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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| TOLEDO | -20 |  | | E MICHIGAN | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points | 1-0 | 7-2 | 21-12 | 1-0 | 6-2 | 8-5 | 1-0 | 9-0 | 28-6 | | in all games | 5-1 | 19-12 | 89-76 | 2-3 | 17-13 | 59-51 | 5-1 | 22-10 | 155-87 | | in all lined games | 5-1 | 19-12 | 89-76 | 2-3 | 17-13 | 59-51 | 5-1 | 22-10 | 100-69 | | as a favorite | 2-1 | 11-7 | 57-36 | 1-1 | 10-6 | 27-20 | 3-0 | 16-2 | 75-20 | | as a road favorite | 0-0 | 3-1 | 17-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 23-10 | | as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 3-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 6-3 | | in road games | 3-0 | 11-4 | 38-42 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 23-33 | 2-1 | 10-5 | 61-54 | | in road lined games | 3-0 | 11-4 | 38-42 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 23-33 | 2-1 | 10-5 | 39-44 | | against conference opponents | 3-0 | 14-5 | 66-48 | 1-2 | 11-8 | 40-33 | 3-0 | 17-2 | 114-51 | | when playing on a Saturday | 5-1 | 14-6 | 67-52 | 2-3 | 10-9 | 38-29 | 5-1 | 15-5 | 127-63 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-1 | 12-7 | 58-49 | 2-2 | 11-7 | 39-28 | 5-0 | 16-3 | 112-52 | | after playing a conference game | 1-1 | 10-7 | 59-49 | 1-0 | 13-4 | 38-31 | 2-0 | 15-3 | 107-53 | | in games played on turf | 4-1 | 13-10 | 63-45 | 2-2 | 13-9 | 49-31 | 5-0 | 16-8 | 81-40 | | in October games | 1-0 | 6-4 | 27-28 | 1-0 | 6-4 | 16-15 | 1-0 | 8-2 | 54-26 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-1 | 9-6 | 39-33 | 1-0 | 12-3 | 24-19 | 2-0 | 13-3 | 52-24 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 2-1 | 6-6 | 26-30 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 17-15 | 3-0 | 9-4 | 61-32 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 6-2 | 37-24 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 19-11 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 67-19 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 2-0 | 7-4 | 30-34 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 18-19 | 2-0 | 9-2 | 60-32 |
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| as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points | 0-0 | 6-2 | 27-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12-32 | | in all games | 1-4 | 12-15 | 67-86 | 3-1 | 16-11 | 41-44 | 0-5 | 8-21 | 64-169 | | in all lined games | 1-4 | 12-15 | 67-86 | 3-1 | 16-11 | 41-44 | 0-5 | 8-21 | 36-121 | | as an underdog | 1-3 | 10-12 | 59-72 | 3-1 | 14-9 | 37-38 | 0-4 | 4-19 | 22-111 | | as a home underdog of 10.5 to 14 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-5 | | in home games | 0-2 | 4-8 | 26-37 | 1-0 | 6-5 | 14-19 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 40-66 | | in home lined games | 0-2 | 4-8 | 26-37 | 1-0 | 6-5 | 14-19 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 23-42 | | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 8-9 | 55-54 | 2-0 | 11-7 | 28-30 | 0-2 | 6-12 | 52-111 | | when playing on a Saturday | 1-3 | 10-13 | 60-77 | 2-1 | 14-10 | 33-38 | 0-4 | 7-18 | 58-155 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 1-1 | 9-11 | 54-66 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 32-35 | 0-2 | 7-15 | 50-132 | | after playing a conference game | 0-1 | 6-9 | 43-55 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 26-23 | 0-1 | 4-11 | 45-111 | | in games played on turf | 0-3 | 6-11 | 39-54 | 2-0 | 10-6 | 26-31 | 0-3 | 6-12 | 29-82 | | in October games | 0-1 | 3-6 | 24-28 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 13-17 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 24-57 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 5-4 | 33-36 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 19-18 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 22-53 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 1-2 | 4-6 | 36-42 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 23-23 | 0-3 | 3-8 | 28-84 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-1 | 3-5 | 18-22 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 13-13 | 0-2 | 1-8 | 6-51 | | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 26-32 | 1-0 | 7-3 | 14-19 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 26-63 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 5-1 | +3.6 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 33.8 | 17.0 | 445.0 | (5.8) | 1.0 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 451.8 | (6.1) | 2.2 | | Road Games | 2-1 | +1.6 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 29.3 | 17.0 | 461.0 | (5.6) | 0.3 | 24.0 | 12.3 | 518.3 | (6.7) | 3.3 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +2 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 41.7 | 18.0 | 452.0 | (6.4) | 1.3 | 26.7 | 14.0 | 403.3 | (5.4) | 2.0 | | Turf Games | 5-0 | +4.6 | 4-1 | 2-2 | 37.2 | 17.6 | 462.4 | (6.3) | 1.0 | 25.2 | 13.0 | 417.4 | (5.8) | 2.0 | | Conference Games | 3-0 | +3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 38.0 | 18.0 | 468.7 | (6.6) | 1.3 | 22.3 | 10.3 | 376.3 | (5.4) | 2.3 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 33.8 | 17.0 | 23.7 | 31:37 | 39-178 | (4.6) | 24-38 | 62.8% | 267 | (7.1) | 77-445 | (5.8) | (13.2) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 31.6 | 16 | 20.8 | 31:55 | 38-171 | (4.5) | 22-34 | 63.2% | 248 | (7.2) | 73-419 | (5.8) | (13.2) | | Offense Road Games | 29.3 | 17.0 | 26.3 | 33:29 | 43-214 | (5) | 23-40 | 56.2% | 247 | (6.1) | 83-461 | (5.6) | (15.7) | | Defense (All Games) | 25.0 | 12.5 | 23.2 | 28:23 | 32-142 | (4.4) | 27-42 | 63.5% | 310 | (7.4) | 74-452 | (6.1) | (18.