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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points | 1-0 | 7-5 | 34-33 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 32-36 | 0-2 | 3-10 | 21-47 | | in all games | 7-6 | 24-20 | 164-173 | 5-9 | 16-30 | 150-193 | 7-8 | 20-27 | 179-170 | | after 2 or more consecutive wins | 1-1 | 3-2 | 40-47 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 38-48 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 42-47 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-3 | 13-8 | 79-69 | 3-4 | 9-14 | 65-86 | 3-4 | 10-13 | 69-84 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 1-1 | 7-3 | 48-46 | 2-1 | 6-6 | 38-58 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 42-55 | | in the last 4 weeks of the regular season | 2-1 | 5-5 | 35-45 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 38-43 | 2-1 | 5-6 | 41-42 | | in all lined games | 7-6 | 24-20 | 164-173 | 5-9 | 16-30 | 150-193 | 7-8 | 20-27 | 179-170 | | as an underdog | 5-3 | 16-11 | 85-76 | 5-4 | 12-16 | 73-93 | 4-6 | 10-19 | 62-106 | | as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-8 | | in road games | 3-4 | 15-8 | 89-78 | 2-4 | 6-16 | 76-92 | 2-5 | 10-13 | 75-97 | | in road lined games | 3-4 | 15-8 | 89-78 | 2-4 | 6-16 | 76-92 | 2-5 | 10-13 | 75-97 | | in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points | 0-1 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5-6 | | in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points | 2-3 | 11-10 | 55-42 | 0-5 | 7-14 | 36-61 | 2-3 | 8-13 | 50-48 | | against conference opponents | 5-4 | 17-15 | 127-129 | 2-8 | 12-22 | 115-144 | 5-6 | 15-20 | 137-128 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 5-5 | 18-16 | 121-133 | 4-8 | 11-25 | 107-149 | 5-7 | 13-23 | 132-127 | | versus division opponents | 2-1 | 7-7 | 62-80 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 71-75 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 72-78 | | off a division game | 2-2 | 6-7 | 66-70 | 3-1 | 6-8 | 62-76 | 1-3 | 4-10 | 77-62 | | in games played on turf | 3-2 | 9-3 | 40-39 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 35-41 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 36-43 | | in December games | 2-1 | 6-5 | 37-51 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 41-48 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 44-47 | | revenging a loss against opponent | 2-1 | 9-3 | 51-46 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 36-61 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 48-53 | | off a win against a division rival | 0-1 | 3-2 | 34-32 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 22-45 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 39-28 |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points | 7-2 | 19-10 | 67-62 | 8-2 | 24-7 | 72-61 | 8-2 | 25-6 | 105-28 | | in all games | 8-6 | 28-20 | 192-158 | 11-4 | 37-14 | 182-175 | 11-4 | 40-11 | 230-134 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-2 | 10-5 | 51-47 | 3-2 | 12-5 | 46-54 | 5-0 | 16-1 | 80-23 | | when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season | 1-2 | 7-4 | 34-33 | 2-2 | 9-4 | 35-33 | 4-0 | 13-0 | 58-12 | | in the last 4 weeks of the regular season | 1-2 | 6-4 | 49-30 | 2-1 | 9-2 | 44-36 | 2-1 | 10-1 | 58-24 | | in all lined games | 8-6 | 28-20 | 192-158 | 11-4 | 37-14 | 182-175 | 11-4 | 40-11 | 230-134 | | as a favorite | 7-6 | 23-20 | 114-113 | 10-4 | 33-13 | 117-115 | 11-3 | 36-10 | 179-58 | | as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 3-2 | 14-12 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 12-14 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 22-4 | | in home games | 3-4 | 12-13 | 90-85 | 6-1 | 20-6 | 90-88 | 5-2 | 22-4 | 129-53 | | in