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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY (8-6) AT BOSTON (11-4) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
0: KANSAS CITY
0: BOSTON
OFF
OFF
8-6
11-4
5-9-0
8-7-0
4.0 / 3.4
5.0 / 2.8
(R) J GUTHRIE
(L) F DOUBRONT
2-0
1-0
3.20
4.50
0.97
1.70
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 56.0 °
Humidity: 36   Wind: from the West at 15.0 gusting to 26.5 MPH (13 gusting to 23
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE-127
BOSTONDOUBRONT +127 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
KANSAS CITY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
as a road underdog of +125 to +1500-2-223-41-9.1140-221-28.60-236-24163-184
in road games4-4+0.870-101-2518-788-21.63-582-82595-648
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.50-0026-28+9.3219-314+13.30-021-29235-265
in April games8-6+2.428-33-1163-229-35.15-930-29194-186
when playing on Sunday2-0+2.122-31-6.9176-238-18.21-125-24197-193
in games played on a grass field8-6+2.4146-179-9984-1349-1295-9150-1581128-1100
in night games2-4-2.4106-125-1.1741-1018-953-3106-114819-860
against left-handed starters2-3-0.341-57-6.6301-452-73.92-341-52343-375
when playing against a team with a winning record3-1+2.676-97+4.5538-815-37.42-275-88643-648
in all games8-6+2.4151-188-9.71093-1510-136.75-9156-1661244-1237
when the total is 9 to 9.51-0+163-68+5.6466-673-86.10-155-64537-537
as a road underdog of +100 to +1253-2+1.321-27-3.5129-149-2.72-322-24127-137

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games11-4+7.1172-169-42.31483-1197-49.58-7168-1571244-1301
when the total is 9 to 9.51-3-2.662-76-37.4542-486-671-373-59486-492
as a home favorite of -125 to -1503-2+0.426-19-0.3188-130+7.91-429-13150-153
in home games4-2+1.485-85-37.8787-551-32.81-590-71636-630
at home when the total is 9 to 9.51-2-1.637-48-30.6281-213-281-246-36246-231
in April games11-4+7.133-30-5.2235-161+32.48-732-27180-191
when playing on Sunday2-0+2.234-20+11.3240-189+111-124-28180-222
in games played on a grass field9-3+5.6152-150-43.81308-1023-16.66-6147-1391065-1141
in night games5-3+2113-122-43.61017-812-36.26-2115-107855-884
against right-handed starters8-2+6.1111-119-44.41074-827+77-3118-102879-921
when playing against a team with a winning record0-0085-89-13.8638-625-58.90-083-82570-634
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
KANSAS CITY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/7/2013SHIELDS(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)9-8W1107 unO13801580
4/8/2013SANTANA(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-1W-1459 unU950870
4/9/2013GUTHRIE(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R)7-4W-1508.5 unO1351870
4/10/2013DAVIS(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)3-0W-1508.5 unU9927121
4/12/2013MENDOZA(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)4-8L+1008 unO543840
4/13/2013SHIELDS(R)TORONTODICKEY(R)2-3L-1357.5 unU890210
4/14/2013SANTANA(R)TORONTOMORROW(R)3-2W-1208.5 unU1091760
4/16/2013GUTHRIE(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)3-6L1657 unO981953
4/17/2013DAVIS(R)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L)1-0W1557.5 unU851650
4/20/2013SHIELDS(R)@ BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
4/21/2013SANTANA(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R) 
4/21/2013GUTHRIE(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
4/23/2013GUTHRIE(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
4/24/2013DAVIS(R)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R) 
4/25/2013SHIELDS(R)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
4/26/2013SANTANA(R)CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
4/27/2013 CLEVELAND  
4/28/2013 CLEVELAND  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/7/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)13-0W1158 unO1560780
4/8/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)3-1W-1459 ovU520570
4/10/2013DEMPSTER(R)BALTIMOREARRIETA(R)5-8L-1409 unO532640
4/11/2013ACEVES(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)2-3L-1259 unU8809100
4/13/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)2-1W-1208 unU780671
4/14/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)5-0W-1358.5 unU850351
4/15/2013DEMPSTER(R)TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)3-2W-1458.5 unU430430
4/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)7-2W-1158 unO680690
4/17/2013ACEVES(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)6-3W1208 unO15100761
4/18/2013LESTER(L)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)6-3W-1208 ovO970641
4/20/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R) 
4/21/2013DEMPSTER(R)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R) 
4/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R) 
4/22/2013DOUBRONT(L)OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R) 
4/23/2013ACEVES(R)OAKLANDCOLON(R) 
4/24/2013LESTER(L)OAKLANDANDERSON(L) 
