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The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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when the line is +3 to -3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 23-22 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 13-21 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 24-22 | in all games | 2-2 | 13-16 | 110-115 | 2-2 | 15-12 | 56-75 | 3-2 | 14-16 | 115-126 | in all lined games | 2-2 | 13-16 | 110-115 | 2-2 | 15-12 | 56-75 | 3-2 | 14-16 | 105-125 | as an underdog | 2-0 | 7-10 | 65-70 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 34-44 | 1-2 | 4-14 | 38-101 | as a road underdog of 3 points or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | in road games | 2-0 | 6-5 | 46-56 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 25-31 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 35-70 | in road lined games | 2-0 | 6-5 | 46-56 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 25-31 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 35-70 | against conference opponents | 0-1 | 7-10 | 76-81 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 36-54 | 1-0 | 7-10 | 65-96 | when playing on a Saturday | 2-2 | 10-16 | 97-104 | 2-2 | 13-11 | 49-60 | 3-2 | 11-16 | 103-114 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 2-0 | 10-12 | 82-83 | 2-1 | 12-9 | 41-50 | 1-2 | 9-14 | 79-95 | after playing a conference game | 0-0 | 6-9 | 72-77 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 38-46 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 69-89 | in games played on a grass field | 1-2 | 11-15 | 96-100 | 2-1 | 13-11 | 49-66 | 3-1 | 13-14 | 104-108 | in October games | 0-1 | 3-7 | 35-41 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 16-24 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 36-42 | off a win against a conference rival | 0-0 | 3-3 | 26-37 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 18-25 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 30-34 | when playing against a team with a losing record | 0-0 | 3-3 | 32-27 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 38-22 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 40-45 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 19-26 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 42-46 |
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when the line is +3 to -3 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 19-26 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 18-20 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 20-25 | in all games | 0-6 | 11-19 | 110-126 | 3-2 | 11-16 | 71-87 | 2-4 | 14-17 | 141-109 | in all lined games | 0-6 | 11-19 | 110-126 | 3-2 | 11-16 | 71-87 | 2-4 | 13-17 | 131-108 | as a favorite | 0-2 | 5-6 | 58-70 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 30-35 | 2-0 | 9-2 | 96-34 | as a home favorite of 3 points or less | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7-4 | in home games | 0-3 | 6-10 | 58-59 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 30-44 | 2-1 | 10-7 | 88-40 | in home lined games | 0-3 | 6-10 | 58-59 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 30-44 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 78-39 | against conference opponents | 0-2 | 7-11 | 75-85 | 2-0 | 7-11 | 37-65 | 0-2 | 6-12 | 89-73 | when playing on a Saturday | 0-6 | 10-19 | 100-115 | 3-2 | 10-16 | 61-76 | 2-4 | 13-17 | 133-94 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 0-5 | 7-17 | 77-89 | 3-2 | 10-14 | 47-60 | 1-4 | 8-16 | 98-76 | after playing a conference game | 0-1 | 6-10 | 74-78 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 47-53 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 85-72 | in games played on a grass field | 0-6 | 10-18 | 96-107 | 3-2 | 10-15 | 61-83 | 2-4 | 14-15 | 122-95 | in October games | 0-1 | 4-6 | 34-43 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 17-34 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 44-36 | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-1 | 3-7 | 35-30 | 0-1 | 6-4 | 18-26 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 38-30 | after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses | 0-2 | 2-5 | 19-16 | 2-0 | 4-3 | 12-16 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 17-19 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-2 | 4-10 | 51-67 | 2-0 | 7-7 | 46-50 | 0-2 | 4-10 | 49-71 | in weeks 5 through 9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 39-48 | 2-0 | 6-5 | 22-36 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 52-39 |
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Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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All Games | 3-2 | +3.5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 20.8 | 12.0 | 274.0 | (4.2) | 3.2 | 20.4 | 10.8 | 257.2 | (4.1) | 1.6 | Road Games | 1-1 | +2.5 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 28.5 | 20.0 | 342.5 | (5.1) | 3.5 | 29.0 | 13.5 | 296.5 | (4.7) | 1.5 | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 20.3 | 11.3 | 266.7 | (4.1) | 2.7 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 275.7 | (4.3) | 1.0 | Grass Games | 3-1 | +3.5 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 20.7 | 11.5 | 254.7 | (3.9) | 3.2 | 17.7 | 7.5 | 230.7 | (3.8) | 2.0 | Conference Games | 1-0 | +1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 244.0 | (3.6) | 3.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 241.0 | (3.6) | 2.0 |
