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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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in all games | 6-10 | 39-42 | 254-230 | 7-8 | 35-45 | 179-218 | 16-3 | 63-27 | 393-145 | in all lined games | 6-10 | 39-42 | 254-230 | 7-8 | 35-45 | 179-218 | 13-3 | 55-27 | 347-145 | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-5 | 11-16 | 46-46 | 4-3 | 12-15 | 35-58 | 6-1 | 19-8 | 61-33 | as an underdog | 1-2 | 11-7 | 58-51 | 2-1 | 8-9 | 39-58 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 41-68 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-14 | in road games | 1-4 | 11-15 | 76-81 | 2-3 | 9-16 | 54-77 | 3-2 | 13-14 | 87-78 | in road lined games | 1-4 | 11-15 | 76-81 | 2-3 | 9-16 | 54-77 | 3-2 | 12-14 | 81-78 | in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 0-3 | 3-7 | 13-21 | 2-1 | 5-5 | 14-20 | 2-1 | 6-4 | 16-19 | against conference opponents | 3-3 | 25-22 | 149-132 | 4-2 | 21-27 | 102-132 | 5-1 | 32-16 | 202-85 | in January games | 3-2 | 8-12 | 58-61 | 3-2 | 10-10 | 43-49 | 5-0 | 13-7 | 88-34 | on Tuesday nights | 1-2 | 6-10 | 30-44 | 2-1 | 7-9 | 29-41 | 3-0 | 8-8 | 48-32 | after a conference game | 3-2 | 24-22 | 151-128 | 3-2 | 21-26 | 104-132 | 5-0 | 31-16 | 204-82 | off a win against a conference rival | 2-2 | 18-13 | 111-86 | 2-2 | 10-21 | 71-93 | 4-0 | 21-10 | 144-56 | after allowing 60 points or less | 1-9 | 18-17 | 104-110 | 5-4 | 14-20 | 85-89 | 8-2 | 26-10 | 167-65 | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-0 | 7-6 | 36-38 | 0-0 | 10-3 | 36-28 | 1-0 | 8-6 | 55-27 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-7 | 31-34 | 192-182 | 6-5 | 31-34 | 149-173 | 9-2 | 43-24 | 253-135 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 17-20 | 120-102 | 1-2 | 18-20 | 96-107 | 3-0 | 23-15 | 150-78 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 12-13 | 74-71 | 1-2 | 11-14 | 56-75 | 3-0 | 14-11 | 97-51 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-5 | 19-20 | 106-115 | 4-4 | 17-22 | 83-107 | 7-1 | 24-15 | 142-85 |
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in all games | 6-10 | 42-37 | 252-218 | 5-7 | 38-35 | 147-183 | 13-5 | 64-24 | 355-160 | in all lined games | 6-10 | 42-37 | 252-218 | 5-7 | 38-35 | 147-183 | 11-5 | 55-24 | 322-158 | when the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-6 | 22-19 | 85-79 | 5-3 | 24-15 | 75-88 | 5-3 | 29-12 | 115-51 | as a favorite | 5-8 | 32-29 | 181-152 | 3-6 | 25-30 | 102-137 | 10-3 | 49-12 | 274-63 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 2-0 | 22-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 26-2 | in all home games | 5-4 | 21-15 | 122-93 | 2-4 | 15-16 | 66-76 | 10-1 | 40-5 | 219-31 | in home lined games | 5-4 | 21-15 | 122-93 | 2-4 | 15-16 | 66-76 | 8-1 | 31-5 | 190-30 | in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 | 2-3 | 13-8 | 39-34 | 2-3 | 10-9 | 32-40 | 5-0 | 19-2 | 65-9 | against conference opponents | 2-3 | 20-24 | 146-132 | 1-4 | 25-19 | 88-115 | 4-1 | 30-14 | 181-104 | in January games | 2-3 | 9-11 | 61-60 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 35-44 | 4-1 | 14-6 | 79-45 | on Tuesday nights | 2-0 | 6-4 | 21-28 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 18-22 | 3-0 | 11-2 | 37-21 | after a conference game | 2-2 | 20-23 | 141-134 | 1-3 | 26-17 | 91-113 | 3-1 | 29-14 | 180-104 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 8-5 | 50-45 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 32-31 | 0-0 | 10-3 | 61-40 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-8 | 32-30 | 179-167 | 4-6 | 34-27 | 116-144 | 6-5 | 41-23 | 226-139 | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 20-17 | 98-97 | 1-2 | 23-14 | 72-89 | 2-1 | 24-13 | 116-88 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 9-12 | 53-67 | 1-1 | 13-8 | 45-59 | 1-1 | 11-10 | 64-59 | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-5 | 15-19 | 100-103 | 3-4 | 17-17 | 68-91 | 3-4 | 19-15 | 123-86 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 16-3 | +1.8 | 6-10 | 7-8 | 70.3 | 33.2 | 46.8% | 38.8 | 58.4 | 27.7 | 38.3% | 30.8 | Road Games | 4-3 | -1.2 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 65.4 | 31.6 | 44.0% | 35.7 | 65.3 | 31.9 | 46.4% | 31.6 | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 70.4 | 30.2 | 44.5% | 36.6 | 60.8 | 28.2 | 42.3% | 31.2 | Conference Games | 5-1 | +3 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 69.2 | 31.5 | 44.5% | 35.8 | 63.3 | 30.0 | 44.7% | 32.5 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 70.3 | 33.2 | 25-54 | 46.8% | 5-14 | 33.1% | 15-21 | 71.1% | 39 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 66.1 | 29.6 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 6-18 | 32.3% | 14-20 | 70.3% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.4 | 31.6 | 25-57 | 44.0% | 5-13 | 36.0% | 11-16 | 64.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.4 | 27.7 | 21-54 | 38.3% | 5-17 | 30.9% | 12-19 | 64.6% | 31 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.2 | 24-57 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 32.6% | 13-20 | 67.8% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.3 | 31.9 | 24-51 | 46.4% | 5-14 | 37.1% | 13-18 | 69.0% | 32 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
