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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 4-8 | 37-40 | 252-228 | 5-6 | 33-43 | 177-216 | 12-3 | 59-27 | 389-145 | | in all lined games | 4-8 | 37-40 | 252-228 | 5-6 | 33-43 | 177-216 | 9-3 | 51-27 | 343-145 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-3 | 15-17 | 92-80 | 2-2 | 13-20 | 89-86 | 2-2 | 18-15 | 124-54 | | as a favorite | 3-6 | 26-33 | 193-174 | 3-5 | 25-34 | 137-157 | 8-1 | 43-17 | 301-74 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11-18 | | in road games | 0-3 | 10-14 | 75-80 | 1-2 | 8-15 | 53-76 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 85-78 | | in road lined games | 0-3 | 10-14 | 75-80 | 1-2 | 8-15 | 53-76 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 79-78 | | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14-14 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 11-17 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 23-20 | 147-130 | 2-0 | 19-25 | 100-130 | 1-1 | 28-16 | 198-85 | | in January games | 1-0 | 6-10 | 56-59 | 1-0 | 8-8 | 41-47 | 1-0 | 9-7 | 84-34 | | after a conference game | 1-0 | 22-20 | 149-126 | 1-0 | 19-24 | 102-130 | 1-0 | 27-16 | 200-82 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 16-11 | 109-84 | 0-0 | 8-19 | 69-91 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 140-56 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-1 | 6-9 | 61-56 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 38-51 | 2-0 | 12-5 | 94-33 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-6 | 29-33 | 190-181 | 5-3 | 30-32 | 148-171 | 6-2 | 40-24 | 250-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 15-19 | 118-101 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 95-105 | 0-0 | 20-15 | 147-78 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 10-12 | 72-70 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 55-73 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 94-51 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-4 | 17-19 | 104-114 | 3-2 | 16-20 | 82-105 | 4-1 | 21-15 | 139-85 |
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| in all games | 7-4 | 37-34 | 205-242 | 4-6 | 33-34 | 154-159 | 11-4 | 40-41 | 270-226 | | in all lined games | 7-4 | 37-34 | 205-242 | 4-6 | 33-34 | 154-159 | 7-4 | 31-40 | 230-225 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-1 | 19-14 | 61-62 | 2-0 | 16-16 | 60-64 | 1-1 | 15-18 | 67-60 | | as an underdog | 1-3 | 20-22 | 106-118 | 3-1 | 20-21 | 93-93 | 0-4 | 12-30 | 63-163 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11-17 | | in all home games | 5-1 | 24-12 | 101-113 | 0-5 | 14-19 | 61-82 | 9-1 | 31-15 | 183-72 | | in home lined games | 5-1 | 24-12 | 101-113 | 0-5 | 14-19 | 61-82 | 5-1 | 22-14 | 145-71 | | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 9-1 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 20-8 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 21-20 | 131-142 | 1-1 | 20-21 | 101-100 | 0-2 | 13-28 | 120-159 | | in January games | 0-1 | 6-10 | 52-63 | 1-0 | 9-7 | 45-40 | 0-1 | 3-13 | 50-67 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 20-20 | 124-146 | 1-0 | 19-20 | 99-102 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 120-158 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 13-13 | 70-79 | 1-0 | 14-12 | 55-53 | 0-1 | 10-16 | 72-80 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-0 | 9-3 | 28-30 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 25-15 | 1-0 | 8-6 | 38-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-3 | 28-27 | 152-178 | 4-2 | 28-24 | 119-125 | 3-4 | 22-36 | 153-192 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 16-15 | 88-97 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 72-76 | 0-0 | 11-20 | 69-119 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 7-8 | 62-61 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 50-54 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 45-80 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-2 | 15-14 | 100-107 | 3-1 | 16-13 | 80-82 | 2-3 | 11-19 | 91-123 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 12-3 | -1.2 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 71.1 | 34.3 | 47.4% | 39.9 | 57.7 | 27.7 | 37.1% | 30.9 | | Road Games | 2-3 | -3.2 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 63.0 | 33.6 | 44.1% | 36.2 | 65.2 | 34.0 | 46.3% | 31.2 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 74.0 | 33.8 | 45.4% | 42.6 | 60.4 | 31.4 | 38.2% | 35.2 | | Conference Games | 1-1 | 0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 73.5 | 37.0 | 44.9% | 38.0 | 68.5 | 34.5 | 47.4% | 37.