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Thursday at 12:15 PM Back to Games			VALPARAISO (26-7) AT MICHIGAN ST (25-8)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U	FG%	FT%	3PT%	FG%	FT%	3PT%
715: VALPARAISO 716: MICHIGAN ST	OFF -10.0	71.7 / 62.2 68.2 / 59.3	26-7 25-8	18-12 13-16	4-5 13-16	48.9 46.0	73.2 71.7	37.6 34.2	41.4 39.5	72.2 65.8	33.6 30.1

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
VALPARAISO
MICHIGAN ST	-9

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

VALPARAISO - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	18-12	48-45	107-95	4-5	31-37	89-78	26-7	71-32	316-200
in all lined games	18-12	48-45	107-95	4-5	31-37	89-78	23-7	64-31	111-96
as an underdog	3-2	17-13	56-46	1-1	11-12	47-39	3-2	15-15	33-71
in all neutral court games	0-1	2-4	15-16	0-1	2-4	10-14	1-0	6-1	38-27
as a neutral court underdog of 9.5 to 12 points	0-0	0-0	1-1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-1
in March games	1-2	3-7	12-16	1-2	4-6	13-12	3-0	6-4	30-20
when playing with 7 or more days rest	0-1	2-3	5-9	0-0	2-2	4-9	0-1	2-3	13-17
after a conference game	12-5	32-23	63-56	4-3	22-25	62-49	15-2	43-16	191-99
when playing on a neutral court	0-1	2-4	15-16	0-1	2-4	10-14	1-0	6-1	38-27
in non-conference games	7-5	17-19	45-42	0-3	9-13	29-33	11-4	27-17	121-104
off a win against a conference rival	9-5	22-18	31-37	4-3	15-20	35-29	12-2	30-13	49-33
after allowing 60 points or less	6-5	15-16	28-32	2-2	11-12	29-18	9-3	21-12	82-55
in all tournament games	0-2	7-9	21-25	1-1	6-8	20-19	2-0	11-5	35-31
in first round tournament games	0-0	0-3	3-9	0-0	2-1	6-5	0-0	1-2	3-9
in a NCAA tournament games	0-0	0-0	3-4	0-0	0-0	1-3	0-0	0-0	2-5
when playing against a team with a winning record	11-10	30-29	70-62	3-4	19-23	58-49	16-5	38-22	110-132
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	8-6	19-16	40-37	3-3	14-14	44-25	12-2	25-11	73-59
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	7-3	15-7	24-16	1-3	7-9	23-12	10-0	20-2	32-20
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	8-7	19-16	38-32	1-3	11-13	34-25	12-3	27-8	47-57

MICHIGAN ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997	Current	Last 3	Since 1997
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
in all games	13-16	46-48	261-236	13-16	41-53	185-226	25-8	72-32	402-150
in all lined games	13-16	46-48	261-236	13-16	41-53	185-226	22-8	64-32	356-150
as a favorite	8-11	31-38	198-179	9-10	31-39	143-162	19-1	54-17	312-74
in all neutral court games	1-3	8-12	64-54	1-3	7-13	45-60	2-2	10-10	78-44
as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points	0-0	1-1	4-4	0-0	2-0	4-3	0-0	1-1	7-1
in March games	2-3	8-10	59-44	1-4	8-10	41-51	3-2	11-7	73-32
after a conference game	10-8	31-28	158-134	9-10	27-34	110-140	14-5	40-21	213-87
when playing on a neutral court	1-3	8-12	64-54	1-3	7-13	45-60	2-2	10-10	78-44
in non-conference games	3-7	14-20	105-98	3-6	14-18	77-86	11-2	31-11	191-60
off a loss against a conference rival	3-2	8-11	42-43	2-3	12-8	34-42	3-2	12-8	61-28
after scoring 60 points or less	4-2	11-8	40-40	2-4	12-7	38-32	4-3	11-9	58-30
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games	1-1	4-7	21-22	2-0	6-5	22-14	1-1	5-6	26-18
in all tournament games	0-2	6-8	56-51	0-2	4-10	43-54	1-1	10-5	73-38
in first round tournament games	0-0	1-2	8-9	0-0	2-1	7-10	0-0	2-1	14-4
in a NCAA tournament games	0-0	1-3	30-19	0-0	3-1	23-23	0-0	2-2	37-14
when playing against a team with a winning record	11-12	38-39	199-187	10-13	35-42	153-181	16-7	50-29	260-140
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games	9-6	24-25	127-107	5-10	22-28	100-115	10-5	30-20	157-83
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games	9-6	19-18	81-76	6-10	16-22	61-83	11-5	22-16	105-56
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game	10-10	26-25	113-120	9-12	22-30	88-115	15-6	32-20	150-90

