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Matchup Reports

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MICHIGAN ST (12-3) AT IOWA (11-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
515: MICHIGAN ST
516: IOWA
135.0
+2.5
71.1 / 57.7
75.5 / 63.9
12-3
11-4
4-8
7-4
5-6
4-6
47.4
44.2
71.4
71.2
33.5
31.1
37.1
38.4
64.5
73.4
30.7
29.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN ST  
IOWA0 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games4-837-40252-2285-633-43177-21612-359-27389-145
in all lined games4-837-40252-2285-633-43177-2169-351-27343-145
when the total is 130 to 139.51-315-1792-802-213-2089-862-218-15124-54
as a favorite3-626-33193-1743-525-34137-1578-143-17301-74
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-01-310-180-00-412-100-01-311-18
in road games0-310-1475-801-28-1553-761-211-1485-78
in road lined games0-310-1475-801-28-1553-761-210-1479-78
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-01-413-150-01-414-140-00-511-17
against conference opponents1-123-20147-1302-019-25100-1301-128-16198-85
in January games1-06-1056-591-08-841-471-09-784-34
after a conference game1-022-20149-1261-019-24102-1301-027-16200-82
off a win against a conference rival0-016-11109-840-08-1969-910-017-10140-56
after scoring 80 points or more1-16-961-560-26-838-512-012-594-33
when playing against a team with a winning record2-629-33190-1815-330-32148-1716-240-24250-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-015-19118-1010-017-1895-1050-020-15147-78
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-010-1272-700-010-1255-730-011-1194-51
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-417-19104-1143-216-2082-1054-121-15139-85

IOWA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-437-34205-2424-633-34154-15911-440-41270-226
in all lined games7-437-34205-2424-633-34154-1597-431-40230-225
when the total is 130 to 139.51-119-1461-622-016-1660-641-115-1867-60
as an underdog1-320-22106-1183-120-2193-930-412-3063-163
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-02-311-170-02-310-130-02-311-17
in all home games5-124-12101-1130-514-1961-829-131-15183-72
in home lined games5-124-12101-1130-514-1961-825-122-14145-71
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-09-115-130-06-315-120-07-320-8
against conference opponents1-121-20131-1421-120-21101-1000-213-28120-159
in January games0-16-1052-631-09-745-400-13-1350-67
after a conference game0-120-20124-1461-019-2099-1020-115-26120-158
off a loss against a conference rival0-113-1370-791-014-1255-530-110-1672-80
after allowing 80 points or more0-09-328-300-05-725-151-08-638-26
when playing against a team with a winning record4-328-27152-1784-228-24119-1253-422-36153-192
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-016-1588-970-014-1772-760-011-2069-119
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-07-862-610-07-850-540-05-1045-80
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-215-14100-1073-116-1380-822-311-1991-123
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-3-1.24-85-671.134.347.4%39.957.727.737.1%30.9
Road Games2-3-3.21-42-363.033.644.1%36.265.234.046.3%31.2
Last 5 Games4-1+21-32-274.033.845.4%42.660.431.438.2%35.2
Conference Games1-101-12-073.537.044.9%38.068.534.547.4%37.0
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.134.326-5547.4%5-1433.5%14-2071.4%401115179154
vs opponents surrendering67.130.123-5741.5%6-1931.8%14-2070.3%371013187154
Team Stats (Road Games)63.033.625-5844.1%4-1236.1%8-1361.9%361112187154
Stats Against (All Games)57.727.720-5437.1%5-1630.7%12-1964.5%31911179144
vs opponents averaging67.531.324-5742.0%6-1832.7%13-2067.7%35913188144
Stats Against (Road Games)65.234.024-5146.3%5-1341.5%12-1770.1%31812128137

IOWA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-407-44-675.536.144.2%40.463.929.438.4%34.9
Home Games9-105-10-578.036.445.1%44.656.626.234.5%34.4
Last 5 Games3-204-12-376.437.444.1%42.266.629.039.1%37.0
Conference Games0-2-11-11-166.030.038.4%32.582.039.548.8%43.5
IOWA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)75.536.126-5844.2%6-1931.1%18-2571.2%401217167135
vs opponents surrendering67.531.324-5742.6%6-1932.7%13-1967.8%351013187143
Team Stats (Home Games)78.036.427-6145.1%5-1928.0%18-2570.2%451418149135
Stats Against (All Games)63.929.423-6038.4%6-2029.1%12-1673.4%351011218143
vs opponents averaging69.631.825-5743.2%7-2033.6%14-2069.9%361013177143
Stats Against (Home Games)56.626.221-6034.5%6-2128.4%9-1369.4%341010208173
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 71.5,  IOWA 70.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 18-12 against the spread versus IOWA since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 22-8 straight up against IOWA since 1997
15 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 4-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at IOWA since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 7-5 against the spread versus IOWA since 1997
IOWA is 6-6 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at IOWA over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/9/2012IOWA75134.5 Over3923-5343.4%10-2050.0%19-2673.1%2459
NMICHIGAN ST92-11.5SU ATS5532-5558.2%8-1844.4%20-2774.1%36912
1/10/2012IOWA61143.5 Over2423-6336.5%4-1428.6%11-1957.9%331621
 MICHIGAN ST95-13.5SU ATS4637-6061.7%10-1855.6%11-1573.3%371015
3/10/2011IOWA61131 ATS3122-5639.3%4-944.4%13-1776.5%311313
NMICHIGAN ST66-7SU Under3322-5440.7%4-1428.6%18-2378.3%391515
3/2/2011IOWA66131.5 Over3223-5641.1%0-120.0%20-3360.6%32911
 MICHIGAN ST85-11SU ATS3630-5554.5%7-1450.0%18-2766.7%37713
2/2/2011MICHIGAN ST52-4.5 Under2019-5633.9%4-1822.2%10-1471.4%311317
 IOWA72137.5SU ATS4130-5257.7%3-933.3%9-1181.8%32512
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MICHIGAN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46% of the time since 1997. (179-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (189-164)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in IOWA games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-26)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.9% of the time since 1997. (190-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 55.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 55.4% of the time since 1997. (150-121)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in IOWA games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Undisclosed )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
IOWA
[F] 11/11/2012 - Kyle Meyer expected to redshirt ( Undisclosed )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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