-213-1076-804-413-1088-755-310-1375-90
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-00-13-50-00-16-30-00-13-6
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-00-17-90-00-19-80-00-19-8
against conference opponents7-618-19121-1226-618-18136-1107-616-21146-107
when playing on a Saturday0-10-111-31-01-07-70-10-110-4
when playing with 6 or less days rest6-617-19108-1249-423-14143-967-615-22139-105
against AFC East division opponents2-23-324-222-23-326-202-23-327-20
in games played on turf1-12-325-292-04-132-221-12-327-29
in January games1-12-29-91-13-113-71-11-39-11
revenging a loss against opponent4-29-844-352-38-842-394-28-950-34
when playing against a team with a winning record3-411-976-626-213-889-484-49-1275-67
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season2-17-346-372-26-554-323-15-645-42

NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10 or more points1-13-617-191-14-418-162-09-035-2
in all games9-627-20183-15011-531-18170-16913-337-13217-129
in all lined games9-627-20183-15011-531-18170-16913-337-13217-129
as a favorite8-621-19106-10510-526-16106-10912-333-10166-54
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points0-01-59-110-03-28-90-06-019-1
in home games4-413-1286-805-317-883-867-123-3122-51
in home lined games4-413-1286-805-317-883-867-123-3122-51
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.53-23-25-43-23-24-44-14-18-1
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.55-46-514-95-46-510-126-37-418-5
against conference opponents8-421-15144-1089-325-12133-12410-227-11163-100
when playing on a Saturday0-10-18-71-01-05-91-01-011-5
against AFC West division opponents4-05-124-212-22-423-234-05-124-22
off a division game4-110-672-602-38-966-685-013-480-55
after a bye week0-10-311-140-11-311-150-12-217-10
in games played on turf4-516-1465-526-320-1164-547-226-681-40
in January games1-03-217-101-05-013-151-02-319-10
off a win against a division rival3-18-446-382-27-645-394-09-456-29
after 2 or more consecutive wins3-513-1074-587-217-870-657-218-798-40
when playing against a team with a winning record3-210-889-642-313-677-803-211-889-71
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season2-07-562-382-011-151-522-07-563-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DENVER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games9-8+4.48-89-719.97.5324.8(5.4)1.824.312.5360.3(5.6)1.1
Road Games5-3+3.76-24-421.97.7328.2(5.4)1.625.012.9370.6(5.8)1.4
Last 3 Games1-2-0.31-22-115.39.0335.3(5.3)2.323.310.0344.0(5.8)0.7
Turf Games0-1-1.50-11-014.07.0293.0(4.5)4.040.017.0351.0(6.4)0.0
DENVER - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)19.97.517.929:4034-163(4.8)13-2750.3%162(6.1)61-325(5.4)(16.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.12030:0627-119(4.4)21-3459.7%236(6.9)62-355(5.8)(15.6)
Offense Road Games21.97.717.530:4237-174(4.7)13-2453.9%154(6.4)61-328(5.4)(15)
Defense (All Games)24.312.519.832:0130-128(4.3)21-3461.8%232(6.9)64-360(5.6)(14.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2311.619.930:1527-116(4.3)21-3461.1%240(7)61-356(5.8)(15.5)
Defense Road Games25.012.919.632:0328-119(4.2)22-3662.2%252(7)64-371(5.8)(14.8)
DENVER - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.81.01.8-0.713-430.8%1-023.1%2-57(23.8)3-37(12.5)6-51
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.51.62.213-539.4%1-039.4%3-68(23.5)23-2(10.5)7-54
Stats For (Road Games)1.10.51.6-0.213-431.5%1-050.0%3-83(23.7)3-36(13.9)6-53
Stats Against (All Games)0.60.51.1 14-534.2%1-030.0%1-29(24.5)3-34(11.5)6-53
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.10.51.6 13-539.0%1-044.5%3-65(23.8)24-2(10.5)7-56
Stats Against (Road Games)0.90.51.4 14-536.7%0-025.0%2-50(23.8)3-41(12.6)7-56

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games13-3+2.69-611-532.114.4428.0(6.5)1.121.410.6411.5(6.4)2.1
Home Games7-1+0.64-45-330.710.5422.6(6.3)1.419.28.5377.1(6)2.4
Last 3 Games3-0+32-13-039.013.7443.7(6.3)0.322.718.0392.0(6.5)3.0
Turf Games7-2-2.24-56-330.811.7430.7(6.4)1.720.98.7385.0(6.1)2.3
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)32.114.424.928:4727-110(4)25-3865.7%318(8.3)66-428(6.5)(13.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.219.430:0028-119(4.3)20-3359.7%226(6.8)61-345(5.7)(15.1)
Offense Home Games30.710.525.029:0928-117(4.1)26-3966.1%305(7.9)67-423(6.3)(13.7)
Defense (All Games)21.410.623.131:1325-116(4.6)24-3962.5%295(7.6)64-411(6.4)(19.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.410.619.430:2427-119(4.3)20-3459.8%227(6.8)61-346(5.7)(16.2)
