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Matchup Reports

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NORTHWESTERN (10-7) AT ILLINOIS (14-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
535: NORTHWESTERN
536: ILLINOIS
132.0
-10.0
65.8 / 62.2
73.9 / 66.3
10-7
14-4
7-7
6-9
7-2
7-6
42.0
43.2
66.0
71.4
36.7
34.5
41.4
41.7
64.1
66.5
34.8
34.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
NORTHWESTERN  
ILLINOIS-12 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-735-34195-2017-240-25134-11610-749-35218-254
in all lined games7-735-34195-2017-240-25134-1167-735-35149-250
when the total is 130 to 139.52-318-1839-293-222-1441-272-318-1833-35
as an underdog4-317-18131-1395-220-1579-803-49-2658-214
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points1-01-313-151-04-09-51-01-35-23
in road games2-113-1482-842-118-1056-492-111-1837-133
in road lined games2-113-1482-842-118-1056-492-110-1834-133
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.51-13-29-61-12-37-81-12-34-11
against conference opponents1-320-22133-1392-223-2094-841-317-2682-193
in January games1-39-1153-652-29-1139-321-37-1440-88
after a conference game1-220-20127-1311-221-2087-801-220-2297-177
off a loss against a conference rival1-112-1289-851-112-1357-521-114-1168-114
after scoring 60 points or less3-16-887-863-010-450-473-110-693-110
when playing against a team with a winning record5-627-31135-1397-232-2494-905-727-3591-199
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-114-1779-740-113-1852-560-110-2138-120

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-933-44236-2327-640-34171-19514-450-34361-168
in all lined games6-933-44236-2327-640-34171-19511-445-34314-167
when the total is 130 to 139.51-415-1762-722-315-1863-714-120-1382-55
as a favorite3-622-31170-1633-421-27111-1438-137-16274-69
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points1-03-310-131-02-411-91-06-021-3
in all home games2-418-19102-952-316-1765-758-135-7206-40
in home lined games2-418-19102-952-316-1765-755-130-7161-40
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-22-69-180-22-69-172-06-221-7
against conference opponents1-316-24142-1371-323-19102-1221-316-26175-115
in January games1-37-1155-641-38-1041-481-38-1068-56
after a conference game1-215-23140-1371-222-1899-1252-216-25175-114
off a loss against a conference rival1-110-1360-490-211-1341-431-111-1363-48
after scoring 60 points or less0-04-946-510-08-740-440-08-858-49
when playing against a team with a winning record6-626-30187-1766-532-25139-15211-333-27230-152
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-29-17106-1001-115-1376-990-28-20116-97
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-25-1364-671-114-557-630-25-1472-64
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-814-23101-1115-525-1293-937-419-19126-95
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-7-5.87-77-265.830.142.0%33.562.226.541.4%36.4
Road Games4-1+74-13-164.425.841.2%33.058.621.438.4%37.0
Last 5 Games2-3-12-32-260.024.040.5%28.465.825.843.4%39.8
Conference Games1-3-11-32-259.223.038.6%27.771.727.746.2%42.0
NORTHWESTERN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)65.830.122-5342.0%8-2236.7%13-1966.0%34816166114
vs opponents surrendering65.930.724-5642.2%6-1833.4%12-1868.6%34913187133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.425.821-5141.2%7-2135.6%15-2073.5%33813187122
Stats Against (All Games)62.226.522-5441.4%6-1734.8%12-1864.1%361013186133
vs opponents averaging68.231.724-5643.1%6-1933.3%13-2068.4%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)58.621.420-5338.4%5-1631.2%13-2161.7%371210205144

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-4+66-97-673.935.643.2%35.466.330.441.7%35.8
Home Games8-1+1.42-42-371.733.842.8%37.761.426.440.8%32.0
Last 5 Games2-3-2.21-42-366.833.240.4%32.672.034.244.6%38.8
Conference Games1-3-2.21-31-363.229.738.6%33.070.232.243.7%38.7
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)73.935.626-6043.2%9-2534.5%14-1971.4%351011178125
vs opponents surrendering65.730.323-5641.7%6-1833.2%13-1968.0%34912187144
Team Stats (Home Games)71.733.826-6042.8%8-2533.6%12-1866.2%381212157136
Stats Against (All Games)66.330.424-5741.7%7-2034.3%12-1866.5%361012175153
vs opponents averaging70.933.225-5844.1%7-1934.6%13-1968.7%371114187134
Stats Against (Home Games)61.426.422-5440.8%7-2034.4%10-1667.1%32812177163
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 71.5,  ILLINOIS 72.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
ILLINOIS is 16-12 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997
ILLINOIS is 23-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1997
NORTHWESTERN is 7-6 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 11-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/5/2012NORTHWESTERN74129SU ATS3629-4860.4%8-2040.0%8-1553.3%24510
 ILLINOIS70-6 Over3326-4854.2%11-2445.8%7-1163.6%22612
1/4/2012ILLINOIS57133.5SU ATS3121-4942.9%4-1040.0%11-2055.0%36711
 NORTHWESTERN56-2 Under3620-5536.4%5-1827.8%11-1861.1%3499
2/5/2011ILLINOIS70136.5 ATS2925-5149.0%8-1457.1%12-1675.0%32514
 NORTHWESTERN71-2SU Over3523-4847.9%9-2142.9%16-2272.7%25510
1/6/2011NORTHWESTERN63143 Over2423-6734.3%9-3823.7%8-1080.0%1769
 ILLINOIS88-8SU ATS4731-4470.5%9-1464.3%17-2568.0%40222
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (168-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 55.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-23)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (199-183)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-28)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (107-112)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (151-155)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
NORTHWESTERN
[G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist )
[G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics )
ILLINOIS
No significant injuries.
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