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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:10 PM
CINCINNATI (22-16) AT MIAMI (11-27) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
953: CINCINNATI
954: MIAMI
7.5
+146
22-16
11-27
22-15-1
14-21-3
4.7 / 3.9
2.8 / 4.3
(R) H BAILEY
(R) R NOLASCO
1-3
2-4
3.83
3.72
1.25
1.16
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions:   Temperature: °
Humidity:   Wind: 
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY-160 
MIAMINOLASCO +160 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing on Tuesday1-3-2.730-23+3.7188-204-8.91-322-29168-205
when playing with a day off5-1+421-20-5.6137-154-134-218-22135-141
in games played on a grass field22-16+2.2199-166+2.11062-1136-13.122-15169-1721019-1052
in night games10-9-1.4123-108-5.2836-873-20.99-1099-117800-822
against right-handed starters15-10+2.1142-120-0.9931-976-11.714-11117-127898-898
after a win13-8+2.4102-99-17.6628-665-31.914-787-96585-630
after 3 or more consecutive wins1-4-5.628-24-4.5151-162-14.43-219-28135-160
when playing against a team with a losing record13-7+2.8113-82+3.2673-601-9.411-987-94597-600
in all games22-16+2.2201-167+3.91293-1350-22.822-15169-1741239-1257
as a road favorite of -150 to -1750-1-1.66-3+1.314-16-11.41-02-612-15
in road games6-10-592-88+1.9621-695+569-677-94586-658
in May games7-3+3.738-29+5.7233-232-1.87-336-27220-222

MIAMI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games11-27-10.8152-210-50.51275-1389-47.714-21165-1721298-1226
as a home underdog of +125 to +1503-4+0.26-20-11.777-98+6.12-45-1880-88
as a home underdog of +150 to +1751-1+0.54-4+2.427-36+6.62-04-231-25
in home games5-11-4.874-101-37.3682-637-22.15-1086-78637-620
in May games3-8-339-29+9.8217-245-13.95-533-29222-205
when playing on Tuesday3-3+126-28+1211-197+25.82-419-32191-197
when playing with a day off2-4-1.318-23-2.6154-153+12.22-423-16145-148
in games played on a grass field11-27-10.8151-205-46.61171-1265-51.914-21163-1681182-1124
in night games9-16-2.6112-140-20.4877-962-34.89-15116-121891-850
against right-handed starters9-15-2103-146-37920-1034-67.710-12110-120953-902
after a loss8-18-5.982-124-37.2656-726-13.810-1487-100670-636
when playing against a team with a winning record4-9-2.467-111-30.8602-712+6.37-683-82648-587
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/30/2013ARROYO(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)1-2L1307.5 ovU740740
5/1/2013BAILEY(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)2-4L1057 ovU6501071
5/3/2013LEAKE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSVILLANUEVA(R)6-5W1007 unO910015121
5/4/2013CINGRANI(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-4W-1157 unO680321
5/5/2013LATOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)7-4W-1357 ovO1171891
5/6/2013ARROYO(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L)4-7L+1007.5 unO9811181
5/7/2013BAILEY(R)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R)5-4W-1107.5 unO960550
5/8/2013LEAKE(R)ATLANTAMINOR(L)2-7L-1308 unO7701160
5/10/2013CINGRANI(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)4-3W-1507.5 evU8130880
5/11/2013LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)13-7W-1908 unO14811181
5/12/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)5-1W-1558.5 unU640772
5/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R) 
5/15/2013LEAKE(R)@ MIAMISANABIA(R) 
5/16/2013CINGRANI(L)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
5/17/2013LATOS(R)@ PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R) 
5/18/2013ARROYO(R)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L) 
5/19/2013BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
5/20/2013 @ NY METS  
5/21/2013 @ NY METS  

MIAMI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/30/2013SLOWEY(R)NY METSHEFNER(R)2-1W+1108 unU540420
5/1/2013LEBLANC(L)NY METSGEE(R)6-7L+1208 unO13711392
5/2/2013SANABIA(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)2-7L2257.5 unO761850
5/3/2013NOLASCO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)1-4L1607.5 ovU681840
5/4/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)2-0W1957.5 unU440130
5/5/2013SLOWEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHALLADAY(R)14-2W1757 unO1392441
5/6/2013LEBLANC(L)@ SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)0-5L1807 unU562560
5/7/2013SANABIA(R)@ SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)1-5L1657.5 unU7621041
5/8/2013NOLASCO(R)@ SAN DIEGOMARQUIS(R)0-1L1457 ovU540450
5/10/2013FERNANDEZ(R)@ LA DODGERSMAGILL(R)5-4W1307 unO6401070
5/11/2013SLOWEY(R)@ LA DODGERSRYU(L)1-7L1857 unO5601491
5/12/2013KOEHLER(R)@ LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)3-5L1758 unP8601190
5/14/2013NOLASCO(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/15/2013SANABIA(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
5/16/2013FERNANDEZ(R)CINCINNATICINGRANI(L) 
5/17/2013SLOWEY(R)ARIZONACAHILL(R) 
5/18/2013KOEHLER(R)ARIZONAMCCARTHY(R) 
5/19/2013NOLASCO(R)ARIZONAMILEY(L) 
5/20/2013 PHILADELPHIA  
5/21/2013 PHILADELPHIA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-16+2.222-154.70.2480.3283.90.2420.297
Road Games6-10-59-63.70.2240.3074.70.2720.326
vs Right-handed Starters15-10+2.114-114.80.2420.3233.80.2500.309
Past 7 Games5-2+2.75-25.70.2740.3514.70.2510.326
Grass Games22-16+2.222-154.70.2480.3283.90.2420.297
Night Games10-9-1.49-104.20.2350.3113.10.2300.281
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2480.328381294321105370.031701533011328734173215
Road Games3.70.2240.307165231173690.0259631155111187127
Righty Starters4.80.2420.3232582620065260.0311298196101762161612
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.691.177114.751479316421139-710283.3%
Road Games5.231.48843252545519272-35183.3%

