|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 9-10 | 47-40 | 224-230 | 3-6 | 37-35 | 151-161 | 18-3 | 63-31 | 298-204 | | in all lined games | 9-10 | 47-40 | 224-230 | 3-6 | 37-35 | 151-161 | 16-3 | 56-31 | 263-200 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-1 | 16-10 | 42-44 | 1-1 | 15-11 | 42-45 | 2-0 | 18-8 | 46-43 | | as an underdog | 2-2 | 26-16 | 97-95 | 1-3 | 17-23 | 74-80 | 2-2 | 19-23 | 64-131 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 2-2 | 16-13 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 16-14 | | in road games | 3-3 | 19-11 | 90-87 | 3-3 | 13-16 | 58-65 | 4-2 | 14-16 | 75-108 | | in road lined games | 3-3 | 19-11 | 90-87 | 3-3 | 13-16 | 58-65 | 4-2 | 14-16 | 73-108 | | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6-18 | | against conference opponents | 3-5 | 30-19 | 144-151 | 1-4 | 22-23 | 100-115 | 7-1 | 29-20 | 149-152 | | in February games | 0-0 | 11-3 | 54-52 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 32-46 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 50-58 | | on Saturday games | 3-3 | 15-12 | 97-85 | 0-3 | 12-11 | 63-60 | 7-1 | 18-12 | 114-82 | | after a conference game | 2-6 | 28-21 | 135-153 | 1-3 | 21-22 | 96-117 | 7-1 | 31-18 | 150-150 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-0 | 13-5 | 68-72 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 45-62 | 0-0 | 12-6 | 65-80 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-1 | 8-5 | 27-44 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 26-31 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 32-44 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-0 | 4-3 | 30-29 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 22-24 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 35-31 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-7 | 35-27 | 143-166 | 1-6 | 23-29 | 106-122 | 13-2 | 37-25 | 155-168 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-4 | 22-15 | 83-95 | 0-2 | 15-17 | 69-81 | 4-1 | 23-14 | 77-105 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 6-12 | 39-42 | 232-223 | 5-7 | 41-32 | 174-141 | 12-8 | 54-33 | 296-200 | | in all lined games | 6-12 | 39-42 | 232-223 | 5-7 | 41-32 | 174-141 | 10-8 | 49-33 | 267-200 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 1-2 | 13-16 | 62-58 | 2-1 | 15-14 | 64-55 | 1-2 | 13-16 | 66-55 | | as a favorite | 5-7 | 25-25 | 139-120 | 2-5 | 18-25 | 84-82 | 9-3 | 39-11 | 207-61 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 2-3 | 14-15 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 18-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 17-13 | | in all home games | 1-7 | 18-22 | 111-114 | 1-3 | 18-17 | 83-66 | 6-4 | 35-11 | 195-67 | | in home lined games | 1-7 | 18-22 | 111-114 | 1-3 | 18-17 | 83-66 | 4-4 | 30-11 | 166-67 | | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15-16 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 21-11 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 21-11 | | against conference opponents | 3-5 | 24-22 | 152-140 | 2-5 | 26-19 | 124-88 | 4-4 | 28-19 | 160-140 | | in February games | 0-0 | 8-7 | 55-50 | 0-0 | 11-5 | 48-32 | 0-0 | 10-6 | 64-47 | | on Saturday games | 2-3 | 15-6 | 92-87 | 1-2 | 13-6 | 69-50 | 3-3 | 17-6 | 103-83 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-1 | 14-8 | 85-74 | 2-1 | 13-8 | 63-49 | 4-0 | 16-8 | 105-68 | | after a conference game | 3-4 | 24-21 | 150-141 | 2-4 | 27-17 | 125-90 | 4-3 | 28-18 | 162-137 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-3 | 11-15 | 77-78 | 1-2 | 15-12 | 72-47 | 0-3 | 16-11 | 83-74 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-9 | 28-31 | 165-157 | 4-6 | 34-23 | 136-104 | 4-8 | 29-32 | 161-171 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-3 | 14-16 | 84-91 | 1-3 | 19-12 | 93-57 | 2-2 | 16-15 | 80-100 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-0 | 8-7 | 23-44 | 0-1 | 8-6 | 39-24 | 2-0 | 8-7 | 24-44 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-4 | 16-20 | 60-77 | 4-2 | 21-11 | 62-49 | 5-4 | 21-17 | 67-76 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 18-3 | +9.5 | 9-10 | 3-6 | 75.0 | 37.1 | 45.9% | 38.8 | 63.6 | 30.4 | 40.9% | 30.6 | | Road Games | 4-3 | +3.5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 73.7 | 31.6 | 41.0% | 41.3 | 75.7 | 36.0 | 43.6% | 36.6 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3.7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 70.6 | 32.0 | 44.4% | 35.8 | 70.8 | 35.6 | 46.1% | 30.6 | | Conference Games | 7-1 | +6.7 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 71.2 | 32.6 | 44.9% | 35.1 | 68.9 | 33.7 | 45.4% | 30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.0 | 37.1 | 27-58 | 45.9% | 5-16 | 33.6% | 16-22 | 73.1% | 39 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.9 | 30.9 | 24-55 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.7 | 31.6 | 26-62 | 41.0% | 5-18 | 28.1% | 17-25 | 70.5% | 41 | 14 | 12 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.6 | 30.4 | 23-56 | 40.9% | 6-17 | 33.6% | 12-18 | 66.1% | 31 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67 | 31.2 | 24-55 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 14-20 | 68.0% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 75.7 | 36.0 | 26-59 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 35.7% | 18-25 | 71.0% | 37 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 12-8 | -7.2 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 68.6 | 31.7 | 44.5% | 37.8 | 65.8 | 32.1 | 40.3% | 34.7 | | Home Games | 6-4 | -9.2 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 69.6 | 33.5 | 45.5% | 38.9 | 64.0 | 32.4 | 38.2% | 36.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +1 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 66.0 | 28.2 | 42.6% | 32.0 | 65.8 | 32.2 | 43.1% | 36.0 | | Conference Games | 4-4 | -1.5 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 64.2 | 27.6 | 42.1% | 34.1 | 66.7 | 32.7 | 42.0% | 37.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.6 | 31.7 | 25-57 | 44.5% | 4-12 | 31.6% | 14-19 | 70.8% | 38 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.6 | 30.1 | 23-55 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 69.6 | 33.5 | 26-58 | 45.5% | 4-13 | 33.6% | 12-19 | 66.7% | 39 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 6 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.8 | 32.1 | 24-60 | 40.3% | 6-17 | 33.1% | 12-17 | 68.6% | 35 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.8 | 32.7 | 25-55 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 35.6% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.0 | 32.4 | 24-63 | 38.2% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 10-14 | 66.9% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: OREGON 72.4, CALIFORNIA 73.6 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| CALIFORNIA is 19-14 against the spread versus OREGON since 1997 | | CALIFORNIA is 22-13 straight up against OREGON since 1997 | | 16 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| CALIFORNIA is 2-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons | | CALIFORNIA is 4-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| CALIFORNIA is 7-7 against the spread versus OREGON since 1997 | | CALIFORNIA is 12-3 straight up against OREGON since 1997 | | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons | | CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/16/2012 | OREGON | 83 | 140 | ATS | 40 | 33-61 | 54.1% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 11-11 | 100.0% | 28 | 11 | 22 | | | CALIFORNIA | 86 | -10.5 | SU Over | 37 | 34-61 | 55.7% | 2-10 | 20.0% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 26 | 10 | 15 | 1/8/2012 | CALIFORNIA | 77 | -3 | SU ATS | 30 | 32-65 | 49.2% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 40 | 14 | 10 | | | OREGON | 60 | 137.5 | Under | 27 | 23-60 | 38.3% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 9-15 | 60.0% | 33 | 13 | 14 | 2/24/2011 | CALIFORNIA | 81 | 140.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 28-51 | 54.9% | 10-20 | 50.0% | 15-19 | 78.9% | 29 | 6 | 12 | | | OREGON | 71 | -3.5 | Over | 45 | 30-59 | 50.8% | 7-24 | 29.2% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 26 | 5 | 12 | 1/29/2011 | OREGON | 77 | 138.5 | ATS | 35 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 8-26 | 30.8% | 17-26 | 65.4% | 29 | 11 | 12 | | | CALIFORNIA | 85 | -8.5 | SU Over | 47 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 30-41 | 73.2% | 36 | 14 | 15 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 49% of the time since 1997. (179-186) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OREGON games 55.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 46.1% of the time since 1997. (167-195) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 51.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-31) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (131-139) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in OREGON games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 49.2% of the time since 1997. (130-134) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-33) | |
|
|
|
|
| [F] 02/01/2013 - Arsalan Kazemi probable Saturday vs. California ( Head ) | | [G] 01/29/2013 - Dominic Artis out indefinitely ( Foot ) | |
| [G] 02/01/2013 - Jeff Powers is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Oregon ( Knee ) | | [G] 01/18/2013 - Ricky Kreklow out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [F] 01/03/2013 - Christian Behrens out for season ( Knee ) |
|
|