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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 2-3 | 6-6 | 26-27 | 4-1 | 6-6 | 18-23 | 3-2 | 9-3 | 39-15 | | in all games | 5-5 | 18-17 | 120-120 | 7-2 | 18-15 | 77-81 | 6-4 | 21-15 | 139-114 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 6-4 | 43-34 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 24-31 | 1-1 | 7-4 | 49-34 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-1 | 4-3 | 23-29 | 2-0 | 5-2 | 12-9 | 1-1 | 5-2 | 43-11 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 33-38 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 17-26 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 40-31 | | in all lined games | 5-5 | 18-17 | 120-120 | 7-2 | 18-15 | 77-81 | 6-4 | 20-15 | 129-113 | | as a favorite | 5-4 | 14-11 | 60-69 | 6-2 | 11-12 | 32-43 | 6-3 | 18-7 | 95-36 | | as a road favorite | 0-3 | 3-5 | 21-22 | 2-1 | 3-5 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 32-11 | | as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-3 | | in road games | 0-4 | 5-9 | 55-53 | 3-1 | 7-7 | 36-35 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 49-59 | | in road lined games | 0-4 | 5-9 | 55-53 | 3-1 | 7-7 | 36-35 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 49-59 | | against conference opponents | 2-4 | 9-13 | 81-84 | 5-1 | 13-9 | 50-56 | 3-3 | 10-12 | 82-84 | | when playing on a Thursday | 0-0 | 2-0 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7-5 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 4-4 | 12-14 | 87-89 | 6-2 | 12-14 | 55-57 | 5-3 | 17-10 | 101-82 | | after playing a conference game | 1-4 | 8-12 | 81-74 | 4-1 | 11-9 | 49-55 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 92-71 | | in games played on a grass field | 5-3 | 17-14 | 109-113 | 5-2 | 14-15 | 67-75 | 6-2 | 21-11 | 129-105 | | in November games | 0-1 | 3-5 | 34-37 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 18-25 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 40-31 |
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| as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-2 | 2-7 | 23-28 | 2-0 | 4-5 | 20-26 | 0-2 | 1-8 | 16-35 | | in all games | 1-9 | 12-22 | 111-129 | 5-4 | 13-18 | 73-89 | 4-6 | 16-19 | 143-111 | | off a win against a conference rival | 0-1 | 3-4 | 39-49 | 1-0 | 2-5 | 30-27 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 48-42 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 0-1 | 2-5 | 31-43 | 1-0 | 2-5 | 22-27 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 42-34 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-4 | 5-12 | 52-69 | 4-1 | 9-8 | 48-51 | 2-3 | 6-11 | 51-72 | | in weeks 10 through 13 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 29-38 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 22-25 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 32-35 | | in all lined games | 1-9 | 12-22 | 111-129 | 5-4 | 13-18 | 73-89 | 4-6 | 15-19 | 133-110 | | as an underdog | 1-4 | 7-13 | 53-56 | 3-2 | 9-11 | 41-53 | 1-4 | 5-15 | 36-74 | | as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-1 | 0-4 | 10-8 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 9-9 | | in home games | 0-6 | 6-13 | 58-62 | 3-2 | 6-10 | 32-45 | 3-3 | 11-9 | 89-42 | | in home lined games | 0-6 | 6-13 | 58-62 | 3-2 | 6-10 | 32-45 | 3-3 | 10-9 | 79-41 | | against conference opponents | 1-5 | 8-14 | 76-88 | 4-2 | 9-13 | 39-67 | 2-4 | 8-14 | 91-75 | | when playing on a Thursday | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-6 | | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 0-8 | 7-20 | 77-92 | 5-3 | 12-15 | 49-61 | 2-6 | 9-18 | 99-78 | | after playing a conference game | 1-4 | 7-13 | 75-81 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 49-55 | 2-3 | 7-13 | 87-74 | | in games played on a grass field | 1-9 | 11-21 | 97-110 | 5-4 | 12-17 | 63-85 | 4-6 | 16-17 | 124-97 | | in November games | 1-1 | 5-5 | 32-40 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 24-28 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 34-38 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 6-4 | -8.8 | 5-5 | 7-2 | 40.5 | 22.0 | 488.7 | (6.5) | 1.6 | 25.7 | 16.6 | 392.1 | (5.2) | 2.2 | | Road Games | 1-3 | -8.2 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 27.2 | 10.5 | 434.5 | (5.9) | 1.7 | 28.5 | 21.0 | 453.2 | (5.7) | 1.2 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -6.8 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 41.0 | 20.0 | 493.7 | (6.6) | 2.0 | 45.3 | 25.3 | 544.0 | (6.5) | 2.0 | | Grass Games | 6-2 | -3.8 | 5-3 | 5-2 | 43.0 | 24.9 | 506.1 | (6.6) | 1.5 | 23.7 | 13.6 | 379.1 | (5) | 2.5 | | Conference Games | 3-3 | -8.8 | 2-4 | 5-1 | 36.0 | 19.5 | 488.0 | (6.3) | 1.7 | 35.3 | 20.7 | 477.8 | (5.9) | 1.8 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 40.5 | 22.0 | 24.0 | 27:02 | 39-201 | (5.2) | 23-36 | 63.1% | 288 | (7.9) | 75-489 | (6.5) | (12.1) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 32.8 | 18.2 | 21.5 | 30:38 | 40-176 | (4.5) | 19-32 | 60.2% | 254 | (7.8) | 72-430 | (6) | (13.1) | | Offense Road Games | 27.2 | 10.5 | 23.5 | 26:11 | 35-163 | (4.6) | 23-38 | 61.0% | 271 | (7) | 74-434 | (5.9) | (15.9) | | Defense (All Games) | 25.7 | 16.6 | 21.2 | 32:58 | 39-138 | (3.5) | 21-35 | 59.2% | 254 | (7.2) | 75-392 | (5.2) | (15.3) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 24.8 | 13.6 | 18.9 | 30:30 | 36-136 | (3.8) | 20-34 | 58.9% | 233 | (6.8) | 71-369 | (5.2) | (14.9) | | Defense Road Games | 28.5 | 21.0 | 26.2 | 33:49 | 44-165 | (3.8) | 24-35 | 66.9% | 288 | (8.1) | 79-453 | (5.7) | (15.9) |
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| All Games | 4-6 | -1.8 | 1-9 | 5-4 | 24.6 | 12.7 | 419.1 | (5.5) | 2.2 | 29.3 | 14.7 | 349.1 | (5.2) | 1.0 | | Home Games | 3-3 | -1.8 | 0-6 | 3-2 | 28.2 | 14.5 | 439.0 | (5.7) | 2.2 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 308.2 | (4.6) | 0.3 | | Last 3 Games | 2-1 | +2.6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 409.7 | (5.1) | 1.7 | 20.7 | 11.3 | 283.0 | (4.4) | 2.0 | | Grass Games | 4-6 | -1.8 | 1-9 | 5-4 | 24.6 | 12.7 | 419.1 | (5.5) | 2.2 | 29.3 | 14.7 | 349.1 | (5.2) | 1.0 | | Conference Games | 2-4 | -0.8 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 23.5 | 13.0 | 395.5 | (5.1) | 1.8 | 31.2 | 16.7 | 345.3 | (5.5) | 1.3 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 24.6 | 12.7 | 20.4 | 32:56 | 35-137 | (3.9) | 24-40 | 59.3% | 282 | (7) | 76-419 | (5.5) | (17) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 29.1 | 14.8 | 21.1 | 30:22 | 39-156 | (4) | 21-35 | 59.7% | 263 | (7.5) | 74-419 | (5.7) | (14.4) | | Offense Home Games | 28.2 | 14.5 | 21.3 | 33:22 | 35-112 | (3.2) | 26-42 | 63.2% | 327 | (7.9) | 77-439 | (5.7) | (15.6) | | Defense (All Games) | 29.3 | 14.7 | 17.5 | 27:04 | 35-145 | (4.2) | 18-32 | 56.0% | 204 | (6.4) | 66-349 | (5.2) | (11.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 29.5 | 15.4 | 20.6 | 30:36 | 38-147 | (3.9) | 21-35 | 59.6% | 245 | (7) | 73-393 | (5.4) | (13.3) | | Defense Home Games | 27.0 | 14.0 | 16.3 | 26:38 | 34-109 | (3.2) | 18-32 | 55.4% | 199 | (6.1) | 67-308 | (4.6) | (11.4) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: N CAROLINA 29.4, VIRGINIA 33.9 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 9/22/2012 | E CAROLINA | 27-6 | W | -14.5 | W | 63.5 | U | 29-129 | 27-43-321 | 0 | 33-109 | 17-30-124 | 1 | | 9/29/2012 | IDAHO | 66-0 | W | -27 | W | 60 | O | 53-287 | 17-26-288 | 2 | 28-80 | 19-36-109 | 5 | | 10/6/2012 | VIRGINIA TECH | 48-34 | W | -6 | W | 52 | O | 45-339 | 17-30-194 | 1 | 25-40 | 26-49-354 | 2 | | 10/13/2012 | @ MIAMI | 18-14 | W | -7.5 | L | 71 | U | 44-272 | 25-40-214 | 1 | 45-180 | 21-39-235 | 2 | | 10/20/2012 | @ DUKE | 30-33 | L | -10.5 | L | 62.5 | O | 38-177 | 20-33-237 | 2 | 53-234 | 23-36-276 | 1 | | 10/27/2012 | NC STATE | 43-35 | W | -7.5 | W | 55 | O | 39-212 | 30-47-358 | 2 | 31-67 | 29-52-467 | 4 | | 11/10/2012 | GEORGIA TECH | 50-68 | L | -8.5 | L | 65 | O | 34-147 | 24-35-350 | 2 | 67-380 | 7-12-208 | 1 | | 11/15/2012 | @ VIRGINIA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | MARYLAND | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 9/22/2012 | @ TCU | 7-27 | L | 18 | L | 53 | U | 31-164 | 18-40-189 | 4 | 31-133 | 21-33-305 | 2 | | 9/29/2012 | LOUISIANA TECH | 38-44 | L | 3.5 | L | 60 | O | 39-145 | 25-41-480 | 3 | 40-167 | 23-36-218 | 0 | | 10/6/2012 | @ DUKE | 17-42 | L | 0 | L | 55 | O | 35-186 | 23-47-275 | 2 | 36-182 | 19-32-212 | 0 | | 10/13/2012 | MARYLAND | 20-27 | L | -2 | L | 44 | O | 42-168 | 18-39-218 | 2 | 29--2 | 14-26-237 | 1 | | 10/20/2012 | WAKE FOREST | 10-16 | L | -3 | L | 51 | U | 32-48 | 22-39-253 | 3 | 41-105 | 8-21-108 | 0 | | 11/3/2012 | @ NC STATE | 33-6 | W | 10.5 | W | 52.5 | U | 48-248 | 20-35-198 | 1 | 24-19 | 23-46-197 | 5 | | 11/10/2012 | MIAMI | 41-40 | W | -2 | L | 54 | O | 33-94 | 40-52-388 | 1 | 33-233 | 18-26-187 | 1 | | 11/15/2012 | N CAROLINA | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ VIRGINIA TECH | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| VIRGINIA is 14-6 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992 | | VIRGINIA is 13-7 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992 | | 11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| VIRGINIA is 9-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1992 | | VIRGINIA is 9-1 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1992 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
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| N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| 9/17/2011 | VIRGINIA | 17 | 48 | Under | 3 | 23 | 30:59 | 34-170 | 23-41 | 298 | 1 | 2 | 6-58 | | | N CAROLINA | 28 | -10 | SU ATS | 14 | 22 | 29:01 | 41-222 | 16-23 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 3-40 | | 10/16/2010 | N CAROLINA | 44 | -6 | SU ATS | 27 | 19 | 28:22 | 35-140 | 18-23 | 339 | 1 | 0 | 9-84 | | | VIRGINIA | 10 | 46 | Over | 10 | 19 | 31:38 | 42-151 | 18-34 | 184 | 0 | 5 | 8-63 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 56.5% of the time since 1992. (118-91) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-14) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (101-108) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-15) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [WR] 07/24/2012 - Todd Harrelson dismissed from team ( Suspension ) | | [WR] 08/09/2012 - T.J. Thorpe out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [T] 11/11/2012 - T.J. Leifheit "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Ankle ) | | [LB] 11/11/2012 - Darius Lipford "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Knee ) | | [LB] 09/13/2012 - Keeon Virgile out indefinitely ( Undisclosed ) | | [RB] 10/05/2012 - Travis Riley out for season ( Knee ) | | [FB] 11/11/2012 - Conner Gonet "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed ) | | [PK] 11/11/2012 - Miller Snyder "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed ) | | [DT] 10/22/2012 - Tim Jackson out 2-3 weeks ( Leg ) | | [LB] 11/11/2012 - Shakeel Rashad "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Suspension ) | | [T] 11/11/2012 - Brennan Williams "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed ) | | [TE] 11/11/2012 - Sean Fitzpatrick "?" Thursday vs. Virginia ( Undisclosed ) | |
| [LB] 08/31/2012 - Adam Caplinger out for season ( Knee ) | | [OT] 08/31/2012 - Tim Cwalina out for season ( Heart ) | | [DE] 08/31/2012 - Marco Jones out for season ( Knee ) | | [FS] 08/31/2012 - David Marrs out for season ( Knee ) | | [S] 10/12/2012 - Pablo Alvarez out for season ( Undisclosed ) | | [WR] 10/12/2012 - Mario Nixon out for season ( Undisclosed ) | | [TE] 11/11/2012 - Jeremiah Mathis "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Disciplinary ) | | [WR] 11/11/2012 - Brian Pomper "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) | | [DE] 11/11/2012 - Diamonte Bailey "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Illness ) | | [T] 11/11/2012 - Nick Koutris "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) | | [FB] 11/11/2012 - Sammy MacFarlane "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) | | [PK] 11/11/2012 - Ian Frye "?" Thursday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) |
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