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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:10 PM
BOSTON (22-17) AT TAMPA BAY (20-18) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
963: BOSTON
964: TAMPA BAY
OFF
-145
22-17
20-18
20-18-1
22-11-5
4.7 / 4.3
4.7 / 4.4
(L) F DOUBRONT
(R) A COBB
3-1
4-2
5.66
3.09
1.70
1.22
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONDOUBRONT +190 
TAMPA BAYCOBB-190
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games22-17-0.4183-182-49.81494-1210-56.920-18180-1681256-1312
when the total is 8 to 8.515-5+9.467-43+13.2280-186+29.313-754-56228-230
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-2-0.711-12+2.695-107+19.81-213-1083-110
in road games9-7+2.689-89-7.6697-650-19.810-681-90610-674
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.57-2+5.541-25+13.6168-117+33.77-231-35136-144
in May games4-9-9.138-33-7.7262-197+17.85-837-32226-211
when playing on Thursday3-3-0.919-20-7.9170-139-131-414-21130-163
when playing with a day off3-3-0.416-23-11.6198-138+16.84-219-19150-165
against division opponents11-8+0.775-88-32.4605-518-50.49-1082-76544-529
in games played in a dome0-1-19-10+0.497-98-21.71-010-992-97
in night games13-12-1.9121-131-47.41025-821-4016-8125-113865-890
in games played on artificial turf4-3+1.322-21+1.3177-176-335-224-19182-161
against right-handed starters15-10+2118-127-48.61081-835+2.814-10125-109886-928
when playing against a team with a winning record3-7-5.288-96-18.9641-632-64.15-588-87575-639

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games20-18-1.7202-164+91135-1356-6722-11153-1921123-1260
when the total is 8 to 8.59-5+3.695-65+22289-297+1.46-765-87269-300
as a home favorite of -125 to -1508-2+5.338-24+4.3116-81+5.66-421-3775-112
in home games14-6+4.9107-77-2.3633-611+12.113-668-107533-661
at home when the total is 8 to 8.57-2+4.654-30+15162-140-26-330-51129-163
in May games8-4+2.936-31-2.7189-241-37.711-134-27196-211
when playing on Thursday1-3-2.423-20+1.9136-167-7.73-018-22133-154
when playing with a day off2-1+117-16-0.2106-147-18.63-013-20117-126
against division opponents7-10-5.590-71+5.5483-572+21.39-567-85483-530
in games played in a dome14-6+4.9107-77-2.3651-647+2.213-668-107556-684
in night games15-12+0.8132-109+6.4740-906-66.816-699-125754-819
in games played on artificial turf14-6+4.9119-83+3.7716-724+13.213-678-113620-757
against left-handed starters9-4+4.468-48+19.5314-382-307-553-56323-346
when playing against a team with a winning record11-9+0.9107-100-4.6550-744-45.38-984-110578-661
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/2/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)3-1W-1158.5 evU6120782
5/3/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)0-7L1209 unU65218120
5/4/2013LACKEY(R)@ TEXASOGANDO(R)1-5L1209 unU7921080
5/5/2013LESTER(L)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)3-4L1507.5 unU5709100
5/6/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R)6-5W-2008.5 ovO177110110
5/7/2013DEMPSTER(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L)1-6L-1709 unU433860
5/8/2013WEBSTER(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)8-15L-1709.5 unO12711990
5/9/2013LACKEY(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R)3-5L-1659.5 unU9102641
5/10/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOORTIZ(R)5-0W-2109.5 ovU1090112
5/11/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)2-3L-1909.5 ovU780851
5/12/2013DEMPSTER(R)TORONTOJENKINS(R)4-12L-2209.5 unO10811220
5/14/2013LACKEY(R)@ TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)3-5L1207.5 ovO3501170
5/15/2013LESTER(L)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
5/16/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
5/17/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/18/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/19/2013LACKEY(R)@ MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L) 
5/20/2013LESTER(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R) 
5/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L) 
5/22/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
5/23/2013 CLEVELAND  

