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Matchup Reports

MIAMI (7-8) AT NEW ENGLAND (11-4)
Sunday,  Dec 30 2012 at 4:25 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
303: MIAMI
304: NEW ENGLAND
48.0
-11.5
19.2 / 19.3
35.3 / 22.1
7-8
11-4
7-6-2
8-6-1
5-9-1
11-4-0
116.1
134.5
199.1
292.4
315.2
426.9
104.1
105.7
246.9
275.7
351.0
381.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
NEW ENGLAND-15 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-07-534-331-14-932-360-23-1021-47
in all games7-624-20164-1735-916-30150-1937-820-27179-170
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-13-240-470-11-338-481-12-342-47
when playing against a team with a winning record3-313-879-693-49-1465-863-410-1369-84
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-17-348-462-16-638-581-26-642-55
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season2-15-535-451-25-638-432-15-641-42
in all lined games7-624-20164-1735-916-30150-1937-820-27179-170
as an underdog5-316-1185-765-412-1673-934-610-1962-106
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points0-01-05-50-00-13-70-00-12-8
in road games3-415-889-782-46-1676-922-510-1375-97
in road lined games3-415-889-782-46-1676-922-510-1375-97
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-12-18-30-11-22-90-10-35-6
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-311-1055-420-57-1436-612-38-1350-48
against conference opponents5-417-15127-1292-812-22115-1445-615-20137-128
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-518-16121-1334-811-25107-1495-713-23132-127
versus division opponents2-17-762-801-37-971-752-37-1072-78
off a division game2-26-766-703-16-862-761-34-1077-62
in games played on turf3-29-340-391-34-735-412-36-636-43
in December games2-16-537-511-35-741-482-25-744-47
revenging a loss against opponent2-19-351-460-35-836-612-27-748-53
off a win against a division rival0-13-234-320-11-422-450-11-439-28

NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points7-219-1067-628-224-772-618-225-6105-28
in all games8-628-20192-15811-437-14182-17511-440-11230-134
when playing against a team with a losing record2-210-551-473-212-546-545-016-180-23
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season1-27-434-332-29-435-334-013-058-12
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season1-26-449-302-19-244-362-110-158-24
in all lined games8-628-20192-15811-437-14182-17511-440-11230-134
as a favorite7-623-20114-11310-433-13117-11511-336-10179-58
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points1-03-214-121-04-112-141-03-222-4
in home games3-412-1390-856-120-690-885-222-4129-53
in home lined games3-412-1390-856-120-690-885-222-4129-53
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-31-78-232-15-315-161-26-220-11
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points5-417-1262-677-224-766-665-425-684-50
against conference opponents7-323-13152-1128-328-10142-12810-132-6175-101
when playing with 6 or less days rest6-519-15149-1199-228-7139-1327-427-8172-103
versus division opponents2-210-782-594-116-271-725-015-394-54
in games played on turf5-516-1571-589-125-774-567-326-690-43
in December games1-25-550-322-29-345-393-111-163-23
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games7-8-2.67-65-919.29.4315.2(5.3)1.619.39.4351.0(5.5)1.1
Road Games2-5-3.23-42-417.910.0292.3(5)2.120.79.7344.7(5.4)1.0
Last 3 Games2-1+12-11-220.39.0305.7(5.1)0.713.34.0333.7(5.9)1.3
Turf Games2-1+1.32-10-220.311.3233.0(4.1)2.013.78.3314.0(4.8)1.7
Division Games2-3-12-11-320.812.2275.8(4.5)1.416.88.4346.8(5)1.8
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)19.29.418.129:1828-116(4.1)18-3158.2%199(6.4)60-315(5.3)(16.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.511.42030:2928-124(4.4)20-3459.9%222(6.5)62-345(5.5)(14.7)
Offense Road Games17.910.016.928:1226-81(3.2)18-3257.1%211(6.5)58-292(5)(16.4)
Defense (All Games)19.39.419.531:4426-104(4)22-3858.7%247(6.6)64-351(5.5)(18.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.71119.430:2228-119(4.3)20-3459.6%218(6.4)62-337(5.4)(15.5)
Defense Road Games20.79.720.432:4425-95(3.8)24-3961.3%249(6.4)64-345(5.4)(16.6)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.80.81.6-0.513-537.6%1-035.7%2-69(28.1)2-22(11.1)5-48
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.61.913-538.0%1-049.2%3-67(24.1)24-2(10.3)6-52
Stats For (Road Games)1.01.12.1-1.112-432.6%1-022.2%3-100(30.4)2-26(11.9)5-50
Stats Against (All Games)0.70.41.1 15-535.6%1-171.4%2-58(24.1)3-30(11.6)8-66
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-536.3%1-051.2%3-65(23.8)22-2(10.2)6-55
Stats Against (Road Games)0.70.31.0 15-533.3%1-183.3%3-70(24.6)2-28(13.1)7-61

