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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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TAMPA BAY | | | CAROLINA | -16 |  |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points | 1-3 | 5-8 | 60-51 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 52-57 | 1-3 | 3-10 | 39-73 | in all games | 5-6 | 18-24 | 171-176 | 6-5 | 25-17 | 156-196 | 3-8 | 14-29 | 166-191 | in all lined games | 5-6 | 18-24 | 171-176 | 6-5 | 25-17 | 156-196 | 3-8 | 14-29 | 166-191 | as an underdog | 4-4 | 14-16 | 98-93 | 5-3 | 18-12 | 91-102 | 2-6 | 9-22 | 66-130 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 1-2 | 3-3 | 31-22 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 25-29 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 19-35 | in road games | 2-3 | 10-11 | 87-86 | 2-3 | 13-8 | 77-99 | 1-4 | 6-15 | 66-111 | in road lined games | 2-3 | 10-11 | 87-86 | 2-3 | 13-8 | 77-99 | 1-4 | 6-15 | 66-111 | in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points | 1-1 | 2-3 | 31-29 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 29-33 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 23-40 | in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points | 2-3 | 4-6 | 111-115 | 3-2 | 8-2 | 104-125 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 113-119 | against conference opponents | 4-4 | 14-17 | 133-132 | 5-3 | 17-14 | 114-155 | 2-6 | 9-23 | 128-145 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 3-4 | 13-18 | 139-135 | 3-4 | 17-14 | 122-156 | 2-5 | 9-23 | 131-151 | versus division opponents | 2-2 | 7-8 | 73-74 | 3-1 | 8-8 | 70-80 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 64-87 | in games played on a grass field | 3-3 | 11-18 | 124-139 | 4-2 | 19-10 | 117-151 | 2-4 | 10-20 | 128-144 | in December games | 0-0 | 1-8 | 40-48 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 40-48 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 41-49 | revenging a loss against opponent | 2-1 | 6-5 | 56-54 | 2-1 | 5-7 | 51-62 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 53-61 | after 2 or more consecutive wins | 1-0 | 3-2 | 35-37 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 30-47 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 39-38 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-0 | 6-6 | 71-62 | 1-1 | 7-5 | 64-71 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 56-81 | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 1-0 | 3-4 | 45-36 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 33-50 | 1-0 | 2-6 | 39-45 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 3-0 | 6-4 | 45-33 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 36-44 | 3-0 | 5-6 | 43-39 |
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as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points | 3-2 | 5-3 | 37-40 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 28-48 | 4-1 | 6-2 | 50-28 | in all games | 7-4 | 25-18 | 163-139 | 4-7 | 23-19 | 141-161 | 8-3 | 21-22 | 146-164 | in all lined games | 7-4 | 25-18 | 163-139 | 4-7 | 23-19 | 141-161 | 8-3 | 21-22 | 146-164 | as a favorite | 4-3 | 11-9 | 66-67 | 3-4 | 8-11 | 55-78 | 5-2 | 12-8 | 84-53 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 1-0 | 1-0 | 18-28 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 18-27 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 26-20 | in home games | 4-1 | 12-9 | 76-72 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 62-85 | 4-1 | 10-11 | 78-74 | in home lined games | 4-1 | 12-9 | 76-72 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 62-85 | 4-1 | 10-11 | 78-74 | in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points | 1-0 | 1-0 | 17-18 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 11-26 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 18-19 | in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points | 2-2 | 5-4 | 84-85 | 2-2 | 7-2 | 84-88 | 3-1 | 4-5 | 78-97 | against conference opponents | 6-2 | 19-13 | 124-104 | 3-5 | 20-12 | 111-118 | 6-2 | 14-18 | 111-123 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 5-2 | 21-11 | 135-106 | 4-3 | 19-12 | 116-127 | 6-1 | 18-14 | 120-128 | versus division opponents | 2-0 | 9-5 | 70-51 | 1-1 | 11-3 | 58-63 | 2-0 | 7-7 | 61-63 | in games played on a grass field | 6-2 | 21-12 | 125-103 | 2-6 | 16-17 | 105-122 | 7-1 | 18-15 | 115-117 | in December games | 0-0 | 7-2 | 49-25 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 40-34 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 44-31 | after 2 or more consecutive wins | 4-1 | 6-3 | 37-28 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 31-35 | 5-0 | 7-2 | 39-28 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-0 | 12-4 | 70-38 | 2-1 | 8-7 | 46-58 | 3-0 | 11-5 | 70-39 | when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season | 0-0 | 7-1 | 46-22 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 32-32 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 46-22 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 2-1 | 5-6 | 39-35 | 0-3 | 6-4 | 40-32 | 3-0 | 6-5 | 36-39 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 3-8 | -3.6 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 19.2 | 13.1 | 303.4 | (4.9) | 1.1 | 23.5 | 11.4 | 346.1 | (5.6) | 2.0 | Road Games | 1-4 | -1.4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 18.2 | 13.0 | 297.8 | (5) | 0.8 | 24.0 | 14.8 | 351.6 | (5.6) | 2.4 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +4.5 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 29.0 | 18.7 | 301.0 | (5.4) | 0.3 | 22.7 | 9.0 | 341.0 | (5.4) | 3.0 | Grass Games | 2-4 | -2.2 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 20.0 | 13.2 | 308.0 | (4.9) | 1.3 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 341.5 | (5.6) | 1.7 | Division Games | 1-3 | -2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 329.2 | (5.2) | 1.0 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 351.5 | (6.1) | 1.5 |
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Offense (All Games) | 19.2 | 13.1 | 18.3 | 31:19 | 28-110 | (3.9) | 19-33 | 57.9% | 194 | (5.8) | 62-303 | (4.9) | (15.8) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 21.9 | 11.4 | 19.6 | 30:20 | 26-108 | (4.1) | 22-36 | 61.2% | 236 | (6.5) | 62-344 | (5.5) | (15.7) | Offense Road Games | 18.2 | 13.0 | 17.4 | 31:08 | 27-100 | (3.6) | 18-32 | 57.1% | 198 | (6.1) | 60-298 | (5) | (16.4) | Defense (All Games) | 23.5 | 11.4 | 20.8 | 29:19 | 25-102 | (4.1) | 23-37 | 63.5% | 244 | (6.6) | 62-346 | (5.6) | (14.8) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 23.6 | 12.1 | 20.6 | 30:10 | 26-110 | (4.2) | 23-36 | 62.7% | 249 | (6.9) | 62-360 | (5.8) | (15.2) | Defense Road Games | 24.0 | 14.8 | 21.8 | 30:14 | 28-113 | (4.1) | 23-35 | 65.9% | 238 | (6.9) | 62-352 | (5.6) | (14.6) |
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Stats For (All Games) | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 14-5 | 35.2% | 1-1 | 42.9% | 2-56 | (25.5) | 2-22 | (11.3) | 9-81 | Opponents Avg. Stats Against | 1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 14-5 | 38.7% | 1-0 | 44.3% | 2-48 | (23.9) | 17-2 | (8.6) | 7-57 | Stats For (Road Games) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 15-6 | 36.8% | 1-1 | 42.9% | 2-55 | (30.4) | 2-19 | (9.3) | 9-84 | Stats Against (All Games) | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | | 13-5 | 39.9% | 1-0 | 50.0% | 1-28 | (20.7) | 2-23 | (13.9) | 6-57 | Opponents Avg. Stats For | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | | 13-5 | 39.6% | 1-0 | 42.5% | 2-40 | (22.3) | 19-2 | (9.1) | 6-52 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.4 | | 14-6 | 46.4% | 1-0 | 66.7% | 2-34 | (21.1) | 2-34 | (19.1) | 6-60 |
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All Games | 8-3 | +5.1 | 7-4 | 4-7 | 23.5 | 10.8 | 317.9 | (5.2) | 1.3 | 13.7 | 5.5 | 297.5 | (5.2) | 2.2 | Home Games | 4-1 | +3.1 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 26.6 | 13.0 | 320.0 | (5.4) | 1.2 | 11.4 | 4.2 | 303.2 | (5.6) | 2.6 | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +3.9 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 18.0 | 7.7 | 281.7 | (4.7) | 1.0 | 15.0 | 9.3 | 291.0 | (5.1) | 1.7 | Grass Games | 7-1 | +7 | 6-2 | 2-6 | 24.2 | 11.5 | 308.6 | (5.1) | 1.1 | 11.9 | 6.5 | 287.0 | (5.2) | 2.1 | Division Games | 2-0 | +2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 32.5 | 14.0 | 348.5 | (5.4) | 1.0 | 11.5 | 8.0 | 293.0 | (5.2) | 2.5 |
