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Matchup Reports

MIAMI (4-5) AT BUFFALO (3-6)
Thursday,  Nov 15 2012 at 8:20 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
305: MIAMI
306: BUFFALO
46.0
-1.0
19.2 / 20.7
23.4 / 31.7
4-5
3-6
4-4-1
4-5-0
3-5-1
6-3-0
103.9
143.6
220.0
215.6
323.9
359.1
93.7
163.7
278.6
246.3
372.2
410.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
BUFFALO0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -33-113-776-682-29-1264-863-212-1075-78
in all games4-421-18161-1713-514-26148-1894-517-24176-167
in all lined games4-421-18161-1713-514-26148-1894-517-24176-167
as an underdog4-115-984-743-210-1471-913-39-1661-103
as a road underdog of 3 points or less2-05-025-210-11-319-312-04-122-29
in road games3-215-689-761-35-1575-912-310-1175-95
in road lined games3-215-689-761-35-1575-912-310-1175-95
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-15-325-180-22-617-261-14-419-24
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-210-954-410-37-1236-591-27-1249-47
against conference opponents3-315-14125-1282-412-18115-1403-413-18135-126
when playing on a Thursday0-01-15-30-00-22-60-00-24-4
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-316-14119-1313-410-21106-1453-411-20130-124
versus division opponents1-06-661-791-07-671-721-16-871-76
in games played on turf3-19-240-381-24-635-402-26-536-42
in November games0-26-443-420-22-835-510-25-547-40
after 2 or more consecutive losses1-05-432-350-11-831-391-03-632-39
when playing against a team with a losing record1-14-742-620-12-851-521-14-760-45
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season0-12-524-400-12-533-310-12-540-25
in weeks 10 through 130-16-338-400-13-633-460-15-444-36

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-15-959-602-19-850-772-16-1161-67
in all games4-517-21165-1636-324-17169-1703-613-28162-179
in all lined games4-517-21165-1636-324-17169-1703-613-28162-179
as a favorite2-13-677-752-15-582-752-15-5105-53
as a home favorite of 3 points or less1-01-320-151-02-315-231-02-323-15
in home games1-26-1082-763-010-885-791-27-1194-71
in home lined games1-26-1082-763-010-885-791-27-1194-71
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-03-312-91-03-49-131-03-411-11
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points3-49-1240-414-311-1237-463-46-1732-52
against conference opponents3-414-17120-1305-219-12125-1302-59-22116-141
when playing on a Thursday0-00-01-20-00-01-20-00-01-2
when playing with 6 or less days rest4-314-17128-1325-220-14138-1343-411-23129-143
versus division opponents1-25-1066-773-010-567-780-32-1364-82
off a division game1-13-961-732-09-369-681-12-1061-76
in games played on turf3-311-15110-1135-118-10123-1082-410-18121-111
in November games1-14-441-381-14-640-440-22-839-45
off a loss against a division rival1-13-735-362-08-237-361-12-833-40
after 2 or more consecutive losses2-08-639-361-18-838-401-14-1234-44
when playing against a team with a losing record0-23-751-492-07-455-470-24-762-42
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season0-02-432-240-03-432-260-03-432-26
in weeks 10 through 131-04-440-351-05-442-370-12-736-43
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-5-2.94-43-519.210.0323.9(5.3)1.920.79.6372.2(5.5)1.2
Road Games2-3-1.23-21-319.612.0327.0(5.5)2.219.88.6362.2(5.3)1.4
Last 3 Games1-2-3.31-20-217.713.3285.3(5.1)1.723.012.3390.7(5.6)0.7
Turf Games2-0+2.32-00-123.513.5257.5(4.4)1.511.03.0330.5(4.8)2.5
Division Games1-101-01-025.015.0308.5(4.5)1.516.01.5375.5(4.9)2.0
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)19.210.017.429:2428-104(3.7)20-3358.9%220(6.6)61-324(5.3)(16.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.411.420.131:3728-123(4.4)21-3462.1%224(6.7)62-347(5.6)(14.2)
Offense Road Games19.612.017.028:3627-83(3.1)20-3359.4%244(7.4)60-327(5.5)(16.7)
Defense (All Games)20.79.620.332:1925-94(3.7)24-4256.3%279(6.6)67-372(5.5)(18)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2110.919.130:2026-103(3.9)21-3659.2%232(6.5)62-335(5.4)(15.9)
Defense Road Games19.88.621.032:4323-79(3.4)27-4559.4%284(6.3)68-362(5.3)(18.3)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.91.9-0.714-536.3%1-037.5%2-67(27.3)2-29(12.3)6-48
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.61.51.813-538.6%1-056.7%3-70(25.3)24-2(10)6-55
Stats For (Road Games)1.01.22.2-0.813-431.7%1-016.7%3-73(28.1)2-28(13.8)5-48
Stats Against (All Games)0.90.31.2 16-534.5%1-190.0%3-56(22)3-30(9.2)7-62
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 14-536.9%1-160.1%3-64(23.7)21-2(9.4)7-56
Stats Against (Road Games)1.00.41.4 17-637.3%1-183.3%3-68(24.2)2-17(7.8)6-56

