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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-3 | 33-33 | 229-191 | 0-1 | 29-25 | 127-105 | 9-3 | 24-49 | 226-243 | | in all lined games | 8-3 | 33-33 | 229-191 | 0-1 | 29-25 | 127-105 | 8-3 | 21-48 | 199-235 | | as an underdog | 5-1 | 28-28 | 125-117 | 0-1 | 27-21 | 77-67 | 4-2 | 11-46 | 58-190 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 1-4 | 15-11 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 13-14 | | in road games | 2-2 | 15-19 | 98-104 | 0-0 | 19-9 | 67-49 | 2-2 | 4-31 | 68-146 | | in road lined games | 2-2 | 15-19 | 98-104 | 0-0 | 19-9 | 67-49 | 2-2 | 4-31 | 63-144 | | against MAC opponents | 2-1 | 3-7 | 20-18 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 11-12 | 2-1 | 5-7 | 22-19 | | in December games | 3-2 | 11-8 | 65-39 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 29-26 | 4-2 | 8-14 | 62-60 | | on Saturday games | 5-1 | 14-14 | 95-76 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 57-37 | 5-1 | 10-20 | 94-98 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 1-0 | 5-4 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12-12 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 31-24 | | after a non-conference game | 8-2 | 17-11 | 98-66 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 39-40 | 8-3 | 17-17 | 104-94 | | in non-conference games | 8-3 | 14-14 | 99-62 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 38-41 | 9-3 | 19-16 | 110-91 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-0 | 4-2 | 26-28 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 20-9 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 29-31 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-1 | 9-10 | 79-63 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 53-33 | 1-1 | 8-12 | 113-56 |
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| in all games | 4-2 | 34-28 | 209-213 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 3-6 | 26-51 | 225-247 | | in all lined games | 4-2 | 34-28 | 209-213 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 2-5 | 18-47 | 192-238 | | as a favorite | 2-0 | 8-4 | 95-71 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 39-32 | 2-0 | 10-2 | 138-31 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16-11 | | in all home games | 0-0 | 15-14 | 97-85 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 1-0 | 17-20 | 144-64 | | in home lined games | 0-0 | 15-14 | 97-85 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 0-0 | 12-19 | 122-63 | | in December games | 2-0 | 6-4 | 39-35 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 16-20 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 47-50 | | on Saturday games | 1-0 | 11-14 | 72-87 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 40-38 | 1-1 | 10-19 | 82-94 | | when playing with 7 or more days rest | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-14 | | after a non-conference game | 4-2 | 14-13 | 69-76 | 0-0 | 13-6 | 36-45 | 3-6 | 15-25 | 82-101 | | in non-conference games | 4-2 | 15-12 | 69-73 | 0-0 | 12-7 | 44-37 | 3-6 | 16-25 | 81-104 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-0 | 8-5 | 57-53 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 38-31 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 60-62 | | after playing 3 consecutive road games | 1-0 | 2-1 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 6-4 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 13-6 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 17-12 | 102-112 | 0-0 | 15-11 | 56-61 | 0-4 | 6-27 | 73-150 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 10-7 | 50-39 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 28-32 | 1-0 | 6-11 | 35-56 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-3 | +11.2 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 64.4 | 27.5 | 39.9% | 33.5 | 55.7 | 25.2 | 38.1% | 36.3 | | Road Games | 4-3 | +7.3 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 62.7 | 27.6 | 40.5% | 31.0 | 60.7 | 29.0 | 42.8% | 33.3 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 68.6 | 26.8 | 42.9% | 32.6 | 59.6 | 22.8 | 40.1% | 35.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.4 | 27.5 | 21-54 | 39.9% | 8-21 | 36.3% | 14-18 | 76.5% | 33 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 29.1 | 23-55 | 41.4% | 7-20 | 34.9% | 12-18 | 68.7% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.7 | 27.6 | 21-52 | 40.5% | 7-19 | 36.6% | 14-18 | 76.4% | 31 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 55.7 | 25.2 | 20-53 | 38.1% | 4-16 | 28.0% | 11-17 | 66.3% | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 63.7 | 28.6 | 23-55 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 12-18 | 68.7% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 60.7 | 29.0 | 21-49 | 42.8% | 5-17 | 31.4% | 13-20 | 66.7% | 33 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
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| All Games | 3-6 | -1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 69.8 | 32.2 | 43.7% | 31.9 | 72.6 | 33.1 | 43.5% | 35.8 | | Home Games | 1-0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 80.0 | 44.0 | 41.7% | 34.0 | 68.0 | 30.0 | 38.5% | 35.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 71.8 | 35.0 | 48.0% | 30.2 | 71.2 | 28.4 | 44.0% | 32.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.8 | 32.2 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 6-17 | 33.5% | 16-22 | 73.4% | 32 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 31.1 | 23-53 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-19 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 80.0 | 44.0 | 20-48 | 41.7% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 35-46 | 76.1% | 34 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 72.6 | 33.1 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 8-22 | 35.0% | 17-23 | 73.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.9 | 30.5 | 24-54 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 68.0 | 30.0 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 4-21 | 19.0% | 24-32 | 75.0% | 35 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: IL-CHICAGO 69.2, TOLEDO 69.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| IL-CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | IL-CHICAGO is 5-1 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons | | IL-CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO since 1997 | | IL-CHICAGO is 2-1 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons | | TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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11/26/2011 | IL-CHICAGO | 67 | 130.5 | Over | 25 | 27-73 | 37.0% | 8-30 | 26.7% | 5-9 | 55.6% | 46 | 22 | 25 | | | TOLEDO | 82 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 45 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 26-45 | 57.8% | 31 | 5 | 14 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IL-CHICAGO games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (186-153) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IL-CHICAGO games 64.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-20) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49% of the time since 1997. (165-172) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-29) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) |
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