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Matchup Reports

TAMPA BAY (6-5) AT DENVER (8-3)
Sunday,  Dec 2 2012  at 4:05 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
357: TAMPA BAY
358: DENVER
50.0
-8.0
28.2 / 23.1
28.9 / 20.1
6-5
8-3
8-2-1
6-4-1
8-3-0
7-4-0
121.4
104.5
244.0
288.2
365.4
392.6
82.2
98.7
314.9
209.7
397.1
308.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TAMPA BAY  
DENVER-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points3-010-459-462-15-849-541-26-838-68
in all games8-221-19165-1668-325-16149-1876-520-23162-179
in all lined games8-221-19165-1668-325-16149-1876-520-23162-179
as an underdog6-116-1393-875-317-1285-974-411-1963-122
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points1-03-211-121-03-211-120-10-53-20
in road games5-014-684-814-113-874-943-210-1164-105
in road lined games5-014-684-814-113-874-943-210-1164-105
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-00-10-10-00-10-10-00-10-1
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.50-01-11-20-10-30-40-11-21-3
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-217-15135-1276-219-13118-1483-514-20128-142
against AFC West division opponents3-03-015-103-03-017-83-03-012-14
off a division game2-04-766-672-18-572-631-26-761-76
in games played on a grass field5-213-17121-1336-218-13112-1475-315-18126-137
in December games0-01-639-440-05-139-440-02-640-45
in non-conference games3-05-537-413-08-340-393-06-537-43
off a loss against a division rival1-02-441-341-05-238-371-04-337-40
when playing against a team with a winning record1-06-768-611-17-662-691-13-1154-79
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-03-443-350-14-332-480-11-737-44
in weeks 10 through 132-06-442-322-17-433-432-14-740-38

DENVER - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points4-04-255-643-25-273-465-05-283-39
in all games6-420-23163-1707-427-17195-1458-321-24199-148
in all lined games6-420-23163-1707-427-17195-1458-321-24199-148
as a favorite5-17-8100-1134-310-6129-887-011-6151-71
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points0-00-014-150-00-017-120-00-025-4
in home games3-19-1182-853-214-7100-674-111-11118-54
in home lined games3-19-1182-853-214-7100-674-111-11118-54
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.51-01-04-40-10-12-61-01-06-2
in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.51-21-48-121-22-311-101-21-410-11
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-314-18111-1285-224-10149-985-215-19144-108
against NFC South division opponents2-12-14-61-21-23-82-12-18-3
off a division game1-27-768-631-26-867-682-19-583-55
in games played on a grass field5-218-18137-1385-321-16160-1227-119-19171-116
in December games0-03-433-490-05-350-340-03-539-46
in non-conference games2-14-638-441-27-452-332-15-647-38
off a win against a division rival1-24-337-421-22-538-442-15-250-34
after 2 or more consecutive wins2-15-248-563-15-456-514-08-166-43
when playing against a team with a winning record1-08-777-631-013-391-481-07-976-68
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-05-246-380-05-355-320-04-445-43
in weeks 10 through 131-17-340-372-15-643-373-08-351-29
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games6-5+1.78-28-328.212.9365.4(6.2)1.023.112.7397.1(6.3)2.0
Road Games3-2+1.85-04-129.813.6361.4(5.7)1.625.411.4405.0(6.1)2.6
Last 3 Games2-1+12-02-128.012.3336.0(5.9)1.023.015.0393.7(6.5)1.7
Grass Games5-3+1.95-26-228.711.4391.2(6.7)0.922.513.4387.2(6.2)1.6
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.212.918.530:0827-121(4.5)18-3257.1%244(7.7)59-365(6.2)(13)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.411.820.230:2127-118(4.4)22-3563.5%243(7)61-361(5.9)(14.8)
Offense Road Games29.813.619.430:2130-152(5.1)17-3451.8%210(6.2)64-361(5.7)(12.1)
Defense (All Games)23.112.720.730:1624-82(3.4)26-3966.4%315(8.1)63-397(6.3)(17.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.511.420.130:0726-112(4.3)22-3562.7%245(6.9)62-357(5.8)(15.8)
Defense Road Games25.411.420.830:3123-78(3.4)26-4360.6%327(7.6)66-405(6.1)(15.9)
TAMPA BAY - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.60.41.01.013-434.8%1-166.7%2-45(20.4)2-15(6.9)7-52
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.71.61.913-539.4%1-052.4%3-61(22.7)21-2(9)6-51
Stats For (Road Games)1.00.61.61.014-534.7%1-160.0%3-62(23.7)3-18(6.8)8-63
Stats Against (All Games)1.50.52.0 14-642.9%1-033.3%2-40(25.8)2-21(9.6)7-57
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-538.0%1-047.9%3-65(23.9)16-2(7.8)6-50
Stats Against (Road Games)1.61.02.6 15-639.7%1-020.0%2-48(24.1)3-28(10.6)9-72

