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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-11 | 40-40 | 219-221 | 10-7 | 42-32 | 177-161 | 19-7 | 58-36 | 303-215 | | in all lined games | 12-11 | 40-40 | 219-221 | 10-7 | 42-32 | 177-161 | 17-7 | 48-36 | 239-215 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 21-20 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 19-22 | 3-0 | 4-1 | 16-25 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 16-21 | 108-106 | 2-2 | 20-15 | 95-79 | 1-4 | 7-30 | 61-156 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 1-1 | 2-2 | 15-19 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 12-12 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 8-26 | | in road games | 2-5 | 12-14 | 77-82 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 63-53 | 2-5 | 8-18 | 52-110 | | in road lined games | 2-5 | 12-14 | 77-82 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 63-53 | 2-5 | 8-18 | 52-110 | | in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-3 | | against conference opponents | 6-7 | 19-27 | 140-138 | 6-3 | 25-19 | 117-100 | 8-5 | 24-25 | 127-159 | | in February games | 1-4 | 7-11 | 55-60 | 3-0 | 12-5 | 47-39 | 3-2 | 10-10 | 55-65 | | on Saturday games | 4-4 | 11-12 | 62-61 | 6-0 | 15-7 | 64-31 | 8-1 | 16-11 | 83-67 | | after a conference game | 6-6 | 19-25 | 141-132 | 5-3 | 23-19 | 114-101 | 7-5 | 23-25 | 135-150 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-2 | 14-9 | 64-59 | 3-2 | 11-9 | 54-43 | 4-3 | 12-11 | 49-77 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 8-6 | 16-10 | 55-59 | 7-5 | 11-11 | 47-39 | 11-4 | 22-7 | 76-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-9 | 30-31 | 178-174 | 9-6 | 32-24 | 146-133 | 14-7 | 32-34 | 176-196 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-5 | 16-19 | 113-111 | 4-3 | 17-16 | 99-93 | 5-5 | 13-24 | 94-134 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 5-7 | 55-56 | 2-0 | 6-5 | 55-42 | 2-1 | 2-10 | 36-77 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-3 | 6-12 | 79-81 | 3-1 | 10-7 | 72-61 | 3-2 | 6-14 | 61-106 |
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| in all games | 14-9 | 50-43 | 268-240 | 10-10 | 43-47 | 221-199 | 18-8 | 79-22 | 408-147 | | in all lined games | 14-9 | 50-43 | 268-240 | 10-10 | 43-47 | 221-199 | 15-8 | 72-22 | 372-144 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 3-2 | 16-15 | 78-69 | 2-3 | 13-18 | 76-71 | 2-3 | 22-9 | 99-50 | | as a favorite | 12-5 | 44-35 | 219-180 | 8-6 | 39-37 | 175-147 | 14-3 | 69-11 | 338-67 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 2-1 | 3-3 | 12-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9-8 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 13-7 | | in all home games | 8-3 | 25-16 | 118-103 | 5-4 | 20-19 | 104-75 | 12-1 | 44-3 | 209-44 | | in home lined games | 8-3 | 25-16 | 118-103 | 5-4 | 20-19 | 104-75 | 10-1 | 38-3 | 181-42 | | in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 15-15 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 20-10 | | against conference opponents | 8-5 | 28-22 | 137-141 | 5-5 | 22-26 | 123-112 | 8-5 | 40-11 | 189-97 | | in February games | 4-2 | 15-7 | 61-56 | 2-1 | 8-11 | 51-43 | 4-2 | 18-4 | 78-41 | | on Saturday games | 6-4 | 14-16 | 77-78 | 5-3 | 16-13 | 60-65 | 9-2 | 26-6 | 118-49 | | after a conference game | 8-4 | 29-20 | 137-138 | 5-4 | 23-24 | 122-112 | 8-4 | 40-10 | 194-91 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 1-0 | 7-6 | 33-32 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 40-19 | 1-0 | 9-4 | 39-27 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-3 | 20-18 | 80-100 | 4-1 | 19-18 | 81-74 | 5-2 | 31-8 | 130-58 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 4-2 | 13-10 | 64-41 | 4-2 | 12-11 | 39-43 | 5-1 | 22-3 | 93-21 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-9 | 37-32 | 221-192 | 8-7 | 29-37 | 179-173 | 10-8 | 51-20 | 298-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-3 | 28-17 | 134-117 | 3-3 | 20-22 | 117-103 | 6-3 | 37-9 | 173-84 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 1-1 | 6-4 | 53-41 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 42-39 | 0-2 | 6-4 | 50-45 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 2-3 | 10-10 | 90-75 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 72-67 | 2-3 | 11-10 | 100-73 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 19-7 | -2.2 | 12-11 | 10-7 | 78.7 | 37.3 | 49.7% | 37.0 | 71.1 | 33.0 | 41.7% | 34.5 | | Road Games | 5-6 | -8.1 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 70.3 | 33.2 | 45.7% | 36.5 | 70.4 | 33.5 | 41.8% | 36.3 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 79.0 | 35.4 | 47.4% | 36.4 | 77.2 | 38.0 | 45.5% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 8-5 | -0.7 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 75.8 | 35.2 | 46.1% | 37.8 | 72.7 | 32.9 | 43.2% | 34.