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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| S ILLINOIS | | | | ILLINOIS ST | -15 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 8-10 | 29-47 | 227-240 | 0-2 | 29-32 | 120-141 | 8-13 | 29-55 | 295-204 | | in all lined games | 8-10 | 29-47 | 227-240 | 0-2 | 29-32 | 120-141 | 5-13 | 23-54 | 275-199 | | as an underdog | 5-5 | 19-32 | 92-91 | 0-2 | 21-23 | 54-57 | 1-9 | 9-43 | 59-126 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 1-9 | | in road games | 6-4 | 11-22 | 100-98 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 52-52 | 3-8 | 8-28 | 94-115 | | in road lined games | 6-4 | 11-22 | 100-98 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 52-52 | 2-8 | 6-28 | 89-112 | | against conference opponents | 3-7 | 17-31 | 145-155 | 0-2 | 21-20 | 80-84 | 1-9 | 12-37 | 179-129 | | in February games | 0-0 | 3-12 | 53-70 | 0-0 | 9-6 | 39-28 | 0-0 | 3-12 | 76-48 | | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 8-15 | 78-92 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 45-42 | 3-3 | 9-17 | 110-70 | | after a conference game | 3-6 | 17-29 | 143-152 | 0-2 | 20-20 | 78-88 | 2-8 | 14-35 | 177-130 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 3-3 | 7-10 | 24-23 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 11-17 | 0-6 | 3-14 | 15-32 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-6 | 11-23 | 58-60 | 0-2 | 14-14 | 40-35 | 1-7 | 11-23 | 65-56 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-7 | 16-18 | 64-59 | 0-1 | 9-17 | 48-45 | 2-7 | 14-22 | 74-53 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-2 | 7-10 | 30-26 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 13-22 | 0-3 | 6-11 | 38-20 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 2-3 | 5-10 | 14-12 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 9-9 | 1-4 | 5-11 | 16-13 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-6 | 16-30 | 137-143 | 0-1 | 21-17 | 82-94 | 2-8 | 10-37 | 150-140 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-2 | 7-20 | 78-83 | 0-1 | 14-11 | 52-58 | 1-3 | 5-23 | 84-81 |
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| in all games | 8-11 | 34-44 | 201-221 | 2-1 | 29-32 | 112-119 | 12-10 | 46-42 | 265-225 | | in all lined games | 8-11 | 34-44 | 201-221 | 2-1 | 29-32 | 112-119 | 9-10 | 38-42 | 219-220 | | as a favorite | 5-9 | 15-26 | 97-116 | 1-1 | 7-22 | 49-69 | 7-7 | 28-14 | 162-59 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-1 | 2-3 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9-8 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 26-5 | | in all home games | 3-6 | 14-25 | 89-109 | 0-0 | 7-22 | 45-64 | 8-4 | 32-15 | 171-68 | | in home lined games | 3-6 | 14-25 | 89-109 | 0-0 | 7-22 | 45-64 | 5-4 | 24-15 | 136-66 | | against conference opponents | 1-9 | 18-31 | 139-159 | 0-1 | 21-19 | 79-81 | 3-7 | 18-32 | 145-164 | | in February games | 0-0 | 4-11 | 58-61 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 30-34 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 60-63 | | on Saturday games | 3-4 | 9-15 | 82-75 | 1-0 | 9-10 | 45-41 | 3-4 | 13-13 | 96-83 | | after a conference game | 1-8 | 19-29 | 140-152 | 0-1 | 22-17 | 75-82 | 3-6 | 18-31 | 151-157 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-5 | 11-19 | 69-81 | 0-1 | 13-11 | 43-41 | 1-5 | 9-21 | 70-84 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-1 | 5-5 | 16-22 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 7-4 | 22-22 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-3 | 4-8 | 24-28 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 29-34 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 3-2 | 9-13 | 55-75 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 31-32 | 4-2 | 19-7 | 109-48 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 1-2 | 3-7 | 34-44 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 13-18 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 50-30 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 8-13 | -9.8 | 8-10 | 0-2 | 64.8 | 30.2 | 44.9% | 30.3 | 66.2 | 32.1 | 47.0% | 31.6 | | Road Games | 4-9 | -6.8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 63.8 | 31.5 | 44.6% | 30.2 | 66.5 | 32.1 | 46.7% | 31.1 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -5.8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 54.8 | 26.2 | 42.6% | 25.2 | 67.8 | 37.2 | 50.0% | 33.6 | | Conference Games | 1-9 | -9.1 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 61.3 | 29.1 | 44.1% | 26.2 | 71.3 | 35.1 | 50.6% | 33.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.8 | 30.2 | 24-54 | 44.9% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 12-18 | 65.1% | 30 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.4 | 30.9 | 24-55 | 44.0% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 63.8 | 31.5 | 24-54 | 44.6% | 4-14 | 31.8% | 11-16 | 70.0% | 30 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.2 | 32.1 | 23-48 | 47.0% | 7-17 | 39.4% | 15-20 | 72.6% | 32 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.4 | 24-54 | 44.6% | 6-17 | 35.2% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 33 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.5 | 32.1 | 22-47 | 46.7% | 6-16 | 38.9% | 16-22 | 74.2% | 31 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
