|
|
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
---|
|
|
|
NORTHWESTERN | | | MICHIGAN ST | -11 | |
|
|
|
All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
---|
|
|
|
|
|
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 2-0 | 6-8 | 39-22 | 1-1 | 9-5 | 26-22 | 0-2 | 2-12 | 26-35 | in all games | 9-1 | 18-18 | 127-114 | 4-5 | 18-16 | 73-81 | 7-3 | 20-16 | 119-130 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 35-32 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 31-36 | in all lined games | 9-1 | 18-18 | 127-114 | 4-5 | 18-16 | 73-81 | 7-3 | 20-16 | 114-128 | as an underdog | 4-1 | 9-10 | 90-72 | 3-2 | 12-7 | 53-55 | 2-3 | 5-14 | 52-111 | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9-8 | in road games | 3-1 | 8-8 | 64-47 | 3-1 | 10-6 | 31-36 | 2-2 | 9-7 | 51-62 | in road lined games | 3-1 | 8-8 | 64-47 | 3-1 | 10-6 | 31-36 | 2-2 | 9-7 | 50-62 | against conference opponents | 5-1 | 9-13 | 86-78 | 3-3 | 13-9 | 51-58 | 3-3 | 9-13 | 71-95 | when playing on a Saturday | 9-1 | 18-18 | 116-110 | 4-5 | 18-16 | 65-75 | 7-3 | 20-16 | 114-120 | when playing with 6 or less days rest | 7-1 | 13-15 | 98-96 | 2-5 | 12-14 | 56-65 | 6-2 | 17-11 | 98-99 | after playing a conference game | 4-1 | 9-12 | 84-77 | 2-3 | 11-10 | 49-55 | 2-3 | 7-14 | 70-93 | in games played on a grass field | 6-1 | 11-15 | 80-85 | 2-4 | 13-11 | 53-60 | 5-2 | 14-12 | 80-91 | in November games | 1-0 | 4-5 | 35-32 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 14-27 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 31-36 | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-0 | 5-7 | 52-40 | 0-2 | 7-5 | 23-28 | 2-0 | 5-7 | 39-54 |
|
|
|
|
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-3 | 3-4 | 26-27 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 21-17 | 1-2 | 5-2 | 38-15 | in all games | 3-7 | 20-17 | 117-127 | 2-7 | 15-20 | 103-86 | 5-5 | 27-10 | 139-112 | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-1 | 3-3 | 28-51 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 33-29 | 2-1 | 5-1 | 39-40 | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-3 | 14-6 | 59-59 | 1-4 | 8-12 | 55-47 | 1-4 | 12-8 | 49-70 | in weeks 10 through 13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 32-33 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 29-18 | 0-1 | 7-1 | 33-33 | in all lined games | 3-7 | 20-17 | 117-127 | 2-7 | 15-20 | 103-86 | 5-5 | 27-10 | 134-111 | as a favorite | 1-7 | 12-13 | 61-72 | 2-5 | 10-13 | 45-49 | 4-4 | 21-4 | 98-36 | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 14-6 | in home games | 0-6 | 9-11 | 63-66 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 49-54 | 2-4 | 16-4 | 92-44 | in home lined games | 0-6 | 9-11 | 63-66 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 49-54 | 2-4 | 16-4 | 87-43 | against conference opponents | 2-4 | 14-9 | 81-84 | 2-4 | 10-13 | 71-53 | 2-4 | 16-7 | 85-81 | when playing on a Saturday | 3-6 | 19-15 | 114-117 | 2-6 | 14-18 | 99-77 | 4-5 | 24-10 | 134-104 | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 12-22 | after playing a conference game | 2-3 | 13-9 | 75-90 | 2-3 | 11-11 | 70-52 | 2-3 | 15-7 | 81-84 | after a bye week | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 12-21 | in games played on a grass field | 0-6 | 15-14 | 45-51 | 1-5 | 13-15 | 49-35 | 2-4 | 22-7 | 46-51 | in November games | 0-1 | 4-4 | 33-33 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 30-18 | 0-1 | 7-1 | 34-33 |
|
|
|
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
