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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 7-7 | 35-34 | 195-201 | 7-2 | 40-25 | 134-116 | 10-7 | 49-35 | 218-254 | | in all lined games | 7-7 | 35-34 | 195-201 | 7-2 | 40-25 | 134-116 | 7-7 | 35-35 | 149-250 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 2-3 | 18-18 | 39-29 | 3-2 | 22-14 | 41-27 | 2-3 | 18-18 | 33-35 | | as an underdog | 4-3 | 17-18 | 131-139 | 5-2 | 20-15 | 79-80 | 3-4 | 9-26 | 58-214 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 1-3 | 13-15 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 9-5 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 5-23 | | in road games | 2-1 | 13-14 | 82-84 | 2-1 | 18-10 | 56-49 | 2-1 | 11-18 | 37-133 | | in road lined games | 2-1 | 13-14 | 82-84 | 2-1 | 18-10 | 56-49 | 2-1 | 10-18 | 34-133 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 9-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4-11 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 20-22 | 133-139 | 2-2 | 23-20 | 94-84 | 1-3 | 17-26 | 82-193 | | in January games | 1-3 | 9-11 | 53-65 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 39-32 | 1-3 | 7-14 | 40-88 | | after a conference game | 1-2 | 20-20 | 127-131 | 1-2 | 21-20 | 87-80 | 1-2 | 20-22 | 97-177 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 12-12 | 89-85 | 1-1 | 12-13 | 57-52 | 1-1 | 14-11 | 68-114 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-1 | 6-8 | 87-86 | 3-0 | 10-4 | 50-47 | 3-1 | 10-6 | 93-110 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-6 | 27-31 | 135-139 | 7-2 | 32-24 | 94-90 | 5-7 | 27-35 | 91-199 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 14-17 | 79-74 | 0-1 | 13-18 | 52-56 | 0-1 | 10-21 | 38-120 |
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| in all games | 6-9 | 33-44 | 236-232 | 7-6 | 40-34 | 171-195 | 14-4 | 50-34 | 361-168 | | in all lined games | 6-9 | 33-44 | 236-232 | 7-6 | 40-34 | 171-195 | 11-4 | 45-34 | 314-167 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-4 | 15-17 | 62-72 | 2-3 | 15-18 | 63-71 | 4-1 | 20-13 | 82-55 | | as a favorite | 3-6 | 22-31 | 170-163 | 3-4 | 21-27 | 111-143 | 8-1 | 37-16 | 274-69 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 3-3 | 10-13 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 11-9 | 1-0 | 6-0 | 21-3 | | in all home games | 2-4 | 18-19 | 102-95 | 2-3 | 16-17 | 65-75 | 8-1 | 35-7 | 206-40 | | in home lined games | 2-4 | 18-19 | 102-95 | 2-3 | 16-17 | 65-75 | 5-1 | 30-7 | 161-40 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 9-17 | 2-0 | 6-2 | 21-7 | | against conference opponents | 1-3 | 16-24 | 142-137 | 1-3 | 23-19 | 102-122 | 1-3 | 16-26 | 175-115 | | in January games | 1-3 | 7-11 | 55-64 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 41-48 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 68-56 | | after a conference game | 1-2 | 15-23 | 140-137 | 1-2 | 22-18 | 99-125 | 2-2 | 16-25 | 175-114 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 10-13 | 60-49 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 41-43 | 1-1 | 11-13 | 63-48 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-0 | 4-9 | 46-51 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 40-44 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 58-49 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-6 | 26-30 | 187-176 | 6-5 | 32-25 | 139-152 | 11-3 | 33-27 | 230-152 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-2 | 9-17 | 106-100 | 1-1 | 15-13 | 76-99 | 0-2 | 8-20 | 116-97 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-2 | 5-13 | 64-67 | 1-1 | 14-5 | 57-63 | 0-2 | 5-14 | 72-64 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-8 | 14-23 | 101-111 | 5-5 | 25-12 | 93-93 | 7-4 | 19-19 | 126-95 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 10-7 | -5.8 | 7-7 | 7-2 | 65.8 | 30.1 | 42.0% | 33.5 | 62.2 | 26.5 | 41.4% | 36.4 | | Road Games | 4-1 | +7 | 4-1 | 3-1 | 64.4 | 25.8 | 41.2% | 33.0 | 58.6 | 21.4 | 38.4% | 37.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 60.0 | 24.0 | 40.5% | 28.4 | 65.8 | 25.8 | 43.4% | 39.8 | | Conference Games | 1-3 | -1 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 59.2 | 23.0 | 38.6% | 27.7 | 71.7 | 27.7 | 46.2% | 42.