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Matchup Reports

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VALPARAISO (26-7) AT MICHIGAN ST (25-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
715: VALPARAISO
716: MICHIGAN ST
OFF
-10.0
71.7 / 62.2
68.2 / 59.3
26-7
25-8
18-12
13-16
4-5
13-16
48.9
46.0
73.2
71.7
37.6
34.2
41.4
39.5
72.2
65.8
33.6
30.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
VALPARAISO  
MICHIGAN ST-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games18-1248-45107-954-531-3789-7826-771-32316-200
in all lined games18-1248-45107-954-531-3789-7823-764-31111-96
as an underdog3-217-1356-461-111-1247-393-215-1533-71
in all neutral court games0-12-415-160-12-410-141-06-138-27
as a neutral court underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-00-01-10-00-00-10-00-01-1
in March games1-23-712-161-24-613-123-06-430-20
when playing with 7 or more days rest0-12-35-90-02-24-90-12-313-17
after a conference game12-532-2363-564-322-2562-4915-243-16191-99
when playing on a neutral court0-12-415-160-12-410-141-06-138-27
in non-conference games7-517-1945-420-39-1329-3311-427-17121-104
off a win against a conference rival9-522-1831-374-315-2035-2912-230-1349-33
after allowing 60 points or less6-515-1628-322-211-1229-189-321-1282-55
in all tournament games0-27-921-251-16-820-192-011-535-31
in first round tournament games0-00-33-90-02-16-50-01-23-9
in a NCAA tournament games0-00-03-40-00-01-30-00-02-5
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1030-2970-623-419-2358-4916-538-22110-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games8-619-1640-373-314-1444-2512-225-1173-59
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games7-315-724-161-37-923-1210-020-232-20
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game8-719-1638-321-311-1334-2512-327-847-57

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games13-1646-48261-23613-1641-53185-22625-872-32402-150
in all lined games13-1646-48261-23613-1641-53185-22622-864-32356-150
as a favorite8-1131-38198-1799-1031-39143-16219-154-17312-74
in all neutral court games1-38-1264-541-37-1345-602-210-1078-44
as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-01-14-40-02-04-30-01-17-1
in March games2-38-1059-441-48-1041-513-211-773-32
after a conference game10-831-28158-1349-1027-34110-14014-540-21213-87
when playing on a neutral court1-38-1264-541-37-1345-602-210-1078-44
in non-conference games3-714-20105-983-614-1877-8611-231-11191-60
off a loss against a conference rival3-28-1142-432-312-834-423-212-861-28
after scoring 60 points or less4-211-840-402-412-738-324-311-958-30
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games1-14-721-222-06-522-141-15-626-18
in all tournament games0-26-856-510-24-1043-541-110-573-38
in first round tournament games0-01-28-90-02-17-100-02-114-4
in a NCAA tournament games0-01-330-190-03-123-230-02-237-14
when playing against a team with a winning record11-1238-39199-18710-1335-42153-18116-750-29260-140
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games9-624-25127-1075-1022-28100-11510-530-20157-83
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games9-619-1881-766-1016-2261-8311-522-16105-56
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game10-1026-25113-1209-1222-3088-11515-632-20150-90
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games26-7+5.918-124-571.733.648.9%32.962.228.341.4%28.5
Road Games11-5+4.610-62-369.431.448.3%31.666.129.743.7%28.1
Last 5 Games5-0+52-31-372.433.255.5%31.260.627.641.6%25.8
VALPARAISO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.733.624-5048.9%7-2037.6%16-2173.2%33814177153
vs opponents surrendering6630.923-5344.0%6-1834.0%14-1970.2%34812176143
Team Stats (Road Games)69.431.423-4848.3%6-1934.1%16-2273.8%32712196153
Stats Against (All Games)62.228.322-5341.4%5-1433.6%14-1972.2%28811207132
vs opponents averaging65.630.323-5442.4%6-1933.7%13-1970.2%33913187133
Stats Against (Road Games)66.129.723-5243.7%5-1337.9%15-2171.5%28811197123

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games25-8+5.513-1613-1668.231.446.0%37.359.327.839.5%30.5
Road Games8-7-0.46-86-964.130.543.3%35.963.430.243.9%30.1
Last 5 Games3-202-31-460.627.641.6%36.255.826.040.4%30.6
MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.231.425-5346.0%5-1534.2%14-2071.7%371013168134
vs opponents surrendering64.428.923-5541.2%6-1832.3%13-1970.0%35912186134
Team Stats (Road Games)64.130.524-5543.3%5-1434.6%12-1772.0%361111177134
Stats Against (All Games)59.327.821-5439.5%5-1830.1%11-1765.8%31811177133
vs opponents averaging68.131.624-5643.2%6-1833.8%13-2069.0%361013177124
Stats Against (Road Games)63.430.223-5243.9%5-1631.7%12-1868.7%30812157124
Average power rating of opponents played: VALPARAISO 69.3,  MICHIGAN ST 77.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VALPARAISO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (88-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (187-217)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-43)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
VALPARAISO
[G] 02/09/2013 - Alex Rossi out indefinitely ( Heart )
MICHIGAN ST
[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )
[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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