|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 3-3 | 24-20 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10-15 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 33-11 | | in all games | 3-2 | 15-15 | 115-101 | 2-1 | 11-15 | 49-68 | 5-0 | 19-11 | 135-109 | | in all lined games | 3-2 | 15-15 | 115-101 | 2-1 | 11-15 | 49-68 | 5-0 | 19-11 | 118-102 | | as a favorite | 2-2 | 11-8 | 53-54 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 24-39 | 4-0 | 16-3 | 82-26 | | as a road favorite | 0-0 | 3-1 | 17-20 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 25-12 | | as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | | in road games | 0-0 | 4-7 | 53-49 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 26-29 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 46-65 | | in road lined games | 0-0 | 4-7 | 53-49 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 26-29 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 42-62 | | against MAC opponents | 1-0 | 4-0 | 14-10 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 17-7 | | when playing on a Saturday | 2-2 | 12-13 | 97-83 | 2-0 | 9-12 | 36-47 | 4-0 | 16-9 | 112-93 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-1 | 8-9 | 74-69 | 1-0 | 8-7 | 27-38 | 2-0 | 10-7 | 84-75 | | in games played on turf | 2-2 | 11-9 | 71-66 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 27-51 | 4-0 | 14-6 | 98-62 | | in October games | 1-1 | 5-4 | 39-36 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 8-22 | 2-0 | 7-2 | 44-38 | | in non-conference games | 2-2 | 9-6 | 51-43 | 2-0 | 6-5 | 20-32 | 4-0 | 11-4 | 68-52 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 2-1 | 5-5 | 32-30 | 2-0 | 5-4 | 21-22 | 3-0 | 8-2 | 45-22 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-0 | 6-6 | 48-33 | 1-0 | 4-8 | 23-30 | 1-0 | 5-7 | 40-48 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-1 | 6-4 | 44-38 | 2-0 | 5-4 | 12-23 | 3-0 | 8-2 | 50-41 |
|
|
|
|
| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 1-0 | 4-0 | 15-17 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 14-14 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 12-21 | | in all games | 5-2 | 19-13 | 89-77 | 3-3 | 18-13 | 60-51 | 6-1 | 23-10 | 156-87 | | in all lined games | 5-2 | 19-13 | 89-77 | 3-3 | 18-13 | 60-51 | 6-1 | 23-10 | 101-69 | | as an underdog | 3-0 | 8-5 | 32-40 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 32-31 | 2-1 | 6-8 | 25-49 | | as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | | in home games | 2-1 | 8-7 | 48-30 | 1-1 | 8-5 | 33-13 | 3-0 | 11-4 | 90-28 | | in home lined games | 2-1 | 8-7 | 48-30 | 1-1 | 8-5 | 33-13 | 3-0 | 11-4 | 57-21 | | against Big East conference opponents | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-7 | | when playing on a Saturday | 5-2 | 14-7 | 67-53 | 3-3 | 11-9 | 39-29 | 6-1 | 16-5 | 128-63 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-2 | 12-8 | 58-50 | 3-2 | 12-7 | 40-28 | 6-0 | 17-3 | 113-52 | | after playing a conference game | 1-2 | 10-8 | 59-50 | 2-0 | 14-4 | 39-31 | 3-0 | 16-3 | 108-53 | | in games played on turf | 4-2 | 13-11 | 63-46 | 3-2 | 14-9 | 50-31 | 6-0 | 17-8 | 82-40 | | in October games | 1-1 | 6-5 | 27-29 | 2-0 | 7-4 | 17-15 | 2-0 | 9-2 | 55-26 | | in non-conference games | 2-1 | 5-7 | 23-28 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 19-18 | 2-1 | 5-8 | 41-36 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-2 | 9-7 | 39-34 | 2-0 | 13-3 | 25-19 | 3-0 | 14-3 | 53-24 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 2-2 | 6-7 | 26-31 | 2-1 | 9-4 | 18-15 | 4-0 | 10-4 | 62-32 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-0 | 4-6 | 23-28 | 0-0 | 9-1 | 21-20 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 30-37 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-1 | 7-5 | 30-35 | 2-1 | 7-5 | 19-19 | 3-0 | 10-2 | 61-32 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 5-0 | +3.9 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 37.0 | 16.2 | 465.4 | (6.8) | 1.6 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 352.2 | (5.1) | 2.4 | | Road Games | 1-0 | +1.9 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 495.0 | (6.6) | 2.