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Matchup Reports

MIAMI (4-4) AT TAMPA BAY (0-8)
Monday,  Nov 11 2013 at 8:40 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
227: MIAMI
228: TAMPA BAY
39.5
+1.0
21.8 / 23.4
15.5 / 23.8
4-4
0-8
4-4-0
2-6-0
4-2-2
4-4-0
97.6
107.5
217.6
196.8
315.2
304.2
116.5
107.5
252.2
240.5
368.8
348.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI-2 
TAMPA BAY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -34-112-681-703-18-1068-884-112-880-80
in all games4-420-17168-1784-213-24154-1964-417-23183-175
in all lined games4-420-17168-1784-213-24154-1964-417-23183-175
as a favorite1-26-680-992-03-979-1001-28-5118-66
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-00-114-100-00-113-110-00-114-10
in road games2-211-991-812-26-1378-952-26-1477-100
in road lined games2-211-991-812-26-1378-952-26-1477-100
in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points1-05-326-250-12-518-311-03-519-33
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points2-010-594-1050-15-1091-1122-010-7108-100
when playing on Monday night0-10-316-201-02-123-140-10-315-23
against NFC South division opponents1-11-14-62-02-06-41-11-15-5
in games played on a grass field3-213-12127-1362-18-18117-1533-213-15146-129
in November games0-05-344-430-01-736-520-04-448-41
in non-conference games1-16-438-452-05-537-491-14-643-43
when playing against a team with a losing record0-15-644-640-01-851-550-15-662-47
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season0-04-326-410-01-633-340-04-342-26
in weeks 10 through 130-05-239-410-02-634-480-04-445-38

TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -31-28-1254-671-212-952-740-37-1457-70
in all games2-615-24168-1764-423-16154-1950-811-29163-191
in all lined games2-615-24168-1764-423-16154-1950-811-29163-191
as an underdog2-412-1696-934-217-1190-1010-67-2264-130
as a home underdog of 3 points or less1-12-410-161-14-315-130-21-69-19
in home games1-36-1281-882-210-876-950-46-1397-78
in home lined games1-36-1281-882-210-876-950-46-1397-78
in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points0-21-317-251-13-120-220-22-221-21
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points1-33-6110-1152-27-2103-1250-43-6112-119
when playing on Monday night0-00-16-80-01-08-70-01-08-7
against AFC East division opponents0-20-29-110-20-29-110-20-29-11
in games played on a grass field1-39-18122-1392-217-10115-1510-48-20126-144
in November games1-05-350-311-06-341-420-13-644-41
in non-conference games0-23-737-440-27-341-410-24-637-46
after 2 or more consecutive losses1-54-1639-474-212-744-430-62-1831-59
in weeks 10 through 130-03-442-330-06-234-430-02-640-39
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-4-1.24-44-221.712.1315.2(5.4)1.923.410.9368.7(5.4)1.9
Road Games2-2+0.22-22-220.212.5326.2(5.2)2.223.712.0364.0(5.7)1.5
Last 3 Games1-2-1.91-20-120.013.7313.0(4.9)2.323.37.7328.3(4.7)2.0
Grass Games3-2-0.23-22-123.210.6298.4(5.3)1.420.49.2357.0(5)2.4
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.712.117.628:3123-98(4.3)22-3660.6%218(6)59-315(5.4)(14.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.811.319.331:3728-115(4.1)21-3559.1%229(6.5)63-344(5.4)(15.8)
Offense Road Games20.212.520.230:5125-98(3.9)23-3761.1%228(6.1)62-326(5.2)(16.1)
Defense (All Games)23.410.921.532:3229-116(4)24-3960.6%252(6.5)68-369(5.4)(15.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.231220.130:0526-101(3.9)23-3860.7%250(6.5)64-351(5.4)(15.2)
Defense Road Games23.712.021.229:0925-100(4)23-3959.9%264(6.7)64-364(5.7)(15.3)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.10.71.90.014-536.9%1-040.0%2-56(25.1)1-8(5.2)4-37
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.61.5215-639.0%1-043.1%2-48(23)23-2(9.9)7-57
Stats For (Road Games)1.50.72.2-0.714-644.6%1-033.3%2-54(24.1)2-10(5.7)5-41
Stats Against (All Games)1.40.51.9 15-639.0%1-057.1%2-54(24.2)3-28(8.8)6-49
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.51.5 14-537.7%1-044.9%2-48(23.7)24-2(9.9)6-53
Stats Against (Road Games)1.20.21.5 13-430.8%1-150.0%2-53(23.7)2-26(10.4)6-37