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

VALPARAISO - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	26-7	+5.9	18-12	4-5	71.7	33.6	48.9%	32.9	62.2	28.3	41.4%	28.5
Road Games	11-5	+4.6	10-6	2-3	69.4	31.4	48.3%	31.6	66.1	29.7	43.7%	28.1
Last 5 Games	5-0	+5	2-3	1-3	72.4	33.2	55.5%	31.2	60.6	27.6	41.6%	25.8

VALPARAISO Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	71.7	33.6	24-50	48.9%	7-20	37.6%	16-21	73.2%	33	8	14	17	7	15	3
vs opponents surrendering	66	30.9	23-53	44.0%	6-18	34.0%	14-19	70.2%	34	8	12	17	6	14	3
Team Stats (Road Games)	69.4	31.4	23-48	48.3%	6-19	34.1%	16-22	73.8%	32	7	12	19	6	15	3
Stats Against (All Games)	62.2	28.3	22-53	41.4%	5-14	33.6%	14-19	72.2%	28	8	11	20	7	13	2
vs opponents averaging	65.6	30.3	23-54	42.4%	6-19	33.7%	13-19	70.2%	33	9	13	18	7	13	3
Stats Against (Road Games)	66.1	29.7	23-52	43.7%	5-13	37.9%	15-21	71.5%	28	8	11	19	7	12	3

MICHIGAN ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	25-8	+5.5	13-16	13-16	68.2	31.4	46.0%	37.3	59.3	27.8	39.5%	30.5
Road Games	8-7	-0.4	6-8	6-9	64.1	30.5	43.3%	35.9	63.4	30.2	43.9%	30.1
Last 5 Games	3-2	0	2-3	1-4	60.6	27.6	41.6%	36.2	55.8	26.0	40.4%	30.6

MICHIGAN ST Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	68.2	31.4	25-53	46.0%	5-15	34.2%	14-20	71.7%	37	10	13	16	8	13	4
vs opponents surrendering	64.4	28.9	23-55	41.2%	6-18	32.3%	13-19	70.0%	35	9	12	18	6	13	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	64.1	30.5	24-55	43.3%	5-14	34.6%	12-17	72.0%	36	11	11	17	7	13	4
Stats Against (All Games)	59.3	27.8	21-54	39.5%	5-18	30.1%	11-17	65.8%	31	8	11	17	7	13	3
vs opponents averaging	68.1	31.6	24-56	43.2%	6-18	33.8%	13-20	69.0%	36	10	13	17	7	12	4
Stats Against (Road Games)	63.4	30.2	23-52	43.9%	5-16	31.7%	12-18	68.7%	30	8	12	15	7	12	4

Average power rating of opponents played: VALPARAISO 69.3, MICHIGAN ST 77.2

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1997

MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO since 1997

MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against VALPARAISO since 1997

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring VALPARAISO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (88-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VALPARAISO games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.3% of the time since 1997. (187-217)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 45.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-43)
No Edge.

No total has been posted for this game.

Key Player Injuries

VALPARAISO

[G] 02/09/2013 - Alex Rossi out indefinitely ( Heart )

MICHIGAN ST

[G] 12/28/2012 - Brandan Kearney expected to transfer ( Personal )

[F] 11/19/2012 - Kenny Kaminski out for season ( Shoulder )

Now you can download and print schedules for each sport so you can plan ahead and track your results.

UPDATED:

BASEBALL	3/31/2013 - 6/2/2013
BASKETBALL	2/26/2013 - 4/17/2013
HOCKEY	2/26/2013 - 4/27/2013

PROPS FUTURES
RK	Team
1	Indiana Pacers
2	Miami Heat
3	Pittsburgh Penguins
4	Indiana Pacers
5	Cincinnati Reds
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05/24/2013
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