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Matchup Reports

DENVER (2-2) AT NEW ENGLAND (2-2)
Sunday,  Oct 7 2012  at 4:25 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
429: DENVER
430: NEW ENGLAND
50.5
-5.5
28.5 / 20.8
33.5 / 23.0
2-2
2-2
2-2-0
3-1-0
2-2-0
2-2-0
109.0
144.0
278.0
294.3
387.0
438.3
87.5
86.0
220.5
281.5
308.0
367.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DENVER  
NEW ENGLAND-15
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-08-633-290-08-627-330-05-922-40
in all games2-216-21159-1682-222-15190-1432-215-23193-147
in all lined games2-216-21159-1682-222-15190-1432-215-23193-147
as an underdog0-212-1462-561-115-1164-570-29-1747-76
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-04-022-140-02-212-220-03-115-21
in road games0-18-976-820-19-889-760-16-1175-92
in road lined games0-18-976-820-19-889-760-16-1175-92
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-10-33-70-11-27-40-10-33-8
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-10-37-110-11-210-90-10-39-10
against conference opponents2-114-15123-1242-116-12139-1112-112-17148-109
when playing with 6 or less days rest1-112-16109-1261-120-9145-971-111-18140-107
against AFC East division opponents0-02-424-230-04-227-200-02-427-21
off a division game0-06-567-610-05-666-660-07-481-54
in games played on turf0-11-425-310-14-133-230-11-427-31
in October games0-02-737-370-07-243-330-02-744-34
off a win against a division rival0-03-136-400-01-337-420-03-148-33
in weeks 5 through 90-02-639-430-06-249-330-02-647-38

NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points2-014-862-601-117-665-602-019-499-26
in all games3-123-15187-1532-228-12173-1732-231-9221-132
in all lined games3-123-15187-1532-228-12173-1732-231-9221-132
as a favorite2-118-15109-1081-224-11108-1132-127-8170-56
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-05-427-270-07-229-260-09-042-13
in home games0-19-1087-820-114-684-880-117-3124-52
in home lined games0-19-1087-820-114-684-880-117-3124-52
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-04-26-40-04-25-40-05-19-1
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-07-515-100-07-511-130-08-419-6
against conference opponents3-019-10148-1092-122-8136-1262-124-6167-101
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-115-11145-1152-121-6132-1311-221-6166-101
against AFC West division opponents0-06-025-210-03-324-230-06-025-22
off a division game0-08-373-600-08-467-680-011-181-55
in games played on turf1-112-1167-541-117-766-561-120-484-41
in October games0-05-245-340-03-542-390-07-148-35
off a win against a division rival0-07-247-380-07-346-390-09-157-29
in weeks 5 through 90-03-446-390-03-540-460-05-349-39
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DENVER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-202-22-228.58.7387.0(5.8)1.720.714.2308.0(5)0.7
Road Games0-1-10-10-121.07.0336.0(5.2)4.027.020.0275.0(4.3)0.0
Last 3 Games1-2-11-21-227.79.3404.7(5.7)2.021.315.7316.0(5.3)0.7
DENVER - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.58.723.529:3028-109(3.9)25-3864.3%278(7.2)67-387(5.8)(13.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.3919.528:5326-116(4.6)21-3461.9%216(6.4)59-332(5.6)(14.9)
Offense Road Games21.07.024.027:2027-118(4.4)24-3764.9%218(5.9)64-336(5.2)(16)
Defense (All Games)20.714.219.030:3026-87(3.4)20-3558.6%220(6.3)61-308(5)(14.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.215.12132:0726-90(3.5)25-3766.3%261(7)63-351(5.6)(13.4)
Defense Road Games27.020.022.032:4028-67(2.4)24-3666.7%208(5.8)64-275(4.3)(10.2)
DENVER - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.71.01.7-1.013-646.3%1-066.7%2-37(21)3-26(7.4)7-62
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.91.81.513-644.2%1-060.0%3-66(24.5)26-3(9.5)6-56
Stats For (Road Games)3.01.04.0-4.012-433.3%1-1100.0%2-47(23.5)3-11(3.7)10-96
Stats Against (All Games)0.50.20.7 14-641.4%1-050.0%1-18(18.5)2-11(6.3)7-58
Opponents Avg. Stats For00.30.3 14-644.7%1-061.8%2-41(24.3)23-2(10.4)6-47
Stats Against (Road Games)0.00.00.0 13-538.5%0-00.0%2-47(23.5)1-2(2)8-72

