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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-6 | 46-36 | 223-226 | 2-4 | 36-33 | 150-159 | 14-2 | 59-30 | 294-203 | | in all lined games | 8-6 | 46-36 | 223-226 | 2-4 | 36-33 | 150-159 | 12-2 | 52-30 | 259-199 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-0 | 16-9 | 42-43 | 0-1 | 14-11 | 41-45 | 1-0 | 17-8 | 45-43 | | as a favorite | 6-5 | 20-21 | 124-128 | 1-2 | 19-11 | 74-79 | 10-1 | 33-8 | 193-65 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 1-0 | 11-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7-5 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 12-9 | | in road games | 2-1 | 18-9 | 89-85 | 2-1 | 12-14 | 57-63 | 2-1 | 12-15 | 73-107 | | in road lined games | 2-1 | 18-9 | 89-85 | 2-1 | 12-14 | 57-63 | 2-1 | 12-15 | 71-107 | | in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 6-6 | | against conference opponents | 2-1 | 29-15 | 143-147 | 0-2 | 21-21 | 99-113 | 3-0 | 25-19 | 145-151 | | in January games | 2-1 | 11-7 | 54-69 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 33-47 | 3-0 | 11-7 | 60-67 | | after a conference game | 1-2 | 27-17 | 134-149 | 0-1 | 20-20 | 95-115 | 3-0 | 27-17 | 146-149 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-1 | 14-10 | 65-74 | 0-1 | 12-10 | 49-53 | 2-0 | 13-11 | 74-69 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-1 | 9-6 | 52-43 | 1-0 | 9-4 | 27-29 | 3-1 | 17-3 | 88-28 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 5-3 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 42-17 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 4-2 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 20-6 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-1 | 7-5 | 21-19 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 14-20 | 4-1 | 14-3 | 40-10 |
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| in all games | 6-9 | 30-46 | 224-229 | 7-3 | 30-40 | 147-160 | 7-10 | 32-51 | 257-230 | | in all lined games | 6-9 | 30-46 | 224-229 | 7-3 | 30-40 | 147-160 | 6-10 | 29-51 | 235-227 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 50-30 | 1-0 | 6-8 | 40-39 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 50-32 | | as an underdog | 3-4 | 15-24 | 112-96 | 5-1 | 17-21 | 74-80 | 2-6 | 7-33 | 63-147 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 2-0 | 3-3 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 11-12 | | in all home games | 3-5 | 12-24 | 96-116 | 3-0 | 12-18 | 70-66 | 5-4 | 21-21 | 156-83 | | in home lined games | 3-5 | 12-24 | 96-116 | 3-0 | 12-18 | 70-66 | 4-4 | 18-21 | 138-81 | | in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 16-4 | | against conference opponents | 3-1 | 15-26 | 147-141 | 2-1 | 18-24 | 109-102 | 2-2 | 14-29 | 134-159 | | in January games | 3-1 | 7-11 | 64-58 | 2-1 | 12-5 | 47-33 | 2-2 | 6-12 | 59-64 | | after a conference game | 2-1 | 13-26 | 142-143 | 1-1 | 17-23 | 107-101 | 2-2 | 15-28 | 134-158 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 5-8 | 64-64 | 1-0 | 5-8 | 49-51 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 64-66 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 0-3 | 9-24 | 61-68 | 2-0 | 13-18 | 52-56 | 0-3 | 8-26 | 70-70 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-7 | 23-29 | 157-149 | 6-3 | 20-29 | 111-114 | 5-8 | 19-36 | 146-176 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 9-13 | 93-85 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 80-60 | 1-0 | 7-15 | 77-103 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 4-6 | 28-32 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 22-26 | 1-0 | 3-7 | 21-39 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-7 | 14-19 | 59-69 | 5-2 | 12-19 | 40-56 | 4-7 | 11-24 | 51-82 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-2 | +5.8 | 8-6 | 2-4 | 76.4 | 38.7 | 46.4% | 39.7 | 61.4 | 28.7 | 39.3% | 30.6 | | Road Games | 2-2 | +1.8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 78.0 | 31.7 | 40.8% | 44.2 | 78.2 | 36.5 | 40.8% | 40.0 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 72.8 | 35.4 | 45.6% | 38.4 | 58.0 | 27.2 | 36.9% | 32.2 | | Conference Games | 3-0 | +3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 72.3 | 33.7 | 45.9% | 34.0 | 65.7 | 30.7 | 44.2% | 30.