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Page last updated on Sat May 23 10:31:46 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:10 PM
KANSAS CITY (8-6) AT BOSTON (11-4) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
967: KANSAS CITY
968: BOSTON
8.0
-137
8-6
11-4
5-9-0
8-7-0
4.0 / 3.4
5.0 / 2.8
(R) J SHIELDS
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
1-2
3-0
3.43
0.41
1.10
0.95
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 50.0 °
Humidity: 68   Wind: Northwest at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
KANSAS CITYSHIELDS-124
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ +124 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
KANSAS CITY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games8-6+2.4151-188-9.71093-1510-136.75-9156-1661244-1237
when the total is 8 to 8.55-2+3.269-77+2.4239-297-0.73-473-70266-262
as a road underdog of +125 to +1500-2-223-41-9.1140-221-28.60-236-24163-184
in road games4-4+0.870-101-2518-788-21.63-582-82595-648
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.52-1+1.231-42-0.6126-175+8.51-241-31151-147
in April games8-6+2.428-33-1163-229-35.15-930-29194-186
when playing on Saturday0-2-2.425-30-3168-259-48.10-228-23227-181
in day games6-2+4.845-63-8.6347-487-43.52-650-52419-374
in games played on a grass field8-6+2.4146-179-9984-1349-1295-9150-1581128-1100
against right-handed starters6-3+2.8110-131-3792-1058-62.83-6115-114901-862
after shutting out their opponent0-1-18-11-4.245-50+4.81-010-944-46
after a win4-3+1.167-85-11.9466-628-67.64-372-76541-515
when playing against a team with a winning record3-1+2.676-97+4.5538-815-37.42-275-88643-648

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games11-4+7.1172-169-42.31483-1197-49.58-7168-1571244-1301
when the total is 8 to 8.59-1+8.661-39+12.5274-182+28.66-447-53221-227
as a home favorite of -125 to -1503-2+0.426-19-0.3188-130+7.91-429-13150-153
in home games4-2+1.485-85-37.8787-551-32.81-590-71636-630
at home when the total is 8 to 8.53-0+321-15-1.2107-66-5.20-317-1986-84
in April games11-4+7.133-30-5.2235-161+32.48-732-27180-191
when playing on Saturday1-1028-27-5228-207-31.80-230-23221-195
when playing with a day off2-1+0.715-21-10.4197-136+17.92-117-18148-164
in day games6-1+5.259-47+1.2453-373-12.62-553-50380-402
in games played on a grass field9-3+5.6152-150-43.81308-1023-16.66-6147-1391065-1141
against right-handed starters8-2+6.1111-119-44.41074-827+77-3118-102879-921
after a win7-3+3.992-73-0.7820-658-29.55-582-76717-695
after 3 or more consecutive wins3-0+3.231-21+3.1242-201-26.33-022-26216-207
when playing against a team with a winning record0-0085-89-13.8638-625-58.90-083-82570-634
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
KANSAS CITY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/6/2013MENDOZA(R)@ PHILADELPHIALANNAN(L)3-4L1008 unU640352
4/7/2013SHIELDS(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)9-8W1107 unO13801580
4/8/2013SANTANA(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-1W-1459 unU950870
4/9/2013GUTHRIE(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)7-4W-1508.5 unO1351870
4/10/2013DAVIS(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)3-0W-1508.5 unU9927121
4/12/2013MENDOZA(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)4-8L+1008 unO543840
4/13/2013SHIELDS(R)TORONTODICKEY(R)2-3L-1357.5 unU890210
4/14/2013SANTANA(R)TORONTOMORROW(R)3-2W-1208.5 unU1091760
4/16/2013GUTHRIE(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)3-6L1657 unO981953
4/17/2013DAVIS(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)1-0W1557.5 unU851650
4/20/2013SHIELDS(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
4/21/2013SANTANA(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
4/23/2013GUTHRIE(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
4/24/2013DAVIS(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R) 
4/25/2013SHIELDS(R)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
4/26/2013SANTANA(R)CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
4/27/2013 CLEVELAND  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/6/2013LACKEY(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)0-5L1309 unU240861
4/7/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)13-0W1158 unO1560780
4/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)3-1W-1459 ovU520570
4/10/2013DEMPSTER(R)BALTIMOREARRIETA(R)5-8L-1409 unO532640
4/11/2013ACEVES(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)2-3L-1259 unU8809100
4/13/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)2-1W-1208 unU780671
4/14/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)5-0W-1358.5 unU850351
4/15/2013DEMPSTER(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)3-2W-1458.5 unU430430
4/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)7-2W-1158 unO680690
4/17/2013ACEVES(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)6-3W1208 unO15100761