DENVER - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-3+56-47-428.910.0392.6(6.1)1.920.111.6308.5(4.8)1.6
Home Games4-1+33-13-231.412.4425.6(6.2)1.218.610.2297.2(4.9)1.4
Last 3 Games3-0+31-12-127.713.7371.3(5.9)1.715.36.7263.7(4.5)2.0
Grass Games7-1+65-25-330.610.7402.7(6.3)1.517.511.0288.5(4.8)2.0
DENVER - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.910.022.129:0527-104(3.9)25-3767.6%288(7.7)64-393(6.1)(13.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.310.819.629:2626-113(4.3)21-3562.2%236(6.8)61-349(5.8)(15)
Offense Home Games31.412.424.030:5530-135(4.4)24-3864.6%290(7.7)68-426(6.2)(13.6)
Defense (All Games)20.111.619.530:5527-99(3.6)21-3659.3%210(5.8)64-308(4.8)(15.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.113.220.831:1627-111(4)23-3663.2%250(6.9)63-361(5.7)(15)
Defense Home Games18.610.216.229:0523-77(3.3)21-3755.9%220(5.9)60-297(4.9)(16)
DENVER - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.71.21.9-0.313-644.1%0-060.0%2-51(23.4)3-28(9.3)6-49
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.81.61.913-538.3%1-047.9%3-69(23.3)21-2(9.4)6-50
Stats For (Home Games)0.21.01.20.214-645.1%0-050.0%1-26(18.6)4-32(8.8)5-44
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.51.6 14-533.5%1-150.0%2-40(21.1)2-10(4.7)7-56
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.71.6 14-640.7%1-046.0%3-62(23.6)20-2(8.8)6-50
Stats Against (Home Games)1.00.41.4 15-531.5%2-155.6%1-9(14.3)2-11(5.9)7-48
Average power rating of opponents played: TAMPA BAY 19,  DENVER 21.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/14/2012KANSAS CITY38-10W-5W39.5O24-14515-26-318230-8022-38-1802
10/21/2012NEW ORLEANS28-35L1.5L49O25-9824-42-415026-8127-37-3771
10/25/2012@ MINNESOTA36-17W5.5W43.5O41-15919-36-257021-14019-35-2293
11/4/2012@ OAKLAND42-32W1.5W46.5O32-27818-30-237111-2240-62-4023
11/11/2012SAN DIEGO34-24W-3W46.5O22-7414-20-205026-10329-37-3232
11/18/2012@ CAROLINA27-21W0W46.5O30-16725-46-236334-9716-29-2341
11/25/2012ATLANTA23-24L1T51U21-5020-31-276024-7926-32-3452
12/2/2012@ DENVER            
12/9/2012PHILADELPHIA            
12/16/2012@ NEW ORLEANS            
12/23/2012ST LOUIS            
12/30/2012@ ATLANTA            

DENVER - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/7/2012@ NEW ENGLAND21-31L6L50.5O20-7031-44-332354-25123-31-1931
10/15/2012@ SAN DIEGO35-24W0W48O22-5724-30-309327-9025-41-2186
10/28/2012NEW ORLEANS34-14W-6W54.5U41-22522-30-305117-5122-42-2011
11/4/2012@ CINCINNATI31-23W-5W47.5O26-6827-35-291225-9126-42-2751
11/11/2012@ CAROLINA36-14W-3.5W46.5O22-6527-38-295221-5221-36-1982
11/18/2012SAN DIEGO30-23W-7T47.5O25-13325-42-253223-5324-40-2243
11/25/2012@ KANSAS CITY17-9W-10.5L41.5U24-9522-37-273131-14813-26-1161
12/2/2012TAMPA BAY            
12/6/2012@ OAKLAND            
12/16/2012@ BALTIMORE            
12/23/2012CLEVELAND            
12/30/2012KANSAS CITY            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at DENVER since 1992
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992
DENVER is 2-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at DENVER over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring DENVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 52% of the time since 1992. (127-117)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (135-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DENVER games 61.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-14)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50.6% of the time since 1992. (133-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 51.9% of the time since 1992. (148-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DENVER games 56.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-17)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[G] 09/05/2012 - Davin Joseph IR ( Knee )
[WR] 09/21/2012 - Sammie Stroughter IR ( Foot )
[DE] 09/25/2012 - Adrian Clayborn IR ( ACL )
[CB] 10/12/2012 - Anthony Gaitor IR ( Hamstring )
[OG] 11/01/2012 - Carl Nicks IR ( Toe )
[TE] 11/01/2012 - Danny Noble IR ( Hamstring )
[LB] 11/13/2012 - Quincy Black IR ( Neck )
[WR] 11/22/2012 - Arrelious Benn IR ( Shoulder )
[CB] 11/26/2012 - Eric Wright 4-game suspension ( Suspension )
[S] 11/28/2012 - Cody Grimm IR ( Hamstring )
[OT] 11/29/2012 - Jeremy Trueblood IR ( Shoulder )
[C] 12/01/2012 - Ted Larsen probable Sunday vs. Denver ( Illness )
[DT] 11/29/2012 - Roy Miller probable Sunday vs. Denver ( Illness )
[LB] 12/01/2012 - Dekoda Watson probable Sunday vs. Denver ( Hamstring )
DENVER
[DT] 09/10/2012 - Ty Warren IR ( Tricep )
[S] 09/30/2012 - Quinton Carter IR ( Knee )
[C] 10/01/2012 - J.D. Walton IR ( Ankle )
[CB] 11/25/2012 - Tracy Porter "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Head )
[LB] 10/29/2012 - Joe Mays IR ( Leg )
[RB] 11/21/2012 - Willis McGahee IR ( Knee )
[DE] 11/26/2012 - Robert Ayers "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Personal )
[G] 12/01/2012 - Manny Ramirez probable Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Back )
[WR] 11/29/2012 - Brandon Stokley "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Wrist )
[T] 12/01/2012 - Chris Clark "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay ( Illness )
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