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Matchup Reports

TENNESSEE (2-4) AT BUFFALO (3-3)
Sunday,  Oct 21 2012 at 1:00 PM
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
415: TENNESSEE
416: BUFFALO
47.0
-4.0
19.0 / 34.0
22.8 / 32.0
2-4
3-3
2-4-0
3-3-0
4-2-0
4-2-0
70.2
147.7
243.8
195.8
314.0
343.5
129.5
173.5
292.3
256.3
421.8
429.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
TENNESSEE  
BUFFALO-3 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TENNESSEE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points2-35-632-263-27-530-292-34-822-38
in all games2-416-21129-1224-219-18133-1202-417-21142-115
in all lined games2-416-21129-1224-219-18133-1202-417-21142-115
as an underdog2-410-1066-554-212-965-552-48-1352-71
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-21-518-181-14-318-180-21-613-24
in road games0-37-1165-622-19-1061-660-37-1264-65
in road lined games0-37-1165-622-19-1061-660-37-1264-65
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-02-18-50-00-32-110-01-26-7
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-412-1345-424-212-1437-522-410-1644-46
against conference opponents1-310-1890-1043-116-1197-941-311-1798-96
against AFC East division opponents0-11-212-180-11-214-160-11-212-18
in games played on turf0-13-220-180-11-516-240-12-419-21
in October games1-16-533-271-18-340-211-16-537-25
in weeks 5 through 91-15-538-261-16-339-271-15-543-24

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-01-136-420-01-148-310-02-058-22
in all games3-316-19164-1614-222-16167-1693-313-25162-176
in all lined games3-316-19164-1614-222-16167-1693-313-25162-176
as a favorite2-03-577-741-14-581-752-05-4105-52
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-122-250-01-027-200-01-033-15
in home games1-16-982-752-09-884-791-17-1094-70
in home lined games1-16-982-752-09-884-791-17-1094-70
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-10-23-61-01-13-50-10-23-6
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points3-29-1040-393-210-1136-453-26-1532-50
against conference opponents2-213-15119-1283-117-11123-1292-29-19116-138
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-213-16127-1313-218-14136-1343-211-21129-141
against AFC South division opponents0-00-29-80-01-110-90-00-27-12
in games played on turf2-210-14109-1123-116-10121-1082-210-16121-109
in October games1-15-440-401-17-340-421-13-742-41
when playing against a team with a losing record0-13-651-481-06-454-470-14-662-41
in weeks 5 through 91-15-343-411-15-538-491-13-746-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TENNESSEE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-4-0.82-44-219.08.2314.0(5.4)1.834.014.0421.8(6.1)0.8
Road Games0-3-30-32-110.33.3268.0(4.9)2.035.314.7382.0(5.8)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-0.21-22-115.77.7317.0(5)2.030.312.3380.7(6.1)1.0
TENNESSEE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)19.08.217.026:1719-70(3.7)24-3961.5%244(6.3)58-314(5.4)(16.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.59.519.328:3824-88(3.7)22-3662.3%236(6.6)59-325(5.5)(14.5)
Offense Road Games10.33.314.723:3619-83(4.3)20-3558.1%185(5.3)54-268(4.9)(25.9)
Defense (All Games)34.014.024.735:0732-129(4)26-3771.9%292(7.9)69-422(6.1)(12.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.26.31323.333:5530-115(3.9)25-3865.1%264(7)68-379(5.6)(14.4)
Defense Road Games35.314.722.736:2434-139(4.1)23-3272.6%243(7.7)65-382(5.8)(10.8)
TENNESSEE - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.81.8-1.013-540.0%1-060.0%4-125(27.7)2-24(12.2)6-52
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.811.7213-540.4%1-045.3%3-80(26.5)21-2(11.2)6-55
Stats For (Road Games)1.30.72.0-1.013-434.2%1-166.7%5-115(24.6)3-21(8)8-69
Stats Against (All Games)0.70.20.8 13-643.2%0-066.7%2-53(28.7)2-13(5.3)4-44
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.51.4 14-642.9%1-057.1%2-55(24.2)23-2(10.3)7-61
Stats Against (Road Games)1.00.01.0 14-645.2%1-1100.0%1-43(32.5)2-12(5.1)3-35