home lined games | 3-4 | 12-13 | 90-85 | 6-1 | 20-6 | 90-88 | 5-2 | 22-4 | 129-53 | | in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points | 0-3 | 1-7 | 8-23 | 2-1 | 5-3 | 15-16 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 20-11 | | in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points | 5-4 | 17-12 | 62-67 | 7-2 | 24-7 | 66-66 | 5-4 | 25-6 | 84-50 | | against conference opponents | 7-3 | 23-13 | 152-112 | 8-3 | 28-10 | 142-128 | 10-1 | 32-6 | 175-101 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 6-5 | 19-15 | 149-119 | 9-2 | 28-7 | 139-132 | 7-4 | 27-8 | 172-103 | | versus division opponents | 2-2 | 10-7 | 82-59 | 4-1 | 16-2 | 71-72 | 5-0 | 15-3 | 94-54 | | in games played on turf | 5-5 | 16-15 | 71-58 | 9-1 | 25-7 | 74-56 | 7-3 | 26-6 | 90-43 | | in December games | 1-2 | 5-5 | 50-32 | 2-2 | 9-3 | 45-39 | 3-1 | 11-1 | 63-23 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 7-8 | -2.6 | 7-6 | 5-9 | 19.2 | 9.4 | 315.2 | (5.3) | 1.6 | 19.3 | 9.4 | 351.0 | (5.5) | 1.1 | | Road Games | 2-5 | -3.2 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 17.9 | 10.0 | 292.3 | (5) | 2.1 | 20.7 | 9.7 | 344.7 | (5.4) | 1.0 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 20.3 | 9.0 | 305.7 | (5.1) | 0.7 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 333.7 | (5.9) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 2-1 | +1.3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 20.3 | 11.3 | 233.0 | (4.1) | 2.0 | 13.7 | 8.3 | 314.0 | (4.8) | 1.7 | | Division Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 20.8 | 12.2 | 275.8 | (4.5) | 1.4 | 16.8 | 8.4 | 346.8 | (5) | 1.8 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 19.2 | 9.4 | 18.1 | 29:18 | 28-116 | (4.1) | 18-31 | 58.2% | 199 | (6.4) | 60-315 | (5.3) | (16.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 23.5 | 11.4 | 20 | 30:29 | 28-124 | (4.4) | 20-34 | 59.9% | 222 | (6.5) | 62-345 | (5.5) | (14.7) | | Offense Road Games | 17.9 | 10.0 | 16.9 | 28:12 | 26-81 | (3.2) | 18-32 | 57.1% | 211 | (6.5) | 58-292 | (5) | (16.4) | | Defense (All Games) | 19.3 | 9.4 | 19.5 | 31:44 | 26-104 | (4) | 22-38 | 58.7% | 247 | (6.6) | 64-351 | (5.5) | (18.2) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 21.7 | 11 | 19.4 | 30:22 | 28-119 | (4.3) | 20-34 | 59.6% | 218 | (6.4) | 62-337 | (5.4) | (15.5) | | Defense Road Games | 20.7 | 9.7 | 20.4 | 32:44 | 25-95 | (3.8) | 24-39 | 61.3% | 249 | (6.4) | 64-345 | (5.4) | (16.6) |
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| Stats For (All Games) | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | -0.5 | 13-5 | 37.6% | 1-0 | 35.7% | 2-69 | (28.1) | 2-22 | (11.1) | 5-48 | | Opponents Avg. Stats Against | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 13-5 | 38.0% | 1-0 | 49.2% | 3-67 | (24.1) | 24-2 | (10.3) | 6-52 | | Stats For (Road Games) | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | -1.1 | 12-4 | 32.6% | 1-0 | 22.2% | 3-100 | (30.4) | 2-26 | (11.9) | 5-50 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | | 15-5 | 35.6% | 1-1 | 71.4% | 2-58 | (24.1) | 3-30 | (11.6) | 8-66 | | Opponents Avg. Stats For | 1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | | 13-5 | 36.3% | 1-0 | 51.2% | 3-65 | (23.8) | 22-2 | (10.2) | 6-55 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | | 15-5 | 33.3% | 1-1 | 83.3% | 3-70 | (24.6) | 2-28 | (13.1) | 7-61 |
