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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 7:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN (9-5) AT MINNESOTA (13-1) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
817: NORTHWESTERN
818: MINNESOTA
131.5
-16.5
67.6 / 61.8
75.9 / 59.8
9-5
13-1
6-5
8-4
6-0
3-3
42.8
46.8
66.5
70.4
38.3
32.4
41.3
38.1
62.9
67.5
35.8
31.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
MINNESOTA-18 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-534-32194-1996-039-23133-1149-548-33217-252
in all lined games6-534-32194-1996-039-23133-1146-534-33148-248
when the total is 130 to 139.52-118-1639-273-022-1241-252-118-1633-33
as an underdog3-116-16130-1374-019-1378-782-28-2457-212
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-00-132-290-01-015-140-00-11-60
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-00-19-70-01-04-20-00-10-16
in road games1-012-1381-831-017-955-481-010-1736-132
in road lined games1-012-1381-831-017-955-481-09-1733-132
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.51-03-19-51-02-27-71-02-24-10
against conference opponents0-119-20132-1371-022-1893-820-116-2481-191
in January games0-18-952-631-08-938-300-16-1239-86
after a conference game0-019-18126-1290-020-1886-780-019-2096-175
off a loss against a conference rival0-011-1188-840-011-1256-510-013-1067-113
after allowing 80 points or more0-06-218-90-04-49-100-05-415-20
when playing against a team with a winning record4-426-29134-1376-031-2293-884-526-3390-197
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-313-1581-823-015-1164-561-49-2047-122

MINNESOTA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-438-39207-2233-334-36143-14913-153-30278-218
in all lined games8-438-39207-2233-334-36143-14911-148-30222-216
when the total is 130 to 139.53-114-2368-732-214-2461-834-020-1872-72
as a favorite7-321-26101-1032-317-2468-6710-036-12157-51
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points3-26-927-260-24-816-175-014-151-2
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points2-04-47-100-02-44-52-08-016-1
in all home games5-217-23108-1051-315-2168-769-033-12199-73
in home lined games5-217-23108-1051-315-2168-767-028-12146-71
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.51-03-616-160-14-514-191-05-421-12
against conference opponents1-017-23128-1471-021-1992-1011-014-26114-166
in January games0-09-654-620-07-836-360-09-655-66
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-03-017-160-01-210-120-03-024-18
after a conference game0-017-21129-1400-018-2087-1030-015-24120-159
off a win against a conference rival0-07-654-560-07-632-410-06-747-65
when playing against a team with a winning record5-325-31154-1713-227-26107-1167-132-26159-188
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-315-1881-1021-218-1470-674-116-1879-113
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-5-5.86-56-067.632.142.8%34.661.827.941.3%35.1
Road Games3-0+63-02-067.027.340.6%37.356.724.038.0%33.7
Last 5 Games2-3-3.22-33-067.231.441.5%29.669.635.445.9%37.4
Conference Games0-1-10-11-066.030.040.7%25.094.051.059.6%41.0
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.632.123-5442.8%8-2238.3%13-1966.5%35817156114
vs opponents surrendering66.931.424-5742.9%6-1833.2%12-1868.5%35913177143
Team Stats (Road Games)67.027.321-5240.6%7-2035.6%18-2377.1%37813186131
Stats Against (All Games)61.827.922-5441.3%6-1735.8%11-1862.9%35913186133
vs opponents averaging68.231.924-5643.4%7-2033.5%13-1968.0%351013176144
Stats Against (Road Games)56.724.020-5338.0%5-1730.8%11-2055.7%34910205144

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-1+5.48-43-375.939.146.8%40.959.827.738.1%30.9
Home Games9-0+25-21-377.139.947.9%43.753.924.835.3%29.8
Last 5 Games5-0+23-21-276.039.846.8%41.258.227.242.4%28.2
Conference Games1-0+11-01-076.039.056.6%39.063.038.044.4%32.0
MINNESOTA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)75.939.126-5746.8%5-1532.4%18-2670.4%4114171610147
vs opponents surrendering65.430.423-5541.7%6-1834.0%13-1970.3%34912187143
Team Stats (Home Games)77.139.928-5947.9%5-1632.6%16-2366.7%4415181512148
Stats Against (All Games)59.827.721-5638.1%5-1731.2%12-1767.5%311012208164
vs opponents averaging69.532.724-5544.6%7-1835.8%14-1971.9%34914177144
Stats Against (Home Games)53.924.820-5535.3%6-1928.9%9-1463.8%30912199173
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 70.8,  MINNESOTA 76.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 18-14 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1997
MINNESOTA is 18-14 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-3 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MINNESOTA since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 7-6 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1997
MINNESOTA is 9-4 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/8/2012MINNESOTA75129SU ATS3429-6246.8%11-2642.3%6-1060.0%441314
NNORTHWESTERN68-2.5 Over3620-5735.1%11-2642.3%17-2181.0%2958
2/18/2012MINNESOTA53133 Under2821-4843.7%5-1729.4%6-1346.2%411321
 NORTHWESTERN64-4SU ATS3621-4645.7%10-2737.0%12-1866.7%20510
1/22/2012NORTHWESTERN52135.5 Under2418-5532.7%8-2630.8%8-2040.0%28510
 MINNESOTA75-5SU ATS4130-5257.7%3-1225.0%12-1770.6%40412
3/10/2011MINNESOTA65133.5 Over3021-5637.5%5-1533.3%18-2669.2%41128
NNORTHWESTERN75-1SU ATS3224-5742.1%9-3129.0%18-2378.3%3575
3/2/2011MINNESOTA57136 Under3123-5244.2%3-1717.6%8-1172.7%33812
 NORTHWESTERN68-3.5SU ATS2519-5137.3%10-3033.3%20-2387.0%3189
1/26/2011NORTHWESTERN70139 Over3424-6437.5%12-3930.8%10-1190.9%351012
 MINNESOTA81-5SU ATS3324-4553.3%2-1118.2%31-4667.4%36712
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.7% of the time since 1997. (167-144)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-21)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (172-160)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 47.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-34)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (106-110)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (127-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-31)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[G] 01/06/2013 - Reggie Hearn is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Minnesota U ( Ankle )
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[F] 11/23/2012 - Nikola Cerina out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
MINNESOTA
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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