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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-12 | 44-42 | 173-196 | 9-9 | 43-40 | 111-127 | 19-3 | 71-22 | 248-163 | | in all lined games | 10-12 | 44-42 | 173-196 | 9-9 | 43-40 | 111-127 | 19-3 | 65-22 | 213-163 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 6-6 | 21-15 | 54-54 | 7-4 | 16-19 | 40-67 | 10-2 | 27-9 | 56-52 | | as an underdog | 0-0 | 7-6 | 50-79 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 41-62 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 29-104 | | as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-14 | | in road games | 2-4 | 13-13 | 52-72 | 5-1 | 17-10 | 36-44 | 4-2 | 15-12 | 47-83 | | in road lined games | 2-4 | 13-13 | 52-72 | 5-1 | 17-10 | 36-44 | 4-2 | 15-12 | 44-83 | | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 9-10 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 5-14 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 7-12 | | against conference opponents | 3-7 | 27-22 | 102-120 | 4-5 | 25-24 | 63-84 | 7-3 | 36-14 | 114-112 | | in February games | 0-1 | 9-7 | 40-46 | 1-0 | 7-9 | 25-30 | 1-0 | 12-4 | 46-42 | | on Tuesday nights | 3-3 | 11-8 | 25-22 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 17-21 | 5-1 | 12-9 | 30-23 | | after a conference game | 3-6 | 28-20 | 105-114 | 5-3 | 26-22 | 66-81 | 6-3 | 36-13 | 120-105 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-4 | 19-15 | 53-59 | 3-3 | 20-15 | 38-41 | 5-1 | 27-8 | 65-48 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-6 | 34-27 | 125-149 | 6-4 | 31-27 | 87-106 | 11-3 | 43-20 | 143-145 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-4 | 20-15 | 71-88 | 2-2 | 17-18 | 55-63 | 3-2 | 25-11 | 76-87 |
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| in all games | 8-15 | 46-44 | 208-182 | 10-11 | 42-47 | 139-166 | 19-5 | 77-21 | 321-114 | | in all lined games | 8-15 | 46-44 | 208-182 | 10-11 | 42-47 | 139-166 | 18-5 | 70-21 | 283-114 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-7 | 20-25 | 73-59 | 4-6 | 21-25 | 72-63 | 9-1 | 38-8 | 101-36 | | as a favorite | 7-12 | 37-33 | 163-136 | 9-8 | 35-34 | 109-118 | 17-2 | 63-8 | 252-54 | | as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-8 | | in all home games | 4-8 | 17-23 | 93-77 | 6-5 | 18-21 | 59-64 | 13-0 | 42-3 | 186-18 | | in home lined games | 4-8 | 17-23 | 93-77 | 6-5 | 18-21 | 59-64 | 12-0 | 37-3 | 155-18 | | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-3 | 3-8 | 16-13 | 1-2 | 7-4 | 16-13 | 3-0 | 10-1 | 26-3 | | against conference opponents | 5-6 | 24-27 | 120-106 | 4-7 | 23-28 | 78-101 | 9-2 | 38-13 | 165-66 | | in February games | 0-2 | 5-11 | 47-40 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 33-42 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 63-27 | | on Tuesday nights | 0-5 | 4-11 | 23-33 | 2-3 | 3-12 | 21-31 | 2-3 | 9-6 | 39-23 | | after a conference game | 4-6 | 24-25 | 123-101 | 3-7 | 22-28 | 80-101 | 8-2 | 37-13 | 167-63 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 7-4 | 32-30 | 1-0 | 7-5 | 21-31 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 46-19 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-1 | 5-4 | 16-14 | 3-0 | 7-2 | 15-8 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 20-11 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-11 | 34-32 | 157-143 | 6-8 | 30-36 | 113-135 | 10-5 | 50-19 | 205-107 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-5 | 20-19 | 99-77 | 2-5 | 19-21 | 73-83 | 5-2 | 27-13 | 122-59 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-3 | 19-18 | 59-54 | 1-4 | 17-20 | 42-57 | 4-1 | 25-12 | 80-36 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-6 | 29-26 | 84-91 | 2-7 | 23-31 | 63-81 | 7-3 | 39-16 | 115-66 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 19-3 | -1.2 | 10-12 | 9-9 | 75.0 | 36.0 | 45.8% | 34.6 | 62.1 | 28.8 | 40.4% | 33.8 | | Road Games | 8-2 | -1.2 | 4-6 | 5-2 | 73.3 | 32.9 | 44.5% | 34.3 | 66.3 | 32.2 | 41.6% | 35.3 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 71.4 | 33.8 | 47.9% | 34.8 | 63.0 | 31.4 | 40.9% | 31.4 | | Conference Games | 7-3 | -5.2 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 69.9 | 32.5 | 46.4% | 32.1 | 64.6 | 29.7 | 41.0% | 34.