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Matchup Reports

HOUSTON (3-2) AT BALTIMORE (3-1)
Sunday,  Oct 16 2011 at 4:05 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
215: HOUSTON
216: BALTIMORE
43.5
-7.0
25.4 / 19.0
29.8 / 14.3
3-2
3-1
3-2-0
3-1-0
1-4-0
4-0-0
132.8
123.8
265.8
234.8
398.6
358.5
105.8
72.5
208.2
212.0
314.0
284.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
HOUSTON  
BALTIMORE-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
HOUSTON - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-14-430-321-04-430-320-12-615-48
in all games3-215-2070-751-417-1975-713-218-1958-91
against conference opponents3-114-1456-550-413-1456-533-114-1442-70
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-213-1661-621-315-1565-582-216-1550-76
against AFC North division opponents1-02-19-100-11-27-121-02-17-12
in games played on a grass field3-112-1661-600-416-1362-603-115-1554-71
in October games1-14-415-190-23-619-171-16-317-19
when playing against a team with a winning record1-05-728-250-18-532-221-06-719-36
in weeks 5 through 90-13-615-240-13-720-190-14-615-26
in all lined games3-215-2070-751-417-1975-713-218-1958-91
as an underdog0-16-950-511-010-455-450-14-1130-73
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-13-310-141-03-311-120-12-47-17
in road games1-18-933-401-18-935-361-18-1022-52
in road lined games1-18-933-401-18-935-361-18-1022-52
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-01-16-80-02-18-60-03-03-12
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points3-112-1532-340-413-1537-303-116-1330-39

BALTIMORE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points2-15-636-303-05-633-322-19-251-16
in all games3-121-17136-1134-019-20119-1353-126-14140-118
in weeks 5 through 90-04-332-310-03-529-370-04-429-37
in all lined games3-121-17136-1134-019-20119-1353-126-14140-118
as a favorite3-116-1173-554-013-1463-663-122-597-34
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-03-020-101-01-216-141-03-024-7
in home games2-010-869-502-09-962-612-015-383-41
in home lined games2-010-869-502-09-962-612-015-383-41
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-03-28-91-02-310-71-04-19-8
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-06-724-241-07-726-241-06-918-34
against conference opponents2-115-14104-873-013-1791-1042-120-11105-94
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-02-011-50-00-27-90-02-011-5
against AFC South division opponents0-11-38-141-02-27-160-11-310-13
after a bye week0-02-010-70-00-27-100-02-010-7
in games played on a grass field2-118-12118-933-014-16101-1142-124-7127-92
in October games1-04-328-281-05-325-321-04-425-33
after 2 or more consecutive wins0-04-635-330-04-725-430-05-733-37
when playing against a team with a winning record1-08-1151-501-08-1247-581-09-1139-67
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
HOUSTON - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-2+0.23-21-425.418.0398.6(6.1)1.219.05.0314.0(5.6)1.6
Road Games1-101-11-128.016.0409.0(6.3)0.526.56.5380.0(6.1)2.0
Last 3 Games1-2-1.81-21-223.313.3421.3(6.4)1.025.07.3342.7(5.9)1.3
Grass Games3-1+1.23-10-423.518.5380.0(5.8)1.213.73.7279.0(5.2)1.5
HOUSTON - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)25.418.020.833:2532-133(4.1)20-3359.8%266(8.1)65-399(6.1)(15.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.512.82130:0426-118(4.6)22-3759.0%257(7)63-375(6)(15.3)
Offense Road Games28.016.020.032:0630-123(4)21-3463.2%285(8.4)64-409(6.3)(14.6)
Defense (All Games)19.05.018.226:3522-106(4.8)18-3452.9%208(6.1)56-314(5.6)(16.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.712.120.730:5626-117(4.5)22-3660.8%253(7.1)62-369(6)(16.3)
Defense Road Games26.56.522.527:5425-126(5.1)21-3758.1%253(6.9)62-380(6.1)(14.3)
HOUSTON - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.21.20.414-641.7%0-050.0%2-66(27.5)3-36(12.1)6-55
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.60.40.9114-643.5%1-044.2%2-53(27.6)30-2(12.7)6-57
Stats For (Road Games)0.50.00.51.514-537.9%1-050.0%2-80(32)2-20(10.2)5-66
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.61.6 12-434.4%1-025.0%3-72(25.7)2-24(10.2)6-48
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.71.5 13-541.9%1-051.1%3-57(22.8)20-2(10.6)6-54
Stats Against (Road Games)1.50.52.0 12-648.0%0-00.0%3-90(25.7)2-22(9)3-23

BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-1+0.83-14-029.721.2358.5(5.6)1.714.28.5284.5(4.7)3.5
Home Games2-0+22-02-034.524.0326.0(5)1.512.012.0231.0(4.2)5.5
Last 3 Games2-1-0.22-13-028.021.3349.7(5.4)2.316.79.0275.3(4.5)2.3
Grass Games2-1-0.22-13-027.319.3293.7(4.9)2.016.711.3298.0(4.9)4.0
BALTIMORE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.721.218.231:1928-124(4.3)17-3549.3%235(6.7)63-358(5.6)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.513.319.531:1029-132(4.5)20-3458.2%204(6)63-336(5.3)(15)
Offense Home Games34.524.016.534:5935-141(4)13-3045.0%185(6.2)65-326(5)(9.4)
Defense (All Games)14.28.516.228:4022-72(3.2)20-3752.7%212(5.7)60-284(4.7)(20)
Opponents Offensive Avg.19.39.117.729:5023-86(3.7)21-3658.2%236(6.5)60-322(5.4)(16.7)
Defense Home Games12.012.013.525:0017-52(3)16-3843.4%179(4.7)55-231(4.2)(19.2)
BALTIMORE - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.71.01.71.715-537.3%0-050.0%2-72(28.8)2-19(9.4)6-49
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.51.41.114-641.8%1-037.3%2-56(22.3)17-2(7.8)6-53
Stats For (Home Games)0.51.01.54.017-638.2%0-00.0%2-43(21.5)0-8(16)7-60
Stats Against (All Games)1.52.03.5 14-432.7%1-040.0%2-72(41.3)2-9(5.1)7-77
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.811.8 14-537.9%1-048.2%2-69(27.9)21-2(9.2)7-62
Stats Against (Home Games)2.03.55.5 12-329.2%1-00.0%2-119(47.6)2-9(4.7)7-61
Average power rating of opponents played: HOUSTON 22.2,  BALTIMORE 21
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
HOUSTON - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/11/2011INDIANAPOLIS34-7W-8.5W44U41-16717-24-217316-6416-31-1722
9/18/2011@ MIAMI23-13W-3W47U36-13821-29-207028-15312-30-1532
9/25/2011@ NEW ORLEANS33-40L4L52O25-10922-39-364122-10031-44-3542
10/2/2011PITTSBURGH17-10W-4W46.5U35-18014-21-138022-11816-30-1781
10/9/2011OAKLAND20-25L-4.5L48U25-7024-51-403222-9415-35-1841
10/16/2011@ BALTIMORE            
10/23/2011@ TENNESSEE            
10/30/2011JACKSONVILLE            
11/6/2011CLEVELAND            
11/13/2011@ TAMPA BAY            

BALTIMORE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/11/2011PITTSBURGH35-7W-1W37O31-17017-29-215016-6622-41-2467
9/18/2011@ TENNESSEE13-26L-5.5L38.5O17-4515-32-184329-7430-42-3581
9/25/2011@ ST LOUIS37-7W-5W42O26-16827-48-385126-11216-32-1322
10/2/2011NY JETS34-17W-5W43O40-11210-31-155319-3811-35-1124
10/16/2011HOUSTON            
10/24/2011@ JACKSONVILLE            
10/30/2011ARIZONA            
11/6/2011@ PITTSBURGH            
11/13/2011@ SEATTLE            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1992
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BALTIMORE since 1992
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/13/2010BALTIMORE34-3SU ATS211931:1824-6322-33190003-15
 HOUSTON2847 Over72831:4722-11131-62378028-51
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALTIMORE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 50.9% of the time since 1992. (57-55)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 50.8% of the time since 1992. (98-95)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 67.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 46.2% of the time since 1992. (60-70)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 42.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 57.2% of the time since 1992. (119-89)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 61.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
HOUSTON
[G] 08/31/2011 - Kasey Studdard IR ( Ankle )
[T] 09/22/2011 - Rashad Butler IR ( Tricep )
[RB] 10/12/2011 - Derrick Ward probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Ankle )
[CB] 09/17/2011 - Rashad Carmichael IR ( Shoulder )
[OL] 08/31/2011 - Shelley Smith IR ( Ankle )
[WR] 10/10/2011 - Andre Johnson expected to miss Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Hamstring )
[LB] 10/15/2011 - Tim Dobbins probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Hamstring )
[DE] 10/10/2011 - Mario Williams out for season ( Pectoral )
[TE] 10/10/2011 - James Casey out indefinitely ( Pectoral )
[WR] 10/12/2011 - Derrick Mason has been acquired from the Jets ( Acquired )
[QB] 10/12/2011 - Matt Schaub probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Shoulder )
BALTIMORE
[WR] 10/14/2011 - Lee Evans expected to miss Sunday vs. Houston ( Ankle )
[CB] 09/28/2011 - Domonique Foxworth IR ( Knee )
[RB] 08/31/2011 - Matt Lawrence IR ( Concussion )
[T] 09/03/2011 - Ramon Harewood IR ( Ankle )
[G] 10/15/2011 - Ben Grubbs "?" Sunday vs. Houston ( Toe )
[CB] 10/11/2011 - Jimmy Smith expected to miss Sunday vs. Houston ( Ankle )
[LB] 09/13/2011 - Michael McAdoo IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/14/2011 - Dannell Ellerbe probable Sunday vs. Houston ( Hamstring )
[FS] 10/14/2011 - Haruki Nakamura probable Sunday vs. Houston ( Leg )
[WR] 10/14/2011 - David Reed probable Sunday vs. Houston ( Shoulder )
[CB] 10/13/2011 - Chris Carr expected to miss Sunday vs. Houston ( Thigh )
[SS] 10/13/2011 - Tom Zbikowski expected to miss Sunday vs. Houston ( Concussion )
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