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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 7-11 | 34-46 | 237-234 | 7-9 | 40-37 | 171-198 | 15-6 | 51-36 | 362-170 | | in all lined games | 7-11 | 34-46 | 237-234 | 7-9 | 40-37 | 171-198 | 12-6 | 46-36 | 315-169 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-6 | 15-19 | 62-74 | 2-5 | 15-20 | 63-73 | 4-3 | 20-15 | 82-57 | | as an underdog | 3-4 | 11-14 | 63-69 | 4-3 | 19-8 | 58-51 | 3-4 | 8-19 | 37-98 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3-11 | | in road games | 3-3 | 11-14 | 77-75 | 1-4 | 15-11 | 54-74 | 4-2 | 10-17 | 81-81 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 11-14 | 77-75 | 1-4 | 15-11 | 54-74 | 4-2 | 10-17 | 80-80 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 17-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 14-15 | | against conference opponents | 2-5 | 17-26 | 143-139 | 1-6 | 23-22 | 102-125 | 2-5 | 17-28 | 176-117 | | in January games | 2-5 | 8-13 | 56-66 | 1-6 | 8-13 | 41-51 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 69-58 | | after a conference game | 2-4 | 16-25 | 141-139 | 1-5 | 22-21 | 99-128 | 3-4 | 17-27 | 176-116 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-2 | 11-14 | 61-50 | 0-4 | 11-15 | 41-45 | 2-2 | 12-14 | 64-49 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-1 | 5-10 | 47-52 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 40-46 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 59-50 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-8 | 27-32 | 188-178 | 6-8 | 32-28 | 139-155 | 12-5 | 34-29 | 231-154 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-4 | 10-19 | 107-102 | 1-4 | 15-16 | 76-102 | 1-4 | 9-22 | 117-99 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-4 | 6-15 | 65-69 | 1-4 | 14-8 | 57-66 | 1-4 | 6-16 | 73-66 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-10 | 15-25 | 102-113 | 5-8 | 25-15 | 93-96 | 8-6 | 20-21 | 127-97 |
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| in all games | 8-10 | 41-42 | 256-230 | 8-9 | 36-46 | 180-219 | 17-4 | 64-28 | 394-146 | | in all lined games | 8-10 | 41-42 | 256-230 | 8-9 | 36-46 | 180-219 | 14-4 | 56-28 | 348-146 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-3 | 18-17 | 95-80 | 3-4 | 14-22 | 90-88 | 4-3 | 20-16 | 126-55 | | as a favorite | 5-8 | 28-35 | 195-176 | 5-7 | 27-36 | 139-159 | 12-1 | 47-17 | 305-74 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 6-2 | 34-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 19-19 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 40-2 | | in all home games | 4-5 | 20-17 | 114-97 | 4-4 | 19-18 | 80-83 | 12-0 | 41-4 | 229-24 | | in home lined games | 4-5 | 20-17 | 114-97 | 4-4 | 19-18 | 80-83 | 9-0 | 34-4 | 191-24 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 24-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 21-18 | 1-0 | 7-1 | 36-4 | | against conference opponents | 5-3 | 27-22 | 151-132 | 5-3 | 22-28 | 103-133 | 6-2 | 33-17 | 203-86 | | in January games | 5-2 | 10-12 | 60-61 | 4-3 | 11-11 | 44-50 | 6-1 | 14-8 | 89-35 | | after a conference game | 5-2 | 26-22 | 153-128 | 4-3 | 22-27 | 105-133 | 6-1 | 32-17 | 205-83 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-0 | 6-9 | 40-41 | 1-0 | 11-5 | 33-39 | 1-0 | 10-6 | 59-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-7 | 33-34 | 194-182 | 7-6 | 32-35 | 150-174 | 10-3 | 44-25 | 254-136 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-1 | 19-20 | 122-102 | 2-3 | 19-21 | 97-108 | 4-1 | 24-16 | 151-79 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-6 | +0.5 | 7-11 | 7-9 | 72.1 | 34.4 | 42.8% | 35.4 | 66.0 | 30.6 | 42.1% | 34.9 | | Road Games | 7-3 | +5.6 | 5-5 | 5-4 | 75.6 | 37.1 | 43.8% | 33.8 | 69.1 | 33.3 | 41.7% | 38.5 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -7.5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 60.6 | 26.4 | 38.2% | 32.6 | 70.2 | 33.4 | 47.4% | 33.4 | | Conference Games | 2-5 | -7.7 | 2-5 | 1-6 | 62.6 | 28.9 | 39.3% | 34.0 | 67.7 | 31.9 | 44.0% | 34.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 72.1 | 34.4 | 25-59 | 42.8% | 8-25 | 33.1% | 14-19 | 71.7% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.4 | 30.1 | 23-55 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 67.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 75.6 | 37.1 | 26-58 | 43.8% | 9-25 | 35.1% | 16-21 | 75.8% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.0 | 30.6 | 23-55 | 42.1% | 7-19 | 34.3% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.7 | 32.7 | 25-57 | 44.1% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.1 | 33.3 | 24-58 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 32.8% | 14-21 | 66.5% | 38 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
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| All Games | 17-4 | +2.6 | 8-10 | 8-9 | 69.2 | 33.1 | 46.3% | 38.3 | 58.6 | 28.5 | 38.5% | 31.0 | | Home Games | 12-0 | +3 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 73.1 | 34.1 | 48.5% | 40.7 | 54.3 | 25.2 | 33.9% | 30.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.8 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 65.0 | 31.2 | 44.2% | 34.0 | 61.2 | 31.0 | 41.6% | 30.4 | | Conference Games | 6-2 | +3.8 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 66.7 | 31.7 | 43.9% | 35.2 | 62.7 | 31.5 | 43.6% | 32.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.2 | 33.1 | 25-54 | 46.3% | 5-14 | 34.6% | 14-20 | 71.4% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.2 | 29.1 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 6-18 | 32.2% | 14-19 | 70.0% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.1 | 34.1 | 26-53 | 48.5% | 5-15 | 31.7% | 17-23 | 73.6% | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.6 | 28.5 | 21-54 | 38.5% | 5-18 | 31.2% | 12-19 | 63.4% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.6 | 24-57 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-20 | 67.6% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 54.3 | 25.2 | 19-55 | 33.9% | 5-19 | 28.3% | 12-19 | 62.1% | 30 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 73.1, MICHIGAN ST 74.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS is 17-10 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 16-12 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 17 of 25 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS is 2-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ILLINOIS is 7-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 9-3 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 0-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/31/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 41 | -1.5 | Under | 20 | 14-58 | 24.1% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 10-12 | 83.3% | 49 | 18 | 16 | | | ILLINOIS | 42 | 129.5 | SU ATS | 22 | 15-46 | 32.6% | 3-17 | 17.6% | 9-17 | 52.9% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 2/19/2011 | ILLINOIS | 57 | 135.5 | | 26 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 5-19 | 26.3% | 8-10 | 80.0% | 30 | 9 | 10 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 61 | -4 | SU Under | 25 | 21-50 | 42.0% | 3-15 | 20.0% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 38 | 11 | 11 | 1/18/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 62 | 135 | Under | 37 | 24-64 | 37.5% | 7-26 | 26.9% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 35 | 17 | 9 | | | ILLINOIS | 71 | -4 | SU ATS | 41 | 25-47 | 53.2% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 29 | 7 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (201-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (183-212) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-38) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (153-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (191-159) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 53.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-35) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) |
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