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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 5-9 | 38-41 | 253-229 | 6-7 | 34-44 | 178-217 | 14-3 | 61-27 | 391-145 | | in all lined games | 5-9 | 38-41 | 253-229 | 6-7 | 34-44 | 178-217 | 11-3 | 53-27 | 345-145 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-4 | 11-15 | 46-45 | 3-3 | 11-15 | 34-58 | 5-1 | 18-8 | 60-33 | | as a favorite | 4-7 | 27-34 | 194-175 | 4-6 | 26-35 | 138-158 | 10-1 | 45-17 | 303-74 | | as a road favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 8-1 | | in road games | 1-3 | 11-14 | 76-80 | 1-3 | 8-16 | 53-77 | 2-2 | 12-14 | 86-78 | | in road lined games | 1-3 | 11-14 | 76-80 | 1-3 | 8-16 | 53-77 | 2-2 | 11-14 | 80-78 | | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 13-20 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 13-20 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 15-19 | | against conference opponents | 2-2 | 24-21 | 148-131 | 3-1 | 20-26 | 101-131 | 3-1 | 30-16 | 200-85 | | in January games | 2-1 | 7-11 | 57-60 | 2-1 | 9-9 | 42-48 | 3-0 | 11-7 | 86-34 | | on Wednesday games | 1-1 | 9-4 | 52-27 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 27-34 | 1-1 | 10-4 | 70-16 | | after a conference game | 2-1 | 23-21 | 150-127 | 2-1 | 20-25 | 103-131 | 3-0 | 29-16 | 202-82 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-1 | 17-12 | 110-85 | 1-1 | 9-20 | 70-92 | 2-0 | 19-10 | 142-56 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-8 | 18-16 | 104-109 | 4-4 | 13-20 | 84-89 | 7-2 | 25-10 | 166-65 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 1-2 | 22-18 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 9-20 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 37-4 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-2 | 4-4 | 32-24 | 1-2 | 1-7 | 15-26 | 4-0 | 8-1 | 57-6 |
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| in all games | 4-7 | 30-34 | 203-200 | 4-5 | 31-33 | 120-131 | 8-8 | 39-43 | 220-263 | | in all lined games | 4-7 | 30-34 | 203-200 | 4-5 | 31-33 | 120-131 | 4-8 | 28-41 | 157-257 | | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-5 | 14-18 | 42-47 | 4-3 | 20-14 | 45-46 | 1-6 | 12-22 | 35-56 | | as an underdog | 1-5 | 17-26 | 131-145 | 2-4 | 23-24 | 87-95 | 0-6 | 11-36 | 65-219 | | as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | | in all home games | 3-3 | 17-13 | 94-86 | 2-2 | 14-14 | 53-58 | 7-3 | 30-15 | 157-97 | | in home lined games | 3-3 | 17-13 | 94-86 | 2-2 | 14-14 | 53-58 | 3-3 | 19-13 | 95-93 | | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 24-22 | 2-1 | 11-6 | 25-23 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 23-25 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 22-21 | 132-141 | 1-3 | 21-24 | 84-95 | 0-4 | 16-29 | 84-195 | | in January games | 1-3 | 10-10 | 57-60 | 1-3 | 8-13 | 36-39 | 0-4 | 6-15 | 36-86 | | on Wednesday games | 0-2 | 4-9 | 56-65 | 2-0 | 9-4 | 34-27 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 57-80 | | after a conference game | 0-3 | 20-20 | 128-137 | 1-2 | 22-21 | 82-95 | 1-3 | 17-28 | 91-187 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-3 | 10-15 | 84-94 | 1-2 | 14-13 | 56-63 | 0-3 | 8-19 | 56-128 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-5 | 9-16 | 45-47 | 3-2 | 14-9 | 32-26 | 1-5 | 13-16 | 65-56 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-6 | 9-16 | 55-67 | 4-2 | 15-13 | 45-42 | 3-6 | 12-20 | 51-92 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-0 | 4-1 | 22-15 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6-13 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 11-27 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-1 | 3-5 | 42-47 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 22-32 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 26-71 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-4 | 23-26 | 138-151 | 2-3 | 25-26 | 98-94 | 4-5 | 23-34 | 107-208 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 16-12 | 91-94 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 67-63 | 0-0 | 11-20 | 57-134 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 9-9 | 50-63 | 1-1 | 13-7 | 47-41 | 0-2 | 4-16 | 29-89 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-3 | 15-15 | 87-97 | 1-4 | 18-14 | 68-61 | 3-4 | 11-23 | 65-135 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-3 | -0.2 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 70.3 | 33.6 | 46.9% | 39.5 | 57.7 | 27.9 | 37.7% | 31.2 | | Road Games | 3-3 | -2.2 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 62.8 | 32.0 | 43.5% | 36.2 | 64.2 | 33.0 | 46.1% | 31.8 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 68.4 | 31.6 | 44.1% | 36.8 | 61.6 | 32.4 | 43.3% | 34.4 | | Conference Games | 3-1 | +1 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 68.7 | 32.5 | 44.0% | 37.0 | 63.0 | 32.2 | 44.8% | 35.