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All Games | 13-5 | -2.1 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 70.2 | 33.1 | 44.5% | 36.9 | 55.8 | 25.2 | 40.1% | 31.3 | Home Games | 10-1 | -3.5 | 5-4 | 2-4 | 75.4 | 37.2 | 47.2% | 39.6 | 49.6 | 19.5 | 37.3% | 27.8 | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +4.8 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 62.2 | 27.2 | 42.8% | 35.0 | 54.4 | 24.4 | 39.7% | 33.4 | Conference Games | 4-1 | +4.8 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 62.2 | 27.2 | 42.8% | 35.0 | 54.4 | 24.4 | 39.7% | 33.4 |
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Team Stats (All Games) | 70.2 | 33.1 | 26-58 | 44.5% | 8-22 | 35.1% | 11-17 | 62.4% | 37 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 4 | vs opponents surrendering | 65.2 | 30.1 | 23-56 | 41.8% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 12-18 | 68.9% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | Team Stats (Home Games) | 75.4 | 37.2 | 28-60 | 47.2% | 8-22 | 37.7% | 11-16 | 65.7% | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 5 | Stats Against (All Games) | 55.8 | 25.2 | 21-52 | 40.1% | 4-13 | 30.4% | 10-15 | 70.7% | 31 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 2 | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 32.5 | 24-55 | 44.2% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 14-19 | 70.6% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | Stats Against (Home Games) | 49.6 | 19.5 | 19-51 | 37.3% | 4-13 | 29.5% | 8-11 | 65.9% | 28 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
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Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN ST 72.8, WISCONSIN 73.6 |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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WISCONSIN is 16-16 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | MICHIGAN ST is 19-14 straight up against WISCONSIN since 1997 | 16 of 27 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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MICHIGAN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | MICHIGAN ST is 4-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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WISCONSIN is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | WISCONSIN is 9-4 straight up against MICHIGAN ST since 1997 | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/10/2012 | WISCONSIN | 52 | 118.5 | Under | 25 | 17-49 | 34.7% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 11-14 | 78.6% | 29 | 6 | 12 | N | MICHIGAN ST | 65 | -4 | SU ATS | 35 | 21-42 | 50.0% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 17-23 | 73.9% | 29 | 6 | 12 | 2/16/2012 | WISCONSIN | 55 | 116.5 | Over | 19 | 18-53 | 34.0% | 5-24 | 20.8% | 14-14 | 100.0% | 33 | 12 | 10 | | MICHIGAN ST | 69 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 31 | 24-46 | 52.2% | 2-9 | 22.2% | 19-25 | 76.0% | 30 | 6 | 10 | 1/3/2012 | MICHIGAN ST | 63 | 117 | SU ATS | 21 | 24-60 | 40.0% | 2-5 | 40.0% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 41 | 12 | 9 | | WISCONSIN | 60 | -6.5 | Over | 22 | 18-54 | 33.3% | 5-22 | 22.7% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 33 | 9 | 8 | 2/6/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 56 | 123 | Over | 25 | 20-46 | 43.5% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 13-16 | 81.2% | 18 | 6 | 7 | | WISCONSIN | 82 | -9 | SU ATS | 43 | 23-39 | 59.0% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 25-26 | 96.2% | 24 | 3 | 8 | 1/11/2011 | WISCONSIN | 61 | 121.5 | ATS | 23 | 21-55 | 38.2% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 11-12 | 91.7% | 30 | 8 | 11 | | MICHIGAN ST | 64 | -4.5 | SU Over | 20 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 17-25 | 68.0% | 39 | 11 | 11 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (182-211) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-37) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (194-189) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in WISCONSIN games 55.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-29) | |
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The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1997. (191-159) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 53.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-35) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (138-151) | The betting public is correct when moving the total in WISCONSIN games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-35) | |
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[F] 01/19/2013 - Alex Gauna "?" Tuesday vs. Wisconsin ( Flu ) | [G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal ) | [F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder ) | |
[F] 01/21/2013 - Frank Kaminsky expected to miss Tuesday vs. Michigan State ( Eye ) | [G] 01/21/2013 - George Marshall "?" Tuesday vs. Michigan State ( Illness ) | [F] 12/08/2012 - Duje Dukan redshirt ( None ) | [G] 10/28/2012 - Josh Gasser out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
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