---|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 7-3 | +3.4 | 9-1 | 4-5 | 30.5 | 16.1 | 402.0 | (5.5) | 1.0 | 23.9 | 8.0 | 396.3 | (5.3) | 1.7 | Road Games | 2-2 | +0.1 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 30.5 | 17.5 | 322.5 | (4.9) | 0.7 | 32.7 | 11.7 | 446.2 | (5.4) | 2.2 | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 388.3 | (5.5) | 1.0 | 28.0 | 9.0 | 432.7 | (5.8) | 1.7 | Grass Games | 5-2 | +2.4 | 6-1 | 2-4 | 30.1 | 15.0 | 425.3 | (5.6) | 1.1 | 21.0 | 6.1 | 374.4 | (5.1) | 1.3 | Conference Games | 3-3 | 0 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 30.0 | 16.2 | 398.5 | (5.7) | 1.2 | 27.5 | 7.8 | 415.5 | (5.4) | 1.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Offense (All Games) | 30.5 | 16.1 | 22.4 | 29:40 | 46-238 | (5.2) | 17-27 | 63.1% | 164 | (6) | 73-402 | (5.5) | (13.2) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 25 | 13.6 | 19.9 | 31:48 | 41-184 | (4.5) | 17-29 | 58.9% | 190 | (6.5) | 71-374 | (5.3) | (14.9) | Offense Road Games | 30.5 | 17.5 | 18.7 | 27:08 | 39-173 | (4.4) | 17-26 | 64.2% | 149 | (5.6) | 66-322 | (4.9) | (10.6) | Defense (All Games) | 23.9 | 8.0 | 22.2 | 30:20 | 34-124 | (3.6) | 24-40 | 60.2% | 273 | (6.8) | 74-396 | (5.3) | (16.6) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 25.2 | 12.7 | 20.2 | 29:19 | 36-149 | (4.1) | 19-33 | 58.4% | 234 | (7.1) | 69-383 | (5.5) | (15.2) | Defense Road Games | 32.7 | 11.7 | 26.2 | 32:51 | 38-144 | (3.8) | 28-44 | 63.1% | 302 | (6.9) | 82-446 | (5.4) | (13.6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Games | 5-5 | -4.2 | 3-7 | 2-7 | 19.7 | 8.4 | 360.4 | (4.9) | 1.2 | 16.3 | 9.8 | 288.0 | (4.5) | 1.4 | Home Games | 2-4 | -7.1 | 0-6 | 1-5 | 16.5 | 7.2 | 353.0 | (4.8) | 1.5 | 17.3 | 9.7 | 300.3 | (4.6) | 1.7 | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -0.3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 16.7 | 5.7 | 314.0 | (4.7) | 1.3 | 17.7 | 9.0 | 329.7 | (5) | 1.3 | Grass Games | 2-4 | -7.1 | 0-6 | 1-5 | 16.5 | 7.2 | 353.0 | (4.8) | 1.5 | 17.3 | 9.7 | 300.3 | (4.6) | 1.7 | Conference Games | 2-4 | -4.2 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 18.8 | 7.3 | 330.5 | (4.7) | 0.8 | 19.3 | 10.7 | 324.3 | (4.9) | 1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Offense (All Games) | 19.7 | 8.4 | 19.2 | 32:53 | 37-142 | (3.9) | 20-36 | 54.7% | 218 | (6) | 73-360 | (4.9) | (18.3) | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 23.8 | 11.5 | 19.5 | 30:07 | 38-168 | (4.4) | 18-31 | 58.1% | 201 | (6.4) | 70-369 | (5.3) | (15.5) | Offense Home Games | 16.5 | 7.2 | 18.5 | 32:22 | 37-159 | (4.2) | 17-35 | 49.1% | 194 | (5.5) | 73-353 | (4.8) | (21.4) | Defense (All Games) | 16.3 | 9.8 | 15.3 | 27:06 | 31-113 | (3.6) | 17-32 | 52.9% | 175 | (5.4) | 64-288 | (4.5) | (17.7) | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 29.4 | 14.8 | 20.4 | 30:52 | 39-186 | (4.8) | 17-29 | 58.6% | 211 | (7.2) | 68-397 | (5.8) | (13.5) | Defense Home Games | 17.3 | 9.7 | 15.7 | 27:37 | 34-141 | (4.1) | 15-31 | 50.3% | 159 | (5.2) | 65-300 | (4.6) | (17.3) |
|
|
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 34.4, MICHIGAN ST 39.6 |
|
|
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
---|
|
|
|
|
9/22/2012 | S DAKOTA | 38-7 | W | -28.5 | W | | - | 53-277 | 12-15-131 | 0 | 23-51 | 17-33-189 | 1 | 9/29/2012 | INDIANA | 44-29 | W | -11.5 | W | 60.5 | O | 58-394 | 23-35-310 | 3 | 28-159 | 22-39-266 | 1 | 10/6/2012 | @ PENN ST | 28-39 | L | 3 | L | 49 | O | 25-112 | 21-36-135 | 1 | 48-161 | 35-51-282 | 1 | 10/13/2012 | @ MINNESOTA | 21-13 | W | -3 | W | 54 | U | 34-208 | 11-17-67 | 0 | 42-158 | 16-30-169 | 3 | 10/20/2012 | NEBRASKA | 28-29 | L | 7 | W | 62.5 | U | 38-180 | 16-37-121 | 0 | 44-201 | 27-39-342 | 3 | 10/27/2012 | IOWA | 28-17 | W | -4 | W | 47 | U | 49-349 | 7-10-84 | 2 | 40-122 | 24-38-214 | 0 | 11/10/2012 | @ MICHIGAN | 31-38 | L | 8.5 | W | 51 | O | 58-248 | 14-21-183 | 1 | 32-133 | 16-30-286 | 2 | 11/17/2012 | @ MICHIGAN ST | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | ILLINOIS | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