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.7 | 37.3 | 28-57 | 49.7% | 5-13 | 40.6% | 16-24 | 68.7% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.6 | 30.3 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 70.3 | 33.2 | 27-59 | 45.7% | 5-13 | 37.8% | 12-19 | 60.8% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 71.1 | 33.0 | 26-63 | 41.7% | 6-20 | 30.5% | 13-17 | 72.9% | 35 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.4 | 32.1 | 25-56 | 43.9% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 14-20 | 69.8% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.4 | 33.5 | 24-58 | 41.8% | 6-20 | 32.4% | 15-21 | 72.2% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
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| All Games | 18-8 | -4.5 | 14-9 | 10-10 | 78.2 | 37.3 | 44.2% | 41.0 | 69.5 | 30.6 | 41.6% | 36.8 | | Home Games | 12-1 | +2.2 | 8-3 | 5-4 | 81.3 | 39.2 | 45.4% | 42.8 | 66.4 | 27.0 | 40.4% | 36.1 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 75.8 | 36.6 | 42.8% | 35.2 | 72.2 | 34.0 | 48.0% | 35.4 | | Conference Games | 8-5 | +0.6 | 8-5 | 5-5 | 72.7 | 35.0 | 42.4% | 37.3 | 69.1 | 32.1 | 45.0% | 35.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.2 | 37.3 | 29-66 | 44.2% | 7-20 | 36.6% | 12-19 | 65.6% | 41 | 13 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.1 | 31 | 24-57 | 41.6% | 6-19 | 32.7% | 13-18 | 68.1% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 81.3 | 39.2 | 30-66 | 45.4% | 7-19 | 37.8% | 14-22 | 64.0% | 43 | 13 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.5 | 30.6 | 25-61 | 41.6% | 7-21 | 36.2% | 11-16 | 68.9% | 37 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.3 | 32 | 25-56 | 44.0% | 6-18 | 35.0% | 14-20 | 69.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.4 | 27.0 | 25-62 | 40.4% | 7-21 | 32.5% | 10-15 | 64.3% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: NC STATE 76.7, N CAROLINA 74.6 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| N CAROLINA is 20-13 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 27-7 straight up against NC STATE since 1997 | | 16 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N CAROLINA is 4-2 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 5-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| N CAROLINA is 7-7 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 12-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/26/2013 | N CAROLINA | 83 | 159 | Over | 26 | 33-71 | 46.5% | 8-22 | 36.4% | 9-10 | 90.0% | 32 | 8 | 14 | | | NC STATE | 91 | -4 | SU ATS | 45 | 32-65 | 49.2% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 20-23 | 87.0% | 42 | 8 | 16 | 3/10/2012 | NC STATE | 67 | 149 | ATS | 34 | 26-58 | 44.8% | 3-11 | 27.3% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 33 | 8 | 16 | | N | N CAROLINA | 69 | -9.5 | SU Under | 31 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 16-22 | 72.7% | 34 | 5 | 15 | 2/21/2012 | N CAROLINA | 86 | -7 | SU ATS | 46 | 29-57 | 50.9% | 10-19 | 52.6% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 40 | 10 | 9 | | | NC STATE | 74 | 149 | Over | 41 | 29-70 | 41.4% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 13-23 | 56.5% | 40 | 17 | 4 | 1/26/2012 | NC STATE | 55 | 159 | Under | 23 | 21-57 | 36.8% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 26 | 5 | 17 | | | N CAROLINA | 74 | -13 | SU ATS | 37 | 31-64 | 48.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 48 | 15 | 15 | 2/23/2011 | N CAROLINA | 75 | -6 | SU ATS | 31 | 28-66 | 42.4% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 47 | 15 | 11 | | | NC STATE | 63 | 146.5 | Under | 29 | 28-65 | 43.1% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 33 | 10 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (173-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (206-219) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 51.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-40) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (141-148) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (173-189) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-42) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 02/22/2013 - Joel James "?" Saturday vs. NC State ( Concussion ) |
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