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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-6 | 34-33 | 194-200 | 6-1 | 39-24 | 133-115 | 9-6 | 48-34 | 217-253 | | in all lined games | 6-6 | 34-33 | 194-200 | 6-1 | 39-24 | 133-115 | 6-6 | 34-34 | 148-249 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 47-55 | 3-0 | 9-1 | 56-46 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 38-66 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 16-17 | 130-138 | 4-1 | 19-14 | 78-79 | 2-3 | 8-25 | 57-213 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 4-3 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 6-10 | | in road games | 1-1 | 12-14 | 81-84 | 1-1 | 17-10 | 55-49 | 1-1 | 10-18 | 36-133 | | in road lined games | 1-1 | 12-14 | 81-84 | 1-1 | 17-10 | 55-49 | 1-1 | 9-18 | 33-133 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 19-24 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 24-20 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 11-33 | | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 19-21 | 132-138 | 1-1 | 22-19 | 93-83 | 0-2 | 16-25 | 81-192 | | in January games | 0-2 | 8-10 | 52-64 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 38-31 | 0-2 | 6-13 | 39-87 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 19-19 | 126-130 | 0-1 | 20-19 | 86-79 | 0-1 | 19-21 | 96-176 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 11-12 | 88-85 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 56-52 | 0-1 | 13-11 | 67-114 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-1 | 5-8 | 86-86 | 2-0 | 9-4 | 49-47 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 92-110 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-5 | 26-30 | 134-138 | 6-1 | 31-23 | 93-89 | 4-6 | 26-34 | 90-198 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 3-2 | 20-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17-12 | 2-1 | 9-2 | 44-17 |
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| in all games | 4-5 | 30-32 | 203-198 | 3-4 | 30-32 | 119-130 | 8-6 | 39-41 | 220-261 | | in all lined games | 4-5 | 30-32 | 203-198 | 3-4 | 30-32 | 119-130 | 4-6 | 28-39 | 157-255 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-3 | 14-16 | 42-45 | 3-2 | 19-13 | 44-45 | 1-4 | 12-20 | 35-54 | | as a favorite | 3-1 | 13-7 | 69-50 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 31-33 | 4-1 | 17-4 | 89-33 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 4-3 | 19-16 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 15-11 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 21-15 | | in all home games | 3-2 | 17-12 | 94-85 | 1-2 | 13-14 | 52-58 | 7-2 | 30-14 | 157-96 | | in home lined games | 3-2 | 17-12 | 94-85 | 1-2 | 13-14 | 52-58 | 3-2 | 19-12 | 95-92 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 24-21 | 1-1 | 10-6 | 24-23 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 23-24 | | against conference opponents | 1-1 | 22-19 | 132-139 | 0-2 | 20-23 | 83-94 | 0-2 | 16-27 | 84-193 | | in January games | 1-1 | 10-8 | 57-58 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 35-38 | 0-2 | 6-13 | 36-84 | | after a conference game | 0-1 | 20-18 | 128-135 | 0-1 | 21-20 | 81-94 | 1-1 | 17-26 | 91-185 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 10-13 | 84-92 | 0-1 | 13-12 | 55-62 | 0-1 | 8-17 | 56-126 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-4 | 9-14 | 55-65 | 3-1 | 14-12 | 44-41 | 3-4 | 12-18 | 51-90 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-3 | 23-25 | 138-150 | 1-3 | 24-26 | 97-94 | 4-4 | 23-33 | 107-207 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 9-7 | 50-61 | 0-0 | 12-6 | 46-40 | 0-0 | 4-14 | 29-87 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 15-13 | 87-95 | 0-3 | 17-13 | 67-60 | 3-2 | 11-21 | 65-133 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-6 | -5.8 | 6-6 | 6-1 | 66.5 | 30.9 | 42.5% | 33.6 | 62.3 | 27.1 | 41.7% | 35.9 | | Road Games | 3-1 | +6 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 63.0 | 24.0 | 40.1% | 33.0 | 59.7 | 22.2 | 40.3% | 37.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 64.4 | 28.0 | 42.8% | 26.8 | 68.6 | 32.0 | 45.9% | 38.8 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -1 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 58.5 | 22.0 | 39.6% | 22.5 | 81.5 | 34.0 | 54.3% | 44.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 66.5 | 30.9 | 23-54 | 42.5% | 8-22 | 37.8% | 12-19 | 66.5% | 34 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.2 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 12-18 | 68.2% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.0 | 24.0 | 21-52 | 40.1% | 7-20 | 34.1% | 14-19 | 76.3% | 33 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.3 | 27.1 | 22-53 | 41.7% | 6-17 | 36.3% | 12-18 | 62.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.2 | 25-56 | 43.7% | 6-19 | 33.6% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 59.7 | 22.2 | 21-51 | 40.3% | 5-16 | 33.8% | 13-22 | 57.3% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