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.4 | 38.7 | 27-59 | 46.4% | 6-17 | 33.7% | 16-22 | 74.6% | 40 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.9 | 31 | 24-55 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 67.8% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 78.0 | 31.7 | 27-65 | 40.8% | 5-20 | 23.7% | 20-27 | 73.1% | 44 | 16 | 12 | 23 | 10 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.4 | 28.7 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 6-18 | 31.4% | 11-17 | 66.5% | 31 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.4 | 31 | 23-55 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 14-20 | 67.3% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 78.2 | 36.5 | 25-62 | 40.8% | 7-21 | 32.6% | 20-27 | 74.3% | 40 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
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| All Games | 7-10 | -9 | 6-9 | 7-3 | 63.8 | 29.1 | 42.5% | 34.9 | 64.1 | 32.9 | 40.9% | 33.8 | | Home Games | 5-4 | -4.8 | 3-5 | 3-0 | 65.3 | 30.1 | 42.8% | 37.8 | 60.3 | 30.0 | 36.6% | 33.8 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1.6 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 66.8 | 29.4 | 43.4% | 36.6 | 65.4 | 31.6 | 40.4% | 34.0 | | Conference Games | 2-2 | +0.7 | 3-1 | 2-1 | 67.7 | 30.0 | 45.4% | 35.7 | 66.5 | 34.5 | 41.9% | 32.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.8 | 29.1 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 5-14 | 33.3% | 12-18 | 66.8% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.4 | 29.6 | 23-57 | 40.2% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-18 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 65.3 | 30.1 | 24-57 | 42.8% | 5-15 | 32.1% | 12-19 | 63.5% | 38 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 5 | 13 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.1 | 32.9 | 22-53 | 40.9% | 6-17 | 36.9% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 34 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 32.1 | 24-55 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 14-21 | 68.4% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.3 | 30.0 | 20-53 | 36.6% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 15-22 | 69.0% | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON 70.6, USC 75.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| OREGON is 16-15 against the spread versus USC since 1997 | | OREGON is 19-13 straight up against USC since 1997 | | 16 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| OREGON is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons | | OREGON is 3-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| OREGON is 10-3 against the spread versus USC since 1997 | | OREGON is 8-6 straight up against USC since 1997 | | 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons | | OREGON is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/19/2012 | USC | 62 | 113 | ATS | 28 | 25-61 | 41.0% | 2-13 | 15.4% | 10-12 | 83.3% | 27 | 10 | 9 | | | OREGON | 65 | -6.5 | SU Over | 30 | 20-44 | 45.5% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 19-24 | 79.2% | 34 | 11 | 19 | 2/12/2011 | OREGON | 61 | 127.5 | SU ATS | 25 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 6-8 | 75.0% | 34 | 9 | 13 | | | USC | 51 | -8.5 | Under | 19 | 21-57 | 36.8% | 3-19 | 15.8% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 32 | 11 | 12 | 1/13/2011 | USC | 62 | -6 | Over | 26 | 22-53 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 12-14 | 85.7% | 31 | 11 | 14 | | | OREGON | 68 | 126.5 | SU ATS | 32 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 11 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (178-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (166-197) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-38) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (130-138) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (144-121) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 53.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-30) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 01/16/2013 - Ari Stewart is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Oregon ( Disciplinary ) |
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