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games11-4-1.48-611-435.317.9426.9(5.9)1.122.19.9381.5(6)2.6
Home Games5-2-4.73-46-135.715.9420.6(5.7)1.125.310.6383.6(5.7)2.4
Last 3 Games2-1+0.31-22-133.012.3429.3(5.7)2.323.710.0380.7(5.7)2.0
Turf Games7-3-4.45-59-137.417.0447.4(6)1.324.810.1389.6(6)3.0
Division Games5-0+52-24-138.019.8420.8(5.9)1.024.010.8400.8(6.1)3.4
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)35.317.927.730:3732-134(4.2)25-4062.7%292(7.2)73-427(5.9)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.32031:4628-123(4.3)20-3459.0%219(6.4)63-342(5.5)(15)
Offense Home Games35.715.928.130:2632-133(4.1)26-4261.8%288(6.9)74-421(5.7)(11.8)
Defense (All Games)22.19.921.629:5327-106(4)23-3762.4%276(7.4)64-381(6)(17.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.510.519.130:1128-119(4.3)20-3359.6%214(6.4)61-333(5.4)(15.5)
Defense Home Games25.310.623.630:3829-120(4.1)23-3862.0%263(7)67-384(5.7)(15.2)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.60.51.11.514-748.6%1-066.7%3-54(20.7)3-32(12.2)6-53
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.61.51.813-537.1%1-051.6%3-63(24)25-2(10.2)6-54
Stats For (Home Games)0.60.61.11.314-748.0%1-171.4%4-81(22.7)3-34(13.4)6-62
Stats Against (All Games)1.31.32.6 13-540.1%1-140.9%4-79(20.8)1-9(6.4)7-62
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-536.5%1-049.2%3-68(24.7)23-2(10.2)6-55
Stats Against (Home Games)1.01.42.4 14-645.3%1-042.9%4-80(20.7)1-7(4.8)6-62
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 18.3,  NEW ENGLAND 18.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/4/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS20-23L-3L43.5U18-8422-38-281026-9730-48-4190
11/11/2012TENNESSEE3-37L-7L44U15-5423-39-201437-1779-22-1160
11/15/2012@ BUFFALO14-19L3L46U24-6014-28-124331-12017-27-1610
11/25/2012SEATTLE24-21W3W37.5O28-18918-26-246127-9621-27-2160
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND16-23L7T51U27-10113-29-176132-10824-40-2131
12/9/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO13-27L11L38.5O22-9417-33-133128-15518-23-1660
12/16/2012JACKSONVILLE24-3W-7W38.5U36-18022-29-209121-8618-34-2130
12/23/2012BUFFALO24-10W-5W43U35-18213-25-119028-15420-35-2274
12/30/2012@ NEW ENGLAND            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
11/11/2012BUFFALO37-31W-13.5L54O29-11723-38-230028-16227-40-3193
11/18/2012INDIANAPOLIS59-24W-10W54O25-11524-35-331024-11927-50-3294
11/22/2012@ NY JETS49-19W-7W48.5O39-15218-28-323129-11926-36-2865
12/2/2012@ MIAMI23-16W-7T51U32-10824-40-213127-10113-29-1761
12/10/2012HOUSTON42-14W-5.5W50.5O33-13021-36-289127-10021-36-2231
12/16/2012SAN FRANCISCO34-41L-4L47.5O24-9536-65-425439-18014-25-2032
12/23/2012@ JACKSONVILLE23-16W-13.5L51.5U27-10324-41-246223-9329-51-3433
12/30/2012MIAMI            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 21-19 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 23-19 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
21 of 41 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 11-9 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 14-7 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND23-7SU172533:2432-10824-40213016-50
 MIAMI1651 Under101526:3627-10113-29176108-92
12/24/2011MIAMI2449 ATS172029:0427-11517-33266116-39
 NEW ENGLAND27-7SU Over02630:5631-11927-46281005-50
9/12/2011NEW ENGLAND38-7SU ATS142728:2722-10632-48516017-50
 MIAMI2446.5 Over72531:3320-9830-49390018-60
1/2/2011MIAMI744 Over01623:4116-4416-37206115-40
 NEW ENGLAND38-4SU ATS242436:1945-18117-29321105-72
10/4/2010NEW ENGLAND4148.5SU ATS61927:4332-11919-24146003-31
 MIAMI140 Over72332:1720-9531-45305046-40
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIAMI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (132-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 62.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.6% of the time since 1992. (124-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-18)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.5% of the time since 1992. (154-134)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 52.5% of the time since 1992. (155-140)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-22)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[T] 12/27/2012 - Artis Hicks IR ( Neck )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Richard Marshall IR ( Back )
[T] 12/27/2012 - Jake Long IR ( Tricep )
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Koa Misi probable Sunday vs. New England ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/28/2012 - Davone Bess expected to miss Sunday vs. New England ( Back )
[S] 12/27/2012 - Kelcie McCray IR ( Foot )
[RB] 12/27/2012 - Daniel Thomas IR ( Knee )
[FB] 12/27/2012 - Charles Clay IR ( Knee )
[K] 12/27/2012 - Dan Carpenter IR ( Groin )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Sean Smith probable Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
[S] 12/28/2012 - Reshad Jones probable Sunday vs. New England ( Hip )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Nolan Carroll Jr. probable Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
[DT] 12/28/2012 - Randy Starks probable Sunday vs. New England ( Personal )
[G] 12/29/2012 - Josh Samuda "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Shoulder )
NEW ENGLAND
[LB] 12/27/2012 - Dane Fletcher IR ( Knee )
[TE] 12/27/2012 - Jake Ballard PUP ( Pectoral )
[CB] 12/27/2012 - Ras-I Dowling IR ( Thigh )
[TE] 12/29/2012 - Rob Gronkowski is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Forearm )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Julian Edelman IR ( Foot )
[CB] 12/30/2012 - Alfonzo Dennard expected to miss Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[LB] 12/30/2012 - Brandon Spikes probable Sunday vs. Miami ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 12/27/2012 - Donte Stallworth IR ( Ankle )
[DB] 12/29/2012 - Marquice Cole doubtful Sunday vs. Miami ( Shin )
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