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Matchup Reports

TAMPA BAY (3-8) AT CAROLINA (8-3)
Sunday,  Dec 1 2013 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
431: TAMPA BAY
432: CAROLINA
41.0
-7.5
19.2 / 23.5
23.5 / 13.7
3-8
8-3
5-6-0
7-4-0
6-5-0
4-7-0
109.8
125.5
193.5
192.4
303.4
317.9
101.6
81.5
244.5
215.9
346.1
297.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TAMPA BAY  
CAROLINA-16
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-35-860-512-26-652-571-33-1039-73
in all games5-618-24171-1766-525-17156-1963-814-29166-191
in all lined games5-618-24171-1766-525-17156-1963-814-29166-191
as an underdog4-414-1698-935-318-1291-1022-69-2266-130
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points1-23-331-221-22-425-291-22-419-35
in road games2-310-1187-862-313-877-991-46-1566-111
in road lined games2-310-1187-862-313-877-991-46-1566-111
in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points1-12-331-291-14-129-330-21-423-40
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points2-34-6111-1153-28-2104-1251-44-6113-119
against conference opponents4-414-17133-1325-317-14114-1552-69-23128-145
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-413-18139-1353-417-14122-1562-59-23131-151
versus division opponents2-27-873-743-18-870-801-36-1064-87
in games played on a grass field3-311-18124-1394-219-10117-1512-410-20128-144
in December games0-01-840-480-04-440-480-01-841-49
revenging a loss against opponent2-16-556-542-15-751-621-24-853-61
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-03-235-370-14-230-471-04-239-38
when playing against a team with a winning record2-06-671-621-17-564-711-14-956-81
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season1-03-445-360-14-333-501-02-639-45
in weeks 10 through 133-06-445-332-18-336-443-05-643-39

CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points3-25-337-403-25-328-484-16-250-28
in all games7-425-18163-1394-723-19141-1618-321-22146-164
in all lined games7-425-18163-1394-723-19141-1618-321-22146-164
as a favorite4-311-966-673-48-1155-785-212-884-53
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-01-018-281-01-018-271-01-026-20
in home games4-112-976-721-410-1162-854-110-1178-74
in home lined games4-112-976-721-410-1162-854-110-1178-74
in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points1-01-017-181-01-011-261-01-018-19
in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points2-25-484-852-27-284-883-14-578-97
against conference opponents6-219-13124-1043-520-12111-1186-214-18111-123
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-221-11135-1064-319-12116-1276-118-14120-128
versus division opponents2-09-570-511-111-358-632-07-761-63
in games played on a grass field6-221-12125-1032-616-17105-1227-118-15115-117
in December games0-07-249-250-06-340-340-07-244-31
after 2 or more consecutive wins4-16-337-281-44-531-355-07-239-28
when playing against a team with a losing record3-012-470-382-18-746-583-011-570-39
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season0-07-146-220-05-232-320-07-146-22
in weeks 10 through 132-15-639-350-36-440-323-06-536-39
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-8-3.65-66-519.213.1303.4(4.9)1.123.511.4346.1(5.6)2.0
Road Games1-4-1.42-32-318.213.0297.8(5)0.824.014.8351.6(5.6)2.4
Last 3 Games3-0+4.53-02-129.018.7301.0(5.4)0.322.79.0341.0(5.4)3.0
Grass Games2-4-2.23-34-220.013.2308.0(4.9)1.323.08.5341.5(5.6)1.7
Division Games1-3-22-23-122.711.7329.2(5.2)1.026.513.5351.5(6.1)1.5
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)19.213.118.331:1928-110(3.9)19-3357.9%194(5.8)62-303(4.9)(15.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.911.419.630:2026-108(4.1)22-3661.2%236(6.5)62-344(5.5)(15.7)
Offense Road Games18.213.017.431:0827-100(3.6)18-3257.1%198(6.1)60-298(5)(16.4)