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games0-8-8.12-64-415.511.0304.2(4.8)1.423.712.2348.0(5.7)1.6
Home Games0-4-4.41-32-214.210.0293.5(4.6)1.722.79.5354.0(5.7)1.5
Last 3 Games0-3-21-23-020.012.3328.0(4.9)0.729.715.0343.3(6.3)1.3
Grass Games0-4-4.41-32-214.210.0293.5(4.6)1.722.79.5354.0(5.7)1.5
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)15.511.018.631:1326-107(4.1)21-3755.9%197(5.3)64-304(4.8)(19.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.20.810.719.630:1126-104(4.1)22-3760.4%233(6.3)62-338(5.4)(16.3)
Offense Home Games14.210.018.030:1025-95(3.9)22-4056.0%198(5)64-293(4.6)(20.6)
Defense (All Games)23.712.220.529:3827-107(4)22-3465.7%240(7)61-348(5.7)(14.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.912.320.630:1928-118(4.2)21-3462.4%240(7)62-359(5.8)(15)
Defense Home Games22.79.520.029:4925-99(4)23-3762.6%254(6.9)62-354(5.7)(15.6)
TAMPA BAY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.61.40.215-637.7%1-141.7%2-51(25.7)2-18(8.6)8-79
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.61.72.314-538.6%1-035.2%2-48(23.8)15-2(8)7-58
Stats For (Home Games)1.00.71.7-0.215-536.7%1-040.0%2-55(24.6)2-18(8.1)7-71
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.61.6 13-540.4%0-050.0%1-29(21.1)2-20(12.2)6-60
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.10.61.7 13-539.5%1-044.2%2-41(21.8)21-2(9.6)6-53
Stats Against (Home Games)1.00.51.5 12-436.0%0-050.0%1-28(22.4)1-7(4.8)6-54
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 22.2,  TAMPA BAY 23.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/15/2013@ INDIANAPOLIS24-20W1.5W43.5O27-10123-34-297126-13325-43-3151
9/22/2013ATLANTA27-23W-3W45O15-9024-35-195230-14623-38-2312
9/30/2013@ NEW ORLEANS17-38L6.5L48.5O19-11522-35-216424-6830-39-3971
10/6/2013BALTIMORE23-26L-3L43O11-2221-40-272040-13319-32-2512
10/20/2013BUFFALO21-23L-5.5L44P25-12019-37-173330-9021-32-1781
10/27/2013@ NEW ENGLAND17-27L6L46U31-15622-42-145337-15213-22-1001
10/31/2013CINCINNATI22-20W3W42P30-15720-28-188135-16332-53-3024
11/11/2013@ TAMPA BAY            
11/17/2013SAN DIEGO            
11/24/2013CAROLINA            
12/1/2013@ NY JETS            
12/8/2013@ PITTSBURGH            

TAMPA BAY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/15/2013NEW ORLEANS14-16L3W48.5U33-1609-22-113220-7526-46-2962
9/22/2013@ NEW ENGLAND3-23L7L44.5U22-9719-41-226133-15625-36-2021
9/29/2013ARIZONA10-13L-2.5L40U31-8024-43-173320-5621-38-2403
10/13/2013PHILADELPHIA20-31L3L44O21-9426-43-257133-13822-31-2871
10/20/2013@ ATLANTA23-31L6.5L43.5O28-11126-44-226118-1820-26-2731
10/24/2013CAROLINA13-31L6.5L39O14-4830-51-249127-12923-32-1950
11/3/2013@ SEATTLE24-27L16W40O38-20518-24-145035-19819-26-2173
11/11/2013MIAMI            
11/17/2013ATLANTA            
11/24/2013@ DETROIT            
12/1/2013@ CAROLINA            
12/8/2013BUFFALO            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at TAMPA BAY since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50% of the time since 1992. (137-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 52.8% of the time since 1992. (134-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 67.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-10)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (158-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50.5% of the time since 1992. (139-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-20)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[K] 11/08/2013 - Caleb Sturgis probable Monday vs. Tampa Bay ( Groin )
[LB] 11/08/2013 - Jelani Jenkins "?" Monday vs. Tampa Bay ( Foot )
[LB] 11/08/2013 - Koa Misi "?" Monday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[G] 11/04/2013 - Richie Incognito out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[CB] 11/03/2013 - Nolan Carroll Jr. "?" Monday vs. Tampa Bay ( Concussion )
[TE] 11/03/2013 - Dion Sims "?" Monday vs. Tampa Bay ( Toe )
[T] 11/03/2013 - Jonathan Martin out indefinitely ( Personal )
[WR] 10/27/2013 - Brandon Gibson out for season ( Knee )
[TE] 08/18/2013 - Dustin Keller IR ( Knee )
TAMPA BAY
[S] 11/08/2013 - Dashon Goldson probable Monday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[RB] 11/08/2013 - Doug Martin IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/06/2013 - Jeffery Demps IR ( Groin )
[WR] 11/03/2013 - Chris Owusu "?" Monday vs. Miami ( Foot )
[WR] 10/28/2013 - Mike Williams IR ( Hamstring )
[CB] 10/18/2013 - Rashaan Melvin IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 10/17/2013 - Carl Nicks out indefinitely ( Infection )
[TE] 09/23/2013 - Luke Stocker IR ( Undisclosed )
[K] 09/02/2013 - Connor Barth PUP ( Achilles )
[CB] 09/02/2013 - Danny Gorrer out indefinitely ( Groin )
[CB] 09/02/2013 - Jacob Cutrera IR ( Ankle )
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