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-6-34-56-323.412.3359.1(6)2.331.713.3410.0(6.4)1.2
Home Games1-2-1.81-23-032.318.3399.7(6.7)2.734.79.3464.0(6.9)1.7
Last 3 Games0-3-3.81-22-124.714.3390.3(6.5)2.031.017.3370.3(6)0.0
Turf Games1-4-3.82-35-031.215.8414.0(6.8)3.037.815.8424.6(6.4)1.2
Division Games0-3-31-23-029.012.7436.3(6.8)4.345.719.3437.0(6.4)1.0
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.412.319.629:2927-144(5.3)21-3362.3%216(6.5)60-359(6)(15.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.510.819.630:1928-115(4.1)21-3461.4%232(6.8)62-347(5.6)(15.5)
Offense Home Games32.318.318.729:3829-155(5.3)20-3163.4%245(7.9)60-400(6.7)(12.4)
Defense (All Games)31.713.323.830:5630-164(5.5)21-3461.9%246(7.2)64-410(6.4)(12.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.411.521.231:3929-125(4.3)21-3560.6%227(6.4)64-352(5.5)(15.1)
Defense Home Games34.79.326.330:2230-198(6.5)22-3760.4%266(7.2)67-464(6.9)(13.4)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.21.12.3-1.112-542.1%0-075.0%2-64(26.3)1-28(19.5)7-53
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.81.8213-537.9%1-050.0%3-68(24.1)20-2(10.2)6-53
Stats For (Home Games)1.71.02.7-1.013-751.3%0-00.0%2-72(35.8)1-33(32.7)5-44
Stats Against (All Games)0.70.61.2 13-647.4%1-066.7%3-57(22.1)2-32(15)5-44
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.71.5 14-640.0%1-055.9%3-70(24.4)26-2(10.6)6-54
Stats Against (Home Games)0.31.31.7 13-646.2%1-050.0%3-59(22)2-25(15)3-23
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 17.1,  BUFFALO 21.3
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/16/2012OAKLAND35-13W1.5W41O43-26318-30-189014-2324-48-3731
9/23/2012NY JETS20-23L3T40.5O43-18516-36-196233-8821-45-3002
9/30/2012@ ARIZONA21-24L4W39O29-8626-41-394415-2829-48-2692
10/7/2012@ CINCINNATI17-13W3W45U35-6817-26-211219-8026-43-2183
10/14/2012ST LOUIS17-14W-5.5L37.5U18-1921-29-173027-16226-39-3001
10/28/2012@ NY JETS30-9W1W39P33-9713-24-139121-10528-54-2582
11/4/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS20-23L-3L43.5U18-8422-38-281026-9730-48-4190
11/11/2012TENNESSEE3-37L-7L44U15-5423-39-201437-1779-22-1160
11/15/2012@ BUFFALO            
11/25/2012SEATTLE            
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND            
12/9/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO            

BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/16/2012KANSAS CITY35-17W-3W45O36-20110-19-178024-15023-42-2723
9/23/2012@ CLEVELAND24-14W-3W45U34-13822-35-206113-3327-43-2072
9/30/2012NEW ENGLAND28-52L3.5L47.5O27-9822-39-340640-24722-36-3332
10/7/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO3-45L10L45.5O19-8916-26-115238-31119-25-3101
10/14/2012@ ARIZONA19-16W5.5W44.5U33-16518-33-141230-18216-36-1502
10/21/2012TENNESSEE34-35L-4.5L46.5O24-16627-35-216227-19722-33-1930
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON9-21L11L48U16-7825-38-230132-11819-27-2560
11/11/2012@ NEW ENGLAND31-37L13.5W54O28-16227-40-319329-11723-38-2300
11/15/2012MIAMI            
11/25/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS            
12/2/2012JACKSONVILLE            
12/9/2012ST LOUIS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BUFFALO is 23-20 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
BUFFALO is 22-21 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
24 of 43 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BUFFALO since 1992
BUFFALO is 11-9 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
BUFFALO is 12-8 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/18/2011MIAMI3043SU ATS131728:4938-25410-20194305-62
 BUFFALO230 Over72131:1119-11331-472910311-92
11/20/2011BUFFALO844 Under61428:5419-4121-44206023-27
 MIAMI35-3SU ATS281631:0635-9514-20147004-50
12/19/2010BUFFALO1740SU ATS101528:3727-7116-26211015-44
 MIAMI14-6 Under72231:2319-6533-45261114-35
9/12/2010MIAMI15-3SU ATS101936:5336-13221-34164003-15
 BUFFALO1039 Under3923:0717-5018-34116005-35
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.2% of the time since 1992. (130-134)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 62.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 48.8% of the time since 1992. (126-132)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-17)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 54.2% of the time since 1992. (154-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (138-149)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 40.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-22)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[G] 09/06/2012 - Artis Hicks IR ( Neck )
[CB] 11/14/2012 - Richard Marshall IR ( Back )
[LB] 11/15/2012 - Karlos Dansby probable Thursday vs. Buffalo ( Bicep )
[WR] 11/15/2012 - Brian Hartline probable Thursday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[TE] 11/15/2012 - Jeron Mastrud "?" Thursday vs. Buffalo ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/15/2012 - Jabar Gaffney "?" Thursday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
BUFFALO
[DT] 09/05/2012 - Torell Troup IR ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Mike Caussin PUP ( Knee )
[WR] 09/10/2012 - David Nelson IR ( ACL )
[DE] 10/10/2012 - Mark Anderson out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 10/10/2012 - Colin Brown IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 10/22/2012 - Chad Rinehart out indefinitely ( Leg )
[CB] 11/07/2012 - Terrence McGee IR ( Knee )
[T] 11/07/2012 - Erik Pears IR ( Hip )
[CB] 11/15/2012 - Aaron Williams expected to miss Thursday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[DE] 11/15/2012 - Chris Kelsay expected to miss Thursday vs. Miami ( Neck )
[RB] 11/12/2012 - Fred Jackson is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. Miami ( Head )
[DT] 11/13/2012 - Marcell Dareus probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Shoulder )
[CB] 11/13/2012 - Leodis McKelvin probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Groin )
[DT] 11/13/2012 - Kyle Williams probable Thursday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
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