9/22/2012 | E MICHIGAN | 23-7 | W | -31.5 | L | 47 | U | 44-269 | 16-29-159 | 1 | 29-46 | 13-26-137 | 1 | 9/29/2012 | OHIO ST | 16-17 | L | -3 | L | 41.5 | U | 22-34 | 22-42-269 | 0 | 44-204 | 16-23-179 | 3 | 10/6/2012 | @ INDIANA | 31-27 | W | -15 | L | 49 | O | 42-120 | 24-40-290 | 0 | 19-35 | 33-48-282 | 0 | 10/13/2012 | IOWA | 16-19 | L | -8 | L | 39 | U | 39-149 | 12-31-179 | 1 | 34-123 | 19-36-134 | 1 | 10/20/2012 | @ MICHIGAN | 10-12 | L | 8 | W | 43.5 | U | 31-112 | 21-34-192 | 1 | 32-163 | 14-30-163 | 1 | 10/27/2012 | @ WISCONSIN | 16-13 | W | 5.5 | W | 41 | U | 28-61 | 24-39-216 | 1 | 37-19 | 14-22-171 | 0 | 11/3/2012 | NEBRASKA | 24-28 | L | -1 | L | 44.5 | O | 43-238 | 9-27-123 | 2 | 40-313 | 16-36-160 | 3 | 11/17/2012 | NORTHWESTERN | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11/24/2012 | @ MINNESOTA | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|
|
|
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
---|
|
|
NORTHWESTERN is 9-7 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1992 | MICHIGAN ST is 11-5 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1992 | 5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
| |
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
NORTHWESTERN is 6-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST since 1992 | MICHIGAN ST is 4-3 straight up against NORTHWESTERN since 1992 | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992 |
| |
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11/26/2011 | MICHIGAN ST | 31 | -5.5 | SU ATS | 17 | 20 | 29:10 | 36-166 | 14-20 | 214 | 0 | 1 | 8-66 | | NORTHWESTERN | 17 | 53 | Under | 3 | 21 | 30:18 | 41-117 | 24-34 | 253 | 1 | 0 | 6-70 | 10/23/2010 | MICHIGAN ST | 35 | -4.5 | SU ATS | 7 | 24 | 30:44 | 26-105 | 30-44 | 352 | 1 | 0 | 4-30 | | NORTHWESTERN | 27 | 51 | Over | 17 | 22 | 29:16 | 47-170 | 19-30 | 215 | 1 | 1 | 6-66 |
|
|
|
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
---|
|
|
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 45.5% of the time since 1992. (95-114) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 35.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-22) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1992. (108-102) | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN ST games 37.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-20) | |
No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
[DE] 10/01/2012 - Ifaedi Odenigbo out for season ( Undisclosed ) | [LB] 10/01/2012 - Roderick Goodlow out for season ( Undisclosed ) | [DB] 11/11/2012 - Nick VanHoose "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Shoulder ) | [QB] 11/11/2012 - Kain Colter injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Ankle ) | [RB] 11/11/2012 - Venric Mark injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Michigan State ( Shoulder ) | |
[DE] 08/30/2012 - Taylor Calero has left team ( Personal ) | [NT] 08/31/2012 - Brandon Clemons out for season ( Foot ) | [T] 09/16/2012 - Fou Fonoti out indefinitely ( Foot ) | [C] 10/01/2012 - Travis Jackson out for season ( Leg ) | [S] 11/11/2012 - Jairus Jones "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Leg ) | [T] 11/11/2012 - Michael Dennis "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Knee ) | [S] 11/11/2012 - RJ Williamson "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Ankle ) |
|
|