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Matchup Reports

Wednesday at 8:00 PM
S ILLINOIS (4-1) AT W KENTUCKY (6-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
541: S ILLINOIS
542: W KENTUCKY
OFF
-5.5
70.2 / 57.4
71.0 / 62.1
4-1
6-2
2-1
5-2
0-0
0-2
50.0
42.1
66.3
64.1
32.7
25.5
40.2
39.0
63.9
69.1
30.7
26.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
S ILLINOIS  
W KENTUCKY-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
S ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games2-123-38221-2310-029-30120-1394-125-43291-192
in all lined games2-123-38221-2310-029-30120-1392-120-42272-187
as an underdog1-015-2788-860-021-2154-550-18-3558-118
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-527-240-03-216-140-00-518-34
in road games2-07-1896-940-011-1352-522-17-2193-108
in road lined games2-07-1896-940-011-1352-521-15-2188-105
against Sun Belt conference opponents0-00-25-70-00-23-70-00-26-6
in December games0-05-841-520-06-722-300-05-962-41
on Wednesday games0-13-1147-530-07-723-301-04-1156-46
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-01-116-220-00-210-100-02-123-17
after a non-conference game2-19-1581-840-09-1242-533-112-16115-69
in non-conference games2-19-1479-830-08-1240-574-114-15113-72
after allowing 60 points or less1-09-1085-730-06-1350-631-16-15102-62
after scoring 60 points or less0-114-1262-530-09-1648-441-013-1573-46
when playing against a team with a winning record0-112-25133-1380-021-1682-931-09-29149-132
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-111-1567-720-014-1150-501-18-1976-71

W KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-236-35222-2160-232-31131-1266-238-37306-180
in all lined games5-236-35222-2160-232-31131-1265-234-37272-175
as a favorite3-118-16143-1360-015-1387-864-023-11225-61
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-410-100-02-44-110-03-315-7
in all home games2-012-1590-920-013-1254-513-018-13166-47
in home lined games2-012-1590-920-013-1254-512-014-13138-47
in December games0-16-948-430-07-728-231-06-962-48
on Wednesday games1-03-325-180-11-57-191-03-330-17
after a conference game0-122-18127-1300-022-1679-801-023-18186-88
in non-conference games4-112-1889-820-28-1647-484-215-19118-93
off a win against a conference rival0-112-983-910-011-954-601-013-9131-54
when playing against a team with a winning record1-112-15114-1120-113-1268-681-112-17129-109
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-16-547-290-17-429-220-14-842-37
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
S ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games4-1+12-10-070.232.450.0%36.057.426.640.2%29.0
Road Games2-102-00-064.731.344.8%38.057.027.339.6%30.0
Last 5 Games4-1+12-10-070.232.450.0%36.057.426.640.2%29.0
S ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.232.428-5650.0%3-1032.7%11-1666.2%361113189163
vs opponents surrendering71.533.627-5548.6%5-1434.5%13-2065.4%351014178143
Team Stats (Road Games)64.731.326-5744.8%3-1026.7%11-1474.4%3812122010192
Stats Against (All Games)57.426.620-5040.2%5-1530.7%12-1963.9%29810176182
vs opponents averaging64.630.123-5442.7%7-1738.3%12-1866.3%31812186162
Stats Against (Road Games)57.027.320-5039.6%3-1423.3%14-2167.2%30811167203

W KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-2+3.45-20-271.032.442.1%41.962.131.039.0%33.9
Home Games3-0+22-00-079.735.745.8%45.360.329.334.3%32.3
Last 5 Games4-1+2.42-20-267.832.842.4%41.259.031.039.7%31.6
W KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.032.425-6042.1%5-2025.5%15-2464.1%421413208154
vs opponents surrendering69.932.525-5743.0%6-2029.2%15-2268.1%381213178154
Team Stats (Home Games)79.735.727-5945.8%5-2024.6%21-3264.6%451413208145
Stats Against (All Games)62.131.022-5639.0%4-1626.5%14-2169.1%3489207164
vs opponents averaging64.531.323-5641.4%6-1932.0%12-1867.5%34913197153
Stats Against (Home Games)60.329.319-5534.3%6-2127.4%17-2371.4%3275235152
Average power rating of opponents played: S ILLINOIS 62.4,  W KENTUCKY 66.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 5-3 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 4-4 straight up against S ILLINOIS since 1997
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at W KENTUCKY since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 3-1 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997
W KENTUCKY is 3-1 straight up against S ILLINOIS since 1997
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
12/7/2011W KENTUCKY62122.5SU ATS3021-4843.7%3-933.3%17-3056.7%361116
 S ILLINOIS55-6.5 Under2719-5435.2%2-1118.2%15-1788.2%37719
12/11/2010S ILLINOIS46135.5 Under2320-4643.5%3-1323.1%3-742.9%421023
 W KENTUCKY53-6SU ATS1719-4938.8%4-1723.5%11-1861.1%22410
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring W KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (168-200)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 35.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (174-168)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 62.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-20)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
S ILLINOIS
[F] 12/04/2012 - Antonio Bryer has left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/02/2012 - Chase Heins out indefinitely ( Knee )
[F] 11/02/2012 - Bola Olaniyan out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Diamond Taylor out indefinitely ( Suspension )
W KENTUCKY
[G] 11/30/2012 - Caden Dickerson out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[F] 11/02/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( ACL )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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