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Matchup Reports

Tuesday at 7:10 PM
BOSTON (22-16) AT TAMPA BAY (19-18) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
967: BOSTON
968: TAMPA BAY
7.5
-140
22-16
19-18
19-18-1
21-11-5
4.8 / 4.2
4.7 / 4.4
(R) J LACKEY
(L) M MOORE
1-3
6-0
2.82
2.14
1.30
1.17
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONLACKEY +218 
TAMPA BAYMOORE-218
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in road games9-6+3.689-88-6.6697-649-18.89-680-90609-674
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.57-2+5.541-25+13.6168-117+33.77-231-35136-144
in May games4-8-8.138-32-6.7262-196+18.84-836-32225-211
when playing on Tuesday1-3-324-30-14.4236-164+23.43-123-29182-200
when playing with a day off3-2+0.616-22-10.6198-137+17.83-218-19149-165
against division opponents11-7+1.775-87-31.4605-517-49.48-1081-76543-529
in games played in a dome0-009-9+1.497-97-20.70-09-991-97
in night games13-11-0.9121-130-46.41025-820-3915-8124-113864-890
in games played on artificial turf4-2+2.322-20+2.3177-175-324-223-19181-161
against left-handed starters7-6-1.365-54-0.2413-374-58.85-854-59369-384
after allowing 10 runs or more1-1-0.612-17-8.5122-93+131-114-1491-113
after a loss8-6-0.384-99-43663-541-23.98-690-84528-607
when playing against a team with a winning record3-6-4.288-95-17.9641-631-634-587-87574-639
in all games22-16+0.6183-181-48.81494-1209-55.919-18179-1681255-1312
when the total is 8 to 8.515-5+9.467-43+13.2280-186+29.313-754-56228-230
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-2-0.711-12+2.695-107+19.81-213-1083-110

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in night games14-12-0.2131-109+5.4739-906-67.815-698-125753-819
in games played on artificial turf13-6+3.9118-83+2.7715-724+12.212-677-113619-757
against right-handed starters10-14-7.1133-116-11.5820-974-3814-699-136799-914
after a win9-9-2.8110-87+6.5543-586-13.211-585-102505-571
after 3 or more consecutive wins3-1+1.238-28+3.1129-130-9.81-223-38112-133
when playing against a team with a winning record10-9-0.1106-100-5.6549-744-46.37-983-110577-661
in all games19-18-2.7201-164+81134-1356-6821-11152-1921122-1260
when the total is 8 to 8.59-5+3.695-65+22289-297+1.46-765-87269-300
as a home favorite of -125 to -1507-2+4.337-24+3.3115-81+4.65-420-3774-112
in home games13-6+3.9106-77-3.3632-611+11.112-667-107532-661
at home when the total is 8 to 8.57-2+4.654-30+15162-140-26-330-51129-163
in May games7-4+1.935-31-3.7188-241-38.710-133-27195-211
when playing on Tuesday0-6-7.823-34-19.2156-221-39.73-118-35170-188
when playing with a day off1-1016-16-1.2105-147-19.62-012-20116-126
against division opponents6-10-6.589-71+4.5482-572+20.38-566-85482-530
in games played in a dome13-6+3.9106-77-3.3650-647+1.212-667-107555-684
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/30/2013LESTER(L)@ TORONTOMORROW(R)7-9L-1158.5 ovO961941
5/1/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)10-1W-1259 ovO1580461
5/2/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)3-1W-1158.5 evU6120782
5/3/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)0-7L1209 unU65218120
5/4/2013LACKEY(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)1-5L1209 unU7921080
5/5/2013LESTER(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)3-4L1507.5 unU5709100
5/6/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)6-5W-2008.5 ovO177110110
5/7/2013DEMPSTER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)1-6L-1709 unU433860
5/8/2013WEBSTER(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)8-15L-1709.5 unO12711990
5/9/2013LACKEY(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-5L-1659.5 unU9102641
5/10/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOORTIZ(R)5-0W-2109.5 ovU1090112
5/11/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)2-3L-1909.5 ovU780851
5/12/2013DEMPSTER(R)TORONTOJENKINS(R)4-12L-2209.5 unO10811220
5/14/2013LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L) 
5/15/2013LESTER(L)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
5/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
5/17/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/18/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/19/2013LACKEY(R)@ MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
5/20/2013LESTER(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R) 
5/21/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
4/30/2013COBB(R)@ KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)2-8L1207.5 unO8611481
5/1/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)8-9L-1157.5 ovO13601580
5/3/2013MOORE(L)@ COLORADOFRANCIS(L)7-4W-1359 ovO118011120
5/4/2013PRICE(L)@ COLORADOGARLAND(R)3-9L-1309 ovO9921160
5/5/2013COBB(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)8-3W1059.5 unO11421081
5/6/2013HELLICKSON(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)7-8L-1357.5 unO116212110
5/7/2013HERNANDEZ(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)4-6L-1358.5 unO10701370
5/8/2013MOORE(L)TORONTOROMERO(L)10-4W-1708 unO13909110
5/9/2013PRICE(L)TORONTODICKEY(R)5-4W-1507.5 unO991870
5/10/2013COBB(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)6-3W-1758 evO880572
5/11/2013HELLICKSON(R)SAN DIEGOSMITH(R)8-7W-1408 unO1061641
5/12/2013HERNANDEZ(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-2W-1508.5 unU770660
5/14/2013MOORE(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
5/15/2013PRICE(L)BOSTONLESTER(L) 
5/16/2013COBB(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
5/17/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
5/18/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R) 
5/19/2013MOORE(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
5/20/2013PRICE(L)@ TORONTOMORROW(R) 
5/21/2013 @ TORONTO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-16+0.619-184.80.2680.3394.20.2380.313
Road Games9-6+3.69-65.30.2690.3503.60.2540.322
vs Left-handed Starters7-6-1.35-84.00.2590.3304.20.2590.337
Past 7 Games2-5-7.23-44.10.2790.3366.60.2550.312
Night Games13-11-0.915-85.00.2810.3524.90.2480.327
Division11-7+1.68-104.80.2590.3373.30.2130.285
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2680.339381295347136410.031771403172828135233325
Road Games5.30.2690.3501553114351190.04776614016125155118
Lefty Starters4.00.2590.3301343611341140.03504695792148176
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.621.413109575610516491264-69660%
Road Games3.351.29245.7171741618531-25271.4%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games19-18-2.721-114.70.2560.3254.40.2470.311
Home Games13-6+3.912-65.10.2690.3404.00.2300.292
vs Right-handed Starters10-14-7.114-64.40.2460.3205.00.2550.310
Past 7 Games5-2+2.36-16.30.2890.3774.90.2410.311
Dome Games13-6+3.912-65.10.2690.3404.00.2300.292
Night Games14-12-0.215-65.20.2730.3394.60.2500.310
Division6-10-6.58-54.40.2520.3184.60.2470.309
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2560.325371236316108430.031631262541924130183135
Home Games5.10.2690.3401960916455200.03916512191161971918
Righty Starters4.40.2460.3202480019762270.0398871701515818132027
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.521.37793.75047881141995-76650%
Home Games4.811.27448.7282642920494-34450%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.821.2991-3422.35.61172237241-3-2.60-4
Road Starts4.821.6080-229.34.7551124120-2-20-2
Last 3 Starts2.501.2781-23186.0951726161-2-1.60-3
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/9/2013MINNESOTA3-5-1659.5Loss,UnderL7516118CORREIA(R)
5/4/2013at TEXAS1-5+1209Loss,UnderL5336134OGANDO(R)
4/28/2013HOUSTON6-1-2059.5Win,UnderW6115024NORRIS(R)