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.8 | 30.1 | 22-53 | 42.0% | 8-22 | 36.7% | 13-19 | 66.0% | 34 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.9 | 30.7 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 12-18 | 68.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.4 | 25.8 | 21-51 | 41.2% | 7-21 | 35.6% | 15-20 | 73.5% | 33 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.2 | 26.5 | 22-54 | 41.4% | 6-17 | 34.8% | 12-18 | 64.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.7 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 13-20 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 58.6 | 21.4 | 20-53 | 38.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 13-21 | 61.7% | 37 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 14-4 | +6 | 6-9 | 7-6 | 73.9 | 35.6 | 43.2% | 35.4 | 66.3 | 30.4 | 41.7% | 35.8 | | Home Games | 8-1 | +1.4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 71.7 | 33.8 | 42.8% | 37.7 | 61.4 | 26.4 | 40.8% | 32.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.2 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 66.8 | 33.2 | 40.4% | 32.6 | 72.0 | 34.2 | 44.6% | 38.8 | | Conference Games | 1-3 | -2.2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 63.2 | 29.7 | 38.6% | 33.0 | 70.2 | 32.2 | 43.7% | 38.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.9 | 35.6 | 26-60 | 43.2% | 9-25 | 34.5% | 14-19 | 71.4% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.3 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 68.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 71.7 | 33.8 | 26-60 | 42.8% | 8-25 | 33.6% | 12-18 | 66.2% | 38 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.3 | 30.4 | 24-57 | 41.7% | 7-20 | 34.3% | 12-18 | 66.5% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 70.9 | 33.2 | 25-58 | 44.1% | 7-19 | 34.6% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 37 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 61.4 | 26.4 | 22-54 | 40.8% | 7-20 | 34.4% | 10-16 | 67.1% | 32 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 71.5, ILLINOIS 72.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS is 16-12 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 23-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS is 2-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| NORTHWESTERN is 7-6 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 11-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/5/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | 74 | 129 | SU ATS | 36 | 29-48 | 60.4% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 24 | 5 | 10 | | | ILLINOIS | 70 | -6 | Over | 33 | 26-48 | 54.2% | 11-24 | 45.8% | 7-11 | 63.6% | 22 | 6 | 12 | 1/4/2012 | ILLINOIS | 57 | 133.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 11-20 | 55.0% | 36 | 7 | 11 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 56 | -2 | Under | 36 | 20-55 | 36.4% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 34 | 9 | 9 | 2/5/2011 | ILLINOIS | 70 | 136.5 | ATS | 29 | 25-51 | 49.0% | 8-14 | 57.1% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 32 | 5 | 14 | | | NORTHWESTERN | 71 | -2 | SU Over | 35 | 23-48 | 47.9% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 25 | 5 | 10 | 1/6/2011 | NORTHWESTERN | 63 | 143 | Over | 24 | 23-67 | 34.3% | 9-38 | 23.7% | 8-10 | 80.0% | 17 | 6 | 9 | | | ILLINOIS | 88 | -8 | SU ATS | 47 | 31-44 | 70.5% | 9-14 | 64.3% | 17-25 | 68.0% | 40 | 2 | 22 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.5% of the time since 1997. (168-146) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 55.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-23) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (199-183) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-28) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (107-112) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 53.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (151-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-31) | |
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| [G/F] 12/31/2012 - Sanjay Lumpkin expected to redshirt ( Wrist ) | | [G/F] 12/14/2012 - Drew Crawford out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [G] 10/26/2012 - JerShon Cobb out for season ( Academics ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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