Defense (All Games)23.511.420.829:1925-102(4.1)23-3763.5%244(6.6)62-346(5.6)(14.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.612.120.630:1026-110(4.2)23-3662.7%249(6.9)62-360(5.8)(15.2)
Defense Road Games24.014.821.830:1428-113(4.1)23-3565.9%238(6.9)62-352(5.6)(14.6)
TAMPA BAY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.60.51.10.914-535.2%1-142.9%2-56(25.5)2-22(11.3)9-81
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.51.6214-538.7%1-044.3%2-48(23.9)17-2(8.6)7-57
Stats For (Road Games)0.40.40.81.615-636.8%1-142.9%2-55(30.4)2-19(9.3)9-84
Stats Against (All Games)1.40.62.0 13-539.9%1-050.0%1-28(20.7)2-23(13.9)6-57
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.10.71.7 13-539.6%1-042.5%2-40(22.3)19-2(9.1)6-52
Stats Against (Road Games)1.60.82.4 14-646.4%1-066.7%2-34(21.1)2-34(19.1)6-60

CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-3+5.17-44-723.510.8317.9(5.2)1.313.75.5297.5(5.2)2.2
Home Games4-1+3.14-11-426.613.0320.0(5.4)1.211.44.2303.2(5.6)2.6
Last 3 Games3-0+3.92-10-318.07.7281.7(4.7)1.015.09.3291.0(5.1)1.7
Grass Games7-1+76-22-624.211.5308.6(5.1)1.111.96.5287.0(5.2)2.1
Division Games2-0+22-01-132.514.0348.5(5.4)1.011.58.0293.0(5.2)2.5
CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.510.821.433:0331-126(4)19-3161.7%192(6.3)62-318(5.2)(13.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.2311.620.531:1027-113(4.1)22-3661.0%234(6.4)64-346(5.4)(15.1)
Offense Home Games26.613.022.233:0633-131(4)18-2666.7%189(7.2)59-320(5.4)(12)
Defense (All Games)13.75.516.826:5722-82(3.8)23-3566.7%216(6.1)57-297(5.2)(21.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.911.919.129:2927-111(4.1)21-3460.4%220(6.4)61-331(5.4)(14.5)
Defense Home Games11.44.216.626:5422-76(3.5)22-3268.9%228(7.1)54-303(5.6)(26.6)
CAROLINA - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.80.51.30.913-646.9%1-177.8%2-35(21.3)2-19(10.4)5-44
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.61.82.114-640.1%1-045.6%2-52(22.9)21-2(9.9)7-59
Stats For (Home Games)0.60.61.21.412-652.5%1-066.7%1-21(21.4)1-9(7.8)5-40
Stats Against (All Games)1.40.82.2 13-434.0%1-025.0%1-29(22.6)2-23(9.8)6-52
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.10.71.8 14-536.2%1-044.0%2-48(23.3)21-2(9.5)6-54
Stats Against (Home Games)1.41.22.6 12-437.9%1-025.0%1-31(26)2-21(10.3)7-66
Average power rating of opponents played: TAMPA BAY 22.2,  CAROLINA 21.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/13/2013PHILADELPHIA20-31L3L44O21-9426-43-257133-13822-31-2871
10/20/2013@ ATLANTA23-31L6.5L43.5O28-11126-44-226118-1820-26-2731
10/24/2013CAROLINA13-31L6.5L39O14-4830-51-249127-12923-32-1950
11/3/2013@ SEATTLE24-27L16W40O38-20518-24-145035-19819-26-2173
11/11/2013MIAMI22-19W2.5W39O37-14011-21-124114-227-42-2111
11/17/2013ATLANTA41-28W-2W43.5O38-18620-25-224020-15224-43-2683
11/24/2013@ DETROIT24-21W7W48U24-2214-21-207024-10426-46-2865
12/1/2013@ CAROLINA            
12/8/2013BUFFALO            
12/15/2013SAN FRANCISCO            
12/22/2013@ ST LOUIS            
12/29/2013@ NEW ORLEANS            

CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/6/2013@ ARIZONA6-22L-3L41U20-9521-39-258428-9019-28-1603
10/13/2013@ MINNESOTA35-10W2.5W44.5O39-13120-26-236013-7532-44-2152
10/20/2013ST LOUIS30-15W-7W42O38-10215-17-180021-6323-34-2543
10/24/2013@ TAMPA BAY31-13W-6.5W39O27-12923-32-195014-4830-51-2491
11/3/2013ATLANTA34-10W-8.5W47U33-13123-37-242220-7820-27-2114
11/10/2013@ SAN FRANCISCO10-9W6W43U30-11116-32-139224-10511-22-462
11/18/2013NEW ENGLAND24-20W-3W45.5U23-10319-28-197025-10729-40-2832
11/24/2013@ MIAMI20-16W-4.5L40U29-13619-38-159117-5228-42-2801
12/1/2013TAMPA BAY            
12/8/2013@ NEW ORLEANS            
12/15/2013NY JETS            
12/22/2013NEW ORLEANS            
