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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 11-11 | 37-39 | 92-85 | 1-3 | 24-32 | 74-78 | 20-10 | 63-33 | 133-88 | | in all lined games | 11-11 | 37-39 | 92-85 | 1-3 | 24-32 | 74-78 | 13-10 | 44-33 | 92-87 | | as an underdog | 6-6 | 14-17 | 41-42 | 1-2 | 13-9 | 37-33 | 5-7 | 11-20 | 22-61 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1-7 | | in road games | 5-5 | 13-19 | 36-39 | 1-0 | 14-9 | 35-30 | 5-5 | 12-21 | 26-52 | | in road lined games | 5-5 | 13-19 | 36-39 | 1-0 | 14-9 | 35-30 | 5-5 | 11-21 | 24-51 | | against conference opponents | 7-7 | 23-26 | 61-56 | 1-1 | 19-18 | 52-53 | 9-6 | 26-24 | 60-59 | | in March games | 1-1 | 5-7 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 11-14 | | on Saturday games | 5-4 | 16-14 | 36-33 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 32-28 | 8-4 | 24-15 | 52-35 | | after a conference game | 6-6 | 21-25 | 57-55 | 1-0 | 20-15 | 52-49 | 9-5 | 26-24 | 62-57 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 12-12 | 30-28 | 1-0 | 11-7 | 31-20 | 5-3 | 13-12 | 30-29 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-7 | 27-30 | 57-58 | 1-3 | 21-23 | 54-46 | 10-8 | 31-29 | 55-70 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-3 | 15-21 | 36-38 | 1-1 | 18-11 | 40-27 | 7-3 | 16-21 | 30-45 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-2 | 9-9 | 19-15 | 1-0 | 9-5 | 20-10 | 3-2 | 9-9 | 15-19 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-5 | 16-13 | 32-19 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 26-18 | 5-6 | 18-14 | 32-27 |
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| in all games | 13-12 | 37-42 | 199-197 | 3-1 | 33-23 | 110-108 | 22-8 | 69-27 | 274-217 | | in all lined games | 13-12 | 37-42 | 199-197 | 3-1 | 33-23 | 110-108 | 19-8 | 55-27 | 195-208 | | as a favorite | 9-9 | 26-31 | 100-86 | 2-0 | 24-17 | 54-46 | 17-3 | 47-13 | 142-49 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 4-0 | 6-3 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 5-0 | 10-0 | 25-3 | | in all home games | 5-3 | 14-14 | 86-73 | 1-0 | 12-9 | 49-37 | 11-1 | 39-3 | 174-60 | | in home lined games | 5-3 | 14-14 | 86-73 | 1-0 | 12-9 | 49-37 | 8-1 | 27-3 | 105-57 | | against conference opponents | 5-8 | 19-29 | 132-140 | 3-0 | 25-14 | 81-77 | 11-4 | 33-18 | 127-152 | | in March games | 1-1 | 2-8 | 29-25 | 1-0 | 5-4 | 19-21 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 26-28 | | on Saturday games | 4-7 | 11-21 | 85-79 | 2-0 | 16-8 | 48-38 | 8-5 | 25-14 | 101-95 | | after a conference game | 4-8 | 18-27 | 127-133 | 3-0 | 23-14 | 78-74 | 10-4 | 32-18 | 129-149 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-1 | 8-9 | 57-48 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 37-30 | 4-0 | 11-7 | 52-57 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 5-10 | 63-77 | 1-0 | 9-5 | 39-43 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 58-84 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-1 | 4-1 | 25-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14-14 | 3-0 | 7-0 | 28-26 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 1-4 | 6-10 | 30-32 | 1-0 | 7-5 | 23-18 | 6-1 | 18-6 | 46-37 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 5-7 | 22-29 | 129-133 | 2-0 | 23-17 | 70-73 | 8-6 | 33-22 | 116-163 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-6 | 12-19 | 72-76 | 2-0 | 15-12 | 43-53 | 6-3 | 20-14 | 57-95 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 20-10 | -0.5 | 11-11 | 1-3 | 71.1 | 33.7 | 45.7% | 36.4 | 67.0 | 30.2 | 42.7% | 34.3 | | Road Games | 5-5 | +2.8 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 71.1 | 32.1 | 45.3% | 35.9 | 73.0 | 32.9 | 45.2% | 34.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -1.3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 71.8 | 31.2 | 41.9% | 36.4 | 70.6 | 34.0 | 42.8% | 38.2 | | Conference Games | 9-6 | +0.9 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 71.7 | 33.4 | 43.1% | 36.9 | 71.2 | 33.6 | 44.5% | 36.7 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.1 | 33.7 | 25-54 | 45.7% | 7-20 | 36.3% | 14-22 | 64.2% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.7 | 30.3 | 23-55 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 13-20 | 67.1% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 71.1 | 32.1 | 25-56 | 45.3% | 7-19 | 37.9% | 13-21 | 63.0% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.0 | 30.2 | 25-60 | 42.7% | 6-20 | 31.6% | 10-14 | 67.5% | 34 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.3 | 30.6 | 24-56 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 13-20 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 73.0 | 32.9 | 27-60 | 45.2% | 7-20 | 32.7% | 12-16 | 73.6% | 35 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
