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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-15 | 40-40 | 200-209 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 5-23 | 19-70 | 153-307 | | in all lined games | 12-15 | 40-40 | 200-209 | 0-1 | 24-30 | 104-107 | 4-23 | 14-68 | 126-289 | | as an underdog | 11-11 | 36-31 | 145-134 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 74-74 | 3-19 | 9-60 | 47-238 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 2-1 | 5-2 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-8 | 5-23 | | in road games | 9-5 | 27-15 | 110-93 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-12 | 6-39 | 45-177 | | in road lined games | 9-5 | 27-15 | 110-93 | 0-1 | 12-16 | 49-54 | 2-12 | 5-38 | 39-168 | | against conference opponents | 6-9 | 24-24 | 137-146 | 0-0 | 18-17 | 71-71 | 3-12 | 12-38 | 94-195 | | in March games | 0-2 | 4-4 | 21-18 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13-13 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 10-30 | | on Saturday games | 5-7 | 17-15 | 81-82 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 39-38 | 0-12 | 3-31 | 61-121 | | after a conference game | 5-10 | 23-26 | 131-144 | 0-0 | 18-16 | 71-68 | 2-13 | 11-39 | 94-194 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 5-4 | 15-8 | 46-36 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 22-19 | 0-9 | 1-23 | 15-73 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 5-6 | 18-16 | 87-87 | 0-0 | 16-8 | 49-36 | 2-9 | 9-26 | 52-129 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 10-6 | 21-18 | 61-57 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 33-32 | 5-12 | 9-35 | 43-97 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 1-2 | 2-4 | 23-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15-13 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 13-30 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 6-5 | 14-15 | 52-54 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 28-29 | 3-8 | 8-26 | 35-89 |
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| in all games | 13-12 | 37-39 | 203-220 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 14-14 | 48-42 | 243-235 | | in all lined games | 13-12 | 37-39 | 203-220 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 11-14 | 37-42 | 201-232 | | as a favorite | 2-5 | 17-21 | 93-106 | 0-0 | 12-19 | 33-51 | 3-4 | 25-16 | 138-69 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 10-5 | | in all home games | 3-9 | 12-19 | 84-104 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 40-53 | 7-8 | 28-16 | 151-80 | | in home lined games | 3-9 | 12-19 | 84-104 | 0-0 | 5-13 | 40-53 | 4-8 | 17-16 | 114-79 | | against conference opponents | 8-7 | 21-27 | 145-145 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 74-72 | 7-8 | 24-26 | 150-147 | | in March games | 2-0 | 3-5 | 20-31 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 21-15 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 22-30 | | on Saturday games | 7-4 | 16-15 | 79-88 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 33-43 | 6-5 | 20-15 | 98-89 | | after a conference game | 7-7 | 22-26 | 143-141 | 0-0 | 18-15 | 75-69 | 7-8 | 23-27 | 152-144 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-3 | 10-12 | 72-71 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 36-29 | 3-3 | 12-11 | 78-71 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 2-2 | 4-3 | 24-28 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4-3 | 22-33 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 4-1 | 5-2 | 40-40 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4-13 | 3-2 | 5-4 | 49-42 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 6-5 | 22-17 | 91-90 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 43-54 | 6-6 | 33-16 | 127-79 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 3-4 | 12-13 | 60-56 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 30-31 | 3-4 | 14-11 | 71-46 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-2 | 4-5 | 22-25 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15-14 | 2-3 | 2-7 | 13-34 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-3 | 6-6 | 41-50 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 26-24 | 3-5 | 3-9 | 28-67 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 9-7 | 27-26 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 19-18 | 1-2 | 12-6 | 31-24 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 2-2 | 14-7 | 40-40 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 23-27 | 2-2 | 19-6 | 55-38 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-23 | -9.8 | 12-15 | 0-1 | 54.4 | 24.2 | 35.9% | 33.5 | 63.8 | 30.5 | 42.9% | 33.4 | | Road Games | 2-12 | -0.2 | 9-5 | 0-1 | 56.2 | 23.6 | 36.1% | 34.0 | 66.9 | 32.4 | 42.6% | 34.5 | | Last 5 Games | 0-5 | -5.1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 48.4 | 25.8 | 34.5% | 31.4 | 63.4 | 30.2 | 42.2% | 33.2 | | Conference Games | 3-12 | -3 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 52.9 | 23.7 | 34.3% | 32.9 | 63.2 | 30.5 | 42.5% | 33.