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Matchup Reports

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MICHIGAN (18-1) AT ILLINOIS (15-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
835: MICHIGAN
836: ILLINOIS
140.5
+7.0
78.7 / 59.2
72.8 / 65.6
18-1
15-5
11-6
7-10
10-8
7-8
50.9
43.1
71.3
71.3
41.1
33.6
40.6
41.5
63.2
68.2
31.7
34.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MICHIGAN-7 
ILLINOIS  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-650-28222-21610-842-35151-16618-163-25279-222
in all lined games11-650-28222-21610-842-35151-16617-154-25227-218
when the total is 140 to 149.51-11-116-241-11-118-242-02-015-27
as a favorite10-526-17109-1009-725-1770-7316-039-5160-54
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-01-30-00-03-00-00-02-2
in road games2-215-1073-883-114-1153-603-113-1253-114
in road lined games2-215-1073-883-114-1153-603-113-1251-113
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.50-00-05-50-00-05-50-00-02-8
against conference opponents3-229-16146-1323-324-2295-1135-129-17129-153
in January games3-212-1172-553-311-1339-535-113-1165-65
after a conference game2-227-17143-1282-320-2588-1184-128-18133-148
off a win against a conference rival1-214-1362-631-311-1739-563-115-1357-71
after allowing 60 points or less5-318-1171-645-315-1354-587-123-994-61
when playing against a team with a winning record10-542-23174-1509-734-30122-12615-143-24165-179
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-222-13102-881-316-2071-883-120-1680-116

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-1034-45237-2337-840-36171-19715-551-35362-169
in all lined games7-1034-45237-2337-840-36171-19712-546-35315-168
when the total is 140 to 149.52-27-841-393-18-734-482-28-759-24
as an underdog3-311-1363-684-219-758-503-38-1837-97
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-01-02-00-01-01-00-01-01-1
in all home games2-518-20102-962-416-1865-768-235-8206-41
in home lined games2-518-20102-962-416-1865-765-230-8161-41
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.51-13-212-71-13-211-81-14-116-3
against conference opponents2-417-25143-1381-523-21102-1242-417-27176-116
in January games2-48-1256-651-58-1241-502-49-1169-57
after a conference game2-316-24141-1381-422-2099-1273-317-26176-115
off a win against a conference rival0-15-1080-871-011-558-810-14-12109-66
after allowing 60 points or less0-38-1285-1032-114-778-812-212-11140-74
when playing against a team with a winning record7-727-31188-1776-732-27139-15412-434-28231-153
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-310-18107-1011-315-1576-1011-39-21117-98
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-36-1465-681-314-757-651-36-1573-65
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-915-24102-1125-725-1493-958-520-20127-96
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-01-219-150-02-110-160-01-217-17
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game2-17-756-502-17-739-472-19-667-46
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games18-1+6.211-610-878.737.850.9%37.159.228.040.6%28.8
Road Games6-1+5.25-25-274.734.951.1%34.164.030.443.4%28.1
Last 5 Games4-1+0.22-22-372.232.248.3%35.659.630.441.6%29.6
Conference Games5-1+1.23-23-375.835.350.3%36.560.730.341.4%28.8
MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)78.737.829-5750.9%8-2141.1%12-1771.3%37916126103
vs opponents surrendering66.130.324-5542.8%6-1834.3%12-1867.9%35913176143
Team Stats (Road Games)74.734.927-5251.1%7-1839.4%14-2071.1%34813167123
Stats Against (All Games)59.228.023-5640.6%6-2031.7%7-1263.2%29812155123
vs opponents averaging67.731.924-5643.0%6-1833.1%13-2067.7%351014177134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.030.423-5443.4%7-1935.1%11-1665.8%28814177123

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-5+1.57-107-872.734.843.1%35.365.630.341.5%34.8
Home Games8-2-4.22-52-469.932.542.5%36.962.127.441.3%31.2
Last 5 Games2-3-5.22-31-463.428.440.6%33.466.431.442.7%32.4
Conference Games2-4-6.72-41-563.029.239.7%33.766.731.342.4%34.5
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.734.825-5943.1%8-2533.6%14-1971.3%351111188125
vs opponents surrendering65.830.223-5542.0%6-1833.4%13-1967.7%34912187144
Team Stats (Home Games)69.932.525-5942.5%8-2432.1%12-1866.1%371211168135
Stats Against (All Games)65.630.323-5541.5%7-2034.4%13-1968.2%351012175152
vs opponents averaging69.532.425-5743.7%7-1934.4%13-1968.6%361014187133
Stats Against (Home Games)62.127.421-5241.3%7-2035.9%12-1770.2%31712176162
Average power rating of opponents played: MICHIGAN 73,  ILLINOIS 72.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN is 14-12 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 19-8 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1997
ILLINOIS is 8-4 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997
ILLINOIS is 11-1 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/1/2012MICHIGAN72120SU ATS3521-4546.7%9-1947.4%21-2391.3%31513
 ILLINOIS61-2.5 Over2721-5438.9%4-1428.6%15-2171.4%2768
2/12/2012ILLINOIS61119 Over3121-5438.9%8-2334.8%11-1764.7%331213
 MICHIGAN70-5SU ATS3723-4650.0%7-1643.7%17-2277.3%2749
3/11/2011ILLINOIS55-3 Under3422-5242.3%9-2634.6%2-366.7%31612
NMICHIGAN60125.5SU ATS2320-4841.7%11-2445.8%9-1181.8%30610
2/16/2011MICHIGAN52131.5 ATS2222-5937.3%2-1811.1%6-1060.0%3275
 ILLINOIS54-9.5SU Under3223-5244.2%4-1822.2%4-944.4%38712
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.6% of the time since 1997. (168-171)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (201-183)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-28)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.3% of the time since 1997. (121-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (152-156)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MICHIGAN
[G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle )
ILLINOIS
[G] 01/26/2013 - Tracy Abrams injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Michigan ( Leg )
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