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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-13 | 39-48 | 242-236 | 10-13 | 43-41 | 174-202 | 20-8 | 56-38 | 367-172 | | in all lined games | 12-13 | 39-48 | 242-236 | 10-13 | 43-41 | 174-202 | 17-8 | 51-38 | 320-171 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 4-7 | 18-20 | 65-75 | 4-7 | 17-22 | 65-75 | 7-4 | 23-16 | 85-58 | | as an underdog | 6-5 | 14-15 | 66-70 | 6-5 | 21-10 | 60-53 | 5-6 | 10-21 | 39-100 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 2-2 | 9-4 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-11 | | in road games | 6-3 | 14-14 | 80-75 | 2-6 | 16-13 | 55-76 | 6-3 | 12-18 | 83-82 | | in road lined games | 6-3 | 14-14 | 80-75 | 2-6 | 16-13 | 55-76 | 6-3 | 12-18 | 82-81 | | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 8-15 | | against conference opponents | 7-7 | 22-28 | 148-141 | 4-10 | 26-26 | 105-129 | 7-7 | 22-30 | 181-119 | | in February games | 4-2 | 9-10 | 63-44 | 2-4 | 11-10 | 32-51 | 5-1 | 10-11 | 76-36 | | after a conference game | 7-6 | 21-27 | 146-141 | 4-9 | 25-25 | 102-132 | 8-6 | 22-29 | 181-118 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 2-4 | 6-7 | 27-22 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 17-24 | 2-4 | 4-9 | 20-30 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-3 | 8-12 | 83-89 | 2-4 | 12-9 | 59-85 | 4-2 | 8-13 | 113-67 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-5 | 10-14 | 87-105 | 3-4 | 15-10 | 79-84 | 5-3 | 15-12 | 143-75 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-9 | 31-33 | 192-179 | 8-11 | 34-31 | 141-158 | 15-7 | 37-31 | 234-156 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 5-5 | 14-20 | 111-103 | 3-7 | 17-19 | 78-105 | 4-6 | 12-24 | 120-101 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 6-5 | 11-16 | 70-70 | 4-7 | 17-11 | 60-69 | 5-6 | 10-18 | 77-68 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 9-11 | 20-26 | 107-114 | 8-11 | 28-18 | 96-99 | 12-8 | 24-23 | 131-99 |
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| in all games | 13-11 | 52-33 | 224-221 | 14-11 | 46-38 | 155-169 | 22-4 | 67-28 | 283-225 | | in all lined games | 13-11 | 52-33 | 224-221 | 14-11 | 46-38 | 155-169 | 21-4 | 58-28 | 231-221 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 5-7 | 17-15 | 68-64 | 7-6 | 17-16 | 56-77 | 11-2 | 21-12 | 66-69 | | as a favorite | 12-9 | 28-21 | 111-104 | 12-10 | 28-20 | 73-76 | 20-2 | 43-7 | 164-56 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 1-0 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 16-2 | | in all home games | 7-6 | 25-15 | 114-99 | 7-7 | 21-18 | 75-81 | 15-0 | 44-6 | 196-71 | | in home lined games | 7-6 | 25-15 | 114-99 | 7-7 | 21-18 | 75-81 | 14-0 | 35-6 | 148-69 | | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 15-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 12-14 | 2-0 | 5-1 | 20-6 | | against conference opponents | 5-7 | 31-21 | 148-137 | 7-6 | 28-25 | 99-116 | 9-4 | 33-20 | 133-156 | | in February games | 0-5 | 12-8 | 51-61 | 4-1 | 11-9 | 39-46 | 2-3 | 12-8 | 50-65 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-0 | 6-2 | 25-23 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 15-24 | 1-0 | 7-2 | 31-24 | | after a conference game | 4-7 | 29-22 | 145-133 | 6-6 | 24-28 | 92-121 | 8-4 | 32-21 | 137-151 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 16-15 | 64-65 | 3-5 | 13-19 | 41-58 | 5-3 | 17-15 | 59-73 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-2 | 1-2 | 30-28 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 16-22 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 30-36 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 12-9 | 44-27 | 176-154 | 12-10 | 37-33 | 125-129 | 18-4 | 46-27 | 168-182 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-6 | 24-17 | 104-92 | 4-6 | 19-23 | 74-91 | 6-4 | 23-19 | 83-119 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 20-8 | +6 | 12-13 | 10-13 | 71.2 | 33.7 | 42.8% | 34.2 | 65.1 | 29.9 | 42.1% | 34.7 | | Road Games | 9-4 | +8.9 | 8-5 | 6-6 | 73.1 | 36.0 | 43.4% | 32.8 | 66.5 | 31.2 | 41.4% | 37.7 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +7.4 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 67.2 | 32.2 | 41.8% | 32.0 | 56.8 | 27.0 | 39.0% | 34.0 | | Conference Games | 7-7 | -2.2 | 7-7 | 4-10 | 65.5 | 30.3 | 40.9% | 32.4 | 65.1 | 29.9 | 43.1% | 34.