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-3+0.83-34-222.811.3343.5(5.7)2.532.011.3429.8(6.6)1.8
Home Games1-101-12-031.517.5408.5(6.8)3.034.53.5501.0(7.1)2.5
Last 3 Games1-2-0.21-22-116.78.7316.0(5.4)3.337.711.3511.0(7.5)1.7
Turf Games1-2-11-23-030.314.0402.3(6.7)3.339.011.3462.0(6.8)2.0
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.811.317.029:1329-148(5.1)18-3157.6%196(6.4)60-343(5.7)(15)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.410.519.330:0928-117(4.2)20-3459.3%234(6.9)62-352(5.7)(15.7)
Offense Home Games31.517.517.029:1731-149(4.7)16-2955.2%259(8.9)60-408(6.8)(13)
Defense (All Games)32.011.324.231:2530-173(5.8)21-3560.3%256(7.4)65-430(6.6)(13.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.59.82131:3729-128(4.4)21-3559.0%222(6.3)64-351(5.5)(15.6)
Defense Home Games34.53.529.030:4332-198(6.2)22-3957.7%302(7.8)71-501(7.1)(14.5)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.51.02.5-0.712-539.7%0-0100.0%2-51(25.7)1-36(24)6-41
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.91.92.513-538.3%1-052.7%3-63(23.8)21-2(12.6)6-52
Stats For (Home Games)2.01.03.0-0.513-648.1%0-00.0%1-15(15.5)1-49(32.7)4-33
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.81.8 13-644.2%0-0100.0%2-44(23.9)2-40(16.1)5-42
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.30.82.1 14-538.2%1-060.2%3-69(25.7)31-2(12.6)6-57
Stats Against (Home Games)0.52.02.5 12-436.0%0-00.0%1-30(20)2-37(15)2-21
Average power rating of opponents played: TENNESSEE 23.2,  BUFFALO 20.5
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TENNESSEE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012NEW ENGLAND13-34L5L48U16-2029-43-264235-16223-31-2280
9/16/2012@ SAN DIEGO10-38L6L43.5O10-3815-30-174139-14824-32-2681
9/23/2012DETROIT44-41W3.5W47O19-5929-42-378236-14143-55-4421
9/30/2012@ HOUSTON14-38L13L44.5O29-15817-27-167331-9520-28-2020
10/7/2012@ MINNESOTA7-30L6L44U19-5229-48-215231-17525-35-2582
10/11/2012PITTSBURGH26-23W5.5W43O22-9425-44-265122-5624-40-3561
10/21/2012@ BUFFALO            
10/28/2012INDIANAPOLIS            
11/4/2012CHICAGO            
11/11/2012@ MIAMI            

BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012@ NY JETS28-48L3L39O26-19518-32-195436-11819-27-2661
9/16/2012KANSAS CITY35-17W-3W45O36-20110-19-178024-15023-42-2723
9/23/2012@ CLEVELAND24-14W-3W45U34-13822-35-206113-3327-43-2072
9/30/2012NEW ENGLAND28-52L3.5L47.5O27-9822-39-340640-24722-36-3332
10/7/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO3-45L10L45.5O19-8916-26-115238-31119-25-3101
10/14/2012@ ARIZONA19-16W5.5W44.5U33-16518-33-141230-18216-36-1502
10/21/2012TENNESSEE            
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON            
11/11/2012@ NEW ENGLAND            
11/15/2012MIAMI            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
TENNESSEE is 7-4 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
TENNESSEE is 8-4 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BUFFALO since 1992
TENNESSEE is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
BUFFALO is 3-3 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1992
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/4/2011TENNESSEE2344SU ATS171828:1431-18716-25130003-20
 BUFFALO17-1 Under101831:4623-9729-46282202-15
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 50% of the time since 1992. (123-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TENNESSEE games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (9-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 49% of the time since 1992. (125-130)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 48.7% of the time since 1992. (128-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TENNESSEE games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 48.1% of the time since 1992. (137-148)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-21)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TENNESSEE
No significant injuries.
BUFFALO
[DT] 09/05/2012 - Torell Troup IR ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Mike Caussin PUP ( Knee )
[CB] 09/06/2012 - Ron Brooks out indefinitely ( Foot )
[WR] 09/10/2012 - David Nelson IR ( ACL )
[G] 10/20/2012 - Kraig Urbik expected to miss Sunday vs. Tennessee ( Leg )
[T] 10/19/2012 - Cordy Glenn expected to miss Sunday vs. Tennessee ( Ankle )
[DE] 10/21/2012 - Spencer Johnson probable Sunday vs. Tennessee ( Ankle )
[DE] 10/10/2012 - Mark Anderson out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 10/10/2012 - Colin Brown IR ( Hamstring )
[DT] 10/21/2012 - Kyle Williams probable Sunday vs. Tennessee ( Ankle )
[CB] 10/21/2012 - Terrence McGee probable Sunday vs. Tennessee ( Knee )
[S] 10/21/2012 - Da'Norris Searcy probable Sunday vs. Tennessee ( Ankle )
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