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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 16-14 | 49-51 | 277-249 | 12-13 | 49-45 | 227-230 | 26-4 | 85-16 | 480-87 | | in all lined games | 16-14 | 49-51 | 277-249 | 12-13 | 49-45 | 227-230 | 26-4 | 84-16 | 452-87 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 0-2 | 5-15 | 59-69 | 1-1 | 11-8 | 61-66 | 1-1 | 17-3 | 108-22 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5-6 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10-9 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 11-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10-9 | | in road games | 2-6 | 15-14 | 84-73 | 4-3 | 15-12 | 72-68 | 4-4 | 19-10 | 115-47 | | in road lined games | 2-6 | 15-14 | 84-73 | 4-3 | 15-12 | 72-68 | 4-4 | 19-10 | 112-47 | | in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10-8 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11-7 | | against conference opponents | 8-9 | 25-29 | 156-138 | 7-7 | 23-28 | 130-129 | 13-4 | 43-11 | 242-57 | | in March games | 1-1 | 5-9 | 43-68 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 43-60 | 2-0 | 9-5 | 86-29 | | on Saturday games | 5-5 | 12-16 | 78-69 | 7-2 | 17-10 | 77-51 | 8-2 | 21-7 | 136-23 | | after a conference game | 8-8 | 26-27 | 151-137 | 7-6 | 25-25 | 130-125 | 12-4 | 41-12 | 242-56 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-7 | 20-22 | 123-108 | 4-5 | 19-20 | 103-100 | 8-4 | 31-11 | 199-42 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-5 | 13-16 | 88-80 | 6-2 | 16-10 | 74-66 | 8-2 | 24-6 | 154-25 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 8-4 | 23-20 | 164-120 | 2-7 | 16-23 | 111-125 | 11-1 | 39-4 | 269-37 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-12 | 32-40 | 220-207 | 12-8 | 38-30 | 201-178 | 19-4 | 57-15 | 361-83 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-7 | 17-25 | 126-140 | 7-2 | 22-18 | 135-108 | 7-4 | 29-13 | 208-68 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 3-5 | 52-58 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 55-44 | 2-1 | 5-3 | 71-40 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-4 | 3-13 | 89-85 | 2-2 | 9-6 | 83-75 | 4-1 | 12-4 | 132-45 |
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| in all games | 18-9 | 54-43 | 272-240 | 10-14 | 43-51 | 221-203 | 22-8 | 83-22 | 412-147 | | in all lined games | 18-9 | 54-43 | 272-240 | 10-14 | 43-51 | 221-203 | 19-8 | 76-22 | 376-144 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 3-2 | 16-15 | 78-69 | 2-3 | 13-18 | 76-71 | 2-3 | 22-9 | 99-50 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-7 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9-6 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 11-6 | | in all home games | 10-3 | 27-16 | 120-103 | 5-6 | 20-21 | 104-77 | 14-1 | 46-3 | 211-44 | | in home lined games | 10-3 | 27-16 | 120-103 | 5-6 | 20-21 | 104-77 | 12-1 | 40-3 | 183-42 | | in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 17-11 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 16-12 | 1-0 | 6-0 | 25-3 | | against conference opponents | 12-5 | 32-22 | 141-141 | 5-9 | 22-30 | 123-116 | 12-5 | 44-11 | 193-97 | | in March games | 2-0 | 8-10 | 52-50 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 50-43 | 2-0 | 15-4 | 79-28 | | on Saturday games | 7-4 | 15-16 | 78-78 | 5-4 | 16-14 | 60-66 | 10-2 | 27-6 | 119-49 | | after a conference game | 12-4 | 33-20 | 141-138 | 5-8 | 23-28 | 122-116 | 12-4 | 44-10 | 198-91 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 2-0 | 8-6 | 34-32 | 0-1 | 7-6 | 40-20 | 2-0 | 10-4 | 40-27 | | off a win against a conference rival | 8-3 | 24-18 | 84-100 | 4-5 | 19-22 | 81-78 | 9-2 | 35-8 | 134-58 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 12-9 | 40-32 | 224-192 | 8-10 | 29-40 | 179-176 | 13-8 | 54-20 | 301-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 9-3 | 31-17 | 137-117 | 3-6 | 20-25 | 117-106 | 9-3 | 40-9 | 176-84 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 7-4 | 54-41 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 42-40 | 1-2 | 7-4 | 51-45 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 3-3 | 11-10 | 91-75 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 72-68 | 3-3 | 12-10 | 101-73 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 26-4 | +8.6 | 16-14 | 12-13 | 78.7 | 36.5 | 47.6% | 34.0 | 65.2 | 30.3 | 41.8% | 35.0 | | Road Games | 10-4 | +3.6 | 8-6 | 7-5 | 75.4 | 34.6 | 45.8% | 31.4 | 68.7 | 31.7 | 44.5% | 34.4 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +1 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 81.8 | 38.8 | 50.2% | 30.6 | 66.0 | 30.8 | 44.0% | 32.0 | | Conference Games | 13-4 | +1.6 | 8-9 | 7-7 | 77.7 | 36.4 | 47.2% | 32.6 | 67.9 | 31.4 | 44.7% | 34.