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.3 | 33.6 | 26-55 | 46.9% | 5-14 | 33.1% | 14-21 | 70.3% | 39 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.3 | 29.8 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 31.9% | 14-20 | 69.9% | 37 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.8 | 32.0 | 25-57 | 43.5% | 4-12 | 34.7% | 9-14 | 61.9% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.7 | 27.9 | 20-54 | 37.7% | 5-16 | 30.1% | 12-18 | 64.2% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.2 | 24-57 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 13-19 | 67.7% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 64.2 | 33.0 | 24-51 | 46.1% | 5-13 | 38.3% | 12-17 | 68.6% | 32 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
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| All Games | 8-8 | -2.4 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 61.4 | 27.9 | 39.0% | 36.9 | 65.9 | 28.2 | 41.9% | 32.4 | | Home Games | 7-3 | +0.6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 66.3 | 29.7 | 40.4% | 38.4 | 64.4 | 27.1 | 39.6% | 31.0 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -1.2 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 56.4 | 24.8 | 35.3% | 38.6 | 67.6 | 32.8 | 43.2% | 33.6 | | Conference Games | 0-4 | -2.2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 49.5 | 21.2 | 33.5% | 35.7 | 66.0 | 34.0 | 44.9% | 35.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.4 | 27.9 | 21-54 | 39.0% | 5-18 | 28.6% | 14-20 | 69.8% | 37 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 30.4 | 23-57 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 13-18 | 69.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 66.3 | 29.7 | 22-54 | 40.4% | 6-19 | 30.5% | 17-24 | 71.0% | 38 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.9 | 28.2 | 21-50 | 41.9% | 7-21 | 36.4% | 17-24 | 69.4% | 32 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 70 | 33.2 | 25-56 | 44.0% | 7-19 | 34.1% | 14-21 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.4 | 27.1 | 20-50 | 39.6% | 8-23 | 33.6% | 17-24 | 72.2% | 31 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 73.6, PENN ST 73.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 14-11 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 20-5 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PENN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | PENN ST is 2-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 7-4 against the spread versus PENN ST since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 straight up against PENN ST since 1997 | | 4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/8/2012 | PENN ST | 57 | 125 | Over | 19 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 25 | 5 | 13 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 77 | -14.5 | SU ATS | 33 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 8-21 | 38.1% | 23-34 | 67.6% | 44 | 14 | 14 | 3/12/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 48 | -3.5 | Under | 26 | 17-53 | 32.1% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 32 | 8 | 9 | | N | PENN ST | 61 | 121 | SU ATS | 26 | 21-50 | 42.0% | 9-22 | 40.9% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 38 | 8 | 7 | 2/10/2011 | PENN ST | 57 | 128.5 | Over | 21 | 23-56 | 41.1% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 4-11 | 36.4% | 23 | 9 | 6 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 75 | -6.5 | SU ATS | 41 | 22-42 | 52.4% | 5-13 | 38.5% | 26-35 | 74.3% | 38 | 10 | 11 | 1/8/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 62 | -6 | Under | 36 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 36 | 10 | 11 | | | PENN ST | 66 | 132 | SU ATS | 31 | 23-57 | 40.4% | 5-17 | 29.4% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 40 | 14 | 6 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (181-210) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (163-167) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 42.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-31) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (190-158) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 46.5% of the time since 1997. (100-115) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-31) | |
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| [G] 01/15/2013 - Branden Dawson probable Wednesday vs. Penn State ( Knee ) | | [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
| [G] 11/18/2012 - Tim Frazier out for season ( Achilles ) |
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