4/18/2013LESTER(L)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)6-3W-1208 ovO970641
4/20/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R) 
4/21/2013DEMPSTER(R)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R) 
4/22/2013DOUBRONT(L)OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R) 
4/23/2013ACEVES(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R) 
4/24/2013LESTER(L)OAKLANDANDERSON(L) 
4/25/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)HOUSTONHUMBER(R) 
4/26/2013DEMPSTER(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L) 
4/27/2013 HOUSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
KANSAS CITY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games8-6+2.45-94.00.2650.3093.40.2310.283
Road Games4-4+0.83-54.20.2590.3043.60.2510.291
vs Right-handed Starters6-3+2.83-64.30.2810.3162.90.2270.279
Past 7 Games4-3+1.23-43.30.2610.2903.30.2060.264
Grass Games8-6+2.45-94.00.2650.3093.40.2310.283
Day Games6-2+4.82-64.20.2790.3312.70.2590.291
KANSAS CITY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2650.309144751263650.015530831092159109
Road Games4.20.2590.3048278722030.0133185575110255
Righty Starters4.30.2810.3169310872740.013816483639594
KANSAS CITY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.341.11432.3121223513422-26185.7%
Road Games5.221.25820.712121759271-23175%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games11-4+7.18-75.00.2570.3302.80.2090.283
Home Games4-2+1.41-53.30.2010.2692.50.1720.264
vs Right-handed Starters8-2+6.17-36.00.2740.3442.90.2100.281
Past 7 Games6-1+53-44.40.2430.3132.00.1840.269
Grass Games9-3+5.66-64.70.2560.3272.70.1950.279
Day Games6-1+5.22-54.90.2370.3151.60.1750.243
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2570.3301551313246140.037356137151071021110
Home Games3.30.2010.2696184371450.031917493293266
Righty Starters6.00.2740.344103519638120.0358389811756287
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.431.07544.7171731717513-25362.5%
Home Games4.501.25016881238192-21233.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JAMES SHIELDS recent results and season statistics
JAMES SHIELDS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.431.0951-23217.0882023201-2-1.21-2
Road Starts3.751.5001-12126.0551810141-1+0.11-1
Last 3 Starts3.431.0951-23217.0882023201-2-1.21-2
JAMES SHIELDS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/13/2013TORONTO2-3-1357.5Loss,UnderL9332136DICKEY(R)
4/7/2013at PHILADELPHIA9-8+1107Win,OverW64410008HAMELS(L)
4/1/2013at CHI WHITE SOX0-1+1257Loss,UnderL6118106SALE(L)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts0.410.9553-03227.31111110233-0+3.11-2
Home Starts0.000.8672-02157.500508192-0+20-2
Last 3 Starts0.410.9553-03227.31111110233-0+3.11-2
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/14/2013TAMPA BAY5-0-1358.5Win,UnderW80020411COBB(R)
4/8/2013BALTIMORE3-1-1459Win,UnderW7003048CHEN(L)
4/3/2013at NY YANKEES7-4+1107.5Win,OverW7116124KURODA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 6-9 (+0.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-5 (+0.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JAMES SHIELDS vs. BOSTON since 1997
SHIELDS is 8-15 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 8-17 (-10.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-9. (+4.4 units)
JAMES SHIELDS recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/15/2012BOSTON3-7-1158Loss,OverL56611235BECKETT(R)
4/16/2012at BOSTON1-0+1059Win,UnderW8.3004025BARD(R)
9/16/2011at BOSTON3-4+1257.5Loss,UnderL7447134BECKETT(R)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. KANSAS CITY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/29/2010KANSAS CITY1-0-1408.5Win,UnderW7004044GREINKE(R)
4/11/2010at KANSAS CITY8-6-1659Win,OverW5327121MECHE(R)
9/24/2009at KANSAS CITY10-3-1859Win,OverW6.7005008LEREW(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1032, -153.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-142, -23.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1062-1056, -128.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-121, +20.3 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (840-795, -63.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (105-87, +7.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (882-821, -56.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-78, +18.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
KANSAS CITY
[P] 04/01/2013 - Danny Duffy 15-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Felipe Paulino 60-day DL (2/12) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[DH] 04/18/2013 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (3/22), expected to be activated and start Saturday vs. Kansas City Royals ( Heel )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[P] 04/10/2013 - John Lackey 15-day DL (4/7) ( Bicep )
[P] 04/14/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 15-day DL (4/14) ( Hamstring )
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