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| All Games | 22-8 | +9.8 | 13-12 | 3-1 | 73.8 | 34.7 | 48.2% | 35.6 | 62.0 | 28.0 | 40.7% | 28.8 | | Home Games | 11-1 | +6.8 | 5-3 | 1-0 | 81.2 | 38.4 | 50.2% | 38.2 | 56.2 | 23.7 | 38.6% | 28.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 75.2 | 30.2 | 45.3% | 37.6 | 73.4 | 36.0 | 44.5% | 30.2 | | Conference Games | 11-4 | +5.4 | 5-8 | 3-0 | 74.7 | 33.9 | 48.8% | 36.1 | 66.1 | 30.5 | 42.7% | 29.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.8 | 34.7 | 27-55 | 48.2% | 7-18 | 39.1% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 36 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.5 | 32.1 | 24-57 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 34.9% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 81.2 | 38.4 | 29-58 | 50.2% | 8-18 | 42.2% | 15-22 | 68.4% | 38 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.0 | 28.0 | 20-49 | 40.7% | 8-23 | 33.0% | 14-21 | 68.2% | 29 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 6-19 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 56.2 | 23.7 | 19-50 | 38.6% | 7-23 | 30.4% | 10-17 | 61.1% | 29 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: UCF 71.8, SOUTHERN MISS 70.3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| SOUTHERN MISS is 7-5 against the spread versus UCF since 1997 | | SOUTHERN MISS is 7-5 straight up against UCF since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| UCF is 3-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons | | SOUTHERN MISS is 3-2 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| SOUTHERN MISS is 3-2 against the spread versus UCF since 1997 | | SOUTHERN MISS is 4-1 straight up against UCF since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons | | SOUTHERN MISS is 2-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/6/2013 | SOUTHERN MISS | 58 | -2.5 | | 31 | 21-58 | 36.2% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 10-15 | 66.7% | 40 | 15 | 14 | | | UCF | 60 | | SU ATS | 33 | 18-45 | 40.0% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 16-28 | 57.1% | 35 | 11 | 16 | 2/11/2012 | UCF | 74 | 130 | ATS | 27 | 29-55 | 52.7% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 12-22 | 54.5% | 28 | 7 | 11 | | | SOUTHERN MISS | 78 | -6.5 | SU Over | 37 | 23-51 | 45.1% | 3-8 | 37.5% | 29-37 | 78.4% | 35 | 9 | 10 | 1/28/2012 | SOUTHERN MISS | 78 | 124.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 7-21 | 33.3% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 35 | 15 | 12 | | | UCF | 65 | -2.5 | Over | 31 | 22-55 | 40.0% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 33 | 13 | 15 | 2/26/2011 | SOUTHERN MISS | 64 | 134 | Under | 33 | 22-53 | 41.5% | 7-12 | 58.3% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 31 | 12 | 10 | | | UCF | 65 | 0 | SU ATS | 25 | 22-45 | 48.9% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 27 | 8 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (88-80) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCF games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-25) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SOUTHERN MISS games 48.9% of the time since 1997. (153-160) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SOUTHERN MISS games 46.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-38) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 03/08/2013 - Tristan Spurlock expected to miss Saturday vs. Southern Miss ( Neck ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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