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Offense (All Games) | 20.8 | 12.0 | 15.6 | 31:43 | 40-86 | (2.2) | 14-25 | 57.3% | 188 | (7.6) | 65-274 | (4.2) | (13.2) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 22.7 | 11.4 | 18.5 | 30:23 | 40-135 | (3.4) | 18-30 | 59.8% | 217 | (7.3) | 70-352 | (5) | (15.5) | Offense Road Games | 28.5 | 20.0 | 18.5 | 32:23 | 41-95 | (2.3) | 15-25 | 60.8% | 247 | (9.7) | 67-342 | (5.1) | (12) | Defense (All Games) | 20.4 | 10.8 | 12.8 | 28:17 | 35-81 | (2.3) | 14-28 | 51.1% | 176 | (6.3) | 63-257 | (4.1) | (12.6) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 26.1 | 13.5 | 17.8 | 30:36 | 37-133 | (3.6) | 18-29 | 60.6% | 217 | (7.5) | 66-349 | (5.3) | (13.4) | Defense Road Games | 29.0 | 13.5 | 14.0 | 27:36 | 32-38 | (1.2) | 18-30 | 60.7% | 258 | (8.5) | 62-296 | (4.7) | (10.2) |
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All Games | 2-4 | -3.1 | 0-6 | 3-2 | 23.7 | 12.2 | 429.3 | (5.9) | 2.5 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 401.2 | (5.7) | 0.5 | Home Games | 2-1 | 0 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 32.7 | 16.3 | 488.3 | (6.5) | 2.3 | 26.3 | 11.0 | 327.0 | (4.4) | 0.0 | Last 3 Games | 0-3 | -3.1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 20.7 | 13.7 | 479.7 | (6.2) | 3.0 | 37.7 | 16.0 | 405.7 | (5.9) | 0.7 | Grass Games | 2-4 | -3.1 | 0-6 | 3-2 | 23.7 | 12.2 | 429.3 | (5.9) | 2.5 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 401.2 | (5.7) | 0.5 | Conference Games | 0-2 | -2.1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 379.0 | (5.3) | 2.0 | 49.0 | 24.5 | 494.0 | (7.6) | 0.5 |
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Offense (All Games) | 23.7 | 12.2 | 19.8 | 32:10 | 33-135 | (4) | 23-40 | 58.3% | 294 | (7.4) | 73-429 | (5.9) | (18.1) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 27.2 | 13.2 | 21.1 | 30:27 | 37-143 | (3.9) | 23-38 | 59.5% | 272 | (7.1) | 75-415 | (5.6) | (15.3) | Offense Home Games | 32.7 | 16.3 | 22.0 | 33:30 | 35-120 | (3.4) | 26-40 | 65.0% | 368 | (9.2) | 75-488 | (6.5) | (14.9) | Defense (All Games) | 34.0 | 16.0 | 19.3 | 27:50 | 37-182 | (5) | 19-33 | 57.8% | 219 | (6.6) | 70-401 | (5.7) | (11.8) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 34.1 | 17.5 | 21.3 | 29:29 | 38-169 | (4.4) | 21-34 | 63.0% | 247 | (7.3) | 72-416 | (5.8) | (12.2) | Defense Home Games | 26.3 | 11.0 | 18.7 | 26:30 | 34-105 | (3.1) | 23-41 | 55.7% | 222 | (5.5) | 75-327 | (4.4) | (12.4) |
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Average power rating of opponents played: MARYLAND 28.8, VIRGINIA 34.3 |
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Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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9/1/2012 | RICHMOND | 43-19 | W | -24.5 | L | | - | 42-184 | 30-43-361 | 0 | 21-28 | 24-43-238 | 0 | 9/8/2012 | PENN ST | 17-16 | W | -10 | L | 48 | U | 25-32 | 23-36-263 | 4 | 42-121 | 21-43-209 | 0 | 9/15/2012 | @ GEORGIA TECH | 20-56 | L | 10 | L | 52 | O | 28-98 | 21-33-199 | 2 | 50-461 | 7-12-133 | 1 | 9/22/2012 | @ TCU | 7-27 | L | 18 | L | 53 | U | 31-164 | 18-40-189 | 4 | 31-133 | 21-33-305 | 2 | 9/29/2012 | LOUISIANA TECH | 38-44 | L | 3.5 | L | 60 | O | 39-145 | 25-41-480 | 3 | 40-167 | 23-36-218 | 0 | 10/6/2012 | @ DUKE | 17-42 | L | 0 | L | 55 | O | 35-186 | 23-47-275 | 2 | 36-182 | 19-32-212 | 0 | 10/13/2012 | MARYLAND | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10/20/2012 | WAKE FOREST | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/3/2012 | @ NC STATE | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/10/2012 | MIAMI | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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VIRGINIA is 11-9 against the spread versus MARYLAND since 1992 | VIRGINIA is 15-5 straight up against MARYLAND since 1992 | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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VIRGINIA is 6-4 against the spread versus MARYLAND since 1992 | VIRGINIA is 8-2 straight up against MARYLAND since 1992 | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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MARYLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | MARYLAND is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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11/5/2011 | VIRGINIA | 31 | -3 | SU ATS | 14 | 24 | 34:10 | 45-220 | 23-36 | 307 | 2 | 1 | 5-40 | | MARYLAND | 13 | 52.5 | Under | 13 | 16 | 25:50 | 22-84 | 20-43 | 269 | 2 | 3 | 4-25 | 11/13/2010 | MARYLAND | 42 | -3 | SU ATS | 21 | 20 | 30:46 | 36-136 | 17-28 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 8-60 | | VIRGINIA | 23 | 52.5 | Over | 20 | 23 | 29:14 | 27-92 | 27-48 | 290 | 0 | 2 | 16-145 |
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Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MARYLAND games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (92-98) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MARYLAND games 59.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-11) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (98-107) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 46.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-14) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
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[QB] 08/15/2012 - C.J. Brown out for season ( Knee ) | [DL] 09/12/2012 - Andre Monroe out for season ( Knee ) | [K] 10/03/2012 - Nick Ferrara out indefinitely ( Hip ) | [DB] 10/07/2012 - A.J. Hendy "?" Saturday vs. Virginia ( Ankle ) | |
[LB] 08/31/2012 - Adam Caplinger out for season ( Knee ) | [OT] 08/31/2012 - Tim Cwalina out for season ( Heart ) | [DE] 08/31/2012 - Marco Jones out for season ( Knee ) | [FS] 08/31/2012 - David Marrs out for season ( Knee ) | [QB] 10/07/2012 - Phillip Sims injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Shoulder ) | [DE] 10/07/2012 - Bill Schautz "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Undisclosed ) | [WR] 10/07/2012 - Tim Smith "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Lower Body ) |
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