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| All Games | 11-4 | -1.4 | 8-6 | 11-4 | 35.3 | 17.9 | 426.9 | (5.9) | 1.1 | 22.1 | 9.9 | 381.5 | (6) | 2.6 | | Home Games | 5-2 | -4.7 | 3-4 | 6-1 | 35.7 | 15.9 | 420.6 | (5.7) | 1.1 | 25.3 | 10.6 | 383.6 | (5.7) | 2.4 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +0.3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 33.0 | 12.3 | 429.3 | (5.7) | 2.3 | 23.7 | 10.0 | 380.7 | (5.7) | 2.0 | | Turf Games | 7-3 | -4.4 | 5-5 | 9-1 | 37.4 | 17.0 | 447.4 | (6) | 1.3 | 24.8 | 10.1 | 389.6 | (6) | 3.0 | | Division Games | 5-0 | +5 | 2-2 | 4-1 | 38.0 | 19.8 | 420.8 | (5.9) | 1.0 | 24.0 | 10.8 | 400.8 | (6.1) | 3.4 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 35.3 | 17.9 | 27.7 | 30:37 | 32-134 | (4.2) | 25-40 | 62.7% | 292 | (7.2) | 73-427 | (5.9) | (12.1) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 22.8 | 11.3 | 20 | 31:46 | 28-123 | (4.3) | 20-34 | 59.0% | 219 | (6.4) | 63-342 | (5.5) | (15) | | Offense Home Games | 35.7 | 15.9 | 28.1 | 30:26 | 32-133 | (4.1) | 26-42 | 61.8% | 288 | (6.9) | 74-421 | (5.7) | (11.8) | | Defense (All Games) | 22.1 | 9.9 | 21.6 | 29:53 | 27-106 | (4) | 23-37 | 62.4% | 276 | (7.4) | 64-381 | (6) | (17.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 21.5 | 10.5 | 19.1 | 30:11 | 28-119 | (4.3) | 20-33 | 59.6% | 214 | (6.4) | 61-333 | (5.4) | (15.5) | | Defense Home Games | 25.3 | 10.6 | 23.6 | 30:38 | 29-120 | (4.1) | 23-38 | 62.0% | 263 | (7) | 67-384 | (5.7) | (15.2) |
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| Stats For (All Games) | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 14-7 | 48.6% | 1-0 | 66.7% | 3-54 | (20.7) | 3-32 | (12.2) | 6-53 | | Opponents Avg. Stats Against | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 13-5 | 37.1% | 1-0 | 51.6% | 3-63 | (24) | 25-2 | (10.2) | 6-54 | | Stats For (Home Games) | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 14-7 | 48.0% | 1-1 | 71.4% | 4-81 | (22.7) | 3-34 | (13.4) | 6-62 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.6 | | 13-5 | 40.1% | 1-1 | 40.9% | 4-79 | (20.8) | 1-9 | (6.4) | 7-62 | | Opponents Avg. Stats For | 1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | | 13-5 | 36.5% | 1-0 | 49.2% | 3-68 | (24.7) | 23-2 | (10.2) | 6-55 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | | 14-6 | 45.3% | 1-0 | 42.9% | 4-80 | (20.7) | 1-7 | (4.8) | 6-62 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 18.3, NEW ENGLAND 18.8 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 11/4/2012 | @ INDIANAPOLIS | 20-23 | L | -3 | L | 43.5 | U | 18-84 | 22-38-281 | 0 | 26-97 | 30-48-419 | 0 | | 11/11/2012 | TENNESSEE | 3-37 | L | -7 | L | 44 | U | 15-54 | 23-39-201 | 4 | 37-177 | 9-22-116 | 0 | | 11/15/2012 | @ BUFFALO | 14-19 | L | 3 | L | 46 | U | 24-60 | 14-28-124 | 3 | 31-120 | 17-27-161 | 0 | | 11/25/2012 | SEATTLE | 24-21 | W | 3 | W | 37.5 | O | 28-189 | 18-26-246 | 1 | 27-96 | 21-27-216 | 0 | | 12/2/2012 | NEW ENGLAND | 16-23 | L | 7 | T | 51 | U | 27-101 | 13-29-176 | 1 | 32-108 | 24-40-213 | 1 | | 12/9/2012 | @ SAN FRANCISCO | 13-27 | L | 11 | L | 38.5 | O | 22-94 | 17-33-133 | 1 | 28-155 | 18-23-166 | 0 | | 12/16/2012 | JACKSONVILLE | 24-3 | W | -7 | W | 38.5 | U | 36-180 | 22-29-209 | 1 | 21-86 | 18-34-213 | 0 | | 12/23/2012 | BUFFALO | 24-10 | W | -5 | W | 43 | U | 35-182 | 13-25-119 | 0 | 28-154 | 20-35-227 | 4 | | 12/30/2012 | @ NEW ENGLAND | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 11/11/2012 | BUFFALO | 37-31 | W | -13.5 | L | 54 | O | 29-117 | 23-38-230 | 0 | 28-162 | 27-40-319 | 3 | | 11/18/2012 | INDIANAPOLIS | 59-24 | W | -10 | W | 54 | O | 25-115 | 24-35-331 | 0 | 24-119 | 27-50-329 | 4 | | 11/22/2012 | @ NY JETS | 49-19 | W | -7 | W | 48.5 | O | 39-152 | 18-28-323 | 1 | 29-119 | 26-36-286 | 5 | | 12/2/2012 | @ MIAMI | 23-16 | W | -7 | T | 51 | U | 32-108 | 24-40-213 | 1 | 27-101 | 13-29-176 | 1 | | 12/10/2012 | HOUSTON | 42-14 | W | -5.5 | W | 50.5 | O | 33-130 | 21-36-289 | 1 | 27-100 | 21-36-223 | 1 | | 12/16/2012 | SAN FRANCISCO | 34-41 | L | -4 | L | 47.5 | O | 24-95 | 36-65-425 | 4 | 39-180 | 14-25-203 | 2 | | 12/23/2012 | @ JACKSONVILLE | 23-16 | W | -13.5 | L | 51.5 | U | 27-103 | 24-41-246 | 2 | 23-93 | 29-51-343 | 3 | | 12/30/2012 | MIAMI | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| NEW ENGLAND is 21-19 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 | | NEW ENGLAND is 23-19 straight up against MIAMI since 1992 | | 21 of 41 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| NEW ENGLAND is 11-9 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 | | NEW ENGLAND is 14-7 straight up against MIAMI since 1992 | | 11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 12/2/2012 | NEW ENGLAND | 23 | -7 | SU | 17 | 25 | 33:24 | 32-108 | 24-40 | 213 | 0 | 1 | 6-50 | | | MIAMI | 16 | 51 | Under | 10 | 15 | 26:36 | 27-101 | 13-29 | 176 | 1 | 0 | 8-92 | | 12/24/2011 | MIAMI | 24 | 49 | ATS | 17 | 20 | 29:04 | 27-115 | 17-33 | 266 | 1 | 1 | 6-39 | | | NEW ENGLAND | 27 | -7 | SU Over | 0 | 26 | 30:56 | 31-119 | 27-46 | 281 | 0 | 0 | 5-50 | | 9/12/2011 | NEW ENGLAND | 38 | -7 | SU ATS | 14 | 27 | 28:27 | 22-106 | 32-48 | 516 | 0 | 1 | 7-50 | | | MIAMI | 24 | 46.5 | Over | 7 | 25 | 31:33 | 20-98 | 30-49 | 390 | 0 | 1 | 8-60 | | 1/2/2011 | MIAMI | 7 | 44 | Over | 0 | 16 | 23:41 | 16-44 | 16-37 | 206 | 1 | 1 | 5-40 | | | NEW ENGLAND | 38 | -4 | SU ATS | 24 | 24 | 36:19 | 45-181 | 17-29 | 321 | 1 | 0 | 5-72 | | 10/4/2010 | NEW ENGLAND | 41 | 48.5 | SU ATS | 6 | 19 | 27:43 | 32-119 | 19-24 | 146 | 0 | 0 | 3-31 | | | MIAMI | 14 | 0 | Over | 7 | 23 | 32:17 | 20-95 | 31-45 | 305 | 0 | 4 | 6-40 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (132-135) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 62.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-13) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.6% of the time since 1992. (124-148) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-18) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (154-134) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-19) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 52.5% of the time since 1992. (155-140) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-22) | |
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| [T] 12/27/2012 - Artis Hicks IR ( Neck ) | | [CB] 12/27/2012 - Richard Marshall IR ( Back ) | | [T] 12/27/2012 - Jake Long IR ( Tricep ) | | [LB] 12/27/2012 - Koa Misi probable Sunday vs. New England ( Ankle ) | | [WR] 12/28/2012 - Davone Bess expected to miss Sunday vs. New England ( Back ) | | [S] 12/27/2012 - Kelcie McCray IR ( Foot ) | | [RB] 12/27/2012 - Daniel Thomas IR ( Knee ) | | [FB] 12/27/2012 - Charles Clay IR ( Knee ) | | [K] 12/27/2012 - Dan Carpenter IR ( Groin ) | | [CB] 12/27/2012 - Sean Smith probable Sunday vs. New England ( Knee ) | | [S] 12/28/2012 - Reshad Jones probable Sunday vs. New England ( Hip ) | | [CB] 12/27/2012 - Nolan Carroll Jr. probable Sunday vs. New England ( Knee ) | | [DT] 12/28/2012 - Randy Starks probable Sunday vs. New England ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/29/2012 - Josh Samuda "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Shoulder ) | |
| [LB] 12/27/2012 - Dane Fletcher IR ( Knee ) | | [TE] 12/27/2012 - Jake Ballard PUP ( Pectoral ) | | [CB] 12/27/2012 - Ras-I Dowling IR ( Thigh ) | | [TE] 12/29/2012 - Rob Gronkowski is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Forearm ) | | [WR] 12/27/2012 - Julian Edelman IR ( Foot ) | | [CB] 12/30/2012 - Alfonzo Dennard expected to miss Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee ) | | [LB] 12/30/2012 - Brandon Spikes probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Undisclosed ) | | [WR] 12/27/2012 - Donte Stallworth IR ( Ankle ) | | [DB] 12/29/2012 - Marquice Cole doubtful Sunday vs. Miami ( Shin ) |
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