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Matchup Reports

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ILLINOIS (2-9) AT NORTHWESTERN (8-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
155: ILLINOIS
156: NORTHWESTERN
OFF
-19.5
16.9 / 30.5
29.8 / 23.5
2-9
8-3
3-8-0
10-1-0
5-5-0
4-6-0
128.0
221.2
173.6
171.8
301.6
393.0
180.8
123.5
201.1
274.8
381.9
398.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ILLINOIS  
NORTHWESTERN-20 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points0-13-124-181-01-312-150-10-47-36
in all games3-818-19101-1305-515-2073-812-916-2197-147
off a loss against a conference rival1-57-945-592-46-1029-390-64-1235-73
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses1-55-732-482-43-918-340-62-1023-62
when playing against a team with a winning record0-49-951-572-28-1041-380-47-1131-77
in weeks 10 through 131-24-533-341-24-520-230-31-824-41
in all lined games3-818-19101-1305-515-2073-812-916-2187-147
as an underdog1-57-762-763-35-946-440-61-1326-113
as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points0-10-16-71-01-06-30-10-11-12
as a road underdog of 17.5 to 21 points0-00-03-40-00-02-20-00-00-7
in road games0-44-847-493-16-629-360-42-1031-66
in road lined games0-44-847-493-16-629-360-42-1031-66
against conference opponents1-610-1373-923-411-1252-550-76-1755-111
when playing on a Saturday3-817-1898-1235-515-1869-762-915-2094-140
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-713-1580-1025-315-1157-621-812-1676-114
after playing a conference game1-510-1273-872-49-1348-580-66-1659-104
in games played on a grass field0-17-438-301-05-621-320-15-627-42
in November games1-24-533-341-24-520-230-31-824-41

NORTHWESTERN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points1-02-111-171-01-25-121-03-022-6
in all games10-119-18128-1144-618-1773-828-321-16120-130
off a win against a conference rival2-14-532-362-14-526-270-32-731-38
when playing against a team with a losing record0-02-226-260-02-29-210-04-033-19
in weeks 10 through 132-05-536-321-14-614-281-15-532-36
in all lined games10-119-18128-1144-618-1773-828-321-16115-128
as a favorite5-09-837-421-36-920-265-015-262-17
in home games6-09-857-611-46-935-405-111-666-58
in home lined games6-09-857-611-46-935-405-111-662-56
against conference opponents6-110-1387-783-413-1051-594-310-1372-95
when playing on a Saturday10-119-18117-1104-618-1765-768-321-16115-120
when playing with 6 or less days rest8-114-1599-962-612-1556-667-218-1199-99
after playing a conference game5-110-1285-772-411-1149-563-38-1471-93
in games played on a grass field7-112-1581-852-513-1253-616-215-1281-91
in November games2-05-536-321-14-614-281-15-532-36
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games2-9-7.53-85-516.98.5301.6(4.4)2.430.514.1381.9(5.8)1.5
Road Games0-4-20-43-112.55.0230.0(3.6)2.043.220.7507.7(7.5)1.7
Last 3 Games0-3-21-21-214.04.0259.7(3.8)2.029.713.3424.7(6.1)0.7
Grass Games0-1-10-11-014.07.0332.0(4.5)3.045.028.0510.0(7.6)2.0
Conference Games0-7-5.91-63-411.44.7276.4(4.1)2.133.015.1414.9(6.1)0.9
ILLINOIS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)16.98.516.830:5438-128(3.4)19-3162.8%174(5.7)68-302(4.4)(17.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.271319.730:1637-154(4.1)20-3459.9%233(6.9)71-387(5.4)(14.3)
Offense Road Games12.55.014.030:2038-129(3.4)14-2655.8%101(3.9)64-230(3.6)(18.4)
Defense (All Games)30.514.118.729:0641-181(4.4)15-2562.1%201(8.1)65-382(5.8)(12.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.29.515.620.930:4939-175(4.4)19-3259.4%224(7)71-399(5.6)(13.5)
Defense Road Games43.220.724.229:4045-262(5.9)15-2367.0%246(10.8)67-508(7.5)(11.7)

NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games8-3+5.610-14-629.815.2393.0(5.4)0.923.57.7398.4(5.3)1.9
Home Games5-1+3.46-01-430.515.2455.0(5.8)1.218.05.5363.0(5.2)1.3
Last 3 Games2-1+2.23-01-227.311.3389.0(5.6)1.025.07.3391.3(5.2)2.0
Grass Games6-2+4.67-12-529.213.9410.0(5.4)1.020.96.0380.0(5.1)1.6
Conference Games4-3+2.26-13-429.014.7384.9(5.5)1.026.47.4416.0(5.3)2.0
NORTHWESTERN - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)29.815.221.929:1844-221(5)18-2962.8%172(6)73-393(5.4)(13.2)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.613.419.630:2540-174(4.3)17-3058.5%195(6.5)70-369(5.3)(15)
Offense Home Games30.515.224.831:2151-281(5.5)17-2862.5%174(6.2)79-455(5.8)(14.9)
Defense (All Games)23.57.722.330:4235-124(3.6)24-4158.8%275(6.7)75-398(5.3)(16.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.24.912.420.130:4136-146(4)19-3357.9%236(7.1)70-383(5.5)(15.4)
Defense Home Games18.05.519.528:3932-110(3.5)22-3858.0%253(6.7)69-363(5.2)(20.2)
Average power rating of opponents played: ILLINOIS 36,  NORTHWESTERN 35.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ILLINOIS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012PENN ST7-35L-3L41.5O22-7429-47-292352-17318-30-2110
10/6/2012@ WISCONSIN14-31L14.5L44.5O34-10618-30-178233-17316-25-2542
10/13/2012@ MICHIGAN0-45L24L48U37-1057-16-29251-3539-15-1741
10/27/2012INDIANA17-31L-2.5L58.5U55-19617-27-176242-12114-22-1711
11/3/2012@ OHIO ST22-52L24.5L50.5O32-7419-34-96157-33013-22-2372
11/10/2012MINNESOTA3-17L2.5L45.5U35-10115-25-175250-2319-15-780
11/17/2012PURDUE17-20L6.5W49U39-17322-38-160337-20719-28-1910
11/24/2012@ NORTHWESTERN            

NORTHWESTERN - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/29/2012INDIANA44-29W-11.5W60.5O58-39423-35-310328-15922-39-2661
10/6/2012@ PENN ST28-39L3L49O25-11221-36-135148-16135-51-2821
10/13/2012@ MINNESOTA21-13W-3W54U34-20811-17-67042-15816-30-1693
10/20/2012NEBRASKA28-29L7W62.5U38-18016-37-121044-20127-39-3423
10/27/2012IOWA28-17W-4W47U49-3497-10-84240-12224-38-2140
11/10/2012@ MICHIGAN31-38L8.5W51O58-24814-21-183132-13316-30-2862
11/17/2012@ MICHIGAN ST23-20W7W47U27-5726-43-246039-12222-47-2974
11/24/2012ILLINOIS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 13-7 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 11-9 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NORTHWESTERN since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 4-4 against the spread versus ILLINOIS since 1992
NORTHWESTERN is 5-3 straight up against ILLINOIS since 1992
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/1/2011NORTHWESTERN3554.5 ATS142030:2951-16912-16160104-48
 ILLINOIS38-9.5SU Over102329:3138-8221-32391218-70
11/20/2010ILLINOIS48-8SU ATS272641:1670-5196-1440022-20
NNORTHWESTERN2749 Over241218:4428-18310-20135213-35
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NORTHWESTERN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 49.5% of the time since 1992. (96-98)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 45.2% of the time since 1992. (95-115)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 34.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-23)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
ILLINOIS
[LB] 08/24/2012 - Henry Dickinson out for season ( Leg )
[DB] 09/25/2012 - Ta'Jarvis Fuller has left the team ( Disciplinary )
[DL] 10/01/2012 - Jake Howe out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 11/18/2012 - Jonathan Brown "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Shoulder )
NORTHWESTERN
[DE] 10/01/2012 - Ifaedi Odenigbo out for season ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/01/2012 - Roderick Goodlow out for season ( Undisclosed )
[CB] 11/18/2012 - Nick VanHoose "?" Saturday vs. Illinois ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/17/2012 - Venric Mark "?" Saturday vs. Illinois ( Shoulder )
[LB] 11/18/2012 - Collin Ellis "?" Saturday vs. Illinois ( Undisclosed )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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