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-2-73-12-233.513.5438.2(6)0.723.09.2367.5(5.9)2.7
Home Games0-1-80-10-118.06.0387.0(5.2)1.020.06.0245.0(4.1)2.0
Last 3 Games1-2-82-12-133.311.0454.3(6.1)1.026.311.3395.3(6.2)3.0
Turf Games1-1-71-11-135.06.5483.5(6.4)1.524.010.0341.5(5.4)4.0
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)33.513.529.031:0834-144(4.2)25-3865.6%294(7.6)73-438(6)(13.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.26.710.723.332:0531-118(3.9)23-3762.7%270(7.2)68-388(5.7)(14.5)
Offense Home Games18.06.025.031:4128-90(3.2)28-4660.9%297(6.5)74-387(5.2)(21.5)
Defense (All Games)23.09.219.728:5225-86(3.4)23-3763.5%281(7.6)62-367(5.9)(16)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.511.318.829:4624-101(4.2)22-3661.0%249(6.9)60-350(5.8)(14.3)
Defense Home Games20.06.016.028:1933-105(3.2)15-2755.6%140(5.2)60-245(4.1)(12.2)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.20.50.72.013-541.5%0-00.0%1-34(22.8)2-19(9.6)5-43
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.91.72.214-639.1%1-055.8%2-51(25.5)28-2(12.1)6-49
Stats For (Home Games)1.00.01.01.015-533.3%0-00.0%2-46(23)2-25(12.5)8-60
Stats Against (All Games)1.51.22.7 13-541.2%1-033.3%3-64(23.2)1-5(7.3)6-55
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.20.82 13-536.2%1-043.1%3-73(25.6)32-2(13.3)7-59
Stats Against (Home Games)0.02.02.0 14-428.6%0-00.0%2-50(25)1-3(3)5-39
Average power rating of opponents played: DENVER 22.2,  NEW ENGLAND 19.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DENVER - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012PITTSBURGH31-19W-3W45O27-9419-26-240126-7522-40-2091
9/17/2012@ ATLANTA21-27L3L49.5U27-11824-37-218428-6724-36-2080
9/23/2012HOUSTON25-31L1.5L43O21-5926-52-316134-15217-30-2842
9/30/2012OAKLAND37-6W-6.5W47U38-16530-39-338116-5619-34-1810
10/7/2012@ NEW ENGLAND            
10/15/2012@ SAN DIEGO            
10/28/2012NEW ORLEANS            
11/4/2012@ CINCINNATI            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012@ TENNESSEE34-13W-5W48U35-16223-31-228016-2029-43-2642
9/16/2012ARIZONA18-20L-13L46.5U28-9028-46-297133-10515-27-1402
9/23/2012@ BALTIMORE30-31L3W48O34-7728-41-319026-12128-39-3821
9/30/2012@ BUFFALO52-28W-3.5W47.5O40-24722-36-333227-9822-39-3406
10/7/2012DENVER            
10/14/2012@ SEATTLE            
10/21/2012NY JETS            
10/28/2012*ST LOUIS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
DENVER is 10-6 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
DENVER is 10-6 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992
DENVER is 4-3 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
1/14/2012DENVER1051 Over71533:2340-1449-26108105-55
 NEW ENGLAND45-14SU ATS353126:3730-14626-34363112-20
12/18/2011NEW ENGLAND41-7SU ATS272633:4136-14123-34310004-30
 DENVER2347.5 Over162326:1931-25211-23141307-39
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DENVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 52.6% of the time since 1992. (133-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 64.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.1% of the time since 1992. (119-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 52.7% of the time since 1992. (147-132)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 63.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (153-133)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-15)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DENVER
[G] 10/05/2012 - Chris Kuper probable Sunday vs. New England ( Forearm )
[LB] 10/05/2012 - D.J. Williams expected to miss first 9 regular season games ( Suspension )
[TE] 09/30/2012 - Virgil Green probable Sunday vs. New England ( Suspension Served )
[DT] 09/10/2012 - Ty Warren IR ( Tricep )
[LB] 10/05/2012 - Nate Irving probable Sunday vs. New England ( Concussion )
[LB] 09/30/2012 - Joe Mays probable Sunday vs. New England ( Suspension Served )
[WR] 10/04/2012 - Matthew Willis probable Sunday vs. New England ( Hamstring )
[S] 09/30/2012 - Quinton Carter IR ( Knee )
[C] 10/01/2012 - J.D. Walton IR ( Ankle )
NEW ENGLAND
[LB] 09/05/2012 - Dane Fletcher out for season ( Knee )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Jake Ballard PUP ( Knee )
[TE] 09/18/2012 - Aaron Hernandez expected to miss 4-6 weeks ( Ankle )
[DE] 09/30/2012 - Justin Francis "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[DE] 09/30/2012 - Brandon Deaderick "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/05/2012 - Julian Edelman expected to miss Sunday vs. Denver ( Hand )
[G] 09/30/2012 - Logan Mankins "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Hip )
[LB] 10/04/2012 - Dont'a Hightower "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Hamstring )
[RB] 10/04/2012 - Brandon Bolden probable Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
[S] 10/05/2012 - Steve Gregory expected to miss Sunday vs. Denver ( Hip )
[TE] 10/04/2012 - Rob Gronkowski probable Sunday vs. Denver ( Hip )
[S] 10/06/2012 - Sterling Moore "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Knee )
[RB] 10/06/2012 - Shane Vereen "?" Sunday vs. Denver ( Foot )
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