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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:10 PM
CHICAGO CUBS (5-11) AT MILWAUKEE (8-8) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
907: CHICAGO CUBS
908: MILWAUKEE
9.0
-131
5-11
8-8
6-10-0
11-5-0
3.4 / 4.4
4.2 / 5.0
(R) S FELDMAN
(R) W PERALTA
0-2
0-1
6.00
6.19
2.11
1.69
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN +211 
MILWAUKEEPERALTA-211
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games5-11-5.1137-204-47.51253-1378-265.96-10159-1681242-1279
when the total is 9 to 9.51-2-0.823-31-3.8358-405-97.52-123-27329-382
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-3-1.814-35-19.7134-187-35.81-324-24152-153
in road games2-6-3.657-114-38.1576-738-119.32-687-78611-644
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.50-0010-16-1.9180-245-62.60-011-13179-211
in April games5-11-5.125-40-13.4188-211-526-1033-31199-182
when playing on Sunday0-2-220-33-10.2197-218-35.91-124-28204-199
against division opponents3-4-0.768-101-26.2609-620-103.23-483-82585-588
in day games4-5-0.172-93-16.4684-701-128.93-671-88662-673
in games played on a grass field5-11-5.1137-204-47.51196-1294-243.76-10159-1681178-1208
against right-handed starters5-7-1.299-150-34.9920-1014-184.86-6123-119910-945
after a loss4-6-1.385-116-18.7662-707-83.84-699-96651-660

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a losing record3-1+2104-68+15.3634-623-46.23-198-67595-587
in all games8-8-0.8193-159+9.51238-1383-89.911-5184-1531233-1264
when the total is 9 to 9.51-0+126-27-4.1478-548-601-026-21474-479
as a home favorite of -125 to -1502-2-0.640-21+11.4187-147-13.12-235-25159-160
in home games6-5-0.2117-63+34.8685-629-14.18-3101-74635-614
at home when the total is 9 to 9.50-0015-9+3.6260-286-59.40-014-8253-253
in April games8-8-0.832-32-4.6195-205+7.611-536-27194-193
when playing on Sunday1-1+0.333-25+4.8187-238-46.51-128-27198-205
against division opponents4-3+1.4103-70+18.9599-623+2.74-390-75583-577
in day games4-2+2.464-58-3.6429-499-55.55-164-53453-432
in games played on a grass field8-8-0.8193-159+9.51176-1296-82.611-5184-1531176-1177
against right-handed starters6-4+1.6146-114+14.7911-1023-587-3138-110897-939
after a win5-2+2.4108-84+8.4598-639-37.85-2100-86598-578
after 3 or more consecutive wins3-0+329-28-5.2145-145-9.72-130-25142-135
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/7/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ ATLANTAHUDSON(R)1-5L1207 unU571661
4/8/2013JACKSON(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)4-7L-1159.5 unO97012121
4/9/2013WOOD(L)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)6-3W-1057.5 unO9839101
4/11/2013FELDMAN(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)6-7L+1208 unO12629102
4/12/2013VILLANUEVA(R)SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)4-3W+1309.5 ovU1080740
4/13/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)SAN FRANCISCOBUMGARNER(L)2-3L+1058 ovU770971
4/14/2013JACKSON(R)SAN FRANCISCOLINCECUM(R)7-10L+1009.5 unO9601380
4/16/2013WOOD(L)TEXASHOLLAND(L)2-4L+1207.5 unU651950
4/18/2013VILLANUEVA(R)TEXASOGANDO(R)6-2W+12510.5 unU13100400
4/19/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)4-5L1007.5 unO1051720
4/20/2013JACKSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)1-5L-1058.5 ovU753670
4/21/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
4/22/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
4/23/2013VILLANUEVA(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
4/24/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
4/25/2013JACKSON(R)@ MIAMISLOWEY(R) 
4/26/2013FELDMAN(R)@ MIAMILEBLANC(L) 
4/27/2013WOOD(L)@ MIAMISANABIA(R) 
4/28/2013 @ MIAMI  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/7/2013GALLARDO(R)ARIZONAKENNEDY(R)7-8L-1107.5 unO161001470
4/8/2013ESTRADA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)7-4W1059.5 unO12121970
4/9/2013PERALTA(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)3-6L-1057.5 unO9101983
4/12/2013LOHSE(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)0-2L1357.5 unU240630
4/13/2013GALLARDO(R)@ ST LOUISWAINWRIGHT(R)0-8L1557.5 unO4411030
4/14/2013ESTRADA(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)4-3W1458 evU1291871
4/16/2013PERALTA(R)SAN FRANCISCOZITO(L)10-8W-1158.5 ovO12511290
4/17/2013LOHSE(R)SAN FRANCISCOVOGELSONG(R)4-3W-1258.5 unU970651
4/18/2013GALLARDO(R)SAN FRANCISCOCAIN(R)7-2W+1007.5 unO821770
4/19/2013ESTRADA(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)5-4W-1107.5 unO7201051
4/20/2013BURGOS(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)5-1W-1058.5 ovU670753
4/21/2013PERALTA(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R) 
4/22/2013LOHSE(R)@ SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R) 
4/23/2013GALLARDO(R)@ SAN DIEGORICHARD(L) 
4/24/2013ESTRADA(R)@ SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R) 
4/26/2013BURGOS(R)@ LA DODGERSBECKETT(R) 
4/27/2013PERALTA(R)@ LA DODGERSBILLINGSLEY(R) 
4/28/2013 @ LA DODGERS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games5-11-5.16-103.40.2350.2814.40.2350.305
Road Games2-6-3.62-62.20.1970.2323.90.2040.275
vs Right-handed Starters5-7-1.26-64.20.2550.3024.70.2320.304
Past 7 Games2-5-2.52-53.70.2640.3164.60.2420.295
Grass Games5-11-5.16-103.40.2350.2814.40.2350.305
Day Games4-5-0.13-64.00.2390.2924.40.2260.302
Division3-4-0.73-43.00.2040.2453.70.2090.285
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.40.2350.2811653612652190.045234130910014151516
Road Games2.20.1970.2328259511780.0318126944369411
Righty Starters4.20.2550.3021241610647170.044728987828121212
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.311.50040.7242445516402-23350%
Road Games5.191.55817.310101938190-12166.7%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games8-8-0.811-54.20.2550.3075.00.2850.328
Home Games6-5-0.28-34.80.2700.3195.20.2990.344
vs Right-handed Starters6-4+1.67-34.30.2410.2964.30.2740.304
Past 7 Games6-1+5.44-35.00.2520.2924.10.2550.300
Grass Games8-8-0.811-54.20.2550.3075.00.2850.328
Day Games4-2+2.45-15.00.2710.3214.80.2700.305
Division4-3+1.44-33.40.2210.2804.00.2550.289
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2550.3071654814049170.036541128101061510164
Home Games4.80.2700.3191137410134150.04522781767106133
Righty Starters4.30.2410.296103368132100.0342267876244112
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.931.32952.7282352818534-44266.7%
Home Games3.891.29641.7211841813453-32166.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
SCOTT FELDMAN recent results and season statistics
SCOTT FELDMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.002.1110-2294.5106121740-2-21-1
Road Starts7.711.9270-114.74.74451410-1-10-1
Last 3 Starts6.002.1110-2294.5106121740-2-21-1
SCOTT FELDMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/11/2013SAN FRANCISCO6-7+1208Loss,OverL4.3627033VOGELSONG(R)
4/5/2013at ATLANTA1-4+1857.5Loss,UnderL4.7445141MINOR(L)
9/25/2012OAKLAND2-3-1559.5Loss,Under 4224135MILONE(L)