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games11-27-10.714-212.80.2230.2794.30.2580.324
Home Games5-11-4.85-102.70.2130.2743.90.2620.306
vs Right-handed Starters9-15-210-123.70.2380.2944.10.2480.310
Past 7 Games2-5-23-33.40.2170.2834.10.2700.338
Grass Games11-27-10.714-212.80.2230.2794.30.2580.324
Night Games9-16-2.69-152.40.2090.2704.30.2570.319
MIAMI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games2.80.2230.27938126128178220.0299992552024441293220
Home Games2.70.2130.274165221112570.01384491101002111135
Righty Starters3.70.2380.2942481519455150.0281641461715327152112
MIAMI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.061.323124625610910551154-75362.5%
Home Games2.701.21856.7181754515473-41233.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.831.2521-3742.36.0181839414424-3+0.84-3
Road Starts6.231.5580-3317.35.812122344110-3-3.21-2
Last 3 Starts4.671.3850-2317.35.8991915161-2-11-2
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/7/2013ATLANTA5-4-1107.5Win,Over 5445047MEDLEN(R)
5/1/2013at ST LOUIS2-4+1057Loss,UnderL5.3449113LYNN(R)
4/26/2013at WASHINGTON0-1+1157Loss,UnderL7115006ZIMMERMANN(R)

RICKY NOLASCO recent results and season statistics
RICKY NOLASCO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.721.1592-4848.36.0212045611342-6-3.63-5
Home Starts3.791.1051-13196.388181391-2-11-2
Last 3 Starts3.601.0001-23206.7881634151-2-11-2
RICKY NOLASCO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/8/2013at SAN DIEGO0-1+1457Loss,UnderL7114019MARQUIS(R)
5/3/2013at PHILADELPHIA1-4+1607.5Loss,UnderL6448314PETTIBONE(R)
4/28/2013CHICAGO CUBS6-4+1057Win,OverW7334022VILLANUEVA(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-9 (+0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.9 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 3-1 (+0.5 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

All games at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-3 (+0.4 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)
Games played at MIAMI this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/21/2013MIAMI6+225 Over111082SANABIA(R)L6565
 CINCINNATI10-2458 unWin111080BAILEY(R) 6273
4/20/2013MIAMI2+200 Under80170LEBLANC(L) 4273
 CINCINNATI3-2208 unWin1311171ARROYO(R) 8261
4/19/2013MIAMI2+230  71050SLOWEY(R) 6141
 CINCINNATI1-2557.5 unUnder50040LATOS(R) 7161
4/18/2013MIAMI1+175 Over61072FERNANDEZ(R)L4563
 CINCINNATI11-1857.5 ovWin121080CINGRANI(L)W5153
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. MIAMI since 1997
BAILEY is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.117.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. MIAMI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/21/2013MIAMI10-6-2458Win,Over 6227038SANABIA(R)
8/24/2011at FLORIDA5-6-1108Loss,Over 7335204VAZQUEZ(R)
8/15/2010FLORIDA2-0-1209.5Win,UnderW6003004SANCHEZ(R)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
NOLASCO is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.296.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-7. (-6.3 units)
RICKY NOLASCO recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/16/2012CINCINNATI4-5+1208Loss,Over 53310004LATOS(R)
4/7/2012at CINCINNATI8-3+1308Win,OverW8336205LATOS(R)
8/23/2011CINCINNATI6-8+1207Loss,Over 6.7449218CUETO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1086, -107.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (146-161, -29.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (1083-1017, -54.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (167-132, +23.7 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (839-762, -27.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (112-96, +4.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (807-810, -120.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 51.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (87-83, -6.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/14/2013 - Johnny Cueto 15-day DL (4/14) ( Side )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/26/2013 - Manny Parra 15-day DL (4/24) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
MIAMI
No significant injuries.
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