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.0 | 36.0 | 26-58 | 45.8% | 6-18 | 31.6% | 16-22 | 73.4% | 35 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 31.1 | 23-55 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 73.3 | 32.9 | 26-58 | 44.5% | 4-17 | 25.9% | 17-23 | 72.7% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.1 | 28.8 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 5-14 | 36.7% | 14-21 | 69.5% | 34 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.5 | 33.1 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 7-19 | 34.7% | 14-21 | 69.5% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.3 | 32.2 | 22-53 | 41.6% | 5-13 | 36.1% | 17-24 | 72.1% | 35 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
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| All Games | 19-5 | +2.1 | 8-15 | 10-11 | 75.2 | 35.9 | 48.5% | 39.9 | 64.5 | 31.5 | 40.5% | 30.2 | | Home Games | 13-0 | +5 | 4-8 | 6-5 | 76.9 | 36.5 | 47.6% | 42.2 | 60.8 | 28.1 | 37.0% | 32.0 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 64.6 | 27.6 | 46.4% | 36.0 | 67.0 | 32.4 | 45.4% | 27.4 | | Conference Games | 9-2 | +4.8 | 5-6 | 4-7 | 67.5 | 31.0 | 46.1% | 38.3 | 62.2 | 29.1 | 41.2% | 29.1 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 75.2 | 35.9 | 28-57 | 48.5% | 5-15 | 33.4% | 15-21 | 68.7% | 40 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.2 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 42.4% | 6-19 | 32.5% | 13-19 | 67.9% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 76.9 | 36.5 | 28-58 | 47.6% | 4-15 | 30.5% | 17-25 | 67.3% | 42 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 64.5 | 31.5 | 23-58 | 40.5% | 7-21 | 31.6% | 11-16 | 69.5% | 30 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 70.3 | 33.6 | 25-56 | 44.2% | 7-20 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.8 | 28.1 | 22-59 | 37.0% | 6-22 | 28.8% | 11-15 | 72.0% | 32 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: PURDUE 74.8, MICHIGAN ST 75.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 12-10 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 15-7 straight up against PURDUE since 1997 | | 15 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| PURDUE is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 2-2 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 7-3 against the spread versus PURDUE since 1997 | | MICHIGAN ST is 9-1 straight up against PURDUE since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/8/2009 | PURDUE | 51 | 131.5 | Under | 31 | 17-60 | 28.3% | 4-23 | 17.4% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 32 | 10 | 12 | | | MICHIGAN ST | 62 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 18-51 | 35.3% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 22-32 | 68.7% | 50 | 14 | 18 | 2/17/2009 | MICHIGAN ST | 54 | 129 | Under | 23 | 18-55 | 32.7% | 2-8 | 25.0% | 16-20 | 80.0% | 36 | 14 | 22 | | | PURDUE | 72 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 26-54 | 48.1% | 6-22 | 27.3% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 31 | 5 | 13 | 2/12/2008 | MICHIGAN ST | 54 | 132 | Under | 18 | 21-45 | 46.7% | 0-5 | 0.0% | 12-18 | 66.7% | 32 | 4 | 17 | | | PURDUE | 60 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 21-56 | 37.5% | 7-24 | 29.2% | 11-14 | 78.6% | 31 | 8 | 11 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (154-143) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 46.8% of the time since 1997. (147-167) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 49.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-35) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (107-102) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 52.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 54.3% of the time since 1997. (144-121) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN ST games 44.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-46) | |
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| [C] 11/02/2009 - Aleksandar Marcius out indefinitely ( Foot ) | |
| [G] 02/02/2010 - Kalin Lucas injured last game, downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Illinois ( Ankle ) |
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