WILY PERALTA recent results and season statistics
WILY PERALTA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.191.6870-13165.313111928101-2-1.43-0
Home Starts8.682.0360-129.34.7109132651-1-0.42-0
Last 3 Starts6.191.6870-13165.313111928101-2-1.43-0
WILY PERALTA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/16/2013SAN FRANCISCO10-8-1158.5Win,Over 4657131ZITO(L)
4/9/2013at CHICAGO CUBS3-6-1057.5Loss,Over 6.7326025WOOD(L)
4/3/2013COLORADO3-7-1358.5Loss,OverL5.3446134NICASIO(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 26-11 (+12.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
20 of 37 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 17-3 (+13.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.7 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/20/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-105 Under70053JACKSON(R)L6141
 MILWAUKEE5-1058.5 ovWin61170BURGOS(R)W5150
4/19/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+100 Over103051SAMARDZIJA(R)L7461
 MILWAUKEE5-1107.5 unWin72120ESTRADA(R)W6372
4/9/2013MILWAUKEE3-105 Over902101PERALTA(R) 6.7262
 CHICAGO CUBS6-1057.5 unWin90083WOOD(L) 6.3273
4/8/2013MILWAUKEE7+105  1200121ESTRADA(R)W7251
 CHICAGO CUBS4-1159.5 unOver91070JACKSON(R)L6585
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
SCOTT FELDMAN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
FELDMAN is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
SCOTT FELDMAN recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/12/2010at MILWAUKEE4-3+10010.5Win,UnderW6004036PARRA(L)

WILY PERALTA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
PERALTA is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.199.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)
WILY PERALTA recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/9/2013at CHICAGO CUBS3-6-1057.5Loss,Over 6.7326025WOOD(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CHICAGO CUBS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1022, 6.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 56.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-121, +25.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (1120-973, +55.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (162-129, +15.1 units)
Edge=MILWAUKEE
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (912-885, -108.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (111-90, +9.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.5% of the time since 1997. (781-767, -88.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (91-89, -9.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Matt Garza 15-day DL (3/22) ( Side )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/13/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 15-day DL (4/13) ( Arm )
[P] 04/19/2013 - Scott Feldman expected to start Sunday vs. Milwaukee ( Back )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
MILWAUKEE
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22) ( Knee )
[SS] 03/31/2013 - Jeff Bianchi 15-day DL (3/22) ( Hip )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 15-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20) ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 15-day DL (3/22) ( Hip )
[3B] 04/06/2013 - Aramis Ramirez 15-day DL (4/5) ( Knee )
[P] 04/09/2013 - Chris Narveson 15-day DL (4/7) ( Finger )
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