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 402.0 | (6.3) | 3.0 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +2.9 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 42.7 | 14.7 | 465.3 | (6.8) | 0.7 | 18.3 | 9.0 | 361.7 | (5.2) | 2.7 | | Turf Games | 4-0 | +2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 39.5 | 18.7 | 458.0 | (6.9) | 1.5 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 339.7 | (4.8) | 2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Offense (All Games) | 37.0 | 16.2 | 22.4 | 28:37 | 39-221 | (5.7) | 16-29 | 56.6% | 245 | (8.4) | 68-465 | (6.8) | (12.6) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 31 | 14.7 | 21.7 | 29:18 | 40-205 | (5.1) | 17-29 | 61.1% | 228 | (8) | 68-433 | (6.3) | (14) | | Offense Road Games | 27.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 30:10 | 32-103 | (3.2) | 20-43 | 46.5% | 392 | (9.1) | 75-495 | (6.6) | (18.3) | | Defense (All Games) | 14.4 | 5.4 | 18.2 | 31:23 | 30-102 | (3.4) | 23-40 | 59.1% | 251 | (6.3) | 70-352 | (5.1) | (24.5) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 21 | 9.6 | 18.6 | 31:41 | 31-107 | (3.4) | 23-36 | 62.5% | 249 | (6.8) | 68-357 | (5.3) | (16.9) | | Defense Road Games | 24.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 29:50 | 34-160 | (4.7) | 17-30 | 56.7% | 242 | (8.1) | 64-402 | (6.3) | (16.7) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 6-1 | +4.6 | 5-2 | 3-3 | 36.4 | 17.6 | 475.0 | (6.3) | 1.1 | 28.1 | 12.1 | 476.4 | (6.5) | 2.0 | | Home Games | 3-0 | +2 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 38.3 | 17.0 | 429.0 | (6.1) | 1.7 | 26.0 | 12.7 | 385.3 | (5.4) | 1.0 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 46.3 | 19.3 | 536.3 | (7.5) | 1.7 | 33.0 | 12.7 | 467.3 | (6.6) | 2.3 | | Turf Games | 6-0 | +5.6 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 39.7 | 18.2 | 494.5 | (6.8) | 1.2 | 28.8 | 12.5 | 451.8 | (6.3) | 1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Offense (All Games) | 36.4 | 17.6 | 23.7 | 31:17 | 39-189 | (4.9) | 23-37 | 63.2% | 286 | (7.8) | 76-475 | (6.3) | (13) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 32.4 | 15.6 | 21.4 | 31:19 | 40-187 | (4.7) | 21-33 | 62.9% | 241 | (7.3) | 73-428 | (5.9) | (13.2) | | Offense Home Games | 38.3 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 29:45 | 35-142 | (4) | 25-35 | 70.5% | 287 | (8.2) | 70-429 | (6.1) | (11.2) | | Defense (All Games) | 28.1 | 12.1 | 23.9 | 28:43 | 34-168 | (5) | 25-40 | 63.3% | 309 | (7.7) | 74-476 | (6.5) | (16.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.1 | 13.8 | 21.8 | 30:42 | 35-145 | (4.2) | 23-38 | 60.0% | 268 | (7) | 73-413 | (5.7) | (15.2) | | Defense Home Games | 26.0 | 12.7 | 20.3 | 30:15 | 29-86 | (3) | 27-42 | 64.6% | 300 | (7.1) | 71-385 | (5.4) | (14.8) |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 19.8, TOLEDO 23 |
|
|
| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9/1/2012 | @ ARIZONA | 17-24 | L | 10.5 | W | 64 | U | 47-161 | 21-47-197 | 1 | 41-237 | 30-47-387 | 3 | | 9/8/2012 | @ WYOMING | 34-31 | W | 3.5 | W | 58.5 | O | 44-204 | 25-41-300 | 0 | 36-184 | 22-32-342 | 3 | | 9/15/2012 | BOWLING GREEN | 27-15 | W | -3 | W | 61 | U | 39-130 | 21-29-322 | 1 | 29-135 | 24-36-216 | 1 | | 9/22/2012 | COASTAL CAROLINA | 38-28 | W | -29 | L | | - | 31-112 | 27-36-290 | 1 | 34-76 | 30-47-356 | 0 | | 9/29/2012 | @ W MICHIGAN | 37-17 | W | 1 | W | 57 | U | 37-278 | 22-33-243 | 0 | 30-173 | 26-46-232 | 4 | | 10/6/2012 | C MICHIGAN | 50-35 | W | -11.5 | W | 64 | O | 36-183 | 26-40-250 | 3 | 24-46 | 28-44-327 | 2 | | 10/13/2012 | @ E MICHIGAN | 52-47 | W | -15 | L | 55 | O | 37-254 | 21-32-401 | 2 | 41-323 | 18-29-301 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | CINCINNATI | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | @ BUFFALO | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/6/2012 | BALL ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/14/2012 | @ N ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 | | TOLEDO is 2-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
| |
| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
|
|
|
|
|
| CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO since 1992 |
| |
| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (97-83) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-14) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 51% of the time since 1992. (76-73) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
| No significant injuries. | |
| [DT] 10/14/2012 - Danny Farr "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati U ( Knee ) | | [DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles ) | | [DE] 10/07/2012 - Christian Smith out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
|
|