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Page last updated on Wed Jul 23 08:14:25 EDT 2014
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:30 PM
N CAROLINA (4-2) AT MIAMI (4-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
115: N CAROLINA
116: MIAMI
69.5
+6.5
44.0 / 17.8
30.2 / 34.7
4-2
4-2
4-2-0
3-3-0
4-1-0
4-1-0
200.3
134.2
286.3
307.2
486.7
441.3
86.3
251.5
226.0
259.3
312.3
510.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
N CAROLINA-6 
MIAMI  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points1-15-425-252-04-516-221-17-237-14
in all games4-217-14119-1174-115-1474-804-219-13137-112
off a win against a conference rival0-02-538-370-04-323-230-02-542-35
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins1-04-431-371-04-419-231-04-439-30
when playing against a team with a winning record2-06-654-471-16-639-442-05-744-58
in weeks 5 through 92-07-447-382-06-527-282-09-350-40
in all lined games4-217-14119-1174-115-1474-804-218-13127-111
as a favorite4-113-859-663-18-1129-424-116-593-34
as a road favorite0-13-321-201-02-48-140-14-231-10
as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-02-19-60-01-25-60-02-112-3
in road games0-25-755-512-06-635-340-25-748-58
in road lined games0-25-755-512-06-635-340-25-748-58
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-01-00-00-00-10-00-00-1
against conference opponents1-18-1080-812-010-847-551-18-1080-82
when playing on a Saturday4-215-13108-1074-113-1365-714-218-11125-103
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-211-1286-874-110-1353-563-215-999-81
after playing a conference game0-17-980-711-08-846-540-18-990-69
in games played on a grass field4-016-11108-1102-111-1464-744-019-9127-103
in October games1-06-440-371-05-525-261-08-346-35

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points0-11-315-101-04-015-80-10-412-13
in all games3-315-16116-1194-114-1480-1004-217-14179-72
when playing against a team with a winning record2-110-763-532-18-848-552-19-874-44
in weeks 5 through 91-16-638-451-16-629-301-17-565-20
in all lined games3-315-16116-1194-114-1480-1004-217-14166-72
as an underdog1-25-529-222-16-426-221-23-722-30
as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-00-02-20-00-02-10-00-02-2
in home games1-16-950-641-05-730-492-09-699-28
in home lined games1-16-950-641-05-730-492-09-686-28
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 700-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against conference opponents3-011-871-743-010-848-573-011-8106-42
when playing on a Saturday3-313-1298-994-111-1266-804-215-10152-59
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-39-1372-743-18-1246-633-211-11115-41
in games played on a grass field2-214-1496-1012-111-1465-863-116-12147-63
in October games0-15-635-400-15-625-280-16-559-18
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-2-34-24-144.024.2486.7(6.6)1.517.813.8312.3(4.5)2.3
Road Games0-2-50-22-030.510.5419.0(6)2.033.528.5444.0(6.2)1.0
Last 3 Games3-0+23-02-147.027.7519.3(6.9)1.013.38.7272.0(4.1)2.7
Grass Games4-0+24-02-150.731.0520.5(6.9)1.210.06.5246.5(3.6)3.0
Conference Games1-1-31-12-037.521.0480.5(6.1)1.531.020.5410.0(5.6)1.5
N CAROLINA - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)44.024.223.527:0639-200(5.2)22-3562.5%286(8.3)73-487(6.6)(11.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.33.118.620.829:0639-176(4.5)19-3160.0%243(7.8)70-419(6)(12.7)
Offense Road Games30.510.521.024:2029-102(3.5)24-4060.5%317(7.8)70-419(6)(13.7)
Defense (All Games)17.813.817.732:5433-86(2.6)22-3660.2%226(6.3)69-312(4.5)(17.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.19.810.717.431:1734-110(3.2)20-3458.7%214(6.3)69-324(4.7)(16.3)
Defense Road Games33.528.525.535:4038-123(3.2)25-3376.1%320(9.6)72-444(6.2)(13.3)