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Offense (All Games) | 23.5 | 10.8 | 21.4 | 33:03 | 31-126 | (4) | 19-31 | 61.7% | 192 | (6.3) | 62-318 | (5.2) | (13.6) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 23 | 11.6 | 20.5 | 31:10 | 27-113 | (4.1) | 22-36 | 61.0% | 234 | (6.4) | 64-346 | (5.4) | (15.1) | Offense Home Games | 26.6 | 13.0 | 22.2 | 33:06 | 33-131 | (4) | 18-26 | 66.7% | 189 | (7.2) | 59-320 | (5.4) | (12) | Defense (All Games) | 13.7 | 5.5 | 16.8 | 26:57 | 22-82 | (3.8) | 23-35 | 66.7% | 216 | (6.1) | 57-297 | (5.2) | (21.7) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 22.9 | 11.9 | 19.1 | 29:29 | 27-111 | (4.1) | 21-34 | 60.4% | 220 | (6.4) | 61-331 | (5.4) | (14.5) | Defense Home Games | 11.4 | 4.2 | 16.6 | 26:54 | 22-76 | (3.5) | 22-32 | 68.9% | 228 | (7.1) | 54-303 | (5.6) | (26.6) |
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Stats For (All Games) | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 13-6 | 46.9% | 1-1 | 77.8% | 2-35 | (21.3) | 2-19 | (10.4) | 5-44 | Opponents Avg. Stats Against | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 14-6 | 40.1% | 1-0 | 45.6% | 2-52 | (22.9) | 21-2 | (9.9) | 7-59 | Stats For (Home Games) | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 12-6 | 52.5% | 1-0 | 66.7% | 1-21 | (21.4) | 1-9 | (7.8) | 5-40 | Stats Against (All Games) | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.2 | | 13-4 | 34.0% | 1-0 | 25.0% | 1-29 | (22.6) | 2-23 | (9.8) | 6-52 | Opponents Avg. Stats For | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | | 14-5 | 36.2% | 1-0 | 44.0% | 2-48 | (23.3) | 21-2 | (9.5) | 6-54 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.6 | | 12-4 | 37.9% | 1-0 | 25.0% | 1-31 | (26) | 2-21 | (10.3) | 7-66 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: TAMPA BAY 22.2, CAROLINA 21.6 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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10/13/2013 | PHILADELPHIA | 20-31 | L | 3 | L | 44 | O | 21-94 | 26-43-257 | 1 | 33-138 | 22-31-287 | 1 | 10/20/2013 | @ ATLANTA | 23-31 | L | 6.5 | L | 43.5 | O | 28-111 | 26-44-226 | 1 | 18-18 | 20-26-273 | 1 | 10/24/2013 | CAROLINA | 13-31 | L | 6.5 | L | 39 | O | 14-48 | 30-51-249 | 1 | 27-129 | 23-32-195 | 0 | 11/3/2013 | @ SEATTLE | 24-27 | L | 16 | W | 40 | O | 38-205 | 18-24-145 | 0 | 35-198 | 19-26-217 | 3 | 11/11/2013 | MIAMI | 22-19 | W | 2.5 | W | 39 | O | 37-140 | 11-21-124 | 1 | 14-2 | 27-42-211 | 1 | 11/17/2013 | ATLANTA | 41-28 | W | -2 | W | 43.5 | O | 38-186 | 20-25-224 | 0 | 20-152 | 24-43-268 | 3 | 11/24/2013 | @ DETROIT | 24-21 | W | 7 | W | 48 | U | 24-22 | 14-21-207 | 0 | 24-104 | 26-46-286 | 5 | 12/1/2013 | @ CAROLINA | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/8/2013 | BUFFALO | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/15/2013 | SAN FRANCISCO | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/22/2013 | @ ST LOUIS | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/29/2013 | @ NEW ORLEANS | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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10/6/2013 | @ ARIZONA | 6-22 | L | -3 | L | 41 | U | 20-95 | 21-39-258 | 4 | 28-90 | 19-28-160 | 3 | 10/13/2013 | @ MINNESOTA | 35-10 | W | 2.5 | W | 44.5 | O | 39-131 | 20-26-236 | 0 | 13-75 | 32-44-215 | 2 | 10/20/2013 | ST LOUIS | 30-15 | W | -7 | W | 42 | O | 38-102 | 15-17-180 | 0 | 21-63 | 23-34-254 | 3 | 10/24/2013 | @ TAMPA BAY | 31-13 | W | -6.5 | W | 39 | O | 27-129 | 23-32-195 | 0 | 14-48 | 30-51-249 | 1 | 11/3/2013 | ATLANTA | 34-10 | W | -8.5 | W | 47 | U | 33-131 | 23-37-242 | 2 | 20-78 | 20-27-211 | 4 | 11/10/2013 | @ SAN FRANCISCO | 10-9 | W | 6 | W | 43 | U | 30-111 | 16-32-139 | 2 | 24-105 | 11-22-46 | 2 | 11/18/2013 | NEW ENGLAND | 24-20 | W | -3 | W | 45.5 | U | 23-103 | 19-28-197 | 0 | 25-107 | 29-40-283 | 2 | 11/24/2013 | @ MIAMI | 20-16 | W | -4.5 | L | 40 | U | 29-136 | 19-38-159 | 1 | 17-52 | 28-42-280 | 1 | 12/1/2013 | TAMPA BAY | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/8/2013 | @ NEW ORLEANS | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/15/2013 | NY JETS | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/22/2013 | NEW ORLEANS | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12/29/2013 | @ ATLANTA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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CAROLINA is 16-10 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992 | CAROLINA is 15-11 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992 | 14 of 26 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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CAROLINA is 8-5 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992 | CAROLINA is 7-6 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992 | 9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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10/24/2013 | CAROLINA | 31 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 14 | 21 | 34:33 | 27-129 | 23-32 | 195 | 0 | 0 | 6-59 | | TAMPA BAY | 13 | 39 | Over | 6 | 19 | 25:27 | 14-48 | 30-51 | 249 | 1 | 0 | 3-21 | 11/18/2012 | TAMPA BAY | 27 | 46.5 | SU ATS | 10 | 25 | 32:30 | 30-167 | 25-46 | 236 | 1 | 2 | 6-50 | | CAROLINA | 21 | 0 | Over | 14 | 18 | 31:50 | 34-97 | 16-29 | 234 | 1 | 0 | 11-91 | 9/9/2012 | CAROLINA | 10 | -3 | Under | 0 | 16 | 22:33 | 13-10 | 23-33 | 291 | 0 | 2 | 6-65 | | TAMPA BAY | 16 | 45.5 | SU ATS | 13 | 18 | 37:27 | 36-130 | 16-24 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 4-35 | 12/24/2011 | TAMPA BAY | 16 | 48.5 | Over | 10 | 22 | 32:57 | 19-59 | 28-38 | 258 | 3 | 1 | 7-64 | | CAROLINA | 48 | -7.5 | SU ATS | 20 | 20 | 27:03 | 31-270 | 12-17 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 8-77 | 12/4/2011 | CAROLINA | 38 | -3 | SU ATS | 24 | 26 | 32:41 | 39-163 | 13-22 | 222 | 0 | 0 | 2-20 | | TAMPA BAY | 19 | 46.5 | Over | 12 | 15 | 27:19 | 27-78 | 16-27 | 207 | 0 | 1 | 9-73 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1992. (137-120) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 70.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-10) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 49.8% of the time since 1992. (107-108) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-15) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50.2% of the time since 1992. (139-138) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 38.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-22) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 55.2% of the time since 1992. (139-113) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 43.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-22) | |
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[CB] 12/01/2013 - Darrelle Revis probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Groin ) | [LB] 11/29/2013 - Mason Foster probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder ) | [LB] 11/29/2013 - Adam Hayward probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Foot ) | [S] 11/28/2013 - Dashon Goldson probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Suspension Served ) | [TE] 11/27/2013 - Nate Byham IR ( Knee ) | [TE] 11/27/2013 - Tom Crabtree IR ( Bicep ) | [RB] 11/12/2013 - Mike James IR ( Ankle ) | [RB] 11/08/2013 - Doug Martin IR ( Shoulder ) | [RB] 11/06/2013 - Jeffery Demps IR ( Groin ) | [WR] 10/28/2013 - Mike Williams IR ( Hamstring ) | [CB] 10/18/2013 - Rashaan Melvin IR ( Hamstring ) | [G] 10/17/2013 - Carl Nicks out indefinitely ( Infection ) | [TE] 09/23/2013 - Luke Stocker IR ( Undisclosed ) | [CB] 09/02/2013 - Danny Gorrer out indefinitely ( Groin ) | [CB] 09/02/2013 - Jacob Cutrera IR ( Ankle ) | |
[T] 11/29/2013 - Chris Scott expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee ) | [TE] 11/29/2013 - Ben Hartsock doubtful Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee ) | [DE] 11/29/2013 - Charles Johnson expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee ) | [FB] 11/29/2013 - Michael Tolbert probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Leg ) | [WR] 11/29/2013 - Steve Smith probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee ) | [RB] 11/29/2013 - DeAngelo Williams doubtful Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Quad ) | [RB] 11/28/2013 - Jonathan Stewart probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Ankle ) | [LB] 11/24/2013 - Chase Blackburn "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Foot ) | [CB] 11/15/2013 - James Dockery IR ( Shoulder ) | [G] 10/10/2013 - Amini Silatolu out for season ( Knee ) | [S] 09/16/2013 - Charles Godfrey IR ( Achilles ) | [T] 09/09/2013 - Garry Williams out for season ( Knee ) | [G] 09/02/2013 - Edmund Kugbila IR ( Hamstring ) | [DT] 09/02/2013 - Frank Kearse IR ( Undisclosed ) |
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