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 54.4 | 24.2 | 19-53 | 35.9% | 4-16 | 27.3% | 12-19 | 66.1% | 34 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 31.3 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 56.2 | 23.6 | 19-53 | 36.1% | 5-16 | 29.6% | 13-19 | 67.5% | 34 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.8 | 30.5 | 20-47 | 42.9% | 7-20 | 34.6% | 17-24 | 71.9% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.8 | 30.5 | 23-54 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 33.3% | 13-19 | 70.1% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.9 | 32.4 | 21-49 | 42.6% | 8-22 | 35.1% | 17-24 | 72.2% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 5 |
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| All Games | 14-14 | +3 | 13-12 | 1-0 | 65.8 | 30.4 | 42.7% | 36.0 | 68.4 | 31.4 | 44.8% | 31.6 | | Home Games | 7-8 | -7.6 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 64.2 | 29.7 | 41.2% | 36.5 | 65.6 | 29.9 | 44.0% | 32.1 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +6.6 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 81.0 | 37.8 | 46.3% | 39.6 | 77.0 | 33.6 | 47.9% | 28.6 | | Conference Games | 7-8 | +4.7 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 66.2 | 31.5 | 44.2% | 35.7 | 68.7 | 31.9 | 46.3% | 29.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 65.8 | 30.4 | 22-52 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 32.9% | 16-24 | 66.0% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.3 | 31 | 24-55 | 42.8% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 64.2 | 29.7 | 21-51 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 31.1% | 16-25 | 64.2% | 37 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.4 | 31.4 | 24-54 | 44.8% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 14-19 | 70.2% | 32 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66 | 30.3 | 23-54 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 70.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.6 | 29.9 | 23-52 | 44.0% | 7-19 | 38.1% | 13-18 | 70.5% | 32 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N ILLINOIS 69.2, BALL ST 68.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| N ILLINOIS is 16-15 against the spread versus BALL ST since 1997 | | BALL ST is 22-10 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 5-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| N ILLINOIS is 11-5 against the spread versus BALL ST since 1997 | | BALL ST is 11-5 straight up against N ILLINOIS since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/13/2013 | BALL ST | 56 | | SU ATS | 28 | 16-44 | 36.4% | 4-22 | 18.2% | 20-26 | 76.9% | 33 | 7 | 10 | | | N ILLINOIS | 52 | -2 | | 25 | 17-49 | 34.7% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 12-20 | 60.0% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 3/3/2012 | N ILLINOIS | 51 | 120.5 | ATS | 32 | 18-45 | 40.0% | 10-21 | 47.6% | 5-6 | 83.3% | 29 | 8 | 15 | | | BALL ST | 62 | -13.5 | SU Under | 24 | 21-53 | 39.6% | 9-25 | 36.0% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 35 | 15 | 12 | 1/21/2012 | BALL ST | 75 | -11 | SU Over | 37 | 27-50 | 54.0% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 32 | 4 | 14 | | | N ILLINOIS | 65 | 117.5 | ATS | 28 | 23-53 | 43.4% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 11-19 | 57.9% | 30 | 9 | 12 | 3/5/2011 | N ILLINOIS | 57 | 135.5 | ATS | 23 | 22-55 | 40.0% | 7-20 | 35.0% | 6-15 | 40.0% | 45 | 10 | 16 | | | BALL ST | 67 | -11 | SU Under | 38 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 8-21 | 38.1% | 11-26 | 42.3% | 27 | 5 | 7 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (172-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N ILLINOIS games 60% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (165-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 41.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-36) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G/F] 03/08/2013 - Abdel Nader "?" Saturday vs. Ball State ( Personal ) | | [G] 02/06/2013 - Akeem Springs out indefinitely ( Personal ) | |
| [G] 02/26/2013 - Michael Ramey out for season ( Illness ) | | [C] 01/11/2013 - Mading Thok out indefinitely ( Finger ) |
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