12/29/2013@ ATLANTA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
CAROLINA is 16-10 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992
CAROLINA is 15-11 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
14 of 26 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CAROLINA since 1992
CAROLINA is 8-5 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992
CAROLINA is 7-6 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/24/2013CAROLINA31-6.5SU ATS142134:3327-12923-32195006-59
 TAMPA BAY1339 Over61925:2714-4830-51249103-21
11/18/2012TAMPA BAY2746.5SU ATS102532:3030-16725-46236126-50
 CAROLINA210 Over141831:5034-9716-292341011-91
9/9/2012CAROLINA10-3 Under01622:3313-1023-33291026-65
 TAMPA BAY1645.5SU ATS131837:2736-13016-24128004-35
12/24/2011TAMPA BAY1648.5 Over102232:5719-5928-38258317-64
 CAROLINA48-7.5SU ATS202027:0331-27012-17163008-77
12/4/2011CAROLINA38-3SU ATS242632:4139-16313-22222002-20
 TAMPA BAY1946.5 Over121527:1927-7816-27207019-73
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1992. (137-120)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 70.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 49.8% of the time since 1992. (107-108)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-15)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50.2% of the time since 1992. (139-138)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 38.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 55.2% of the time since 1992. (139-113)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CAROLINA games 43.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-22)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[CB] 12/01/2013 - Darrelle Revis probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Groin )
[LB] 11/29/2013 - Mason Foster probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/29/2013 - Adam Hayward probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Foot )
[S] 11/28/2013 - Dashon Goldson probable Sunday vs. Carolina ( Suspension Served )
[TE] 11/27/2013 - Nate Byham IR ( Knee )
[TE] 11/27/2013 - Tom Crabtree IR ( Bicep )
[RB] 11/12/2013 - Mike James IR ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/08/2013 - Doug Martin IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/06/2013 - Jeffery Demps IR ( Groin )
[WR] 10/28/2013 - Mike Williams IR ( Hamstring )
[CB] 10/18/2013 - Rashaan Melvin IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 10/17/2013 - Carl Nicks out indefinitely ( Infection )
[TE] 09/23/2013 - Luke Stocker IR ( Undisclosed )
[CB] 09/02/2013 - Danny Gorrer out indefinitely ( Groin )
[CB] 09/02/2013 - Jacob Cutrera IR ( Ankle )
CAROLINA
[T] 11/29/2013 - Chris Scott expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[TE] 11/29/2013 - Ben Hartsock doubtful Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[DE] 11/29/2013 - Charles Johnson expected to miss Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[FB] 11/29/2013 - Michael Tolbert probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Leg )
[WR] 11/29/2013 - Steve Smith probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Knee )
[RB] 11/29/2013 - DeAngelo Williams doubtful Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Quad )
[RB] 11/28/2013 - Jonathan Stewart probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/24/2013 - Chase Blackburn "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Foot )
[CB] 11/15/2013 - James Dockery IR ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/10/2013 - Amini Silatolu out for season ( Knee )
[S] 09/16/2013 - Charles Godfrey IR ( Achilles )
[T] 09/09/2013 - Garry Williams out for season ( Knee )
[G] 09/02/2013 - Edmund Kugbila IR ( Hamstring )
[DT] 09/02/2013 - Frank Kearse IR ( Undisclosed )
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