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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-12 | 47-39 | 228-224 | 5-2 | 34-32 | 147-134 | 14-11 | 56-38 | 326-186 | | in all lined games | 13-12 | 47-39 | 228-224 | 5-2 | 34-32 | 147-134 | 14-11 | 49-37 | 280-184 | | as an underdog | 3-4 | 21-16 | 76-80 | 1-1 | 17-15 | 65-46 | 1-6 | 13-24 | 48-112 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7-15 | | in road games | 3-4 | 16-16 | 84-90 | 1-1 | 14-12 | 58-45 | 1-6 | 10-22 | 73-106 | | in road lined games | 3-4 | 16-16 | 84-90 | 1-1 | 14-12 | 58-45 | 1-6 | 10-22 | 72-106 | | against conference opponents | 5-6 | 26-23 | 136-137 | 3-2 | 19-23 | 91-86 | 4-7 | 24-25 | 162-122 | | in February games | 2-3 | 10-10 | 56-54 | 2-1 | 8-10 | 30-39 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 60-55 | | on Saturday games | 6-6 | 25-11 | 95-72 | 4-1 | 18-11 | 63-40 | 9-3 | 27-11 | 133-60 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 2-2 | 8-3 | 36-24 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 20-13 | 4-0 | 11-0 | 51-16 | | after a conference game | 5-5 | 24-24 | 137-132 | 3-2 | 20-22 | 95-86 | 4-6 | 22-26 | 160-123 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-2 | 12-11 | 76-77 | 1-1 | 9-13 | 54-49 | 1-2 | 10-13 | 84-77 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-4 | 12-14 | 81-70 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 52-50 | 2-4 | 17-12 | 113-66 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-8 | 30-27 | 137-142 | 4-2 | 26-20 | 108-88 | 7-8 | 30-29 | 157-142 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-4 | 15-15 | 77-82 | 3-2 | 13-14 | 69-60 | 2-5 | 11-19 | 73-93 |
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| in all games | 10-15 | 41-41 | 206-226 | 5-5 | 32-31 | 144-128 | 16-9 | 56-36 | 259-232 | | in all lined games | 10-15 | 41-41 | 206-226 | 5-5 | 32-31 | 144-128 | 16-9 | 48-34 | 215-219 | | as a favorite | 6-11 | 23-20 | 98-115 | 2-4 | 15-15 | 65-56 | 14-3 | 35-8 | 151-63 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-2 | 6-3 | 13-22 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 14-21 | | in all home games | 6-5 | 22-15 | 84-103 | 2-3 | 14-14 | 58-59 | 8-3 | 33-12 | 150-75 | | in home lined games | 6-5 | 22-15 | 84-103 | 2-3 | 14-14 | 58-59 | 8-3 | 26-11 | 120-68 | | against conference opponents | 7-5 | 25-23 | 136-137 | 3-2 | 20-19 | 92-81 | 6-6 | 24-24 | 140-136 | | in February games | 3-3 | 9-12 | 53-66 | 3-0 | 9-8 | 39-38 | 2-4 | 7-14 | 57-62 | | on Saturday games | 3-6 | 12-17 | 77-76 | 2-1 | 12-10 | 53-43 | 5-4 | 16-15 | 97-75 | | after a conference game | 6-5 | 26-22 | 135-134 | 3-1 | 20-17 | 92-80 | 6-5 | 25-23 | 141-134 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-3 | 12-10 | 61-63 | 1-0 | 12-4 | 46-31 | 3-2 | 12-10 | 65-60 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-5 | 12-7 | 42-46 | 2-0 | 10-6 | 30-31 | 2-3 | 15-4 | 51-47 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-3 | 9-10 | 43-43 | 2-0 | 10-6 | 33-28 | 3-2 | 16-7 | 54-43 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-3 | 4-4 | 27-33 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 14-19 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 32-34 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 0-0 | 1-3 | 18-22 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 22-23 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-8 | 31-24 | 136-143 | 5-3 | 23-23 | 100-88 | 9-7 | 32-26 | 129-169 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-2 | 19-12 | 78-78 | 3-0 | 15-12 | 61-55 | 3-3 | 16-15 | 60-96 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-11 | -9.6 | 13-12 | 5-2 | 70.8 | 32.7 | 46.0% | 34.8 | 65.3 | 29.3 | 42.9% | 30.4 | | Road Games | 3-7 | -2.8 | 5-5 | 2-1 | 67.6 | 30.3 | 44.7% | 33.5 | 70.8 | 30.7 | 45.2% | 30.1 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.4 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 65.0 | 29.4 | 45.2% | 34.0 | 68.2 | 32.0 | 45.1% | 30.8 | | Conference Games | 4-7 | -6.5 | 5-6 | 3-2 | 69.0 | 31.6 | 46.2% | 34.6 | 67.2 | 31.3 | 45.0% | 29.