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Matchup Reports

NEW ORLEANS (1-4) AT TAMPA BAY (2-3)
Sunday,  Oct 21 2012 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
429: NEW ORLEANS
430: TAMPA BAY
49.5
+1.0
28.2 / 30.8
24.0 / 20.2
1-4
2-3
2-3-0
4-1-0
4-1-0
3-2-0
75.2
101.8
326.8
211.6
402.0
313.4
172.8
76.4
284.2
310.8
457.0
387.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NEW ORLEANS-7 
TAMPA BAY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NEW ORLEANS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -31-15-456-622-05-469-521-15-456-66
in all games2-322-18165-1664-124-16180-1541-426-14167-170
in all lined games2-322-18165-1664-124-16180-1541-426-14167-170
as a favorite1-319-1682-893-121-1492-791-324-11109-63
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-11-213-61-02-114-50-11-214-5
in road games1-18-1289-772-013-793-740-211-980-88
in road lined games1-18-1289-772-013-793-740-211-980-88
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-01-616-160-06-121-110-02-516-16
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points0-09-1359-600-013-964-550-013-957-63
against conference opponents1-216-14120-1293-018-12138-1120-319-11125-128
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-02-012-90-02-012-80-02-011-10
versus division opponents0-17-662-731-05-864-710-19-464-72
after a bye week0-02-012-110-02-014-80-02-012-11
in games played on a grass field1-15-859-502-08-562-490-26-750-61
in October games1-05-638-421-06-545-361-07-444-38
when playing against a team with a losing record1-06-761-691-010-368-650-19-475-58
in weeks 5 through 91-06-539-471-06-553-361-07-447-43

TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -31-14-1149-631-110-747-691-17-1053-64
in all games4-117-18161-1653-220-15144-1862-316-21158-177
in all lined games4-117-18161-1653-220-15144-1862-316-21158-177
as an underdog3-013-1290-861-213-1181-961-28-1760-120
as a home underdog of 3 points or less1-01-49-140-14-113-111-01-49-15
in home games2-16-1179-822-110-672-902-19-996-70
in home lined games2-16-1179-822-110-672-902-19-996-70
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points1-02-34-40-12-24-31-02-34-4
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points3-18-1225-252-211-723-251-34-1618-32
against conference opponents3-114-13126-1242-214-12106-1471-312-16123-134
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-114-14132-1262-115-12114-1470-311-18125-140
versus division opponents1-07-669-700-16-765-761-06-761-81
in games played on a grass field2-110-16118-1322-114-12108-1462-112-16123-135
in October games1-04-531-451-05-433-441-06-333-45
when playing against a team with a losing record1-14-650-572-08-250-591-16-561-51
in weeks 5 through 91-05-538-511-05-544-441-05-539-50
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NEW ORLEANS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-4-8.12-34-128.213.0402.0(6.1)1.430.817.0457.0(6.6)1.6
Road Games0-2-2.51-12-027.013.5480.0(6.4)1.031.521.0442.0(7)1.5
Last 3 Games1-2-3.32-12-127.312.7388.7(6)0.726.314.7452.7(6.3)2.3
Grass Games0-2-2.51-12-027.013.5480.0(6.4)1.031.521.0442.0(7)1.5
Division Games0-1-1.50-11-027.013.0486.0(6.4)2.035.021.0463.0(7.6)1.0
NEW ORLEANS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.213.022.227:2619-75(3.9)28-4758.9%327(6.9)66-402(6.1)(14.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.911.520.630:5725-105(4.2)23-3663.5%260(7.2)61-365(6)(14.1)
Offense Road Games27.013.526.030:2623-104(4.5)33-5164.1%376(7.3)74-480(6.4)(17.8)
Defense (All Games)30.817.025.834:1735-173(5)23-3567.6%284(8.2)69-457(6.6)(14.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.111.821.430:2028-129(4.6)21-3364.5%230(7)61-359(5.9)(15.5)
Defense Road Games31.521.026.529:3433-160(4.9)22-3073.8%281(9.2)63-442(7)(14)
NEW ORLEANS - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.20.21.40.214-645.7%1-160.0%3-81(25.2)2-10(6.5)8-69
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.51.6213-540.4%1-042.7%2-54(23.1)18-2(9)7-57
Stats For (Road Games)1.00.01.00.515-853.3%1-050.0%3-72(24.2)1-17(11.3)6-47
Stats Against (All Games)0.61.01.6 13-538.5%1-180.0%4-86(23.9)2-21(10.4)7-60
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.20.82 13-537.7%1-051.1%3-70(24.2)19-2(8.4)7-59
Stats Against (Road Games)0.51.01.5 10-550.0%1-050.0%3-80(26.7)0-7(14)5-38