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| All Games | 12-10 | -21.5 | 8-11 | 2-1 | 74.9 | 36.6 | 46.3% | 35.5 | 68.8 | 30.2 | 43.3% | 35.0 | | Home Games | 8-4 | -14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 78.0 | 39.9 | 48.6% | 35.7 | 66.5 | 29.7 | 42.9% | 32.5 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 67.2 | 32.6 | 40.0% | 36.4 | 66.6 | 25.6 | 43.0% | 37.6 | | Conference Games | 3-7 | -20.4 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 67.5 | 31.9 | 40.9% | 34.9 | 70.3 | 29.9 | 45.3% | 36.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 74.9 | 36.6 | 27-59 | 46.3% | 7-21 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.1% | 35 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.7 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 78.0 | 39.9 | 29-60 | 48.6% | 7-20 | 34.0% | 12-18 | 67.0% | 36 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.8 | 30.2 | 24-56 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 34.0% | 14-19 | 70.7% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.7 | 31.1 | 24-54 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.5 | 29.7 | 23-54 | 42.9% | 7-20 | 35.5% | 13-18 | 73.5% | 32 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: S ILLINOIS 67.8, ILLINOIS ST 72.2 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 20-13 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | S ILLINOIS is 20-14 straight up against ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | 11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS ST is 3-3 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| S ILLINOIS is 8-7 against the spread versus ILLINOIS ST since 1997 | | ILLINOIS ST is 8-7 straight up against S ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ILLINOIS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | ILLINOIS ST is 2-0 straight up against S ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/20/2013 | ILLINOIS ST | 70 | -3 | SU ATS | 47 | 27-60 | 45.0% | 9-24 | 37.5% | 7-9 | 77.8% | 41 | 13 | 16 | | | S ILLINOIS | 56 | 142.5 | Under | 21 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 31 | 11 | 13 | 1/28/2012 | S ILLINOIS | 40 | 136.5 | Under | 17 | 15-50 | 30.0% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 6-14 | 42.9% | 29 | 5 | 11 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 60 | -8.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 20-45 | 44.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 40 | 6 | 12 | 1/1/2012 | ILLINOIS ST | 71 | -4 | Over | 32 | 24-53 | 45.3% | 10-23 | 43.5% | 13-16 | 81.2% | 26 | 5 | 11 | | | S ILLINOIS | 86 | 125.5 | SU ATS | 40 | 31-61 | 50.8% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 16-25 | 64.0% | 40 | 15 | 8 | 3/3/2011 | ILLINOIS ST | 54 | -1 | Under | 21 | 23-48 | 47.9% | 5-10 | 50.0% | 3-7 | 42.9% | 35 | 6 | 15 | | N | S ILLINOIS | 57 | 117 | SU ATS | 26 | 22-56 | 39.3% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 8-10 | 80.0% | 28 | 5 | 4 | 1/23/2011 | S ILLINOIS | 55 | 121 | Under | 29 | 20-43 | 46.5% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 10-16 | 62.5% | 26 | 3 | 15 | | | ILLINOIS ST | 59 | -1 | SU ATS | 30 | 18-49 | 36.7% | 5-11 | 45.5% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 34 | 9 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 45.8% of the time since 1997. (175-207) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in S ILLINOIS games 39% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 43.4% of the time since 1997. (141-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS ST games 39.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-39) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 01/01/2013 - Antonio Bryer left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Chase Heins out indefinitely ( Knee ) | | [F] 11/02/2012 - Bola Olaniyan out for season ( Eligibility ) | |
| [G] 02/01/2013 - Tyler Brown injured last game, probable Saturday vs. So Illinois ( Thumb ) | | [G] 12/13/2012 - Geoffrey Allen out indefinitely ( Suspension ) |
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