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.1 | 34.3 | 26-55 | 47.4% | 5-14 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 71.4% | 40 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.1 | 30.1 | 23-57 | 41.5% | 6-19 | 31.8% | 14-20 | 70.3% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.0 | 33.6 | 25-58 | 44.1% | 4-12 | 36.1% | 8-13 | 61.9% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.7 | 27.7 | 20-54 | 37.1% | 5-16 | 30.7% | 12-19 | 64.5% | 31 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.3 | 24-57 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.2 | 34.0 | 24-51 | 46.3% | 5-13 | 41.5% | 12-17 | 70.1% | 31 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
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| All Games | 11-4 | 0 | 7-4 | 4-6 | 75.5 | 36.1 | 44.2% | 40.4 | 63.9 | 29.4 | 38.4% | 34.9 | | Home Games | 9-1 | 0 | 5-1 | 0-5 | 78.0 | 36.4 | 45.1% | 44.6 | 56.6 | 26.2 | 34.5% | 34.4 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 76.4 | 37.4 | 44.1% | 42.2 | 66.6 | 29.0 | 39.1% | 37.0 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 66.0 | 30.0 | 38.4% | 32.5 | 82.0 | 39.5 | 48.8% | 43.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.5 | 36.1 | 26-58 | 44.2% | 6-19 | 31.1% | 18-25 | 71.2% | 40 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 31.3 | 24-57 | 42.6% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-19 | 67.8% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 78.0 | 36.4 | 27-61 | 45.1% | 5-19 | 28.0% | 18-25 | 70.2% | 45 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.9 | 29.4 | 23-60 | 38.4% | 6-20 | 29.1% | 12-16 | 73.4% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.6 | 31.8 | 25-57 | 43.2% | 7-20 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 69.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 56.6 | 26.2 | 21-60 | 34.5% | 6-21 | 28.4% | 9-13 | 69.4% | 34 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 71.5, IOWA 70.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 18-12 against the spread versus IOWA since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 22-8 straight up against IOWA since 1997 | | 15 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 4-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 7-5 against the spread versus IOWA since 1997 | | IOWA is 6-6 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | IOWA is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/9/2012 | IOWA | 75 | 134.5 | Over | 39 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 19-26 | 73.1% | 24 | 5 | 9 | | N | MICHIGAN ST | 92 | -11.5 | SU ATS | 55 | 32-55 | 58.2% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 20-27 | 74.1% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 1/10/2012 | IOWA | 61 | 143.5 | Over | 24 | 23-63 | 36.5% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 33 | 16 | 21 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 95 | -13.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 37-60 | 61.7% | 10-18 | 55.6% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 3/10/2011 | IOWA | 61 | 131 | ATS | 31 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 31 | 13 | 13 | | N | MICHIGAN ST | 66 | -7 | SU Under | 33 | 22-54 | 40.7% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 39 | 15 | 15 | 3/2/2011 | IOWA | 66 | 131.5 | Over | 32 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 0-12 | 0.0% | 20-33 | 60.6% | 32 | 9 | 11 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 85 | -11 | SU ATS | 36 | 30-55 | 54.5% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 18-27 | 66.7% | 37 | 7 | 13 | 2/2/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 52 | -4.5 | Under | 20 | 19-56 | 33.9% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 10-14 | 71.4% | 31 | 13 | 17 | | | IOWA | 72 | 137.5 | SU ATS | 41 | 30-52 | 57.7% | 3-9 | 33.3% | 9-11 | 81.8% | 32 | 5 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46% of the time since 1997. (179-210) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (189-164) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-26) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (190-156) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 55.4% of the time since 1997. (150-121) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-29) | |
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| [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Undisclosed ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| [F] 11/11/2012 - Kyle Meyer expected to redshirt ( Undisclosed ) |
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