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-3-1.14-13-224.011.4313.4(5.8)1.420.29.4387.2(6.1)2.0
Home Games2-1+0.92-12-125.38.7364.7(6.6)1.014.78.0345.0(5.8)1.3
Last 3 Games1-2-1.42-12-123.36.7334.0(6.3)1.716.711.3343.7(5.3)1.7
Grass Games2-1+0.92-12-125.38.7364.7(6.6)1.014.78.0345.0(5.8)1.3
Division Games1-0+1.31-00-116.013.0258.0(4.3)0.010.00.0301.0(6.5)2.0
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)24.011.415.829:0525-102(4.1)16-2955.2%212(7.3)54-313(5.8)(13.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.412.219.430:3126-110(4.3)21-3363.6%248(7.6)58-358(6.1)(14.1)
Offense Home Games25.38.717.730:3926-118(4.6)18-3061.8%246(8.3)56-365(6.6)(14.4)
Defense (All Games)20.29.420.630:5524-76(3.2)25-3964.8%311(7.9)63-387(6.1)(19.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.810.121.431:4629-134(4.7)22-3464.0%248(7.3)62-383(6.1)(16.8)
Defense Home Games14.78.019.329:2124-83(3.4)24-3567.0%262(7.4)60-345(5.8)(23.5)
TAMPA BAY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.41.40.612-328.3%0-0100.0%3-61(20.4)3-17(6.4)7-55
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.51.52.112-539.3%1-056.1%3-70(23.8)15-2(7.8)6-49
Stats For (Home Games)0.70.31.00.312-434.3%0-00.0%2-31(15.5)3-19(7.1)7-58
Stats Against (All Games)1.60.42.0 13-429.9%1-040.0%2-38(23.7)3-24(9.4)8-70
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.40.82.2 12-537.9%1-061.2%3-70(23.3)17-2(8)7-54
Stats Against (Home Games)1.30.01.3 13-326.3%1-150.0%1-24(24.3)3-19(7)7-64
Average power rating of opponents played: NEW ORLEANS 19,  TAMPA BAY 19.2
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
NEW ORLEANS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012WASHINGTON32-40L-8L50O10-3224-52-326344-15319-26-3110
9/16/2012@ CAROLINA27-35L-3L53.5O27-16331-49-323241-21914-20-2441
9/23/2012KANSAS CITY24-27L-8L51.5U19-8320-36-205145-27326-44-2373
9/30/2012@ GREEN BAY27-28L7.5W54O19-4535-54-429025-10231-41-3192
10/7/2012SAN DIEGO31-24W-3W53.5O21-5329-45-351118-11727-42-3102
10/21/2012@ TAMPA BAY            
10/28/2012@ DENVER            
11/5/2012PHILADELPHIA            
11/11/2012ATLANTA            
11/18/2012@ OAKLAND            

TAMPA BAY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012CAROLINA16-10W3W45.5U36-13016-24-128013-1023-33-2912
9/16/2012@ NY GIANTS34-41L7.5W43.5O22-7915-28-228225-9431-51-5103
9/23/2012@ DALLAS10-16L7W45.5U25-7510-28-91223-3825-39-2593
9/30/2012WASHINGTON22-24L-2.5L44.5O18-8024-39-293130-16026-35-3140
10/14/2012KANSAS CITY38-10W-5W39.5O24-14515-26-318230-8022-38-1802
10/21/2012NEW ORLEANS            
10/25/2012@ MINNESOTA            
11/4/2012@ OAKLAND            
11/11/2012SAN DIEGO            
11/18/2012@ CAROLINA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 13-12 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 13-13 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992
15 of 26 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TAMPA BAY since 1992
NEW ORLEANS is 8-4 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992
NEW ORLEANS is 7-6 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
11/6/2011TAMPA BAY1650.5 Under31829:5620-8427-37281009-80
 NEW ORLEANS27-8.5SU ATS172530:0428-19527-36258018-63
10/16/2011NEW ORLEANS20-6.5 Under102028:3320-7029-45383137-53
 TAMPA BAY2649.5SU ATS202131:2725-11723-41303007-64
1/2/2011TAMPA BAY2346.5SU ATS101829:0324-8421-27233207-54
 NEW ORLEANS13-7 Under72030:5722-10624-41199215-45
10/17/2010NEW ORLEANS31-5SU ATS172731:2932-21221-32263019-80
 TAMPA BAY643 Under02128:3118-4227-47235105-30
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ORLEANS games 48% of the time since 1992. (118-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ORLEANS games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 52.1% of the time since 1992. (125-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 69% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ORLEANS games 51.1% of the time since 1992. (134-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ORLEANS games 64.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-12)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50.8% of the time since 1992. (131-127)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 41.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NEW ORLEANS
[LB] 10/20/2012 - Jonathan Vilma probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[LB] 09/05/2012 - Chris Chamberlain out for season ( ACL )
[DE] 10/19/2012 - Turk McBride probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/18/2012 - Jonathan Casillas probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Neck )
[LB] 10/19/2012 - David Hawthorne expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Hamstring )
[WR] 10/18/2012 - Lance Moore probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Hamstring )
[TE] 10/20/2012 - Jimmy Graham expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Ankle )
[CB] 10/19/2012 - Jabari Greer probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Groin )
[G] 10/19/2012 - Jahri Evans probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Toe )
TAMPA BAY
[G] 09/05/2012 - Davin Joseph IR ( Knee )
[DE] 10/18/2012 - Da'Quan Bowers doubtful Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Achilles )
[WR] 09/21/2012 - Sammie Stroughter IR ( Foot )
[DE] 09/25/2012 - Adrian Clayborn IR ( ACL )
[CB] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Gaitor IR ( Hamstring )
[CB] 10/15/2012 - Aqib Talib 4-game suspension, eligible to return 11/11 vs San Diego ( Suspension )
[G] 10/18/2012 - Carl Nicks probable Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Foot )
[WR] 10/19/2012 - Vincent Jackson probable Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Calf )
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