|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| S ILLINOIS | | | | W KENTUCKY | -9 |  |
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 2-1 | 23-38 | 221-231 | 0-0 | 29-30 | 120-139 | 4-1 | 25-43 | 291-192 | | in all lined games | 2-1 | 23-38 | 221-231 | 0-0 | 29-30 | 120-139 | 2-1 | 20-42 | 272-187 | | as an underdog | 1-0 | 15-27 | 88-86 | 0-0 | 21-21 | 54-55 | 0-1 | 8-35 | 58-118 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-5 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 16-14 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 18-34 | | in road games | 2-0 | 7-18 | 96-94 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 52-52 | 2-1 | 7-21 | 93-108 | | in road lined games | 2-0 | 7-18 | 96-94 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 52-52 | 1-1 | 5-21 | 88-105 | | against Sun Belt conference opponents | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6-6 | | in December games | 0-0 | 5-8 | 41-52 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 22-30 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 62-41 | | on Wednesday games | 0-1 | 3-11 | 47-53 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 23-30 | 1-0 | 4-11 | 56-46 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16-22 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 23-17 | | after a non-conference game | 2-1 | 9-15 | 81-84 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 42-53 | 3-1 | 12-16 | 115-69 | | in non-conference games | 2-1 | 9-14 | 79-83 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 40-57 | 4-1 | 14-15 | 113-72 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-0 | 9-10 | 85-73 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 50-63 | 1-1 | 6-15 | 102-62 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-1 | 14-12 | 62-53 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 48-44 | 1-0 | 13-15 | 73-46 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-1 | 12-25 | 133-138 | 0-0 | 21-16 | 82-93 | 1-0 | 9-29 | 149-132 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 11-15 | 67-72 | 0-0 | 14-11 | 50-50 | 1-1 | 8-19 | 76-71 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 5-2 | 36-35 | 222-216 | 0-2 | 32-31 | 131-126 | 6-2 | 38-37 | 306-180 | | in all lined games | 5-2 | 36-35 | 222-216 | 0-2 | 32-31 | 131-126 | 5-2 | 34-37 | 272-175 | | as a favorite | 3-1 | 18-16 | 143-136 | 0-0 | 15-13 | 87-86 | 4-0 | 23-11 | 225-61 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15-7 | | in all home games | 2-0 | 12-15 | 90-92 | 0-0 | 13-12 | 54-51 | 3-0 | 18-13 | 166-47 | | in home lined games | 2-0 | 12-15 | 90-92 | 0-0 | 13-12 | 54-51 | 2-0 | 14-13 | 138-47 | | in December games | 0-1 | 6-9 | 48-43 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 28-23 | 1-0 | 6-9 | 62-48 | | on Wednesday games | 1-0 | 3-3 | 25-18 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7-19 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 30-17 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 22-18 | 127-130 | 0-0 | 22-16 | 79-80 | 1-0 | 23-18 | 186-88 | | in non-conference games | 4-1 | 12-18 | 89-82 | 0-2 | 8-16 | 47-48 | 4-2 | 15-19 | 118-93 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 12-9 | 83-91 | 0-0 | 11-9 | 54-60 | 1-0 | 13-9 | 131-54 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 12-15 | 114-112 | 0-1 | 13-12 | 68-68 | 1-1 | 12-17 | 129-109 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 0-1 | 6-5 | 47-29 | 0-1 | 7-4 | 29-22 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 42-37 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 4-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 70.2 | 32.4 | 50.0% | 36.0 | 57.4 | 26.6 | 40.2% | 29.0 | | Road Games | 2-1 | 0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 64.7 | 31.3 | 44.8% | 38.0 | 57.0 | 27.3 | 39.6% | 30.0 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 70.2 | 32.4 | 50.0% | 36.0 | 57.4 | 26.6 | 40.2% | 29.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.2 | 32.4 | 28-56 | 50.0% | 3-10 | 32.7% | 11-16 | 66.2% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 71.5 | 33.6 | 27-55 | 48.6% | 5-14 | 34.5% | 13-20 | 65.4% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.7 | 31.3 | 26-57 | 44.8% | 3-10 | 26.7% | 11-14 | 74.4% | 38 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 19 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.4 | 26.6 | 20-50 | 40.2% | 5-15 | 30.7% | 12-19 | 63.9% | 29 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 18 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 64.6 | 30.1 | 23-54 | 42.7% | 7-17 | 38.3% | 12-18 | 66.3% | 31 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 2 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 57.0 | 27.3 | 20-50 | 39.6% | 3-14 | 23.3% | 14-21 | 67.2% | 30 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 6-2 | +3.4 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 71.0 | 32.4 | 42.1% | 41.9 | 62.1 | 31.0 | 39.0% | 33.9 | | Home Games | 3-0 | +2 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 79.7 | 35.7 | 45.8% | 45.3 | 60.3 | 29.3 | 34.3% | 32.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 67.8 | 32.8 | 42.4% | 41.2 | 59.0 | 31.0 | 39.7% | 31.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.0 | 32.4 | 25-60 | 42.1% | 5-20 | 25.5% | 15-24 | 64.1% | 42 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.8 | 32.4 | 25-57 | 43.0% | 6-20 | 29.0% | 15-22 | 68.1% | 38 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 79.7 | 35.7 | 27-59 | 45.8% | 5-20 | 24.6% | 21-32 | 64.6% | 45 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.1 | 31.0 | 22-56 | 39.0% | 4-16 | 26.5% | 14-21 | 69.1% | 34 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 64.6 | 31.3 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-19 | 32.2% | 12-18 | 67.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.3 | 29.3 | 19-55 | 34.3% | 6-21 | 27.4% | 17-23 | 71.4% | 32 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: S ILLINOIS 62.4, W KENTUCKY 66.4 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| W KENTUCKY is 5-3 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | W KENTUCKY is 4-4 straight up against S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| W KENTUCKY is 3-1 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | W KENTUCKY is 3-1 straight up against S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/7/2011 | W KENTUCKY | 62 | 122.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 3-9 | 33.3% | 17-30 | 56.7% | 36 | 11 | 16 | | | S ILLINOIS | 55 | -6.5 | Under | 27 | 19-54 | 35.2% | 2-11 | 18.2% | 15-17 | 88.2% | 37 | 7 | 19 | 12/11/2010 | S ILLINOIS | 46 | 135.5 | Under | 23 | 20-46 | 43.5% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 3-7 | 42.9% | 42 | 10 | 23 | | | W KENTUCKY | 53 | -6 | SU ATS | 17 | 19-49 | 38.8% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 22 | 4 | 10 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (168-200) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 35.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (174-168) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in W KENTUCKY games 62.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-20) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
| [F] 12/04/2012 - Antonio Bryer has left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Chase Heins out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Bola Olaniyan out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Diamond Taylor out indefinitely ( Suspension ) | |
| [G] 11/30/2012 - Caden Dickerson out indefinitely ( Shoulder ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Nigel Snipes out for season ( ACL ) |
|
|