Defense Home Games19.28.521.930:5026-103(4)24-3764.3%274(7.3)63-377(6)(19.6)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.31.11.112-645.9%1-063.6%3-62(21)2-25(10.3)5-51
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.51.52.113-537.8%1-042.2%3-63(22.6)24-2(10.2)6-55
Stats For (Home Games)0.70.61.41.013-648.1%1-080.0%3-67(21.4)2-27(10.8)5-52
Stats Against (All Games)1.40.72.1 13-543.1%1-042.1%4-81(21.6)2-14(8.6)7-57
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.20.71.9 13-536.8%1-038.7%3-63(23.5)22-2(9.7)6-52
Stats Against (Home Games)1.60.72.4 12-543.9%1-050.0%3-76(22.6)2-18(10.5)6-51
Average power rating of opponents played: DENVER 20.7,  NEW ENGLAND 19.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DENVER - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/17/2011NY JETS17-13W6W38.5U34-1259-21-104128-8324-40-2352
11/27/2011@ SAN DIEGO16-13W4.5W42.5U51-2089-18-141036-18519-36-1590
12/4/2011@ MINNESOTA35-32W1.5W37.5O32-15010-15-186230-12930-48-3603
12/11/2011CHICAGO13-10W-3T36U34-12421-40-221238-15912-19-861
12/18/2011NEW ENGLAND23-41L7L47.5O31-25211-23-141336-14123-34-3100
12/24/2011@ BUFFALO14-40L-3L43.5O35-13313-30-160428-16015-27-1910
1/1/2012KANSAS CITY3-7L-2L37U47-2166-22-50230-10615-29-1751
1/8/2012PITTSBURGH29-23W7.5W34O34-13110-21-316123-15622-40-2441
1/14/2012@ NEW ENGLAND            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/21/2011KANSAS CITY34-3W-17W46.5U35-15715-27-223126-11925-38-2153
11/27/2011@ PHILADELPHIA38-20W-3W51O36-10424-34-353017-7326-48-3931
12/4/2011INDIANAPOLIS31-24W-20L48O24-7329-38-289031-9930-37-3382
12/11/2011@ WASHINGTON34-27W-7T46.5O20-7922-37-352134-17020-33-2932
12/18/2011@ DENVER41-23W-7W47.5O36-14123-34-310031-25211-23-1413
12/24/2011MIAMI27-24W-7L49O31-11927-46-281027-11517-33-2662
1/1/2012BUFFALO49-21W-10W50O29-13824-36-342120-10629-46-2964
1/14/2012DENVER            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
DENVER is 10-5 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
DENVER is 10-5 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
DENVER is 5-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
DENVER is 4-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/18/2011NEW ENGLAND41-7SU ATS272633:4136-14123-34310004-30
 DENVER2347.5 Over162326:1931-25211-23141307-39
10/11/2009NEW ENGLAND17-3 Under171828:2227-9619-33209104-46
 DENVER2041SU ATS72736:2925-10335-48321113-20
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEW ENGLAND in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 52% of the time since 1992. (129-119)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 44.8% of the time since 1992. (116-143)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 48.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-20)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 52.6% of the time since 1992. (144-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (149-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-19)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DENVER
[DT] 09/18/2011 - Ty Warren IR ( Tricep )
[DT] 10/11/2011 - Kevin Vickerson IR ( Ankle )
[FS] 01/12/2012 - Brian Dawkins doubtful Saturday vs. New England ( Neck )
[SS] 01/11/2012 - David Bruton "?" Saturday vs. New England ( Achilles )
[FB] 01/10/2012 - Spencer Larsen IR ( Knee )
[RB] 11/14/2011 - Knowshon Moreno IR ( Knee )
[DB] 09/04/2011 - Syd'Quan Thompson IR ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 01/09/2012 - Eric Decker expected to miss Saturday vs. New England ( Knee )
[CB] 12/11/2011 - Cassius Vaughn IR ( Ankle )
[LS] 01/13/2012 - Lonie Paxton doubtful Saturday vs. New England ( Personal )
[DE] 01/14/2012 - Elvis Dumervil probable Saturday vs. New England ( Knee )
NEW ENGLAND
[DT] 10/13/2011 - Mike Wright IR ( Concussion )
[T] 01/09/2012 - Matt Light probable Saturday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[C] 09/16/2011 - Dan Koppen IR ( Fibula )
[DE] 12/20/2011 - Andre Carter IR ( Knee )
[S] 11/09/2011 - Josh Barrett IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 01/09/2012 - Logan Mankins probable Saturday vs. Denver ( MCL )
[DE] 08/21/2011 - Christian Cox IR ( Neck )
[LB] 11/27/2011 - Jeff Tarpinian IR ( Head )
[DT] 09/21/2011 - Myron Pryor IR ( Groin )
[G] 09/04/2011 - Rich Ohrnberger IR ( Undisclosed )
[T] 01/09/2012 - Sebastian Vollmer probable Saturday vs. Denver ( Back )
[DE] 12/10/2011 - Jermaine Cunningham IR ( Hamstring )
[RB] 01/09/2012 - Shane Vereen probable Saturday vs. Denver ( Hamstring )
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