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-2+53-34-130.214.8441.3(6.3)1.534.716.7510.8(6.6)2.0
Home Games2-0+11-11-041.020.0538.5(7.4)1.523.510.5509.5(6.1)4.0
Last 3 Games2-1+52-12-129.715.0515.0(7.1)1.038.016.3556.7(7.2)2.0
Grass Games3-1+52-22-131.715.5492.7(7)1.231.014.0506.2(6.5)2.0
Conference Games3-0+73-03-042.321.0558.3(6.9)1.335.018.7541.7(6.8)3.0
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)30.214.820.724:5229-134(4.6)24-4159.0%307(7.6)70-441(6.3)(14.6)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.511.42028:0536-161(4.5)21-3559.4%232(6.7)70-393(5.6)(16.7)
Offense Home Games41.020.023.024:5030-150(4.9)23-4254.8%388(9.2)72-538(7.4)(13.1)
Defense (All Games)34.716.726.335:0650-251(5)16-2759.1%259(9.5)78-511(6.6)(14.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.415.621.332:5543-211(4.9)16-2856.7%210(7.5)71-420(5.9)(14.3)
Defense Home Games23.510.525.035:0949-228(4.6)17-3450.0%281(8.3)83-509(6.1)(21.7)
Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 25,  MIAMI 36.8
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
N CAROLINA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012ELON62-0W-32W -46-24320-28-281236-4217-34-1284
9/8/2012@ WAKE FOREST27-28L-10L53.5O42-15723-40-271234-6428-39-3621
9/15/2012@ LOUISVILLE34-39L3L56O17-4726-41-363243-18323-28-2791
9/22/2012E CAROLINA27-6W-14.5W63.5U29-12927-43-321033-10917-30-1241
9/29/2012IDAHO66-0W-27W60O53-28717-26-288228-8019-36-1095
10/6/2012VIRGINIA TECH48-34W-6W52O45-33917-30-194125-4026-49-3542
10/13/2012@ MIAMI            
10/20/2012@ DUKE            
10/27/2012NC STATE            
11/10/2012GEORGIA TECH            

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/1/2012@ BOSTON COLLEGE41-32W-2.5W43O34-20828-45-207134-10132-51-4413
9/8/2012@ KANSAS ST13-52L7L58O29-4021-28-222360-2889-11-2101
9/15/2012BETHUNE-COOKMAN38-10W-35L -29-21520-35-211253-23310-26-1222
9/22/2012@ GEORGIA TECH42-36W14W61O32-17331-52-436258-2873-8-1320
9/29/2012NC STATE44-37W-2W56.5O32-8526-49-566146-22424-42-4406
10/6/2012*NOTRE DAME3-41L16.5L55.5U18-8418-35-201051-37619-26-2110
10/13/2012N CAROLINA            
10/20/2012FLORIDA ST            
11/1/2012VIRGINIA TECH            
11/10/2012@ VIRGINIA            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
N CAROLINA is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1992
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/15/2011MIAMI3052.5SU ATS271526:2827-4420-30267103-19
 N CAROLINA24-1.5 Over102533:3242-14129-38288202-25
10/23/2010N CAROLINA1048 Under101025:5429-14912-21140125-47
 MIAMI33-6SU ATS132634:0644-22521-32217016-51
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56.3% of the time since 1992. (116-90)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.2% of the time since 1992. (98-101)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 64% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-9)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 58.2% of the time since 1992. (78-56)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 59.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.3% of the time since 1992. (80-76)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-11)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
N CAROLINA
[WR] 07/24/2012 - Todd Harrelson dismissed from team ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/09/2012 - T.J. Thorpe out indefinitely ( Foot )
[T] 10/07/2012 - T.J. Leifheit "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/07/2012 - Darius Lipford "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Knee )
[LB] 09/13/2012 - Keeon Virgile out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/05/2012 - Travis Riley out for season ( Knee )
[FB] 10/07/2012 - Conner Gonet "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Undisclosed )
MIAMI
[LB] 09/09/2012 - Ramon Buchanan out for season ( Leg )
[LS] 09/17/2012 - Sean McNally out for season ( Lower Body )
[WR] 09/23/2012 - Malcolm Lewis out for season ( Ankle )
[OL] 10/01/2012 - Jermaine Johnson out indefinitely ( Personal )
[DE] 10/08/2012 - Olsen Pierre probable Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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