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| All Games | 8-6 | -0.2 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 63.4 | 29.1 | 40.6% | 37.2 | 66.1 | 27.7 | 41.3% | 31.6 | | Home Games | 7-2 | +1.8 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 67.7 | 31.0 | 41.5% | 38.6 | 63.8 | 26.4 | 39.0% | 30.8 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 67.6 | 32.0 | 42.8% | 40.2 | 65.8 | 28.8 | 37.6% | 32.2 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 51.0 | 22.5 | 38.4% | 36.5 | 67.0 | 36.5 | 44.4% | 32.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.4 | 29.1 | 22-54 | 40.6% | 5-18 | 29.3% | 14-21 | 68.7% | 37 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.9 | 30.8 | 24-57 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 13-18 | 69.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 67.7 | 31.0 | 22-54 | 41.5% | 6-19 | 31.4% | 17-24 | 70.0% | 39 | 10 | 11 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.1 | 27.7 | 21-50 | 41.3% | 8-21 | 35.7% | 17-24 | 71.0% | 32 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 70.7 | 33.6 | 25-56 | 44.5% | 7-20 | 34.4% | 14-21 | 69.2% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.8 | 26.4 | 19-50 | 39.0% | 7-23 | 32.8% | 17-24 | 73.0% | 31 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 71.6, PENN ST 73.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| PENN ST is 19-9 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | PENN ST is 17-12 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PENN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | PENN ST is 2-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| PENN ST is 8-4 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | PENN ST is 10-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/25/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | 67 | -1 | SU | 34 | 22-50 | 44.0% | 15-29 | 51.7% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 22 | 4 | 10 | | | PENN ST | 66 | 127.5 | Over | 28 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 5-9 | 55.6% | 37 | 12 | 12 | 1/1/2012 | PENN ST | 56 | 130 | Under | 26 | 18-53 | 34.0% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 14-23 | 60.9% | 36 | 15 | 15 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 68 | -8 | SU ATS | 23 | 22-40 | 55.0% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 15-25 | 60.0% | 27 | 3 | 12 | 2/24/2011 | PENN ST | 66 | 132 | SU ATS | 26 | 26-46 | 56.5% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 10-12 | 83.3% | 31 | 6 | 12 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 52 | -4 | Under | 23 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 6-24 | 25.0% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 23 | 6 | 11 | 2/13/2011 | NORTHWESTERN | 41 | 131.5 | Under | 15 | 18-52 | 34.6% | 2-21 | 9.5% | 3-5 | 60.0% | 21 | 4 | 9 | | | PENN ST | 65 | -2 | SU ATS | 24 | 21-43 | 48.8% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 18-23 | 78.3% | 33 | 3 | 9 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (167-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 56% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-22) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (163-166) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 43.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-30) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (107-110) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 55% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 46.9% of the time since 1997. (100-113) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-29) | |
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| [G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist ) | | [G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) | |
| [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) |
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