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2013MOORE(L)@ COLORADOFRANCIS(L)7-4W-1359 ovO118011120
5/4/2013PRICE(L)@ COLORADOGARLAND(R)3-9L-1309 ovO9921160
5/5/2013COBB(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)8-3W1059.5 unO11421081
5/6/2013HELLICKSON(R)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)7-8L-1357.5 unO116212110
5/7/2013HERNANDEZ(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)4-6L-1358.5 unO10701370
5/8/2013MOORE(L)TORONTOROMERO(L)10-4W-1708 unO13909110
5/9/2013PRICE(L)TORONTODICKEY(R)5-4W-1507.5 unO991870
5/10/2013COBB(R)SAN DIEGOVOLQUEZ(R)6-3W-1758 evO880572
5/11/2013HELLICKSON(R)SAN DIEGOSMITH(R)8-7W-1408 unO1061641
5/12/2013HERNANDEZ(R)SAN DIEGOSTULTS(L)4-2W-1508.5 unU770660
5/14/2013MOORE(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W-1307.5 ovO1170350
5/15/2013PRICE(L)BOSTONLESTER(L) 
5/16/2013COBB(R)BOSTONDOUBRONT(L) 
5/17/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
5/18/2013HERNANDEZ(R)@ BALTIMOREJURRJENS(R) 
5/19/2013MOORE(L)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
5/20/2013PRICE(L)@ TORONTOORTIZ(R) 
5/21/2013COBB(R)@ TORONTOJENKINS(R) 
5/22/2013 @ TORONTO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games22-17-0.420-184.70.2640.3364.30.2400.314
Road Games9-7+2.610-65.10.2600.3423.70.2590.325
vs Right-handed Starters15-10+214-105.20.2720.3444.30.2270.301
Past 7 Games1-6-9.13-43.70.2350.3046.60.2690.317
Dome Games0-1-11-03.00.1000.2065.00.3330.371
Night Games13-12-1.916-84.90.2750.3474.90.2510.328
Division11-8+0.69-104.70.2520.3313.40.2200.289
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2640.336391325350139420.031801443292828635233426
Road Games5.10.2600.3421656114654200.04807015216130155129
Righty Starters5.20.2720.3442585923495270.03127942222118921151619
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.471.394112.7575610716501284-69660%
Road Games3.101.25749.3171743619551-25271.4%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games20-18-1.722-114.70.2580.3264.40.2430.308
Home Games14-6+4.913-65.10.2730.3413.90.2240.288
vs Left-handed Starters9-4+4.47-55.30.2730.3333.30.2320.312
Past 7 Games6-1+4.66-16.00.2940.3804.10.2110.278
Dome Games14-6+4.913-65.10.2730.3413.90.2240.288
Night Games15-12+0.816-65.20.2750.3414.50.2450.306
Division7-10-5.59-54.50.2570.3214.50.2390.304
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2580.326381269327112430.031681282592024831183135
Home Games5.10.2730.3412064217559200.039667126101232071918
Lefty Starters5.30.2730.3331343611946160.04653984483125118
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.381.35596.750478811431035-77653.8%
Home Games4.531.23951.7282642922534-35455.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
FELIX DOUBRONT recent results and season statistics
FELIX DOUBRONT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games6.401.8273-1632.3-23234311635---
All Starts5.661.7033-15275.4171732114314-1+3.34-1
Road Starts7.242.1951-1313.74.611112515152-1+1.32-1
Last 3 Starts6.351.7052-13175.7121219010182-1+12-1
FELIX DOUBRONT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/3/2013at TEXAS0-7+1209Loss,UnderL3.76612012HOLLAND(L)
4/27/2013HOUSTON8-4-2659.5Win,OverW6.7334048PEACOCK(R)
4/22/2013OAKLAND9-6-1308Win,OverW6.7333058GRIFFIN(R)

ALEX COBB recent results and season statistics
ALEX COBB - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.091.2214-2746.76.7171647710465-2+34-3
Home Starts1.951.0483-0427.76.9662237294-0+42-2
Last 3 Starts5.291.5291-13175.710102363242-1+13-0
ALEX COBB - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/10/2013SAN DIEGO6-3-1758Win,Over 4.73352213VOLQUEZ(R)
5/5/2013at COLORADO8-3+1059.5Win,OverW6.7338316CHACIN(R)
4/30/2013at KANSAS CITY2-8+1207.5Loss,OverL5.74410105SHIELDS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 22-18 (+4.2 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
23 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-10 (+0.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/14/2013BOSTON3+120 Over31050LACKEY(R)L4.3591
 TAMPA BAY5-1307.5 ovWin110170MOORE(L)W6332
4/15/2013TAMPA BAY2+135 Under41230HELLICKSON(R) 7231
 BOSTON3-1458.5 unWin41030DEMPSTER(R) 7122
4/14/2013TAMPA BAY0+125 Under30251COBB(R)L6.7372
 BOSTON5-1358.5 unWin80150BUCHHOLZ(R)W8024
4/13/2013TAMPA BAY1+110 Under60171PRICE(L) 6142
 BOSTON2-1208 unWin71280LESTER(L) 7151
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
FELIX DOUBRONT vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DOUBRONT is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.567.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)
FELIX DOUBRONT recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/18/2012at TAMPA BAY7-5+1557.5Win,OverW6331055HELLICKSON(R)
5/17/2012at TAMPA BAY5-3+1108.5Win,UnderW5.7216047MOORE(L)
4/15/2012TAMPA BAY6-4+1059.5Win,Over 5449117MOORE(L)

ALEX COBB vs. BOSTON since 1997
COBB is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.191.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)
ALEX COBB recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/14/2013at BOSTON0-5+1258.5Loss,UnderL6.7437026BUCHHOLZ(R)
9/26/2012at BOSTON4-2-1309Win,UnderW5113035LESTER(L)
9/17/2012BOSTON2-5-1858Loss,UnderL6432134COOK(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1069, -133.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 55.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (170-134, +15.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.5% of the time since 1997. (1101-882, +114.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 57.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (176-128, +23.5 units)
Edge=TAMPA BAY
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (894-831, -55.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 57.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (119-88, +19.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 53.2% of the time since 1997. (789-693, +7.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 54% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-87, +4.8 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[P] 04/01/2013 - Franklin Morales 15-day DL (3/22) ( Back )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Forearm )
[P] 05/07/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (4/29) ( Bicep )
[C] 05/12/2013 - David Ross 7-day DL (5/12) ( Concussion )
[DH] 05/15/2013 - David Ortiz is expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays ( Oblique )
TAMPA BAY
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/15/2013 - David Price expected to start Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Illness )
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