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.4 | 14 | 22.9 | 30:24 | 35-138 | (4) | 25-41 | 60.9% | 291 | (7.1) | 76-429 | (5.7) | (15.1) | | Defense Road Games | 24.0 | 12.3 | 26.0 | 26:31 | 36-198 | (5.6) | 26-42 | 62.4% | 320 | (7.7) | 77-518 | (6.7) | (21.6) |
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| All Games | 0-5 | -3.6 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 15.4 | 10.0 | 262.0 | (4.6) | 2.4 | 37.2 | 15.2 | 487.6 | (6.1) | 1.4 | | Home Games | 0-2 | -2.6 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 14.0 | 10.5 | 224.0 | (4.7) | 3.5 | 36.0 | 13.5 | 419.0 | (5.4) | 1.5 | | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 12.3 | 7.7 | 232.0 | (4.3) | 2.0 | 39.3 | 17.7 | 490.3 | (6.5) | 1.3 | | Turf Games | 0-3 | -3.6 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 18.0 | 11.3 | 271.3 | (5) | 2.7 | 36.3 | 13.3 | 478.0 | (5.7) | 1.3 | | Conference Games | 0-2 | -2 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 283.0 | (5.4) | 1.5 | 39.0 | 15.0 | 531.5 | (6) | 1.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 15.4 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 23:54 | 31-121 | (4) | 12-26 | 47.3% | 141 | (5.4) | 57-262 | (4.6) | (17) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 23.7 | 13.9 | 17.8 | 26:06 | 34-130 | (3.9) | 18-32 | 56.9% | 220 | (6.8) | 66-350 | (5.3) | (14.8) | | Offense Home Games | 14.0 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 19:32 | 26-105 | (4) | 10-21 | 47.6% | 119 | (5.7) | 47-224 | (4.7) | (16) | | Defense (All Games) | 37.2 | 15.2 | 25.6 | 35:48 | 50-305 | (6.1) | 18-29 | 60.5% | 182 | (6.2) | 80-488 | (6.1) | (13.1) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 31.2 | 15.1 | 22.8 | 34:35 | 43-187 | (4.4) | 21-34 | 61.5% | 227 | (6.6) | 77-413 | (5.4) | (13.3) | | Defense Home Games | 36.0 | 13.5 | 24.0 | 39:43 | 55-268 | (4.9) | 14-23 | 60.9% | 150 | (6.5) | 78-419 | (5.4) | (11.6) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 24.2, E MICHIGAN 25.6 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 8/30/2012 | @ BALL ST | 26-37 | L | 3 | L | 55.5 | O | 33-180 | 15-34-186 | 1 | 55-329 | 26-41-267 | 1 | | 9/8/2012 | ILLINOIS ST | 14-31 | L | -3 | L | | - | 32-103 | 11-25-145 | 5 | 53-216 | 14-22-155 | 2 | | 9/15/2012 | @ PURDUE | 16-54 | L | 23.5 | L | 49.5 | O | 38-169 | 14-29-144 | 3 | 42-392 | 19-31-184 | 2 | | 9/22/2012 | @ MICHIGAN ST | 7-23 | L | 31.5 | W | 47 | U | 29-46 | 13-26-137 | 1 | 44-269 | 16-29-159 | 1 | | 10/6/2012 | KENT ST | 14-41 | L | 3 | L | 47 | O | 21-107 | 9-17-93 | 2 | 57-321 | 14-24-146 | 1 | | 10/13/2012 | TOLEDO | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/20/2012 | ARMY | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/27/2012 | @ BOWLING GREEN | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/1/2012 | @ OHIO U | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | C MICHIGAN | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| TOLEDO is 10-4 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | TOLEDO is 16-4 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TOLEDO is 5-2 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | TOLEDO is 6-3 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1992 | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 10/8/2011 | E MICHIGAN | 16 | 52 | Over | 9 | 10 | 26:14 | 32-89 | 13-24 | 138 | 1 | 2 | 12-85 | | | TOLEDO | 54 | -20.5 | SU ATS | 23 | 26 | 33:46 | 43-240 | 27-31 | 302 | 1 | 0 | 5-43 | | 10/30/2010 | TOLEDO | 42 | -11.5 | SU ATS | 15 | 14 | 26:18 | 38-200 | 12-19 | 237 | 1 | 0 | 4-35 | | | E MICHIGAN | 7 | 56 | Under | 7 | 17 | 33:42 | 33-100 | 21-39 | 226 | 0 | 2 | 9-86 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (76-72) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 55.2% of the time since 1992. (74-60) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 65% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-7) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [DT] 10/07/2012 - Danny Farr "?" Saturday vs. Eastern Michigan ( Knee ) | | [DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles ) | | [DE] 10/07/2012 - Christian Smith out for season ( Knee ) | | [DE] 10/07/2012 - Keenen Gibbs "?" Saturday vs. Eastern Michigan ( Knee ) | |
| [LB] 10/07/2012 - Colin Weingrad "?" Saturday vs. Toledo ( Head ) |
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