4/25/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)HOUSTONHUMBER(R) 
4/26/2013DEMPSTER(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L) 
4/27/2013 HOUSTON  
4/28/2013 HOUSTON  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
KANSAS CITY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games8-6+2.45-94.00.2650.3093.40.2310.283
Road Games4-4+0.83-54.20.2590.3043.60.2510.291
vs Left-handed Starters2-3-0.32-33.40.2360.2964.20.2400.291
Past 7 Games4-3+1.23-43.30.2610.2903.30.2060.264
Grass Games8-6+2.45-94.00.2650.3093.40.2310.283
Night Games2-4-2.43-33.70.2460.2784.20.1930.272
KANSAS CITY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2650.309144751263650.015530831092159109
Road Games4.20.2590.3048278722030.0133185575110255
Lefty Starters3.40.2360.296516539910.011714357296415
KANSAS CITY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.341.11432.3121223513422-26185.7%
Road Games5.221.25820.712121759271-23175%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games11-4+7.18-75.00.2570.3302.80.2090.283
Home Games4-2+1.41-53.30.2010.2692.50.1720.264
vs Right-handed Starters8-2+6.17-36.00.2740.3442.90.2100.281
Past 7 Games6-1+53-44.40.2430.3132.00.1840.269
Grass Games9-3+5.66-64.70.2560.3272.70.1950.279
Night Games5-3+26-25.10.2740.3433.90.2380.315
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.00.2570.3301551313246140.037356137151071021110
Home Games3.30.2010.2696184371450.031917493293266
Righty Starters6.00.2740.344103519638120.0358389811756287
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.431.07544.7171731717513-25362.5%
Home Games4.501.25016881238192-21233.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JEREMY GUTHRIE recent results and season statistics
JEREMY GUTHRIE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.200.9662-0319.76.6771653172-1+12-1
Road Starts2.080.9231-02136.5331022151-1+0.11-1
Last 3 Starts3.200.9662-0319.76.6771653172-1+12-1
JEREMY GUTHRIE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/16/2013at ATLANTA3-6+1657Loss,Over 7225216MEDLEN(R)
4/9/2013MINNESOTA7-4-1508.5Win,OverW6.7446312PELFREY(R)
4/4/2013at CHI WHITE SOX3-1+1058Win,UnderW6115019FLOYD(R)

FELIX DOUBRONT recent results and season statistics
FELIX DOUBRONT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.501.7001-02105.0551314132-0+2.32-0
Home Starts0.000.0000-00010000000-000-0
Last 3 Starts4.501.7001-02105.0551314132-0+2.32-0
FELIX DOUBRONT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/16/2013at CLEVELAND7-2-1158Win,OverW5224047JIMENEZ(R)
4/5/2013at TORONTO6-4+1308.5Win,Over 5339106JOHNSON(R)
9/29/2012at BALTIMORE3-4+1708.5Loss,UnderL74372110JOHNSON(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 6-9 (+0.5 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 3-5 (+0.9 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. BOSTON since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-7 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.661.
His team's record is 6-12 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-4. (+6.6 units)
JEREMY GUTHRIE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/25/2012at BOSTON10-9-1059.5Win,Over 2.7767221COOK(R)
9/19/2011at BOSTON6-5+15510.5Win,OverW64410113WEILAND(R)
7/19/2011BOSTON6-2+10010Win,UnderW7228114WEILAND(R)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DOUBRONT is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.589.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
FELIX DOUBRONT recent starts vs. KANSAS CITY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/26/2012KANSAS CITY8-6-1459.5Win,Over 5446127SMITH(L)
5/7/2012at KANSAS CITY11-5-1209Win,OverW6.3537032SANCHEZ(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1032, -153.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KANSAS CITY games 49.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (140-142, -23.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1062-1056, -128.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-121, +20.3 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (840-795, -63.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KANSAS CITY games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (105-87, +7.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (882-821, -56.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (107-78, +18.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
KANSAS CITY
[P] 04/01/2013 - Danny Duffy 15-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Felipe Paulino 60-day DL (2/12) ( Elbow )
BOSTON
[DH] 04/18/2013 - David Ortiz 15-day DL (3/22), expected to be activated and start Saturday vs. Kansas City Royals ( Heel )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Craig Breslow 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[P] 04/10/2013 - John Lackey 15-day DL (4/7) ( Bicep )
[P] 04/14/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 15-day DL (4/14) ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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