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 78.7 | 36.5 | 27-57 | 47.6% | 8-19 | 41.9% | 16-22 | 72.5% | 34 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.5 | 30.4 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-19 | 33.8% | 13-18 | 69.1% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 75.4 | 34.6 | 26-56 | 45.8% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 17-21 | 79.2% | 31 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.2 | 30.3 | 24-58 | 41.8% | 4-15 | 29.5% | 13-18 | 70.5% | 35 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 70.3 | 33 | 25-56 | 44.7% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 69.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 68.7 | 31.7 | 25-56 | 44.5% | 4-14 | 28.4% | 15-20 | 74.0% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 22-8 | -0.5 | 18-9 | 10-14 | 77.7 | 37.4 | 44.6% | 39.8 | 68.6 | 30.1 | 41.5% | 36.8 | | Home Games | 14-1 | +4.2 | 10-3 | 5-6 | 80.7 | 39.3 | 45.9% | 41.4 | 65.7 | 27.1 | 40.5% | 36.2 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +5 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 74.0 | 37.6 | 45.6% | 33.2 | 61.6 | 27.2 | 40.7% | 38.0 | | Conference Games | 12-5 | +4.6 | 12-5 | 5-9 | 73.2 | 35.7 | 43.6% | 36.1 | 67.5 | 30.8 | 44.0% | 35.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 77.7 | 37.4 | 29-65 | 44.6% | 7-20 | 37.6% | 12-19 | 65.8% | 40 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 41.9% | 6-19 | 33.0% | 13-18 | 68.6% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 80.7 | 39.3 | 30-65 | 45.9% | 7-19 | 39.3% | 13-21 | 64.1% | 41 | 13 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.6 | 30.1 | 25-61 | 41.5% | 7-20 | 34.5% | 11-15 | 69.2% | 37 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.2 | 31.9 | 25-56 | 44.2% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 14-20 | 69.3% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 65.7 | 27.1 | 25-62 | 40.5% | 6-20 | 31.8% | 9-14 | 64.5% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: DUKE 76.9, N CAROLINA 75.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| N CAROLINA is 21-16 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997 | | DUKE is 24-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997 | | 17 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N CAROLINA is 4-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons | | DUKE is 4-2 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| DUKE is 9-6 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | DUKE is 9-6 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997 | | 8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/13/2013 | N CAROLINA | 68 | 151 | ATS | 33 | 25-66 | 37.9% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 13-23 | 56.5% | 38 | 18 | 13 | | | DUKE | 73 | -10.5 | SU Under | 29 | 25-56 | 44.6% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 39 | 11 | 17 | 3/3/2012 | N CAROLINA | 88 | -2 | SU ATS | 48 | 36-66 | 54.5% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 45 | 13 | 12 | | | DUKE | 70 | 154.5 | Over | 24 | 26-63 | 41.3% | 6-21 | 28.6% | 12-21 | 57.1% | 28 | 7 | 6 | 2/8/2012 | DUKE | 85 | 155 | SU ATS | 40 | 27-62 | 43.5% | 14-36 | 38.9% | 17-26 | 65.4% | 35 | 10 | 10 | | | N CAROLINA | 84 | -6 | Over | 43 | 31-63 | 49.2% | 1-6 | 16.7% | 21-30 | 70.0% | 42 | 14 | 9 | 3/13/2011 | DUKE | 75 | -4 | SU ATS | 42 | 29-58 | 50.0% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 8-15 | 53.3% | 36 | 7 | 12 | | N | N CAROLINA | 58 | 147.5 | Under | 28 | 21-62 | 33.9% | 2-8 | 25.0% | 14-21 | 66.7% | 44 | 15 | 16 | 3/5/2011 | DUKE | 67 | 149 | Under | 39 | 22-62 | 35.5% | 6-27 | 22.2% | 17-22 | 77.3% | 35 | 10 | 9 | | | N CAROLINA | 81 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 51 | 33-63 | 52.4% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 42 | 10 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (210-220) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 56.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (52-40) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.4% of the time since 1997. (207-221) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-42) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 48.5% of the time since 1997. (200-212) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 48.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-43) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (174-192) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-45) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 03/08/2013 - James Michael McAdoo is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Duke ( Back ) |
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