MATT MOORE recent results and season statistics
MATT MOORE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.141.1676-07426.0101026623437-0+7.13-3
Home Starts1.421.0003-03196.3331029193-0+31-2
Last 3 Starts3.941.5622-03165.3771649143-0+33-0
MATT MOORE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/8/2013TORONTO10-4-1708Win,OverW5226142ROMERO(L)
5/3/2013at COLORADO7-4-1359Win,Over 5447243FRANCIS(L)
4/27/2013at CHI WHITE SOX10-4-1207Win,OverW6113119FLOYD(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 21-18 (+3.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
23 of 39 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-9 (+1.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-1.3 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
4/15/2013TAMPA BAY2+135 Under41230HELLICKSON(R) 7231
 BOSTON3-1458.5 unWin41030DEMPSTER(R) 7122
4/14/2013TAMPA BAY0+125 Under30251COBB(R)L6.7372
 BOSTON5-1358.5 unWin80150BUCHHOLZ(R)W8024
4/13/2013TAMPA BAY1+110 Under60171PRICE(L) 6142
 BOSTON2-1208 unWin71280LESTER(L) 7151
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JOHN LACKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LACKEY is 12-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 13-6 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-9. (+0.2 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/9/2011at TAMPA BAY2-7-1259.5Loss,UnderL3555132DAVIS(R)
8/17/2011TAMPA BAY0-4-1059.5Loss,UnderL6.7436237PRICE(L)
7/16/2011at TAMPA BAY9-5+1308Win,OverW5.74310117SHIELDS(R)

MATT MOORE vs. BOSTON since 1997
MOORE is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
MATT MOORE recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/17/2012BOSTON3-5-1208.5Loss,UnderL6335218DOUBRONT(L)
4/15/2012at BOSTON4-6-1159.5Loss,OverL6.3668245DOUBRONT(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1068, -132.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 56.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (170-133, +16.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time since 1997. (1101-881, +115.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 58.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (176-127, +24.5 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (894-830, -53.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (119-87, +20.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.3% of the time since 1997. (789-692, +8.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 54.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-86, +5.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Forearm )
[P] 05/07/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (4/29) ( Bicep )
[C] 05/12/2013 - David Ross 7-day DL (5/12) ( Concussion )
[RF] 05/12/2013 - Shane Victorino "?" Tuesday vs Tampa Bay Rays ( Ribs )
TAMPA BAY
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[LF] 05/12/2013 - Desmond Jennings "?" Tuesday vs Boston Red Sox ( Groin )
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