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.2 | 33.7 | 25-58 | 42.8% | 8-24 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 71.6% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.8 | 29.8 | 23-55 | 41.7% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 13-19 | 68.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.1 | 36.0 | 25-58 | 43.4% | 9-24 | 35.8% | 14-19 | 74.5% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.1 | 29.9 | 23-54 | 42.1% | 7-19 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.8 | 32.2 | 24-56 | 43.6% | 6-19 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.5 | 31.2 | 23-56 | 41.4% | 6-19 | 31.6% | 14-21 | 68.3% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
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| All Games | 22-4 | +4.8 | 13-11 | 14-11 | 76.2 | 36.0 | 49.3% | 35.8 | 61.4 | 28.7 | 41.7% | 30.6 | | Home Games | 15-0 | +2 | 7-6 | 7-7 | 79.7 | 38.1 | 50.3% | 37.2 | 57.8 | 26.9 | 40.1% | 29.7 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -2.4 | 0-5 | 4-1 | 68.4 | 29.4 | 42.9% | 31.8 | 73.2 | 33.0 | 47.9% | 36.6 | | Conference Games | 9-4 | -0.2 | 5-7 | 7-6 | 72.2 | 33.1 | 47.5% | 34.2 | 64.3 | 30.4 | 43.3% | 32.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.2 | 36.0 | 28-58 | 49.3% | 8-20 | 40.1% | 11-16 | 70.7% | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 29.9 | 23-55 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 79.7 | 38.1 | 30-59 | 50.3% | 9-21 | 42.5% | 12-16 | 71.2% | 37 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 61.4 | 28.7 | 23-56 | 41.7% | 7-20 | 32.1% | 8-12 | 65.8% | 31 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 31.4 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 13-20 | 68.7% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.8 | 26.9 | 23-57 | 40.1% | 6-20 | 30.3% | 6-9 | 63.8% | 30 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 75.5, MICHIGAN 75.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN is 15-12 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | ILLINOIS is 19-9 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 13 of 23 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN is 5-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN is 9-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1997 | | MICHIGAN is 6-6 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/27/2013 | MICHIGAN | 74 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 31-59 | 52.5% | 5-15 | 33.3% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 35 | 10 | 12 | | | ILLINOIS | 60 | 139.5 | Under | 27 | 23-62 | 37.1% | 6-26 | 23.1% | 8-9 | 88.9% | 36 | 14 | 15 | 3/1/2012 | MICHIGAN | 72 | 120 | SU ATS | 35 | 21-45 | 46.7% | 9-19 | 47.4% | 21-23 | 91.3% | 31 | 5 | 13 | | | ILLINOIS | 61 | -2.5 | Over | 27 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 15-21 | 71.4% | 27 | 6 | 8 | 2/12/2012 | ILLINOIS | 61 | 119 | Over | 31 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 11-17 | 64.7% | 33 | 12 | 13 | | | MICHIGAN | 70 | -5 | SU ATS | 37 | 23-46 | 50.0% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 27 | 4 | 9 | 3/11/2011 | ILLINOIS | 55 | -3 | Under | 34 | 22-52 | 42.3% | 9-26 | 34.6% | 2-3 | 66.7% | 31 | 6 | 12 | | N | MICHIGAN | 60 | 125.5 | SU ATS | 23 | 20-48 | 41.7% | 11-24 | 45.8% | 9-11 | 81.8% | 30 | 6 | 10 | 2/16/2011 | MICHIGAN | 52 | 131.5 | ATS | 22 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 2-18 | 11.1% | 6-10 | 60.0% | 32 | 7 | 5 | | | ILLINOIS | 54 | -9.5 | SU Under | 32 | 23-52 | 44.2% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 38 | 7 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 53.1% of the time since 1997. (208-184) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 58.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (171-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-36) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1997. (156-159) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-35) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time since 1997. (124-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-36) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| No significant injuries. |
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