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.8 | 32.7 | 25-54 | 46.0% | 6-16 | 38.3% | 15-21 | 71.2% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 30.4 | 23-54 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.6 | 30.3 | 24-53 | 44.7% | 6-16 | 38.0% | 14-18 | 76.5% | 33 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.3 | 29.3 | 23-53 | 42.9% | 6-17 | 34.3% | 14-19 | 72.0% | 30 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.8 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.4% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 68.9% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.8 | 30.7 | 25-55 | 45.2% | 6-17 | 34.7% | 15-20 | 75.2% | 30 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 16-9 | +5.2 | 10-15 | 5-5 | 73.7 | 36.3 | 43.1% | 37.5 | 72.0 | 33.3 | 41.6% | 37.2 | | Home Games | 8-3 | +1.5 | 6-5 | 2-3 | 76.8 | 39.2 | 44.5% | 34.9 | 69.5 | 33.4 | 42.7% | 33.3 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.4 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 81.0 | 40.4 | 47.0% | 39.2 | 76.6 | 35.0 | 42.1% | 34.2 | | Conference Games | 6-6 | -0.6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 74.6 | 37.4 | 45.5% | 37.2 | 71.8 | 33.0 | 41.4% | 35.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.7 | 36.3 | 26-60 | 43.1% | 7-22 | 32.4% | 15-21 | 70.7% | 37 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 30.7 | 23-55 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.5% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 76.8 | 39.2 | 26-59 | 44.5% | 7-22 | 34.6% | 17-23 | 74.2% | 35 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 72.0 | 33.3 | 25-60 | 41.6% | 7-20 | 32.9% | 15-21 | 71.5% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.8 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 69.5 | 33.4 | 24-57 | 42.7% | 7-20 | 36.8% | 14-18 | 73.8% | 33 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: DAYTON 73.3, MASSACHUSETTS 73 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MASSACHUSETTS is 8-8 against the spread versus DAYTON since 1997 | | DAYTON is 9-8 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS since 1997 | | 6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| DAYTON is 2-1 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons | | DAYTON is 2-1 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MASSACHUSETTS is 5-4 against the spread versus DAYTON since 1997 | | MASSACHUSETTS is 5-4 straight up against DAYTON since 1997 | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons | | MASSACHUSETTS is 1-1 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/25/2012 | MASSACHUSETTS | 43 | 152.5 | Under | 18 | 13-52 | 25.0% | 4-17 | 23.5% | 13-24 | 54.2% | 37 | 12 | 15 | | | DAYTON | 76 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 28 | 24-57 | 42.1% | 10-29 | 34.5% | 18-25 | 72.0% | 46 | 12 | 12 | 3/8/2011 | DAYTON | 78 | -2 | SU ATS | 37 | 26-49 | 53.1% | 13-23 | 56.5% | 13-18 | 72.2% | 42 | 5 | 19 | | | MASSACHUSETTS | 50 | 128 | | 16 | 18-64 | 28.1% | 6-30 | 20.0% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 34 | 14 | 15 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 54.8% of the time since 1997. (195-161) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DAYTON games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MASSACHUSETTS games 56.8% of the time since 1997. (189-144) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MASSACHUSETTS games 63.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-24) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 02/22/2013 - Khari Price doubtful Saturday vs. Massachusetts ( Thigh ) | | [F] 02/09/2013 - Alex Gavrilovic out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 01/17/2013 - Derrick Gordon out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 01/15/2013 - Jesse Morgan out for season ( Knee ) | | [G/F] 10/31/2012 - Javorn Farrell out for season ( Ankle ) |
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